NXPC

Nexpace · native · gru_s2

token id: #128
symbol: NXPC
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-15
predictions: 1,551

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0271

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0018

actual -0.0022

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.1694	0.169074	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-21	oos	0.1687	0.168209	-0.29%	0.1694	+0.41%	0.0053	✗	0.78
2026-10-20	oos	0.16395	0.163641	-0.19%	0.1687	+2.90%	0.0205	✗	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	0.1543	0.154473	+0.11%	0.16395	+6.25%	0.0498	✓	0.73
2026-10-18	oos	0.1604	0.160571	+0.11%	0.1543	-3.80%	0.0383	✗	0.73
2026-10-17	oos	0.17375	0.173781	+0.02%	0.1604	-7.68%	0.0858	✗	0.74
2026-10-16	oos	0.1803	0.180348	+0.03%	0.17375	-3.63%	0.0362	✗	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	0.2088	0.207546	-0.60%	0.1803	-13.65%	0.1354	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.19985	0.199235	-0.31%	0.2088	+4.48%	0.0422	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.20695	0.206305	-0.31%	0.19985	-3.43%	0.0192	✓	0.68
2026-10-12	oos	0.2041	0.203123	-0.48%	0.20695	+1.40%	0.0076	✗	0.67
2026-10-11	oos	0.22075	0.219505	-0.56%	0.2041	-7.54%	0.0577	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.22145	0.220264	-0.54%	0.22075	-0.32%	0.0039	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.218	0.216861	-0.52%	0.22145	+1.58%	0.0180	✗	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.21005	0.209203	-0.40%	0.218	+3.78%	0.0344	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.21965	0.218438	-0.55%	0.21005	-4.37%	0.0270	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.2337	0.232084	-0.69%	0.21965	-6.01%	0.0386	✓	0.61
2026-10-05	oos	0.2375	0.235748	-0.74%	0.2337	-1.60%	0.0072	✓	0.61
2026-10-04	oos	0.23555	0.234039	-0.64%	0.2375	+0.83%	0.0202	✗	0.62
2026-10-03	oos	0.23625	0.234803	-0.61%	0.23555	-0.30%	0.0097	✓	0.63
2026-10-02	oos	0.2364	0.235155	-0.53%	0.23625	-0.06%	0.0029	✓	0.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.23185	0.230831	-0.44%	0.2364	+1.96%	0.0264	✗	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.23215	0.231028	-0.48%	0.23185	-0.13%	0.0062	✓	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.23105	0.230015	-0.45%	0.23215	+0.48%	0.0099	✗	0.64
2026-09-28	oos	0.22985	0.229083	-0.33%	0.23105	+0.52%	0.0072	✗	0.64
2026-09-27	oos	0.25125	0.249798	-0.58%	0.22985	-8.52%	0.0761	✓	0.60
2026-09-26	oos	0.25525	0.253857	-0.55%	0.25125	-1.57%	0.0106	✓	0.60
2026-09-25	oos	0.25915	0.257661	-0.57%	0.25525	-1.50%	0.0117	✓	0.60
2026-09-24	oos	0.2528	0.251585	-0.48%	0.25915	+2.51%	0.0318	✗	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2439	0.242456	-0.59%	0.2528	+3.65%	0.0417	✗	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2501	0.247854	-0.90%	0.2439	-2.48%	0.0025	✓	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.23475	0.233939	-0.35%	0.2501	+6.54%	0.0699	✗	0.67
2026-09-20	oos	0.22315	0.222648	-0.23%	0.23475	+5.20%	0.0109	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.2278	0.227066	-0.32%	0.22315	-2.04%	0.0168	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.22645	0.225241	-0.53%	0.2278	+0.60%	0.0084	✗	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.21435	0.213823	-0.25%	0.22645	+5.64%	0.0215	✗	0.62
2026-09-16	oos	0.2123	0.212198	-0.05%	0.21435	+0.97%	0.0084	✗	0.62
2026-09-15	oos	0.21095	0.210816	-0.06%	0.2123	+0.64%	0.0025	✗	0.61
2026-09-14	oos	0.2135	0.21324	-0.12%	0.21095	-1.19%	0.0100	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.2123	0.212191	-0.05%	0.2135	+0.57%	0.0051	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.2137	0.213687	-0.01%	0.2123	-0.66%	0.0028	✓	0.63
2026-09-11	oos	0.2065	0.206883	+0.19%	0.2137	+3.49%	0.0320	✓	0.63
2026-09-10	oos	0.2009	0.201265	+0.18%	0.2065	+2.79%	0.0202	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.2179	0.217793	-0.05%	0.2009	-7.80%	0.0674	✓	0.59
