PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s2

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1146

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0068

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001418	+0.58%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.001997	+0.47%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3383	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003282	+0.48%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5527	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003658	+0.57%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1055	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003974	+0.57%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1183	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004821	-0.18%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1931	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005044	-0.54%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0140	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004848	-0.12%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0188	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004352	+0.57%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1853	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.00494	+0.10%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2025	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005603	-1.79%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0289	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004847	+0.28%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1251	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004991	+0.33%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0504	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005431	-0.12%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1313	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005404	-0.94%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0890	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005802	-2.35%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0567	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005627	-1.65%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0653	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005876	-1.43%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0124	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005906	-0.89%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0843	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006853	-1.30%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1526	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007406	-1.37%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0461	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007969	-1.41%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1308	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007166	-0.87%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1251	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008171	-1.20%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1247	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008412	-1.26%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008823	-1.20%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010792	-1.37%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1932	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012856	-1.56%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1577	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010943	-1.36%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1768	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010068	-0.91%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1183	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010083	-1.02%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008846	-1.65%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0763	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008712	-1.68%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0328	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009759	-2.21%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1009	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008017	-0.86%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1614	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007496	-0.41%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007466	-0.05%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0007	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009134	-0.81%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1674	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007937	+0.03%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1309	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008358	-0.45%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.00816	-0.30%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006819	+1.17%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1738	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007085	+0.90%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009125	-1.01%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2600	✓	1.00