PIVX

PIVX · native · gru_s2

token id: #982
symbol: PIVX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-03
predictions: 2,472

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0511

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.046063	0.045473	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2026-10-20	oos	0.044303	0.043786	-1.17%	0.046063	+3.97%	0.0514	✗	0.25
2026-10-19	oos	0.038908	0.038708	-0.51%	0.044303	+13.86%	0.1321	✗	0.21
2026-10-18	oos	0.040121	0.039912	-0.52%	0.038908	-3.02%	0.0250	✓	0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.041976	0.041756	-0.53%	0.040121	-4.42%	0.0416	✓	0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.04214	0.041985	-0.37%	0.041976	-0.39%	0.0001	✓	0.21
2026-10-15	oos	0.040984	0.040964	-0.05%	0.04214	+2.82%	0.0299	✗	0.21
2026-10-14	oos	0.042723	0.042738	+0.03%	0.040984	-4.07%	0.0434	✗	0.22
2026-10-13	oos	0.048539	0.048313	-0.47%	0.042723	-11.98%	0.1203	✓	0.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.048982	0.048824	-0.32%	0.048539	-0.90%	0.0083	✓	0.15
2026-10-11	oos	0.051192	0.050795	-0.77%	0.048982	-4.32%	0.0332	✓	0.14
2026-10-10	oos	0.055342	0.054565	-1.40%	0.051192	-7.50%	0.0656	✓	0.20
2026-10-09	oos	0.047817	0.047829	+0.03%	0.055342	+15.74%	0.1450	✓	0.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.048636	0.048593	-0.09%	0.047817	-1.68%	0.0182	✓	0.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.051425	0.051133	-0.57%	0.048636	-5.42%	0.0466	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.063034	0.061851	-1.88%	0.051425	-18.42%	0.1849	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.064795	0.063388	-2.17%	0.063034	-2.72%	0.0057	✓	-0.04
2026-10-04	oos	0.048757	0.048249	-1.04%	0.064795	+32.89%	0.2958	✗	0.10
2026-10-03	oos	0.063282	0.062503	-1.23%	0.048757	-22.95%	0.2532	✓	0.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.07724	0.075607	-2.11%	0.063282	-18.07%	0.1786	✓	0.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.065312	0.064135	-1.80%	0.07724	+18.26%	0.1870	✗	0.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.06345	0.061676	-2.80%	0.065312	+2.93%	0.0534	✗	0.25
2026-09-29	oos	0.057817	0.055282	-4.39%	0.06345	+9.74%	0.1380	✗	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.039594	0.037977	-4.08%	0.057817	+46.02%	0.4196	✗	0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.020089	0.019978	-0.55%	0.039594	+97.09%	0.6917	✗	0.64
2026-09-26	oos	0.019153	0.019082	-0.37%	0.020089	+4.89%	0.0511	✗	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.019801	0.019715	-0.43%	0.019153	-3.27%	0.0316	✓	0.70
2026-09-24	oos	0.017977	0.017965	-0.07%	0.019801	+10.15%	0.0996	✗	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	0.018474	0.01847	-0.02%	0.017977	-2.69%	0.0271	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.018867	0.018904	+0.20%	0.018474	-2.08%	0.0102	✗	0.60
2026-09-21	oos	0.022112	0.02211	-0.01%	0.018867	-14.68%	0.1559	✓	0.60
2026-09-20	oos	0.023916	0.023764	-0.64%	0.022112	-7.54%	0.1246	✓	0.81
2026-09-19	oos	0.02122	0.021145	-0.35%	0.023916	+12.70%	0.1239	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	0.0217	0.021611	-0.41%	0.02122	-2.21%	0.0222	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.021004	0.020919	-0.41%	0.0217	+3.31%	0.0153	✓	0.90
2026-09-16	oos	0.019977	0.019906	-0.36%	0.021004	+5.14%	0.0513	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.018341	0.018289	-0.28%	0.019977	+8.92%	0.0811	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.021357	0.021264	-0.44%	0.018341	-14.12%	0.1194	✓	0.84
2026-09-13	oos	0.021441	0.021243	-0.92%	0.021357	-0.39%	0.0096	✓	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.019998	0.019797	-1.01%	0.021441	+7.22%	0.0850	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.016089	0.016069	-0.13%	0.019998	+24.30%	0.2181	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.015435	0.015428	-0.04%	0.016089	+4.24%	0.0343	✗	0.87
2026-09-09	oos	0.014016	0.014082	+0.47%	0.015435	+10.12%	0.1137	✓	0.98