2026-09-08	oos	0.21245	0.212523	+0.03%	0.2179	+2.57%	0.0263	✓	0.62
2026-09-07	oos	0.2077	0.208001	+0.15%	0.21245	+2.29%	0.0262	✓	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.20925	0.209919	+0.32%	0.2077	-0.74%	0.0009	✓	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.20925	0.210134	+0.42%	0.20925	+0.00%	0.0081	✗	0.60
2026-09-04	oos	0.2075	0.208559	+0.51%	0.20925	+0.84%	0.0020	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.2044	0.205987	+0.78%	0.2075	+1.52%	0.0213	✓	0.71
2026-09-02	oos	0.1978	0.19887	+0.54%	0.2044	+3.34%	0.0110	✗	0.77
2026-09-01	oos	0.20225	0.203406	+0.57%	0.1978	-2.20%	0.0270	✗	0.77
2026-08-31	oos	0.2058	0.207475	+0.81%	0.20225	-1.72%	0.0148	✗	0.72
2026-08-30	oos	0.20305	0.204656	+0.79%	0.2058	+1.35%	0.0015	✓	0.62
2026-08-29	oos	0.20745	0.209257	+0.87%	0.20305	-2.12%	0.0258	✗	0.59
2026-08-28	oos	0.2117	0.213319	+0.76%	0.20745	-2.01%	0.0309	✗	0.59
2026-08-27	oos	0.21225	0.214047	+0.85%	0.2117	-0.26%	0.0079	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.2026	0.204167	+0.77%	0.21225	+4.76%	0.0295	✓	0.59
2026-08-25	oos	0.1974	0.199049	+0.84%	0.2026	+2.63%	0.0141	✓	0.57
2026-08-24	oos	0.2054	0.206854	+0.71%	0.1974	-3.89%	0.0435	✗	0.57
2026-08-23	oos	0.21475	0.21586	+0.52%	0.2054	-4.35%	0.0589	✗	0.57
2026-08-22	oos	0.2144	0.215282	+0.41%	0.21475	+0.16%	0.0075	✗	0.58
2026-08-21	oos	0.2238	0.223856	+0.03%	0.2144	-4.20%	0.0339	✗	0.57
2026-08-20	oos	0.21315	0.213329	+0.08%	0.2238	+5.00%	0.0084	✓	0.56
2026-08-19	oos	0.21085	0.210251	-0.28%	0.21315	+1.09%	0.0153	✓	0.56
2026-08-18	oos	0.207	0.206414	-0.28%	0.21085	+1.86%	0.0199	✓	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.20595	0.20495	-0.49%	0.207	+0.51%	0.0080	✗	0.61
2026-08-16	oos	0.19605	0.195746	-0.16%	0.20595	+5.05%	0.0361	✗	0.57
2026-08-15	oos	0.19415	0.194088	-0.03%	0.19605	+0.98%	0.0117	✗	0.57
2026-08-14	oos	0.18295	0.18305	+0.05%	0.19415	+6.12%	0.0585	✓	0.57
2026-08-13	oos	0.17885	0.178938	+0.05%	0.18295	+2.29%	0.0262	✓	0.57
2026-08-12	oos	0.1886	0.188541	-0.03%	0.17885	-5.17%	0.0529	✓	0.61
2026-08-11	oos	0.21435	0.213907	-0.21%	0.1886	-12.01%	0.1247	✓	0.67
2026-08-10	oos	0.226	0.225324	-0.30%	0.21435	-5.15%	0.0461	✓	0.64
2026-08-09	oos	0.2321	0.231285	-0.35%	0.226	-2.63%	0.0136	✓	0.65
2026-08-08	oos	0.2375	0.236591	-0.38%	0.2321	-2.27%	0.0186	✓	0.66
2026-08-07	oos	0.23625	0.235001	-0.53%	0.2375	+0.53%	0.0104	✗	0.67
2026-08-06	oos	0.2374	0.236484	-0.39%	0.23625	-0.48%	0.0075	✓	0.67
2026-08-05	oos	0.237	0.236111	-0.38%	0.2374	+0.17%	0.0090	✗	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.2397	0.238805	-0.37%	0.237	-1.13%	0.0131	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.23855	0.237444	-0.46%	0.2397	+0.48%	0.0035	✓	0.65
2026-08-02	oos	0.24135	0.240435	-0.38%	0.23855	-1.16%	0.0075	✓	0.65
2026-08-01	oos	0.2472	0.246335	-0.35%	0.24135	-2.37%	0.0282	✓	0.66
2026-07-31	oos	0.2507	0.24992	-0.31%	0.2472	-1.40%	0.0103	✓	0.66
2026-07-30	oos	0.2482	0.247409	-0.32%	0.2507	+1.01%	0.0339	✗	0.70
2026-07-29	oos	0.2455	0.244878	-0.25%	0.2482	+1.10%	0.0050	✗	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.265	0.263996	-0.38%	0.2455	-7.36%	0.0732	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.2701	0.268732	-0.51%	0.265	-1.89%	0.0156	✓	0.67
2026-07-26	oos	0.2573	0.256411	-0.35%	0.2701	+4.97%	0.0703	✗	0.71
2026-07-25	oos	0.25935	0.258463	-0.34%	0.2573	-0.79%	0.0164	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.2601	0.259265	-0.32%	0.25935	-0.29%	0.0021	✓	0.73
2026-07-23	oos	0.25695	0.256222	-0.28%	0.2601	+1.23%	0.0261	✗	0.74
2026-07-22	oos	0.25715	0.256425	-0.28%	0.25695	-0.08%	0.0137	✗	0.74
2026-07-21	oos	0.2445	0.244019	-0.20%	0.25715	+5.17%	0.0573	✗	0.75
2026-07-20	oos	0.24215	0.241382	-0.32%	0.2445	+0.97%	0.0015	✓	0.72
2026-07-19	oos	0.2427	0.242033	-0.27%	0.24215	-0.23%	0.0055	✓	0.73
