ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s2
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +7d
assessed
80
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
47.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4563
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0183
actual -0.1949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.038894 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.037886 | -10.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.022186 | +3.53% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.022045 | +5.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.028815 | +4.14% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033866 | +2.04% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.03142 | +6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.035408 | +5.20% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.1516 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.037758 | +4.18% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.1153 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.038387 | +5.08% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.5859 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.052398 | -2.58% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8827 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.058527 | -4.44% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.7115 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.057139 | -4.44% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.5174 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.043898 | +3.48% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.4116 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.05056 | +0.35% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.3735 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052264 | -2.13% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.3240 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.064507 | -4.71% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.5046 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.085518 | -8.73% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4307 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.095602 | -9.87% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4170 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.072422 | -7.14% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1612 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.078745 | -8.71% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.5807 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.081371 | -9.54% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4760 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.061578 | -7.92% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1650 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.06543 | -7.80% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.085563 | -6.87% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.0669 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.068291 | -6.71% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4365 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.071015 | -6.36% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.0888 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.05757 | -6.07% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.3988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.062522 | -5.43% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.3735 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.058113 | -4.69% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.1706 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.074053 | -6.97% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.052219 | -5.65% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5250 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.052104 | -6.55% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3015 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.037024 | -6.15% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.6780 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.046873 | -7.09% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.1681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.026328 | -7.77% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015779 | -1.86% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014245 | +0.21% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015385 | +0.22% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.2250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017073 | -0.94% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.1333 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019369 | -1.55% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.6650 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001516 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001088 | -3.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 8.32e-7 | +7.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001656 | +12.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010788 | +2.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009723 | +3.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010407 | +2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010804 | +2.41% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8929 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000011148 | +2.09% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.3024 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000011206 | +1.73% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6577 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.00001137 | +1.47% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 2.0318 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012706 | +0.17% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1820 | ✗ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011743 | +0.54% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.2115 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009923 | +3.80% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010767 | +3.83% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011943 | +2.03% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0852 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000012128 | +3.70% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.1180 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012842 | +1.35% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1410 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013347 | -1.57% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014314 | -2.42% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.1820 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000014848 | -3.58% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3704 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015112 | -2.06% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3199 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015509 | -1.03% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2348 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015095 | +0.83% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2170 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015455 | +1.34% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1789 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016772 | +1.34% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2217 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016815 | +1.36% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1451 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017682 | +1.33% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1422 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000018153 | +1.30% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1495 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017488 | +1.44% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1214 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019953 | +1.28% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3504 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000024138 | +0.91% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4596 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027825 | +0.45% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.5022 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029568 | +0.23% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5606 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032968 | -0.28% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031779 | +0.03% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.6053 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033531 | +0.39% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.7098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035864 | -0.10% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5764 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038068 | -0.34% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.5049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000039869 | -1.07% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039688 | -1.27% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000041406 | -2.11% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2789 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.00004319 | -2.73% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.2962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000044774 | -3.09% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000041695 | -3.26% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000040875 | -2.91% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000039595 | -2.71% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1383 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000038238 | -3.19% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1552 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040547 | -1.11% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.1831 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042028 | -0.41% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1604 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000037243 | +0.66% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000047026 | +0.27% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0532 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055568 | -0.24% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1718 | ✓ | 1.00 |