2026-09-08	oos	0.014106	0.01419	+0.59%	0.014016	-0.63%	0.0102	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.014333	0.014423	+0.63%	0.014106	-1.58%	0.0140	✗	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.015073	0.015135	+0.41%	0.014333	-4.91%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.016226	0.016179	-0.29%	0.015073	-7.10%	0.0771	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.016043	0.015917	-0.79%	0.016226	+1.13%	0.0172	✗	1.01
2026-09-03	oos	0.016077	0.015914	-1.01%	0.016043	-0.21%	0.0284	✗	1.03
2026-09-02	oos	0.014557	0.014372	-1.27%	0.016077	+10.44%	0.0628	✗	0.99
2026-09-01	oos	0.013541	0.013451	-0.66%	0.014557	+7.50%	0.0802	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.015959	0.015718	-1.51%	0.013541	-15.15%	0.1369	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.015231	0.015098	-0.87%	0.015959	+4.78%	0.0458	✗	0.84
2026-08-29	oos	0.015462	0.015373	-0.58%	0.015231	-1.49%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-08-28	oos	0.014379	0.014339	-0.28%	0.015462	+7.53%	0.0715	✗	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.014522	0.014438	-0.58%	0.014379	-0.98%	0.0210	✗	0.81
2026-08-26	oos	0.013992	0.013853	-1.00%	0.014522	+3.79%	0.0347	✗	0.79
2026-08-25	oos	0.017995	0.017536	-2.55%	0.013992	-22.25%	0.2311	✓	0.84
2026-08-24	oos	0.0149	0.014551	-2.34%	0.017995	+20.77%	0.2174	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.01409	0.013729	-2.56%	0.0149	+5.75%	0.0683	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.01252	0.012261	-2.07%	0.01409	+12.54%	0.1319	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.01168	0.01149	-1.63%	0.01252	+7.19%	0.1000	✗	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.01182	0.011669	-1.28%	0.01168	-1.18%	0.0684	✓	0.99
2026-08-19	oos	0.011425	0.011302	-1.08%	0.01182	+3.46%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.01161	0.01152	-0.77%	0.011425	-1.59%	0.0889	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.0103	0.01038	+0.78%	0.01161	+12.72%	0.1083	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.00951	0.009685	+1.84%	0.0103	+8.31%	0.0331	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.01287	0.013081	+1.64%	0.00951	-26.11%	0.3156	✗	1.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.01516	0.015393	+1.54%	0.01287	-15.11%	0.1798	✗	1.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.01864	0.018821	+0.97%	0.01516	-18.67%	0.2087	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	0.02256	0.022681	+0.53%	0.01864	-17.38%	0.1964	✗	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.02393	0.024028	+0.41%	0.02256	-5.73%	0.0608	✗	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.02418	0.024266	+0.36%	0.02393	-1.03%	0.0069	✗	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.02524	0.025259	+0.07%	0.02418	-4.20%	0.0267	✗	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.02708	0.027035	-0.17%	0.02524	-6.79%	0.0676	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.02744	0.027353	-0.32%	0.02708	-1.31%	0.0103	✓	1.17
2026-08-06	oos	0.02886	0.028805	-0.19%	0.02744	-4.92%	0.0601	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.02835	0.02822	-0.46%	0.02886	+1.80%	0.0286	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.02711	0.027082	-0.10%	0.02835	+4.57%	0.0360	✗	1.14
2026-08-03	oos	0.02921	0.029122	-0.30%	0.02711	-7.19%	0.0823	✓	1.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.03281	0.032502	-0.94%	0.02921	-10.97%	0.1062	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.03275	0.032564	-0.57%	0.03281	+0.18%	0.0067	✓	1.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.0324	0.0323	-0.31%	0.03275	+1.08%	0.0150	✗	1.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.03269	0.03265	-0.12%	0.0324	-0.89%	0.0298	✗	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.03295	0.032917	-0.10%	0.03269	-0.79%	0.0232	✓	1.26
2026-07-28	oos	0.03401	0.033964	-0.14%	0.03295	-3.12%	0.0313	✓	1.26
2026-07-27	oos	0.03427	0.034222	-0.14%	0.03401	-0.76%	0.0092	✓	1.26
2026-07-26	oos	0.03537	0.035323	-0.13%	0.03427	-3.11%	0.0027	✗	1.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.0352	0.035131	-0.20%	0.03537	+0.48%	0.0144	✓	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.03414	0.034088	-0.15%	0.0352	+3.10%	0.0278	✗	1.31