2026-07-18	oos	0.24965	0.249004	-0.26%	0.2427	-2.78%	0.0243	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.2505	0.250049	-0.18%	0.24965	-0.34%	0.0117	✓	0.72
2026-07-16	oos	0.25445	0.254069	-0.15%	0.2505	-1.55%	0.0156	✓	0.73
2026-07-15	oos	0.25695	0.256299	-0.25%	0.25445	-0.97%	0.0034	✗	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.25805	0.257733	-0.12%	0.25695	-0.43%	0.0000	✓	0.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.2491	0.248909	-0.08%	0.25805	+3.59%	0.0051	✗	0.72
2026-07-12	oos	0.26	0.25955	-0.17%	0.2491	-4.19%	0.0246	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.2634	0.262968	-0.16%	0.26	-1.29%	0.0110	✓	0.68
2026-07-10	oos	0.2669	0.266535	-0.14%	0.2634	-1.31%	0.0080	✓	0.69
2026-07-09	oos	0.2684	0.268048	-0.13%	0.2669	-0.56%	0.0147	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	0.2569	0.256582	-0.12%	0.2684	+4.48%	0.0349	✗	0.68
2026-07-07	oos	0.2599	0.259584	-0.12%	0.2569	-1.15%	0.0013	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	0.26715	0.266782	-0.14%	0.2599	-2.71%	0.0190	✓	0.67
2026-07-05	oos	0.26885	0.26838	-0.17%	0.26715	-0.63%	0.0091	✓	0.68
2026-07-04	oos	0.27615	0.275587	-0.20%	0.26885	-2.64%	0.0301	✓	0.69
2026-07-03	oos	0.2783	0.277885	-0.15%	0.27615	-0.77%	0.0123	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.27285	0.272652	-0.07%	0.2783	+2.00%	0.0093	✗	0.67
2026-07-01	oos	0.2688	0.268722	-0.03%	0.27285	+1.51%	0.0015	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.2648	0.264958	+0.06%	0.2688	+1.51%	0.0015	✗	0.66
2026-06-29	oos	0.2669	0.26661	-0.11%	0.2648	-0.79%	0.0115	✗	0.66
2026-06-28	oos	0.2612	0.261294	+0.04%	0.2669	+2.18%	0.0137	✓	0.65
2026-06-27	oos	0.26685	0.266904	+0.02%	0.2612	-2.12%	0.0166	✗	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.2754	0.275425	+0.01%	0.26685	-3.10%	0.0309	✗	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.26805	0.268244	+0.07%	0.2754	+2.74%	0.0231	✓	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.2828	0.282614	-0.07%	0.26805	-5.22%	0.0397	✓	0.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.2969	0.296405	-0.17%	0.2828	-4.75%	0.0304	✓	0.62
2026-06-22	oos	0.30115	0.300687	-0.15%	0.2969	-1.41%	0.0000	✓	0.62
2026-06-21	oos	0.2973	0.297144	-0.05%	0.30115	+1.29%	0.0064	✗	0.62
2026-06-20	oos	0.3105	0.31011	-0.13%	0.2973	-4.25%	0.0326	✓	0.62
2026-06-19	oos	0.31175	0.311416	-0.11%	0.3105	-0.40%	0.0102	✓	0.62
2026-06-18	oos	0.3233	0.322893	-0.13%	0.31175	-3.57%	0.0411	✓	0.64
2026-06-17	oos	0.32895	0.328422	-0.16%	0.3233	-1.72%	0.0002	✓	0.63
2026-06-16	oos	0.32995	0.329375	-0.17%	0.32895	-0.30%	0.0098	✗	0.62
2026-06-15	oos	0.3466	0.345662	-0.27%	0.32995	-4.80%	0.0408	✓	0.57
2026-06-14	oos	0.3584	0.357334	-0.30%	0.3466	-3.29%	0.0355	✓	0.58
2026-06-13	oos	0.3533	0.352369	-0.26%	0.3584	+1.44%	0.0054	✗	0.59
2026-06-12	oos	0.3498	0.349262	-0.15%	0.3533	+1.00%	0.0035	✗	0.57
2026-06-11	oos	0.3839	0.382314	-0.41%	0.3498	-8.88%	0.0887	✓	0.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.3697	0.368838	-0.23%	0.3839	+3.84%	0.0209	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	0.35515	0.354789	-0.10%	0.3697	+4.10%	0.0434	✗	0.57
2026-06-08	oos	0.3623	0.361305	-0.27%	0.35515	-1.97%	0.0048	✓	0.56
2026-06-07	oos	0.3306	0.330505	-0.03%	0.3623	+9.59%	0.0940	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.3107	0.311499	+0.26%	0.3306	+6.40%	0.0394	✓	0.51
2026-06-05	oos	0.3762	0.376096	-0.03%	0.3107	-17.41%	0.1895	✓	0.50
2026-06-04	oos	0.4126	0.411385	-0.29%	0.3762	-8.82%	0.0711	✓	0.41
2026-06-03	oos	0.432	0.430263	-0.40%	0.4126	-4.49%	0.0404	✓	0.42
2026-06-02	oos	0.4285	0.425808	-0.63%	0.432	+0.82%	0.0312	✗	0.42
2026-06-01	oos	0.4286	0.425499	-0.72%	0.4285	-0.02%	0.0373	✗	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.42685	0.423344	-0.82%	0.4286	+0.41%	0.0269	✗	0.47
