NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

139

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

61.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1267

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0161

actual -0.0853

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.87e-7	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.90e-7	+0.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.78e-7	+0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.10e-7	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.09e-7	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.30e-7	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.41e-7	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.70e-7	-0.70%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1237	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.66e-7	-1.13%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1110	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.97e-7	-1.02%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1665	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.02e-7	-1.60%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1034	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.05e-7	-1.26%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1075	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.91e-7	-0.55%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0655	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.93e-7	-0.21%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0659	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.95e-7	-1.28%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0133	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	7.83e-7	-3.88%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0052	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	7.87e-7	-4.66%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0496	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	7.85e-7	-4.87%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0564	✗	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	7.86e-7	-5.91%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0490	✓	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	7.89e-7	-6.08%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0208	✓	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	7.68e-7	-5.78%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0566	✓	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	7.83e-7	-5.04%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0297	✓	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.00e-7	-4.17%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0017	✓	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	7.99e-7	-3.10%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0115	✓	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.25e-7	-1.75%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0179	✓	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.29e-7	-0.67%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0039	✓	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.42e-7	+0.82%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0058	✓	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.46e-7	+1.93%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0414	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.71e-7	+2.49%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0472	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001085	+1.89%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2428	✗	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001093	+1.64%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2555	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001074	+1.80%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2749	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001102	+1.59%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.3054	✗	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001083	+1.67%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2878	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001048	+0.77%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.3059	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001023	+0.82%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2581	✗	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	0.000001007	+1.19%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0487	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001041	+1.54%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0432	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001021	+1.55%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0074	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001034	+1.87%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0110	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001046	+2.01%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0169	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001068	+2.23%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0249	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001102	+2.96%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0605	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001452	+1.93%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3507	✗	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001482	+2.59%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3606	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001501	+3.51%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3686	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001531	+4.16%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3873	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001516	+4.56%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3691	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001523	+5.01%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.3327	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.00000149	+4.21%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.3393	✗	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001493	+3.66%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0551	✗	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001481	+3.22%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0296	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001478	+3.02%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0420	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.00000149	+3.14%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0269	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001493	+2.64%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0446	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001524	+2.98%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0578	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001498	+2.23%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0320	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001497	+1.49%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0295	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001478	+0.92%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0265	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001487	-0.18%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0352	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001484	-1.05%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0365	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001519	-1.39%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0387	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001469	-2.39%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0569	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001471	-1.29%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1216	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001359	-5.32%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.0980	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001425	-5.97%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.1621	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001413	-4.87%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1442	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001423	-4.83%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1338	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001473	-4.65%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1586	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001471	-4.78%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1087	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001489	-4.26%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.0821	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001558	-4.68%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.0993	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001552	-5.68%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0321	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001377	-4.05%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.1074	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001393	-3.63%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.1008	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001421	-3.63%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.1136	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001451	-1.62%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0759	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001418	-2.52%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1108	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001426	-1.34%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1452	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001458	-0.48%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1136	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001474	-1.09%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0478	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001439	-0.73%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0294	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001449	-0.39%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0145	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001475	-1.31%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0069	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001491	-0.92%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0357	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001481	-1.59%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0279	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.00000148	-1.67%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0065	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001527	-3.05%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.00000152	-2.88%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001527	-3.07%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.00000153	-4.07%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0181	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001554	-4.93%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0018	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001545	-5.47%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0150	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001576	-7.01%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0215	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001585	-7.59%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0169	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001583	-7.17%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0032	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001596	-6.41%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0161	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001681	-5.29%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.0735	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001744	-1.77%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0868	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001786	+0.07%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.1134	✗	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001743	-0.71%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0785	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001837	+0.68%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0851	✗	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002193	-1.42%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2698	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002183	-0.76%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2431	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002313	-1.78%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2760	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002531	-3.20%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.4059	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002602	-3.26%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.4109	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002652	-3.92%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3768	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002709	-4.95%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3982	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002782	-6.50%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2379	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002613	-7.68%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.2055	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001833	-0.90%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2275	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001822	-1.50%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3297	✗	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001787	-2.88%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3432	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001875	-0.52%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3333	✗	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001879	-0.34%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3601	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001923	+0.96%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.3927	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000002031	+1.05%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.2963	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.00000202	+1.53%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.1128	✗	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002165	+0.91%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1434	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002347	+0.10%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1927	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002443	-0.48%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.2143	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002523	-0.46%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2450	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002554	-0.81%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2400	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002564	-0.61%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.2008	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002808	-0.97%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2924	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003224	-2.31%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3522	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002959	-2.01%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1863	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.00000307	-2.22%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1879	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000003014	-2.13%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1349	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.00000292	-1.86%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1224	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002933	-1.74%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1272	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003106	-2.33%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0805	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003057	-1.85%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0287	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.00000278	-1.42%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002795	-2.28%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0668	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002872	-2.97%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0326	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002833	-3.96%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000002881	-5.53%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002815	-4.26%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.1259	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000002914	-4.76%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.1079	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003201	-5.02%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0491	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003286	-5.04%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003311	-5.01%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003237	-4.64%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0996	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003322	-5.08%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0986	✗	1.00