2026-07-23	oos	0.0343	0.034243	-0.17%	0.03414	-0.47%	0.0166	✗	1.31
2026-07-22	oos	0.03457	0.034549	-0.06%	0.0343	-0.78%	0.0135	✗	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.03553	0.035542	+0.04%	0.03457	-2.70%	0.0193	✗	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.03587	0.035869	-0.00%	0.03553	-0.95%	0.0355	✓	1.31
2026-07-19	oos	0.03523	0.035269	+0.11%	0.03587	+1.82%	0.0062	✓	1.31
2026-07-18	oos	0.03624	0.03628	+0.11%	0.03523	-2.79%	0.0271	✗	1.29
2026-07-17	oos	0.03704	0.037064	+0.06%	0.03624	-2.16%	0.0408	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.03687	0.036905	+0.09%	0.03704	+0.46%	0.0012	✓	1.29
2026-07-15	oos	0.0371	0.03715	+0.14%	0.03687	-0.62%	0.0108	✓	1.25
2026-07-14	oos	0.03683	0.036913	+0.23%	0.0371	+0.73%	0.0103	✓	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.03589	0.035957	+0.19%	0.03683	+2.62%	0.0312	✗	1.29
2026-07-12	oos	0.03833	0.038391	+0.16%	0.03589	-6.37%	0.0375	✗	1.28
2026-07-11	oos	0.03828	0.038347	+0.17%	0.03833	+0.13%	0.0002	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.03912	0.03917	+0.13%	0.03828	-2.15%	0.0160	✗	1.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.03771	0.037763	+0.14%	0.03912	+3.74%	0.0165	✓	1.25
2026-07-08	oos	0.03957	0.039546	-0.06%	0.03771	-4.70%	0.0667	✓	1.28
2026-07-07	oos	0.03778	0.037804	+0.06%	0.03957	+4.74%	0.0685	✓	1.32
2026-07-06	oos	0.04255	0.042472	-0.18%	0.03778	-11.21%	0.1033	✓	1.30
2026-07-05	oos	0.04148	0.041396	-0.20%	0.04255	+2.58%	0.0192	✗	1.27
2026-07-04	oos	0.04232	0.042168	-0.36%	0.04148	-1.98%	0.0264	✓	1.27
2026-07-03	oos	0.03966	0.039541	-0.30%	0.04232	+6.71%	0.0568	✗	1.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.04057	0.04031	-0.64%	0.03966	-2.24%	0.0372	✓	1.26
2026-07-01	oos	0.04463	0.043827	-1.80%	0.04057	-9.10%	0.1111	✓	1.35
2026-06-30	oos	0.03787	0.037589	-0.74%	0.04463	+17.85%	0.1416	✗	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.04009	0.039852	-0.59%	0.03787	-5.54%	0.0171	✓	1.23
2026-06-28	oos	0.04282	0.042192	-1.47%	0.04009	-6.38%	0.0656	✓	1.26
2026-06-27	oos	0.05542	0.053164	-4.07%	0.04282	-22.74%	0.2071	✓	1.21
2026-06-26	oos	0.0338	0.034	+0.59%	0.05542	+63.96%	0.4899	✓	1.22
2026-06-25	oos	0.03696	0.037033	+0.20%	0.0338	-8.55%	0.0975	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.03498	0.035141	+0.46%	0.03696	+5.66%	0.0773	✓	1.27
2026-06-23	oos	0.03711	0.037249	+0.37%	0.03498	-5.74%	0.0293	✗	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.03903	0.039143	+0.29%	0.03711	-4.92%	0.0277	✗	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.0392	0.039312	+0.29%	0.03903	-0.43%	0.0212	✗	1.24
2026-06-20	oos	0.04471	0.044751	+0.09%	0.0392	-12.32%	0.1141	✗	1.19
2026-06-19	oos	0.04323	0.043298	+0.16%	0.04471	+3.42%	0.0184	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.04402	0.044079	+0.13%	0.04323	-1.79%	0.0304	✗	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.05114	0.051089	-0.10%	0.04402	-13.92%	0.1221	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.05156	0.05151	-0.10%	0.05114	-0.81%	0.0124	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.05157	0.05152	-0.10%	0.05156	-0.02%	0.0116	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.05117	0.051095	-0.15%	0.05157	+0.78%	0.0000	✓	1.07
2026-06-13	oos	0.05121	0.051076	-0.26%	0.05117	-0.08%	0.0191	✓	1.07
2026-06-12	oos	0.04976	0.049635	-0.25%	0.05121	+2.91%	0.0168	✗	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.05155	0.051306	-0.47%	0.04976	-3.47%	0.0302	✓	1.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.04929	0.049045	-0.50%	0.05155	+4.59%	0.0148	✗	1.03
2026-06-09	oos	0.05016	0.04982	-0.68%	0.04929	-1.73%	0.0067	✓	1.03
2026-06-08	oos	0.05223	0.05171	-1.00%	0.05016	-3.96%	0.0076	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.05182	0.051154	-1.28%	0.05223	+0.79%	0.0247	✗	1.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.0503	0.04936	-1.87%	0.05182	+3.02%	0.0069	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.05147	0.050361	-2.15%	0.0503	-2.27%	0.0020	✓	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.05671	0.055414	-2.29%	0.05147	-9.24%	0.0291	✓	1.01