2026-05-30	oos	0.41585	0.412212	-0.87%	0.42685	+2.65%	0.0361	✗	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.39675	0.39407	-0.68%	0.41585	+4.81%	0.0511	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.383	0.380605	-0.63%	0.39675	+3.59%	0.0425	✗	0.49
2026-05-27	oos	0.36445	0.362524	-0.53%	0.383	+5.09%	0.0603	✗	0.49
2026-05-26	oos	0.37475	0.371776	-0.79%	0.36445	-2.75%	0.0102	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.3688	0.366216	-0.70%	0.37475	+1.61%	0.0324	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	0.3563	0.354219	-0.58%	0.3688	+3.51%	0.0386	✗	0.50
2026-05-23	oos	0.35115	0.348748	-0.68%	0.3563	+1.47%	0.0193	✗	0.51
2026-05-22	oos	0.3327	0.331158	-0.46%	0.35115	+5.55%	0.0508	✗	0.49
2026-05-21	oos	0.32735	0.325808	-0.47%	0.3327	+1.63%	0.0350	✗	0.51
2026-05-20	oos	0.3242	0.322044	-0.67%	0.32735	+0.97%	0.0158	✗	0.53
2026-05-19	oos	0.3142	0.313117	-0.34%	0.3242	+3.18%	0.0300	✗	0.52
2026-05-18	oos	0.32435	0.323376	-0.30%	0.3142	-3.13%	0.0276	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.33155	0.330432	-0.34%	0.32435	-2.17%	0.0154	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.3396	0.338481	-0.33%	0.33155	-2.37%	0.0160	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.33935	0.338537	-0.24%	0.3396	+0.07%	0.0098	✗	0.55
2026-05-14	oos	0.3608	0.358978	-0.50%	0.33935	-5.95%	0.0430	✓	0.52
2026-05-13	oos	0.3349	0.333387	-0.45%	0.3608	+7.73%	0.0674	✗	0.52
2026-05-12	oos	0.32225	0.32183	-0.13%	0.3349	+3.93%	0.0476	✗	0.52
2026-05-11	oos	0.3415	0.340746	-0.22%	0.32225	-5.64%	0.0480	✓	0.51
2026-05-10	oos	0.351	0.349896	-0.31%	0.3415	-2.71%	0.0211	✓	0.55
2026-05-09	oos	0.3403	0.339367	-0.27%	0.351	+3.14%	0.0236	✗	0.53
2026-05-08	oos	0.3409	0.339228	-0.49%	0.3403	-0.18%	0.0002	✓	0.51
2026-05-07	oos	0.33195	0.330767	-0.36%	0.3409	+2.70%	0.0290	✗	0.53
2026-05-06	oos	0.3081	0.307984	-0.04%	0.33195	+7.74%	0.0841	✗	0.51
2026-05-05	oos	0.29865	0.298668	+0.01%	0.3081	+3.16%	0.0262	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	0.296	0.295744	-0.09%	0.29865	+0.90%	0.0001	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	0.2932	0.292955	-0.08%	0.296	+0.95%	0.0017	✓	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.2969	0.296623	-0.09%	0.2932	-1.25%	0.0104	✓	0.74
2026-05-01	oos	0.2905	0.290203	-0.10%	0.2969	+2.20%	0.0186	✗	0.74
2026-04-30	oos	0.29555	0.294657	-0.30%	0.2905	-1.71%	0.0324	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.2971	0.296057	-0.35%	0.29555	-0.52%	0.0070	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.2984	0.297448	-0.32%	0.2971	-0.44%	0.0041	✗	0.71
2026-04-27	oos	0.2949	0.294321	-0.20%	0.2984	+1.19%	0.0235	✗	0.72
2026-04-26	oos	0.3035	0.303007	-0.16%	0.2949	-2.83%	0.0151	✓	0.72
2026-04-25	oos	0.3064	0.30558	-0.27%	0.3035	-0.95%	0.0163	✓	0.73
2026-04-24	oos	0.29915	0.29843	-0.24%	0.3064	+2.42%	0.0246	✗	0.74
2026-04-23	oos	0.29525	0.29476	-0.17%	0.29915	+1.32%	0.0226	✗	0.74
2026-04-22	oos	0.2968	0.296399	-0.14%	0.29525	-0.52%	0.0046	✓	0.74
2026-04-21	oos	0.30045	0.29981	-0.21%	0.2968	-1.21%	0.0281	✓	0.75
2026-04-20	oos	0.30085	0.300094	-0.25%	0.30045	-0.13%	0.0036	✓	0.76
2026-04-19	oos	0.29295	0.29193	-0.35%	0.30085	+2.70%	0.0097	✗	0.75
2026-04-18	oos	0.2905	0.28989	-0.21%	0.29295	+0.84%	0.0300	✗	0.76
2026-04-17	oos	0.298	0.297442	-0.19%	0.2905	-2.52%	0.0100	✓	0.77
2026-04-16	oos	0.2947	0.293914	-0.27%	0.298	+1.12%	0.0057	✓	0.77
2026-04-15	oos	0.2843	0.283513	-0.28%	0.2947	+3.66%	0.0354	✗	0.77
2026-04-14	oos	0.2809	0.280251	-0.23%	0.2843	+1.21%	0.0076	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	0.2854	0.284745	-0.23%	0.2809	-1.58%	0.0109	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	0.27995	0.279136	-0.29%	0.2854	+1.95%	0.0171	✓	0.77
2026-04-11	oos	0.2891	0.288163	-0.32%	0.27995	-3.16%	0.0039	✓	0.77
2026-04-10	oos	0.29295	0.291979	-0.33%	0.2891	-1.31%	0.0108	✓	0.77
2026-04-09	oos	0.2887	0.287634	-0.37%	0.29295	+1.47%	0.0056	✗	0.77
2026-04-08	oos	0.28675	0.285718	-0.36%	0.2887	+0.68%	0.0027	✓	0.77
