NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s2

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

103

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

63.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2378

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0210

actual -0.0286

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.02034	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020448	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019151	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018427	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017743	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019597	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018748	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020049	-1.48%	0.021	+3.19%	0.0283	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.02181	-2.68%	0.02115	-5.62%	0.0281	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021535	-1.80%	0.01957	-10.76%	0.0972	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.023714	-3.46%	0.018735	-23.73%	0.2060	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026157	-4.10%	0.01787	-34.48%	0.3546	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.022795	-2.92%	0.01995	-15.03%	0.1153	✓	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.019838	-1.23%	0.01899	-5.45%	0.0511	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.02283	-3.53%	0.02035	-14.01%	0.0878	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.023456	-5.59%	0.02241	-9.80%	0.0080	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.02346	-6.62%	0.02193	-12.72%	0.0028	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019089	-4.32%	0.024565	+23.13%	0.2985	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.018913	-2.36%	0.027275	+40.81%	0.3963	✗	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019136	-2.07%	0.02348	+20.16%	0.2365	✗	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.019802	-2.81%	0.020085	-1.42%	0.0660	✗	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.02206	-3.31%	0.023665	+3.73%	0.0750	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.023167	-4.37%	0.024845	+2.56%	0.0369	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.02227	-2.90%	0.025125	+9.55%	0.0811	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.021516	-2.38%	0.01995	-9.48%	0.1131	✓	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030028	-2.71%	0.01937	-37.24%	0.4443	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.030718	-2.16%	0.01954	-37.76%	0.4601	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030448	-1.53%	0.020375	-34.10%	0.4103	✓	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.030528	-0.88%	0.022815	-25.93%	0.2759	✓	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036627	-0.40%	0.024225	-34.13%	0.3690	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.041182	-0.69%	0.022935	-44.69%	0.5319	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.037749	-2.27%	0.02204	-42.94%	0.5973	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.04235	-2.68%	0.030865	-29.07%	0.3728	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.046411	-3.56%	0.031395	-34.76%	0.4483	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.037508	-3.33%	0.03092	-20.31%	0.3165	✓	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.038058	-3.46%	0.0308	-21.87%	0.3381	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035202	-2.50%	0.036775	+1.86%	0.1166	✓	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.038473	-2.92%	0.04147	+4.64%	0.0432	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.049298	-3.78%	0.038625	-24.61%	0.3156	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.048548	-4.67%	0.043515	-14.55%	0.1747	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.034947	-3.49%	0.048125	+32.91%	0.2581	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032131	-3.21%	0.0388	+16.89%	0.1918	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.029864	-3.02%	0.03942	+28.01%	0.3169	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.037224	-3.55%	0.036105	-6.45%	0.0206	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032117	-3.15%	0.03963	+19.51%	0.2271	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031705	-3.56%	0.051235	+55.85%	0.5463	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020894	-0.03%	0.050925	+143.66%	0.9378	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022269	-1.07%	0.03621	+60.86%	0.5311	✗	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018314	+0.68%	0.033195	+82.49%	0.6942	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016832	+0.67%	0.030795	+84.18%	0.5837	✓	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020472	-2.05%	0.038595	+84.67%	0.6127	✗	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016895	-0.41%	0.03316	+95.46%	0.6624	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015992	-0.11%	0.032875	+105.34%	0.6610	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015509	+0.38%	0.0209	+35.28%	0.2621	✓	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014274	+1.13%	0.02251	+59.48%	0.4138	✓	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016632	-0.91%	0.01819	+8.37%	0.0695	✗	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016364	-1.48%	0.01672	+0.66%	0.0575	✗	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019221	-3.41%	0.0209	+5.03%	0.1076	✗	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.018977	-4.35%	0.016965	-14.49%	0.1033	✓	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.019623	-5.57%	0.01601	-22.95%	0.2021	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.019292	-6.35%	0.01545	-25.00%	0.2478	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.018781	-6.70%	0.014115	-29.88%	0.2747	✓	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.016606	-6.73%	0.016785	-5.73%	0.1497	✓	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.013964	-3.96%	0.01661	+14.24%	0.0080	✓	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014622	-4.37%	0.0199	+30.15%	0.0832	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015398	-6.56%	0.01984	+20.39%	0.1581	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009683	-0.28%	0.02078	+114.01%	0.5919	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010252	-1.14%	0.0206	+98.65%	0.5386	✗	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009523	+0.19%	0.02013	+111.78%	0.5748	✓	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.009001	-0.21%	0.017805	+97.39%	0.5602	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011793	-1.60%	0.01454	+21.32%	0.1348	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012411	-2.04%	0.01529	+20.68%	0.1937	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010759	-1.56%	0.01648	+50.78%	0.4179	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009764	-0.82%	0.00971	-1.37%	0.0324	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010113	-1.29%	0.01037	+1.22%	0.0607	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010341	-1.75%	0.009505	-9.69%	0.0482	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010365	-1.48%	0.00902	-14.26%	0.1233	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011407	-2.38%	0.011985	+2.57%	0.0706	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012025	-2.59%	0.01267	+2.63%	0.0617	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011385	-1.89%	0.01093	-5.82%	0.0485	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011081	-1.94%	0.009845	-12.88%	0.1417	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.011009	-0.19%	0.010245	-7.12%	0.1078	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012784	-0.40%	0.010525	-18.00%	0.2280	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012263	+0.27%	0.01052	-13.98%	0.1431	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012631	+0.52%	0.011685	-7.00%	0.0940	✗	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.013053	+0.41%	0.012345	-5.04%	0.0604	✗	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015316	-0.93%	0.011605	-24.94%	0.2722	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015109	-2.02%	0.0113	-26.72%	0.2409	✓	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015224	-1.81%	0.01103	-28.86%	0.2803	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015595	-2.35%	0.012835	-19.63%	0.1749	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015488	-3.80%	0.01223	-24.04%	0.2311	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.013985	-3.52%	0.012565	-13.31%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012338	-1.53%	0.013	+3.75%	0.0932	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015479	-0.49%	0.01546	-0.61%	0.0224	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.018022	-0.54%	0.01542	-14.90%	0.1661	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018478	-0.28%	0.015505	-16.32%	0.1676	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018739	-0.22%	0.01597	-14.96%	0.1629	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020251	-0.41%	0.0161	-20.83%	0.2493	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021928	-0.58%	0.014495	-34.28%	0.4349	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.02309	-1.03%	0.01253	-46.29%	0.6345	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.018013	-0.53%	0.015555	-14.11%	0.1930	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016878	-0.16%	0.01812	+7.19%	0.0564	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.018033	-0.20%	0.01853	+2.55%	0.0113	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019983	-0.26%	0.01878	-6.26%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020551	-0.43%	0.020335	-1.48%	0.0200	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020224	-0.47%	0.022055	+8.54%	0.0476	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022627	-0.71%	0.02333	+2.37%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020706	-0.57%	0.01811	-13.04%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022884	-0.85%	0.016905	-26.75%	0.3053	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026153	-1.38%	0.01807	-31.86%	0.3805	✓	1.00