2026-06-03	oos	0.05891	0.05751	-2.38%	0.05671	-3.73%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.0563	0.055639	-1.17%	0.05891	+4.64%	0.1015	✗	1.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.06186	0.061655	-0.33%	0.0563	-8.99%	0.0228	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.06074	0.060635	-0.17%	0.06186	+1.84%	0.0529	✗	1.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.0611	0.060985	-0.19%	0.06074	-0.59%	0.0012	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.06045	0.060345	-0.17%	0.0611	+1.08%	0.0066	✗	1.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.05848	0.05842	-0.10%	0.06045	+3.37%	0.0363	✗	1.08
2026-05-27	oos	0.06173	0.061603	-0.21%	0.05848	-5.26%	0.0405	✓	1.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.06274	0.062623	-0.19%	0.06173	-1.61%	0.0072	✗	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.06585	0.065692	-0.24%	0.06274	-4.72%	0.0258	✓	1.09
2026-05-24	oos	0.06597	0.065819	-0.23%	0.06585	-0.18%	0.0034	✓	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	0.065	0.064906	-0.14%	0.06597	+1.49%	0.0117	✗	1.07
2026-05-22	oos	0.06289	0.0629	+0.02%	0.065	+3.36%	0.0159	✓	1.07
2026-05-21	oos	0.06719	0.067133	-0.09%	0.06289	-6.40%	0.0365	✓	1.05
2026-05-20	oos	0.06825	0.068102	-0.22%	0.06719	-1.55%	0.0145	✓	1.05
2026-05-19	oos	0.0635	0.063582	+0.13%	0.06825	+7.48%	0.0613	✓	1.03
2026-05-18	oos	0.06566	0.065598	-0.09%	0.0635	-3.29%	0.0301	✓	1.04
2026-05-17	oos	0.06633	0.066101	-0.35%	0.06566	-1.01%	0.0005	✓	1.03
2026-05-16	oos	0.06748	0.066825	-0.97%	0.06633	-1.70%	0.0018	✓	1.03
2026-05-15	oos	0.06585	0.065097	-1.14%	0.06748	+2.48%	0.0488	✗	1.06
2026-05-14	oos	0.07439	0.073837	-0.74%	0.06585	-11.48%	0.0892	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.07085	0.070444	-0.57%	0.07439	+5.00%	0.0327	✗	0.98
2026-05-12	oos	0.07454	0.074323	-0.29%	0.07085	-4.95%	0.0336	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	0.07391	0.073921	+0.02%	0.07454	+0.85%	0.0227	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	0.07985	0.079711	-0.17%	0.07391	-7.44%	0.0702	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.08007	0.079908	-0.20%	0.07985	-0.27%	0.0185	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.07902	0.078845	-0.22%	0.08007	+1.33%	0.0100	✗	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.08028	0.079975	-0.38%	0.07902	-1.57%	0.0141	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.07661	0.076232	-0.49%	0.08028	+4.79%	0.0652	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.07632	0.075908	-0.54%	0.07661	+0.38%	0.0040	✓	0.80
2026-05-04	oos	0.07301	0.072782	-0.31%	0.07632	+4.53%	0.0371	✗	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.06969	0.069554	-0.20%	0.07301	+4.76%	0.0357	✗	0.78
2026-05-02	oos	0.06908	0.069088	+0.01%	0.06969	+0.88%	0.0099	✓	0.77
2026-05-01	oos	0.06633	0.066446	+0.17%	0.06908	+4.15%	0.0345	✓	0.77
2026-04-30	oos	0.06506	0.065108	+0.07%	0.06633	+1.95%	0.0011	✗	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.0651	0.065252	+0.23%	0.06506	-0.06%	0.0087	✗	0.79
2026-04-28	oos	0.06576	0.065903	+0.22%	0.0651	-1.00%	0.0065	✗	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.07142	0.071429	+0.01%	0.06576	-7.92%	0.0723	✗	0.77
2026-04-26	oos	0.0752	0.075244	+0.06%	0.07142	-5.03%	0.0395	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	0.07447	0.074382	-0.12%	0.0752	+0.98%	0.0010	✓	0.76
2026-04-24	oos	0.07791	0.077706	-0.26%	0.07447	-4.42%	0.0445	✓	0.79
2026-04-23	oos	0.07757	0.077638	+0.09%	0.07791	+0.44%	0.0118	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.07755	0.077657	+0.14%	0.07757	+0.03%	0.0019	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.07699	0.076959	-0.04%	0.07755	+0.73%	0.0114	✓	0.79
2026-04-20	oos	0.07787	0.077823	-0.06%	0.07699	-1.13%	0.0158	✓	0.80
2026-04-19	oos	0.07709	0.076963	-0.16%	0.07787	+1.01%	0.0104	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.08054	0.080442	-0.12%	0.07709	-4.28%	0.0223	✓	0.79
2026-04-17	oos	0.07991	0.079988	+0.10%	0.08054	+0.79%	0.0210	✓	0.80