2026-04-07	oos	0.2897	0.288668	-0.36%	0.28675	-1.02%	0.0022	✓	0.77
2026-04-06	oos	0.28035	0.279425	-0.33%	0.2897	+3.34%	0.0025	✓	0.77
2026-04-05	oos	0.2805	0.279066	-0.51%	0.28035	-0.05%	0.0063	✗	0.77
2026-04-04	oos	0.2821	0.281129	-0.34%	0.2805	-0.57%	0.0219	✓	0.78
2026-04-03	oos	0.28545	0.284462	-0.35%	0.2821	-1.17%	0.0122	✓	0.78
2026-04-02	oos	0.28435	0.283109	-0.44%	0.28545	+0.39%	0.0075	✗	0.78
2026-04-01	oos	0.27965	0.278605	-0.37%	0.28435	+1.68%	0.0347	✗	0.79
2026-03-31	oos	0.27795	0.27693	-0.37%	0.27965	+0.61%	0.0111	✗	0.80
2026-03-30	oos	0.2778	0.276841	-0.35%	0.27795	+0.05%	0.0138	✓	0.81
2026-03-29	oos	0.27115	0.270352	-0.29%	0.2778	+2.45%	0.0177	✗	0.80
2026-03-28	oos	0.2746	0.273792	-0.29%	0.27115	-1.26%	0.0053	✓	0.80
2026-03-27	oos	0.27685	0.276206	-0.23%	0.2746	-0.81%	0.0054	✓	0.80
2026-03-26	oos	0.28225	0.28163	-0.22%	0.27685	-1.91%	0.0118	✗	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	0.2933	0.292498	-0.27%	0.28225	-3.77%	0.0065	✓	0.81
2026-03-24	oos	0.28945	0.288899	-0.19%	0.2933	+1.33%	0.0064	✗	0.81
2026-03-23	oos	0.3037	0.302983	-0.24%	0.28945	-4.69%	0.0418	✓	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	0.29255	0.291489	-0.36%	0.3037	+3.81%	0.0060	✗	0.80
2026-03-21	oos	0.2938	0.293256	-0.19%	0.29255	-0.43%	0.0101	✗	0.80
2026-03-20	oos	0.3009	0.300403	-0.17%	0.2938	-2.36%	0.0040	✓	0.80
2026-03-19	oos	0.3062	0.305518	-0.22%	0.3009	-1.73%	0.0219	✓	0.80
2026-03-18	oos	0.2984	0.296847	-0.52%	0.3062	+2.61%	0.0465	✗	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.2953	0.295179	-0.04%	0.2984	+1.05%	0.0421	✗	0.84
2026-03-16	oos	0.294	0.294026	+0.01%	0.2953	+0.44%	0.0152	✓	0.85
2026-03-15	oos	0.2858	0.285596	-0.07%	0.294	+2.87%	0.0052	✗	0.85
2026-03-14	oos	0.29	0.289489	-0.18%	0.2858	-1.45%	0.0327	✓	0.90
2026-03-13	oos	0.2895	0.288919	-0.20%	0.29	+0.17%	0.0000	✓	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.28125	0.280787	-0.16%	0.2895	+2.93%	0.0252	✗	0.91
2026-03-11	oos	0.27825	0.277984	-0.10%	0.28125	+1.08%	0.0075	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.27755	0.277435	-0.04%	0.27825	+0.25%	0.0003	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.2755	0.275364	-0.05%	0.27755	+0.74%	0.0123	✓	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.2725	0.272437	-0.02%	0.2755	+1.10%	0.0227	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.27555	0.275497	-0.02%	0.2725	-1.11%	0.0071	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.2789	0.278827	-0.03%	0.27555	-1.20%	0.0003	✓	0.92
2026-03-05	oos	0.28435	0.284407	+0.02%	0.2789	-1.92%	0.0177	✓	0.93
2026-03-04	oos	0.27715	0.277468	+0.11%	0.28435	+2.60%	0.0477	✓	0.93
2026-03-03	oos	0.27075	0.270868	+0.04%	0.27715	+2.36%	0.0351	✗	0.94
2026-03-02	oos	0.27645	0.27653	+0.03%	0.27075	-2.06%	0.0145	✗	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.26875	0.268934	+0.07%	0.27645	+2.87%	0.0140	✗	0.91
2026-02-28	oos	0.2802	0.280335	+0.05%	0.26875	-4.09%	0.0257	✗	0.91
2026-02-27	oos	0.27575	0.275913	+0.06%	0.2802	+1.61%	0.0002	✓	0.91
2026-02-26	oos	0.2721	0.272287	+0.07%	0.27575	+1.34%	0.0352	✓	0.92
2026-02-25	oos	0.2758	0.275941	+0.05%	0.2721	-1.34%	0.0072	✗	0.92
2026-02-24	oos	0.2652	0.265582	+0.14%	0.2758	+4.00%	0.0182	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.265	0.265479	+0.18%	0.2652	+0.08%	0.0068	✓	0.91
2026-02-22	oos	0.2718	0.272203	+0.15%	0.265	-2.50%	0.0151	✓	0.93
2026-02-21	oos	0.26925	0.269673	+0.16%	0.2718	+0.95%	0.0124	✓	0.92
2026-02-20	oos	0.2766	0.276934	+0.12%	0.26925	-2.66%	0.0277	✗	0.93
2026-02-19	oos	0.2568	0.257342	+0.21%	0.2766	+7.71%	0.0585	✓	0.91
2026-02-18	oos	0.2632	0.263781	+0.22%	0.2568	-2.43%	0.0344	✗	0.92
2026-02-17	oos	0.27485	0.275296	+0.16%	0.2632	-4.24%	0.0321	✗	0.82
2026-02-16	oos	0.2772	0.277586	+0.14%	0.27485	-0.85%	0.0071	✓	0.83
2026-02-15	oos	0.2687	0.269253	+0.21%	0.2772	+3.16%	0.0283	✓	0.86
