ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s2
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +1d
assessed
93
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
47.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1538
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0050
actual -0.0300
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.03863 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.038614 | -2.39% | 0.03943 | -0.33% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.040747 | -3.38% | 0.03956 | -6.19% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021663 | +1.09% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6351 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.021221 | +1.78% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.028054 | +1.39% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3155 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033441 | +0.76% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1859 | ✗ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.030019 | +2.19% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1192 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.034245 | +1.74% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1706 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036786 | +1.50% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.037179 | +1.77% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053036 | -1.39% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3277 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.05973 | -2.48% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1235 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058417 | -2.30% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0384 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.043045 | +1.47% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3092 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.050534 | +0.30% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1442 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052933 | -0.87% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066236 | -2.15% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2122 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.091352 | -2.50% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2909 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.102874 | -3.02% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1201 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076206 | -2.29% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3271 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084324 | -2.24% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0740 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087882 | -2.30% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065731 | -1.71% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069739 | -1.73% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.090203 | -1.81% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071959 | -1.70% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074471 | -1.80% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060294 | -1.63% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.065009 | -1.67% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059978 | -1.63% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076991 | -3.28% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.054117 | -2.22% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3211 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.05398 | -3.19% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038401 | -2.66% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3685 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.04847 | -3.92% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2635 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027683 | -3.03% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5975 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015978 | -0.62% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5730 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.01422 | +0.05% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1564 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015349 | -0.01% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0946 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017173 | -0.36% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.1061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01954 | -0.68% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001594 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001124 | -0.50% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.3817 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.86e-7 | +2.11% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.3477 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001512 | +2.50% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.6666 | ✗ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010537 | +0.20% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9672 | ✗ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009442 | +0.45% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1006 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010153 | +0.28% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0788 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.00001057 | +0.19% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010933 | +0.12% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000011017 | +0.01% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011198 | -0.06% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012615 | -0.55% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1230 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011622 | -0.50% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0843 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009609 | +0.51% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1664 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010424 | +0.52% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0783 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011721 | +0.14% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1053 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011808 | +0.96% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.00001277 | +0.79% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0704 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013642 | +0.61% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0537 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014767 | +0.66% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015476 | +0.49% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0317 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015512 | +0.53% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0120 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015738 | +0.43% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015041 | +0.47% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015306 | +0.37% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016592 | +0.25% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0949 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016628 | +0.23% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017491 | +0.24% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0274 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017964 | +0.24% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0165 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.00001729 | +0.29% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019744 | +0.22% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2078 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023958 | +0.16% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1485 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027712 | +0.04% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1421 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029494 | -0.02% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033006 | -0.16% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.00003174 | -0.09% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0314 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033369 | -0.09% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0845 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035817 | -0.23% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038061 | -0.36% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0751 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040022 | -0.69% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0714 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039891 | -0.77% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000041845 | -1.08% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000043933 | -1.05% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045647 | -1.20% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042541 | -1.30% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0737 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041644 | -1.08% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0567 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040303 | -0.98% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039039 | -1.17% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040839 | -0.39% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042145 | -0.13% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000037055 | +0.15% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1434 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046914 | +0.03% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2090 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055664 | -0.06% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1835 | ✓ | 1.00 |