2026-04-16	oos	0.08209	0.081974	-0.14%	0.07991	-2.66%	0.0461	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08009	0.080086	-0.00%	0.08209	+2.50%	0.0212	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.07965	0.079664	+0.02%	0.08009	+0.55%	0.0018	✗	0.81
2026-04-13	oos	0.092	0.091728	-0.30%	0.07965	-13.42%	0.1382	✓	0.82
2026-04-12	oos	0.08838	0.088041	-0.38%	0.092	+4.10%	0.0010	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.09402	0.093566	-0.48%	0.08838	-6.00%	0.0300	✓	0.83
2026-04-10	oos	0.08717	0.086938	-0.27%	0.09402	+7.86%	0.0773	✗	0.83
2026-04-09	oos	0.08639	0.086114	-0.32%	0.08717	+0.90%	0.0016	✓	0.83
2026-04-08	oos	0.08576	0.085469	-0.34%	0.08639	+0.73%	0.0025	✓	0.83
2026-04-07	oos	0.08944	0.089009	-0.48%	0.08576	-4.11%	0.0277	✓	0.83
2026-04-06	oos	0.08678	0.086386	-0.45%	0.08944	+3.07%	0.0014	✓	0.83
2026-04-05	oos	0.08602	0.085542	-0.56%	0.08678	+0.88%	0.0162	✗	0.83
2026-04-04	oos	0.08618	0.085817	-0.42%	0.08602	-0.19%	0.0187	✓	0.84
2026-04-03	oos	0.08498	0.084657	-0.38%	0.08618	+1.41%	0.0137	✗	0.83
2026-04-02	oos	0.08134	0.081139	-0.25%	0.08498	+4.48%	0.0454	✗	0.83
2026-04-01	oos	0.08276	0.082509	-0.30%	0.08134	-1.72%	0.0006	✓	0.82
2026-03-31	oos	0.07898	0.078903	-0.10%	0.08276	+4.79%	0.0491	✗	0.83
2026-03-30	oos	0.07689	0.07688	-0.01%	0.07898	+2.72%	0.0088	✗	0.83
2026-03-29	oos	0.07703	0.077033	+0.00%	0.07689	-0.18%	0.0115	✗	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	0.08307	0.082944	-0.15%	0.07703	-7.27%	0.0695	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	0.08411	0.083974	-0.16%	0.08307	-1.24%	0.0104	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	0.08724	0.087093	-0.17%	0.08411	-3.59%	0.0053	✓	0.83
2026-03-25	oos	0.09149	0.091458	-0.04%	0.08724	-4.65%	0.0176	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	0.09081	0.090728	-0.09%	0.09149	+0.75%	0.0005	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	0.09086	0.090834	-0.03%	0.09081	-0.06%	0.0037	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	0.08763	0.087533	-0.11%	0.09086	+3.69%	0.0019	✗	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.08704	0.087133	+0.11%	0.08763	+0.68%	0.0184	✓	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.08914	0.089277	+0.15%	0.08704	-2.36%	0.0070	✗	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.08938	0.089511	+0.15%	0.08914	-0.27%	0.0109	✗	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.09038	0.090522	+0.16%	0.08938	-1.11%	0.0027	✓	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.09325	0.09345	+0.21%	0.09038	-3.08%	0.0029	✗	0.82
2026-03-16	oos	0.09123	0.091503	+0.30%	0.09325	+2.21%	0.0296	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	0.09	0.090171	+0.19%	0.09123	+1.37%	0.0116	✗	0.83
2026-03-14	oos	0.09154	0.091568	+0.03%	0.09	-1.68%	0.0363	✗	0.86
2026-03-13	oos	0.08527	0.085416	+0.17%	0.09154	+7.35%	0.0658	✓	0.86
2026-03-12	oos	0.08602	0.086078	+0.07%	0.08527	-0.87%	0.0144	✗	0.86
2026-03-11	oos	0.08521	0.085331	+0.14%	0.08602	+0.95%	0.0041	✓	0.86
2026-03-10	oos	0.08005	0.080355	+0.38%	0.08521	+6.45%	0.0557	✓	0.85
2026-03-09	oos	0.07869	0.079141	+0.57%	0.08005	+1.73%	0.0075	✗	0.85
2026-03-08	oos	0.07509	0.075811	+0.96%	0.07869	+4.79%	0.0062	✓	0.85
2026-03-07	oos	0.07947	0.079826	+0.45%	0.07509	-5.51%	0.0449	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	0.07877	0.079015	+0.31%	0.07947	+0.89%	0.0163	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	0.08192	0.082125	+0.25%	0.07877	-3.85%	0.0080	✗	0.84
2026-03-04	oos	0.08571	0.085915	+0.24%	0.08192	-4.42%	0.0261	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.08358	0.083503	-0.09%	0.08571	+2.55%	0.0281	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.08372	0.083658	-0.07%	0.08358	-0.17%	0.0054	✗	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.08067	0.08042	-0.31%	0.08372	+3.78%	0.0011	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	0.08629	0.085841	-0.52%	0.08067	-6.51%	0.0465	✓	0.86
2026-02-27	oos	0.08363	0.083207	-0.51%	0.08629	+3.18%	0.0221	✗	0.86
2026-02-26	oos	0.0854	0.085064	-0.39%	0.08363	-2.07%	0.0039	✗	0.86