2026-02-14	oos	0.289	0.289355	+0.12%	0.2687	-7.02%	0.0618	✗	0.85
2026-02-13	oos	0.2837	0.284168	+0.16%	0.289	+1.87%	0.0048	✓	0.86
2026-02-12	oos	0.27035	0.271179	+0.31%	0.2837	+4.94%	0.0126	✓	0.84
2026-02-11	oos	0.2583	0.259228	+0.36%	0.27035	+4.67%	0.0521	✓	0.82
2026-02-10	oos	0.2658	0.266588	+0.30%	0.2583	-2.82%	0.0096	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.2927	0.293247	+0.19%	0.2658	-9.19%	0.0830	✗	0.82
2026-02-08	oos	0.2806	0.281375	+0.28%	0.2927	+4.31%	0.0415	✓	0.80
2026-02-07	oos	0.3002	0.301108	+0.30%	0.2806	-6.53%	0.0828	✗	0.83
2026-02-06	oos	0.3127	0.313442	+0.24%	0.3002	-4.00%	0.0281	✗	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	0.3005	0.302653	+0.72%	0.3127	+4.06%	0.0752	✗	0.93
2026-02-04	oos	0.36945	0.36964	+0.05%	0.3005	-18.66%	0.0957	✗	0.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.37555	0.375345	-0.05%	0.36945	-1.62%	0.0107	✗	0.74
2026-02-02	oos	0.3761	0.375574	-0.14%	0.37555	-0.15%	0.0301	✗	0.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.3661	0.366155	+0.01%	0.3761	+2.73%	0.0092	✓	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.3761	0.375891	-0.06%	0.3661	-2.66%	0.0078	✓	0.83
2026-01-30	oos	0.38595	0.384358	-0.41%	0.3761	-2.55%	0.0365	✗	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.3637	0.362786	-0.25%	0.38595	+6.12%	0.0661	✗	0.87
2026-01-28	oos	0.37105	0.369894	-0.31%	0.3637	-1.98%	0.0314	✗	0.90
2026-01-27	oos	0.3782	0.377053	-0.30%	0.37105	-1.89%	0.0165	✓	0.92
2026-01-26	oos	0.3727	0.371662	-0.28%	0.3782	+1.48%	0.0085	✗	0.92
2026-01-25	oos	0.35515	0.354452	-0.20%	0.3727	+4.94%	0.0329	✗	0.90
2026-01-24	oos	0.3788	0.377261	-0.41%	0.35515	-6.24%	0.0355	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.3558	0.354992	-0.23%	0.3788	+6.46%	0.0688	✗	0.88
2026-01-22	oos	0.3517	0.350951	-0.21%	0.3558	+1.17%	0.0136	✗	0.89
2026-01-21	oos	0.35155	0.350757	-0.23%	0.3517	+0.04%	0.0017	✓	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.33185	0.331487	-0.11%	0.35155	+5.94%	0.0483	✗	0.89
2026-01-19	oos	0.3384	0.33778	-0.18%	0.33185	-1.94%	0.0253	✗	0.92
2026-01-18	oos	0.371	0.369874	-0.30%	0.3384	-8.79%	0.0785	✓	0.90
2026-01-17	oos	0.3928	0.391341	-0.37%	0.371	-5.55%	0.0394	✓	0.89
2026-01-16	oos	0.37775	0.376185	-0.41%	0.3928	+3.98%	0.0469	✗	0.90
2026-01-15	oos	0.382	0.380751	-0.33%	0.37775	-1.11%	0.0071	✓	0.90
2026-01-14	oos	0.3868	0.385418	-0.36%	0.382	-1.24%	0.0039	✗	0.90
2026-01-13	oos	0.39715	0.395523	-0.41%	0.3868	-2.61%	0.0378	✓	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.37965	0.378171	-0.39%	0.39715	+4.61%	0.0055	✗	0.97
2026-01-11	oos	0.3837	0.382157	-0.40%	0.37965	-1.06%	0.0100	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.39095	0.389503	-0.37%	0.3837	-1.85%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.3956	0.394359	-0.31%	0.39095	-1.18%	0.0070	✓	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.3871	0.38603	-0.28%	0.3956	+2.20%	0.0306	✗	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.3861	0.38504	-0.27%	0.3871	+0.26%	0.0096	✗	1.53
2026-01-06	oos	0.4036	0.402128	-0.36%	0.3861	-4.34%	0.0002	✓	1.53
2026-01-05	oos	0.3984	0.396907	-0.37%	0.4036	+1.31%	0.0191	✗	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.3919	0.390353	-0.39%	0.3984	+1.66%	0.0191	✓	1.54
2026-01-03	oos	0.3893	0.387702	-0.41%	0.3919	+0.67%	0.0045	✓	1.55
2026-01-02	oos	0.3907	0.389101	-0.41%	0.3893	-0.36%	0.0105	✓	1.55
2026-01-01	oos	0.3747	0.373557	-0.31%	0.3907	+4.27%	0.0240	✗	1.53
2025-12-31	oos	0.3528	0.352219	-0.16%	0.3747	+6.21%	0.0404	✗	1.52
2025-12-30	oos	0.3687	0.367889	-0.22%	0.3528	-4.31%	0.0264	✓	1.51
2025-12-29	oos	0.37165	0.370843	-0.22%	0.3687	-0.79%	0.0281	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.37905	0.37811	-0.25%	0.37165	-1.95%	0.0039	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.3852	0.384127	-0.28%	0.37905	-1.60%	0.0145	✓	1.49
2025-12-26	oos	0.38	0.379248	-0.20%	0.3852	+1.37%	0.0069	✗	1.48
