NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s2

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

109

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0965

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0096

actual -0.0059

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.02073	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020861	-1.37%	0.021	-0.71%	0.0111	✓	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019415	-0.79%	0.02115	+8.07%	0.0662	✗	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018623	-0.60%	0.01957	+4.46%	0.0524	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017821	-0.27%	0.018735	+4.84%	0.0400	✗	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019808	-0.71%	0.01787	-10.43%	0.1011	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018876	-0.60%	0.01995	+5.06%	0.0653	✗	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020219	-0.65%	0.01899	-6.68%	0.0716	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.02215	-1.16%	0.02035	-9.19%	0.0605	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021757	-0.79%	0.02241	+2.19%	0.0080	✗	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.024161	-1.64%	0.02193	-10.73%	0.0624	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026702	-2.10%	0.024565	-9.94%	0.0965	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023117	-1.55%	0.027275	+16.16%	0.1591	✗	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.019926	-0.79%	0.02348	+16.90%	0.1495	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023145	-2.20%	0.020085	-15.13%	0.1166	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024061	-3.16%	0.023665	-4.75%	0.0183	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024261	-3.44%	0.024845	-1.11%	0.0271	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019469	-2.41%	0.025125	+25.94%	0.2673	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019076	-1.52%	0.01995	+2.99%	0.0163	✗	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019322	-1.12%	0.01937	-0.87%	0.0013	✓	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020177	-0.97%	0.01954	-4.10%	0.0265	✓	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022586	-1.00%	0.020375	-10.69%	0.1247	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024012	-0.88%	0.022815	-5.82%	0.0497	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.022794	-0.61%	0.024225	+5.62%	0.0577	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.021934	-0.48%	0.022935	+4.06%	0.0634	✗	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030592	-0.88%	0.02204	-28.59%	0.3287	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.031138	-0.82%	0.030865	-1.69%	0.0148	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030707	-0.69%	0.031395	+1.54%	0.0276	✗	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.030635	-0.53%	0.03092	+0.39%	0.0091	✗	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036599	-0.48%	0.0308	-16.25%	0.1411	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.041196	-0.66%	0.036775	-11.32%	0.1069	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.038196	-1.11%	0.04147	+7.37%	0.0139	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.042917	-1.37%	0.038625	-11.24%	0.1040	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.047254	-1.81%	0.043515	-9.58%	0.0889	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.038404	-1.02%	0.048125	+24.03%	0.1547	✗	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.039031	-0.99%	0.0388	-1.57%	0.0092	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035876	-0.64%	0.03942	+9.18%	0.0852	✗	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.039254	-0.95%	0.036105	-8.89%	0.0447	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.050395	-1.64%	0.03963	-22.65%	0.2633	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.049574	-2.65%	0.051235	+0.61%	0.0408	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.035791	-1.16%	0.050925	+40.64%	0.3517	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032903	-0.88%	0.03621	+9.08%	0.0842	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.03057	-0.73%	0.033195	+7.79%	0.1144	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.038122	-1.22%	0.030795	-20.21%	0.2106	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032691	-1.41%	0.038595	+16.39%	0.1779	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.032088	-2.39%	0.03316	+0.87%	0.0559	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020726	-0.83%	0.032875	+57.30%	0.4522	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022127	-1.70%	0.0209	-7.15%	0.0599	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018039	-0.83%	0.02251	+23.75%	0.2542	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016584	-0.81%	0.01819	+8.79%	0.0112	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020404	-2.37%	0.01672	-20.00%	0.1973	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016812	-0.90%	0.0209	+23.19%	0.2442	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015937	-0.46%	0.016965	+5.97%	0.0423	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015458	+0.05%	0.01601	+3.62%	0.0481	✓	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014175	+0.42%	0.01545	+9.46%	0.0771	✓	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.01677	-0.09%	0.014115	-15.91%	0.1219	✓	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016569	-0.24%	0.016785	+1.05%	0.0127	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019659	-1.21%	0.01661	-16.53%	0.1790	✓	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019491	-1.76%	0.0199	+0.30%	0.0303	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.02024	-2.60%	0.01984	-4.52%	0.0470	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.019938	-3.21%	0.02078	+0.87%	0.0266	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019414	-3.56%	0.0206	+2.33%	0.0880	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.01719	-3.45%	0.02013	+13.06%	0.0391	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014247	-2.01%	0.017805	+22.46%	0.1572	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014846	-2.90%	0.01454	-4.91%	0.1600	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015763	-4.35%	0.01529	-7.22%	0.0369	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.00969	-0.20%	0.01648	+69.72%	0.5102	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010354	-0.16%	0.00971	-6.36%	0.0619	✓	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009537	+0.34%	0.01037	+9.10%	0.0831	✓	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.009042	+0.24%	0.009505	+5.38%	0.0561	✓	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011953	-0.27%	0.00902	-24.74%	0.2817	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012598	-0.57%	0.011985	-5.41%	0.0483	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010884	-0.42%	0.01267	+15.92%	0.1576	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009783	-0.63%	0.01093	+11.02%	0.1285	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010156	-0.87%	0.009845	-3.90%	0.0300	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010407	-1.12%	0.010245	-2.66%	0.0160	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010424	-0.91%	0.010525	+0.05%	0.0019	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011529	-1.34%	0.01052	-9.97%	0.0857	✓	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012183	-1.31%	0.011685	-5.35%	0.0518	✓	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.01151	-0.82%	0.012345	+6.38%	0.0600	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011238	-0.55%	0.011605	+2.70%	0.0327	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.01102	-0.09%	0.0113	+2.45%	0.0127	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012801	-0.26%	0.01103	-14.06%	0.1479	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012216	-0.12%	0.012835	+4.95%	0.0926	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012564	-0.01%	0.01223	-2.67%	0.0458	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012994	-0.04%	0.012565	-3.35%	0.0347	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015381	-0.51%	0.013	-15.91%	0.1717	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015244	-1.14%	0.01546	+0.26%	0.0583	✗	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.01535	-1.00%	0.01542	-0.55%	0.0235	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015818	-0.95%	0.015505	-2.91%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.016028	-0.45%	0.01597	-0.81%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014502	+0.05%	0.0161	+11.07%	0.1203	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012548	+0.14%	0.014495	+15.68%	0.1507	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015556	+0.01%	0.01253	-19.45%	0.2361	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.018097	-0.13%	0.015555	-14.16%	0.1596	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018507	-0.12%	0.01812	-2.21%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.01876	-0.11%	0.01853	-1.33%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020301	-0.17%	0.01878	-7.65%	0.0798	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.022001	-0.24%	0.020335	-7.80%	0.0640	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.023224	-0.45%	0.022055	-5.47%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.018078	-0.18%	0.02333	+28.82%	0.2122	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.01689	-0.09%	0.01811	+7.13%	0.0932	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.018053	-0.10%	0.016905	-6.45%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.020013	-0.11%	0.01807	-9.81%	0.0966	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020609	-0.15%	0.020035	-2.93%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020291	-0.14%	0.02064	+1.57%	0.0021	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022739	-0.22%	0.02032	-10.84%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020789	-0.17%	0.02279	+9.44%	0.1026	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.023017	-0.27%	0.020825	-9.77%	0.1066	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026394	-0.48%	0.02308	-12.97%	0.1420	✓	1.00