2026-02-25	oos	0.08816	0.087707	-0.51%	0.0854	-3.13%	0.0203	✓	0.86
2026-02-24	oos	0.0815	0.081153	-0.43%	0.08816	+8.17%	0.0339	✗	0.82
2026-02-23	oos	0.0827	0.082394	-0.37%	0.0815	-1.45%	0.0040	✓	0.80
2026-02-22	oos	0.08618	0.085963	-0.25%	0.0827	-4.04%	0.0022	✓	0.81
2026-02-21	oos	0.08833	0.088117	-0.24%	0.08618	-2.43%	0.0182	✓	0.80
2026-02-20	oos	0.09057	0.090337	-0.26%	0.08833	-2.47%	0.0221	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.08893	0.088768	-0.18%	0.09057	+1.84%	0.0083	✗	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.09045	0.090289	-0.18%	0.08893	-1.68%	0.0219	✓	0.81
2026-02-17	oos	0.0944	0.094217	-0.19%	0.09045	-4.18%	0.0283	✓	0.80
2026-02-16	oos	0.09606	0.095919	-0.15%	0.0944	-1.73%	0.0002	✓	0.79
2026-02-15	oos	0.09482	0.094774	-0.05%	0.09606	+1.31%	0.0127	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	0.09884	0.098725	-0.12%	0.09482	-4.07%	0.0286	✓	0.82
2026-02-13	oos	0.09679	0.096809	+0.02%	0.09884	+2.12%	0.0099	✓	0.78
2026-02-12	oos	0.09446	0.094609	+0.16%	0.09679	+2.47%	0.0076	✗	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.09184	0.092126	+0.31%	0.09446	+2.85%	0.0340	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	0.09156	0.091912	+0.38%	0.09184	+0.31%	0.0196	✓	0.78
2026-02-09	oos	0.09423	0.094496	+0.28%	0.09156	-2.83%	0.0171	✗	0.77
2026-02-08	oos	0.09528	0.095478	+0.21%	0.09423	-1.10%	0.0112	✗	0.77
2026-02-07	oos	0.0984	0.098395	-0.01%	0.09528	-3.17%	0.0434	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	0.0977	0.09745	-0.26%	0.0984	+0.72%	0.0235	✗	0.75
2026-02-05	oos	0.0963	0.097426	+1.17%	0.0977	+1.45%	0.0991	✗	0.88
2026-02-04	oos	0.1106	0.108747	-1.68%	0.0963	-12.93%	0.0079	✓	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.1139	0.11235	-1.36%	0.1106	-2.90%	0.0170	✗	0.91
2026-02-02	oos	0.1186	0.117859	-0.63%	0.1139	-3.96%	0.0021	✓	0.93
2026-02-01	oos	0.1225	0.121228	-1.04%	0.1186	-3.18%	0.0394	✓	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.1258	0.125139	-0.53%	0.1225	-2.62%	0.0065	✓	0.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.1377	0.137397	-0.22%	0.1258	-8.64%	0.0495	✓	0.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.143	0.142639	-0.25%	0.1377	-3.71%	0.0323	✓	0.61
2026-01-28	oos	0.1464	0.145618	-0.53%	0.143	-2.32%	0.0178	✗	0.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.1603	0.159124	-0.73%	0.1464	-8.67%	0.0837	✓	0.75
2026-01-26	oos	0.1669	0.165654	-0.75%	0.1603	-3.95%	0.0400	✓	0.73
2026-01-25	oos	0.1611	0.160302	-0.50%	0.1669	+3.60%	0.0268	✗	0.70
2026-01-24	oos	0.1798	0.177731	-1.15%	0.1611	-10.40%	0.0799	✓	0.64
2026-01-23	oos	0.1858	0.183152	-1.43%	0.1798	-3.23%	0.0145	✓	0.89
2026-01-22	oos	0.1948	0.191344	-1.77%	0.1858	-4.62%	0.0295	✓	0.90
2026-01-21	oos	0.1784	0.175669	-1.53%	0.1948	+9.19%	0.1024	✗	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.1709	0.168567	-1.36%	0.1784	+4.39%	0.0463	✗	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.182	0.178013	-2.19%	0.1709	-6.10%	0.0008	✓	0.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.1597	0.157379	-1.45%	0.182	+13.96%	0.1560	✗	0.92
2026-01-17	oos	0.1624	0.159694	-1.67%	0.1597	-1.66%	0.0142	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.1802	0.175469	-2.63%	0.1624	-9.88%	0.0736	✓	0.91
2026-01-15	oos	0.1475	0.145938	-1.06%	0.1802	+22.17%	0.2117	✗	0.91
2026-01-14	oos	0.1489	0.147392	-1.01%	0.1475	-0.94%	0.0136	✗	0.91
2026-01-13	oos	0.1391	0.138155	-0.68%	0.1489	+7.05%	0.0606	✗	0.88
2026-01-12	oos	0.1286	0.128214	-0.30%	0.1391	+8.16%	0.0430	✗	0.86
2026-01-11	oos	0.1265	0.12645	-0.04%	0.1286	+1.66%	0.0137	✗	0.90
2026-01-10	oos	0.1302	0.130136	-0.05%	0.1265	-2.84%	0.0333	✓	0.90
2026-01-09	oos	0.1299	0.129978	+0.06%	0.1302	+0.23%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.1312	0.131323	+0.09%	0.1299	-0.99%	0.0049	✗	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1363	0.136307	+0.01%	0.1312	-3.74%	0.0368	✗	0.49
2026-01-06	oos	0.1419	0.141996	+0.07%	0.1363	-3.95%	0.0302	✗	0.41
2026-01-05	oos	0.1341	0.134507	+0.30%	0.1419	+5.82%	0.0542	✓	0.43
2026-01-04	oos	0.1333	0.133634	+0.25%	0.1341	+0.60%	0.0086	✗	0.47