2025-12-25	oos	0.37525	0.37488	-0.10%	0.38	+1.27%	0.0115	✗	1.48
2025-12-24	oos	0.3825	0.382047	-0.12%	0.37525	-1.90%	0.0105	✓	1.48
2025-12-23	oos	0.3796	0.379223	-0.10%	0.3825	+0.76%	0.0055	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.38065	0.380259	-0.10%	0.3796	-0.28%	0.0177	✗	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.3792	0.37882	-0.10%	0.38065	+0.38%	0.0062	✗	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.3859	0.38539	-0.13%	0.3792	-1.74%	0.0217	✓	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.3814	0.3811	-0.08%	0.3859	+1.18%	0.0085	✗	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.364	0.364405	+0.11%	0.3814	+4.78%	0.0012	✗	1.54
2025-12-17	oos	0.3759	0.376067	+0.04%	0.364	-3.17%	0.0191	✗	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.3936	0.393284	-0.08%	0.3759	-4.50%	0.0161	✓	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.37875	0.378538	-0.06%	0.3936	+3.92%	0.0138	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.4455	0.443591	-0.43%	0.37875	-14.98%	0.1283	✓	1.48
2025-12-13	oos	0.4965	0.493382	-0.63%	0.4455	-10.27%	0.0685	✓	1.44
2025-12-12	oos	0.49	0.487304	-0.55%	0.4965	+1.33%	0.0191	✗	1.44
2025-12-11	oos	0.49465	0.492061	-0.52%	0.49	-0.94%	0.0319	✗	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.4831	0.480787	-0.48%	0.49465	+2.39%	0.0204	✗	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.50045	0.497951	-0.50%	0.4831	-3.47%	0.0201	✓	1.44
2025-12-08	oos	0.49095	0.4889	-0.42%	0.50045	+1.94%	0.0085	✓	1.43
2025-12-07	oos	0.465	0.463552	-0.31%	0.49095	+5.58%	0.0535	✗	1.43
2025-12-06	oos	0.4865	0.484653	-0.38%	0.465	-4.42%	0.0597	✓	1.45
2025-12-05	oos	0.4809	0.478925	-0.41%	0.4865	+1.16%	0.0169	✗	1.45
2025-12-04	oos	0.46835	0.466511	-0.39%	0.4809	+2.68%	0.0757	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.438	0.436779	-0.28%	0.46835	+6.93%	0.0921	✗	1.52
2025-12-02	oos	0.45605	0.454511	-0.34%	0.438	-3.96%	0.0735	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	0.441	0.439722	-0.29%	0.45605	+3.41%	0.0572	✓	1.65
2025-11-30	oos	0.46325	0.461283	-0.42%	0.441	-4.80%	0.0326	✗	1.68
2025-11-29	oos	0.4538	0.451992	-0.40%	0.46325	+2.08%	0.0330	✗	1.66
2025-11-28	oos	0.44925	0.447562	-0.38%	0.4538	+1.01%	0.0152	✗	1.66
2025-11-27	oos	0.4551	0.452905	-0.48%	0.44925	-1.29%	0.0006	✓	1.66
2025-11-26	oos	0.4303	0.428755	-0.36%	0.4551	+5.76%	0.0445	✗	1.62
2025-11-25	oos	0.4418	0.440415	-0.31%	0.4303	-2.60%	0.0837	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.45905	0.457384	-0.36%	0.4418	-3.76%	0.0164	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.4609	0.459213	-0.37%	0.45905	-0.40%	0.0291	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.4443	0.443579	-0.16%	0.4609	+3.74%	0.0053	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.4375	0.436636	-0.20%	0.4443	+1.55%	0.0254	✗	1.76
2025-11-20	oos	0.447	0.445646	-0.30%	0.4375	-2.13%	0.0117	✗	1.76
2025-11-19	oos	0.41175	0.410971	-0.19%	0.447	+8.56%	0.1951	✗	2.01
2025-11-18	oos	0.445	0.441438	-0.80%	0.41175	-7.47%	0.0383	✓	1.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.36565	0.365601	-0.01%	0.445	+21.70%	0.1795	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.37135	0.371187	-0.04%	0.36565	-1.53%	0.0287	✗	1.95
2025-11-15	oos	0.3904	0.389943	-0.12%	0.37135	-4.88%	0.0208	✓	1.95
2025-11-14	oos	0.3922	0.391942	-0.07%	0.3904	-0.46%	0.0254	✓	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.394	0.393496	-0.13%	0.3922	-0.46%	0.1081	✗	2.11
2025-11-12	oos	0.4315	0.429042	-0.57%	0.394	-8.69%	0.0432	✓	2.09
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.409843	-0.43%	0.4315	+4.83%	0.0797	✗	2.10
2025-11-10	oos	0.4004	0.398884	-0.38%	0.4116	+2.80%	0.0922	✗	2.14
2025-11-09	oos	0.3827	0.381669	-0.27%	0.4004	+4.63%	0.0218	✗	2.14
2025-11-08	oos	0.3752	0.374028	-0.31%	0.3827	+2.00%	0.0273	✓	2.16
2025-11-07	oos	0.36	0.359368	-0.18%	0.3752	+4.22%	0.0638	✗	2.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.31965	0.32001	+0.11%	0.36	+12.62%	0.0773	✓	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.32265	0.322893	+0.08%	0.31965	-0.93%	0.0429	✓	2.11
2025-11-04	oos	0.3093	0.309888	+0.19%	0.32265	+4.32%	0.0087	✗	2.10
2025-11-03	oos	0.31955	0.31985	+0.09%	0.3093	-3.21%	0.0751	✓	2.22
2025-11-02	oos	0.35495	0.354618	-0.09%	0.31955	-9.97%	0.0232	✓	2.21
2025-11-01	oos	0.35435	0.354208	-0.04%	0.35495	+0.17%	0.0076	✓	2.22
2025-10-31	oos	0.34855	0.34866	+0.03%	0.35435	+1.66%	0.0061	✓	2.22
2025-10-30	oos	0.3476	0.347875	+0.08%	0.34855	+0.27%	0.0235	✗	2.22
2025-10-29	oos	0.3728	0.372701	-0.03%	0.3476	-6.76%	0.0353	✓	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.37705	0.376931	-0.03%	0.3728	-1.13%	0.0463	✗	2.22
2025-10-27	oos	0.37605	0.375561	-0.13%	0.37705	+0.27%	0.0272	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.38165	0.381295	-0.09%	0.37605	-1.47%	0.0048	✓	2.24
2025-10-25	oos	0.3682	0.367769	-0.12%	0.38165	+3.65%	0.0205	✓	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.34635	0.346412	+0.02%	0.3682	+6.31%	0.0484	✓	2.24
2025-10-23	oos	0.34575	0.34597	+0.06%	0.34635	+0.17%	0.0177	✗	2.24
2025-10-22	oos	0.33165	0.332221	+0.17%	0.34575	+4.25%	0.0124	✗	2.25
2025-10-21	oos	0.3432	0.343584	+0.11%	0.33165	-3.37%	0.0192	✗	2.25
2025-10-20	oos	0.3554	0.355409	+0.00%	0.3432	-3.43%	0.0102	✓	2.24
2025-10-19	oos	0.3429	0.343186	+0.08%	0.3554	+3.65%	0.0029	✗	2.19
2025-10-18	oos	0.33625	0.336851	+0.18%	0.3429	+1.98%	0.0121	✗	2.20
2025-10-17	oos	0.33425	0.335353	+0.33%	0.33625	+0.60%	0.0126	✗	2.19
2025-10-16	oos	0.34305	0.344097	+0.31%	0.33425	-2.57%	0.0066	✓	2.20
2025-10-15	oos	0.36395	0.364844	+0.25%	0.34305	-5.74%	0.0094	✗	2.19
2025-10-14	oos	0.38285	0.383595	+0.19%	0.36395	-4.94%	0.0083	✗	2.19
2025-10-13	oos	0.40455	0.404843	+0.07%	0.38285	-5.36%	0.0134	✗	2.20
2025-10-12	oos	0.3839	0.384413	+0.13%	0.40455	+5.38%	0.0472	✓	2.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.34325	0.34457	+0.38%	0.3839	+11.84%	0.0292	✓	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.3535	0.354565	+0.30%	0.34325	-2.90%	0.0087	✓	2.07
2025-10-09	oos	0.4968	0.495639	-0.23%	0.3535	-28.84%	0.2299	✓	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.51605	0.514811	-0.24%	0.4968	-3.73%	0.0159	✓	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.51545	0.513944	-0.29%	0.51605	+0.12%	0.0199	✓	1.50
2025-10-06	oos	0.53975	0.537978	-0.33%	0.51545	-4.50%	0.0020	✓	1.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.51755	0.516281	-0.25%	0.53975	+4.29%	0.0300	✗	1.50
2025-10-04	oos	0.5253	0.523932	-0.26%	0.51755	-1.48%	0.0252	✓	1.50
2025-10-03	oos	0.55385	0.552115	-0.31%	0.5253	-5.15%	0.0515	✓	1.50
2025-10-02	oos	0.53225	0.530532	-0.32%	0.55385	+4.06%	0.0223	✗	1.48
2025-10-01	oos	0.5235	0.521734	-0.34%	0.53225	+1.67%	0.0045	✓	1.49
2025-09-30	oos	0.4957	0.4948	-0.18%	0.5235	+5.61%	0.0021	✓	1.48
2025-09-29	oos	0.55205	0.550156	-0.34%	0.4957	-10.21%	0.1004	✓	1.49
2025-09-28	oos	0.5672	0.565297	-0.34%	0.55205	-2.67%	0.0530	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.55865	0.557436	-0.22%	0.5672	+1.53%	0.0174	✓	1.53
2025-09-26	oos	0.56465	0.563602	-0.19%	0.55865	-1.06%	0.0086	✓	1.55
2025-09-25	oos	0.5571	0.556479	-0.11%	0.56465	+1.36%	0.0052	✗	1.55
2025-09-24	oos	0.61925	0.61697	-0.37%	0.5571	-10.04%	0.0452	✓	1.47
2025-09-23	oos	0.6186	0.616451	-0.35%	0.61925	+0.11%	0.0129	✓	1.48
2025-09-22	oos	0.6258	0.622685	-0.50%	0.6186	-1.15%	0.0026	✓	1.44
2025-09-21	oos	0.68405	0.678748	-0.78%	0.6258	-8.52%	0.0507	✓	1.37
2025-09-20	oos	0.6945	0.688275	-0.90%	0.68405	-1.50%	0.0004	✓	1.43
2025-09-19	oos	0.67305	0.667469	-0.83%	0.6945	+3.19%	0.0389	✗	1.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.70085	0.694006	-0.98%	0.67305	-3.97%	0.0126	✓	1.47

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.