2026-01-03	oos	0.134	0.134305	+0.23%	0.1333	-0.52%	0.0122	✗	0.48
2026-01-02	oos	0.1299	0.130324	+0.33%	0.134	+3.16%	0.0247	✓	0.43
2026-01-01	oos	0.1352	0.135339	+0.10%	0.1299	-3.92%	0.0474	✗	0.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.1293	0.129527	+0.18%	0.1352	+4.56%	0.0363	✓	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1282	0.128492	+0.23%	0.1293	+0.86%	0.0111	✓	0.47
2025-12-29	oos	0.1299	0.129997	+0.07%	0.1282	-1.31%	0.0221	✗	0.56
2025-12-28	oos	0.1288	0.128916	+0.09%	0.1299	+0.85%	0.0125	✓	0.56
2025-12-27	oos	0.1333	0.133064	-0.18%	0.1288	-3.38%	0.0330	✓	0.55
2025-12-26	oos	0.1217	0.121856	+0.13%	0.1333	+9.53%	0.0866	✓	0.54
2025-12-25	oos	0.1217	0.12182	+0.10%	0.1217	+0.00%	0.0018	✗	0.54
2025-12-24	oos	0.122	0.122136	+0.11%	0.1217	-0.25%	0.0009	✓	0.54
2025-12-23	oos	0.1237	0.123787	+0.07%	0.122	-1.37%	0.0157	✗	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	0.1191	0.119377	+0.23%	0.1237	+3.86%	0.0431	✓	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	0.121	0.121245	+0.20%	0.1191	-1.57%	0.0173	✗	0.59
2025-12-20	oos	0.1284	0.12836	-0.03%	0.121	-5.76%	0.0613	✓	0.62
2025-12-19	oos	0.1234	0.123465	+0.05%	0.1284	+4.05%	0.0376	✓	0.62
2025-12-18	oos	0.1187	0.119122	+0.36%	0.1234	+3.96%	0.0169	✓	0.61
2025-12-17	oos	0.1248	0.125239	+0.35%	0.1187	-4.89%	0.0483	✗	0.61
2025-12-16	oos	0.1305	0.130771	+0.21%	0.1248	-4.37%	0.0355	✗	0.60
2025-12-15	oos	0.13	0.131548	+1.19%	0.1305	+0.38%	0.0179	✗	0.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.1399	0.141009	+0.79%	0.13	-7.08%	0.0695	✗	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	0.1477	0.148393	+0.47%	0.1399	-5.28%	0.0458	✗	0.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.1524	0.153286	+0.58%	0.1477	-3.08%	0.0370	✗	0.57
2025-12-11	oos	0.1575	0.158066	+0.36%	0.1524	-3.24%	0.0227	✗	0.56
2025-12-10	oos	0.1591	0.159638	+0.34%	0.1575	-1.01%	0.0166	✗	0.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.1656	0.165825	+0.14%	0.1591	-3.93%	0.0375	✗	0.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.1606	0.160914	+0.20%	0.1656	+3.11%	0.0164	✓	0.55
2025-12-07	oos	0.16	0.160143	+0.09%	0.1606	+0.38%	0.0013	✓	0.55
2025-12-06	oos	0.1638	0.163742	-0.04%	0.16	-2.32%	0.0303	✓	0.57
2025-12-05	oos	0.1537	0.153796	+0.06%	0.1638	+6.57%	0.0635	✓	0.57
2025-12-04	oos	0.1695	0.169132	-0.22%	0.1537	-9.32%	0.0801	✓	0.51
2025-12-03	oos	0.1707	0.170249	-0.26%	0.1695	-0.70%	0.0031	✗	0.51
2025-12-02	oos	0.1695	0.169054	-0.26%	0.1707	+0.71%	0.0025	✓	0.53
2025-12-01	oos	0.165	0.164618	-0.23%	0.1695	+2.73%	0.0011	✓	0.54
2025-11-30	oos	0.1765	0.175835	-0.38%	0.165	-6.52%	0.0409	✓	0.49
2025-11-29	oos	0.1739	0.173281	-0.36%	0.1765	+1.50%	0.0208	✗	0.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.1872	0.18613	-0.57%	0.1739	-7.10%	0.0676	✓	0.49
2025-11-27	oos	0.196	0.194665	-0.68%	0.1872	-4.49%	0.0369	✓	0.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.2004	0.198801	-0.80%	0.196	-2.20%	0.0192	✓	0.54
2025-11-25	oos	0.2034	0.201565	-0.90%	0.2004	-1.47%	0.0266	✓	0.59
2025-11-24	oos	0.2118	0.209369	-1.15%	0.2034	-3.97%	0.0227	✓	0.58
2025-11-23	oos	0.2164	0.213531	-1.33%	0.2118	-2.13%	0.0184	✓	0.62
2025-11-22	oos	0.22	0.216724	-1.49%	0.2164	-1.64%	0.0191	✓	0.71
2025-11-21	oos	0.2207	0.217067	-1.65%	0.22	-0.32%	0.0167	✗	0.71
2025-11-20	oos	0.2542	0.247987	-2.44%	0.2207	-13.18%	0.1052	✓	0.67
2025-11-19	oos	0.264	0.258351	-2.14%	0.2542	-3.71%	0.0228	✗	0.70
2025-11-18	oos	0.2603	0.255578	-1.81%	0.264	+1.42%	0.0438	✗	0.72
2025-11-17	oos	0.251	0.245645	-2.13%	0.2603	+3.71%	0.0515	✗	0.73
2025-11-16	oos	0.2828	0.274905	-2.79%	0.251	-11.24%	0.0753	✓	0.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.2202	0.217963	-1.02%	0.2828	+28.43%	0.2718	✗	0.79
2025-11-14	oos	0.2065	0.204777	-0.83%	0.2202	+6.63%	0.0641	✗	0.77
2025-11-13	oos	0.1977	0.197139	-0.28%	0.2065	+4.45%	0.0933	✗	0.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.2388	0.237377	-0.60%	0.1977	-17.21%	0.1669	✓	0.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.2335	0.232633	-0.37%	0.2388	+2.27%	0.0369	✗	0.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.241	0.240284	-0.30%	0.2335	-3.11%	0.0061	✓	0.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.2682	0.266715	-0.55%	0.241	-10.14%	0.1117	✓	0.84
2025-11-08	oos	0.2763	0.274732	-0.57%	0.2682	-2.93%	0.0447	✓	0.89
2025-11-07	oos	0.2973	0.295108	-0.74%	0.2763	-7.06%	0.0574	✓	0.87
2025-11-06	oos	0.3066	0.303962	-0.86%	0.2973	-3.03%	0.0399	✓	0.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.344	0.339235	-1.39%	0.3066	-10.87%	0.0802	✓	0.83
2025-11-04	oos	0.331	0.324701	-1.90%	0.344	+3.93%	0.0381	✗	0.84
2025-11-03	oos	0.2923	0.289107	-1.09%	0.331	+13.24%	0.1896	✗	1.11
2025-11-02	oos	0.2623	0.260108	-0.84%	0.2923	+11.44%	0.1644	✗	1.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.2884	0.283953	-1.54%	0.2623	-9.05%	0.0852	✓	1.33
2025-10-31	oos	0.2412	0.239446	-0.73%	0.2884	+19.57%	0.1801	✗	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.2135	0.212573	-0.43%	0.2412	+12.97%	0.1118	✗	1.27
2025-10-29	oos	0.2633	0.260605	-1.02%	0.2135	-18.91%	0.1805	✓	1.19
2025-10-28	oos	0.2569	0.25357	-1.30%	0.2633	+2.49%	0.0701	✗	1.26
2025-10-27	oos	0.233	0.22997	-1.30%	0.2569	+10.26%	0.1242	✗	1.30
2025-10-26	oos	0.2427	0.235994	-2.76%	0.233	-4.00%	0.0076	✓	1.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.1694	0.16881	-0.35%	0.2427	+43.27%	0.3378	✗	0.99
2025-10-24	oos	0.1667	0.166252	-0.27%	0.1694	+1.62%	0.0132	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.1684	0.168058	-0.20%	0.1667	-1.01%	0.0166	✓	1.01
2025-10-22	oos	0.164	0.163912	-0.05%	0.1684	+2.68%	0.0033	✗	1.02
2025-10-21	oos	0.1681	0.168061	-0.02%	0.164	-2.44%	0.0172	✓	1.01
2025-10-20	oos	0.1826	0.182357	-0.13%	0.1681	-7.94%	0.0616	✓	0.98
2025-10-19	oos	0.1846	0.184364	-0.13%	0.1826	-1.08%	0.0260	✓	0.95
2025-10-18	oos	0.1778	0.177762	-0.02%	0.1846	+3.82%	0.0249	✗	0.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.1755	0.175569	+0.04%	0.1778	+1.31%	0.0061	✓	0.94
2025-10-16	oos	0.1772	0.177176	-0.01%	0.1755	-0.96%	0.0056	✗	0.94
2025-10-15	oos	0.1795	0.179393	-0.06%	0.1772	-1.28%	0.0103	✗	0.95
2025-10-14	oos	0.1959	0.195047	-0.44%	0.1795	-8.37%	0.0650	✓	0.89
2025-10-13	oos	0.2198	0.217253	-1.16%	0.1959	-10.87%	0.0877	✓	0.81
2025-10-12	oos	0.2327	0.228188	-1.94%	0.2198	-5.54%	0.0389	✓	0.80
2025-10-11	oos	0.2065	0.20414	-1.14%	0.2327	+12.69%	0.1058	✗	0.66
2025-10-10	oos	0.2455	0.236938	-3.49%	0.2065	-15.89%	0.1272	✓	0.52
2025-10-09	oos	0.1897	0.186591	-1.64%	0.2455	+29.41%	0.4039	✗	1.74
2025-10-08	oos	0.1442	0.144246	+0.03%	0.1897	+31.55%	0.2999	✓	1.95
2025-10-07	oos	0.1348	0.134983	+0.14%	0.1442	+6.97%	0.0365	✓	1.85
2025-10-06	oos	0.1445	0.14441	-0.06%	0.1348	-6.71%	0.0220	✓	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.1413	0.141113	-0.13%	0.1445	+2.26%	0.0067	✗	1.76
2025-10-04	oos	0.1597	0.158592	-0.69%	0.1413	-11.52%	0.1310	✓	1.80
2025-10-03	oos	0.1405	0.13969	-0.58%	0.1597	+13.67%	0.1318	✗	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	0.1343	0.13351	-0.59%	0.1405	+4.62%	0.0260	✗	1.79
2025-10-01	oos	0.1329	0.131944	-0.72%	0.1343	+1.05%	0.0123	✓	1.83
2025-09-30	oos	0.1204	0.120092	-0.26%	0.1329	+10.38%	0.0315	✗	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.1214	0.120959	-0.36%	0.1204	-0.82%	0.0000	✓	1.79
2025-09-28	oos	0.1237	0.123377	-0.26%	0.1214	-1.86%	0.0518	✓	1.86
2025-09-27	oos	0.1203	0.12023	-0.06%	0.1237	+2.83%	0.0140	✓	1.87
2025-09-26	oos	0.1198	0.119744	-0.05%	0.1203	+0.42%	0.0049	✗	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.1167	0.1168	+0.09%	0.1198	+2.66%	0.0140	✓	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.1243	0.124122	-0.14%	0.1167	-6.11%	0.0122	✗	1.90
2025-09-23	oos	0.1231	0.123052	-0.04%	0.1243	+0.97%	0.0125	✓	1.92
2025-09-22	oos	0.1243	0.124352	+0.04%	0.1231	-0.97%	0.0019	✓	1.88
2025-09-21	oos	0.1337	0.133544	-0.12%	0.1243	-7.03%	0.0306	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	0.1364	0.136258	-0.10%	0.1337	-1.98%	0.0109	✓	1.98
2025-09-19	oos	0.1333	0.133308	+0.01%	0.1364	+2.33%	0.0219	✓	1.99
2025-09-18	oos	0.1416	0.141384	-0.15%	0.1333	-5.86%	0.0347	✓	1.97
2025-09-17	oos	0.1427	0.142438	-0.18%	0.1416	-0.77%	0.0166	✓	1.98

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.