NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

145

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

57.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0300

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual -0.0119

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.83e-7	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.84e-7	-0.13%	6.85e-7	+0.00%	0.0030	✗	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.74e-7	-0.09%	6.85e-7	+1.48%	0.0081	✗	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.12e-7	-0.43%	6.75e-7	-5.59%	0.0522	✓	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.12e-7	-0.37%	7.15e-7	+0.00%	0.0003	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.32e-7	-0.36%	7.15e-7	-2.72%	0.0232	✓	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.42e-7	-0.44%	7.35e-7	-1.34%	0.0051	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.71e-7	-0.54%	7.45e-7	-3.87%	0.0377	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.70e-7	-0.67%	7.75e-7	+0.00%	0.0168	✗	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	8.00e-7	-0.64%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0407	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.08e-7	-0.90%	8.05e-7	-1.23%	0.0099	✗	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.09e-7	-0.79%	8.15e-7	+0.00%	0.0026	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.90e-7	-0.59%	8.15e-7	+2.52%	0.0282	✗	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.91e-7	-0.47%	7.95e-7	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.96e-7	-1.17%	7.95e-7	-1.24%	0.0102	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	7.97e-7	-2.18%	8.05e-7	-1.23%	0.0245	✗	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.09e-7	-1.94%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0087	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.14e-7	-1.39%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0190	✗	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.20e-7	-1.77%	8.25e-7	-1.20%	0.0058	✓	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.28e-7	-1.45%	8.35e-7	-0.60%	0.0070	✓	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.08e-7	-0.86%	8.40e-7	+3.07%	0.0412	✗	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.20e-7	-0.65%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0171	✓	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.32e-7	-0.32%	8.25e-7	-1.20%	0.0081	✓	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.24e-7	-0.08%	8.35e-7	+1.21%	0.0113	✗	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.40e-7	+0.05%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0098	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.36e-7	+0.12%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0043	✓	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.37e-7	+0.28%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0056	✗	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.34e-7	+0.43%	8.35e-7	+0.60%	0.0043	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.54e-7	+0.52%	8.30e-7	-2.35%	0.0291	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001068	+0.30%	8.50e-7	-20.19%	0.2148	✗	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001078	+0.25%	0.000001065	-0.93%	0.0087	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001058	+0.29%	0.000001075	+1.90%	0.0314	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001088	+0.27%	0.000001055	-2.76%	0.0301	✗	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001068	+0.28%	0.000001085	+1.88%	0.0126	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001042	+0.19%	0.000001065	+2.40%	0.0199	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001017	+0.23%	0.00000104	+2.46%	0.0201	✓	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	9.98e-7	+0.34%	0.000001015	+2.01%	0.0106	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001029	+0.35%	9.95e-7	-2.93%	0.0083	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001009	+0.41%	0.000001025	+1.99%	0.0026	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.00000102	+0.47%	0.000001005	-0.99%	0.0102	✗	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001031	+0.55%	0.000001015	-0.98%	0.0159	✗	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001052	+0.67%	0.000001025	-1.91%	0.0327	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001078	+0.79%	0.000001045	-2.34%	0.0141	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001429	+0.25%	0.00000107	-24.91%	0.2875	✗	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.00000145	+0.36%	0.000001425	-1.38%	0.0116	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001458	+0.52%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0026	✓	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001478	+0.52%	0.00000145	-1.36%	0.0235	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001458	+0.57%	0.00000147	+1.38%	0.0067	✓	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001459	+0.65%	0.00000145	+0.00%	0.0079	✓	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001434	+0.31%	0.00000145	+1.40%	0.0210	✗	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001444	+0.27%	0.00000143	-0.69%	0.0089	✗	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.00000144	+0.38%	0.00000144	+0.35%	0.0105	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001441	+0.38%	0.000001435	+0.00%	0.0115	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001452	+0.45%	0.000001435	-0.69%	0.0067	✗	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.00000146	+0.37%	0.000001445	-0.69%	0.0139	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001487	+0.44%	0.000001455	-1.69%	0.0013	✓	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001469	+0.29%	0.00000148	+1.02%	0.0030	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001477	+0.13%	0.000001465	-0.68%	0.0122	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001466	+0.06%	0.000001475	+0.68%	0.0098	✓	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001488	-0.16%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.0258	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001495	-0.33%	0.00000149	-0.67%	0.0089	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001533	-0.47%	0.0000015	-2.60%	0.0111	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001495	-0.65%	0.00000154	+2.33%	0.0181	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.00000148	-0.69%	0.000001505	+1.01%	0.0298	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001423	-0.82%	0.00000149	+3.83%	0.0182	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001501	-0.92%	0.000001435	-5.28%	0.0480	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001478	-0.47%	0.000001515	+2.02%	0.0008	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001486	-0.59%	0.000001485	-0.67%	0.0019	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001535	-0.68%	0.000001495	-3.24%	0.0267	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001533	-0.78%	0.000001545	+0.00%	0.0145	✗	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001541	-0.92%	0.000001545	-0.64%	0.0025	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.00000161	-1.53%	0.000001555	-4.89%	0.0330	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001611	-2.09%	0.000001635	-0.61%	0.0206	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001431	-0.28%	0.000001645	+14.63%	0.1541	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.00000144	-0.36%	0.000001435	-0.69%	0.0025	✓	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001468	-0.45%	0.000001445	-2.03%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001469	-0.42%	0.000001475	+0.00%	0.0055	✓	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001447	-0.54%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0244	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001437	-0.58%	0.000001455	+0.69%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001458	-0.50%	0.000001445	-1.37%	0.0180	✓	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.00000148	-0.69%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.0094	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001441	-0.63%	0.00000149	+2.76%	0.0219	✗	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001447	-0.52%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0028	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001483	-0.80%	0.000001455	-2.68%	0.0109	✗	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001494	-0.74%	0.000001495	-0.66%	0.0122	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.00000149	-1.00%	0.000001505	+0.00%	0.0093	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.00000149	-1.02%	0.000001505	+0.00%	0.0079	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001552	-1.45%	0.000001505	-4.44%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001543	-1.39%	0.000001575	+0.64%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001552	-1.44%	0.000001565	-0.63%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001569	-1.63%	0.000001575	-1.25%	0.0189	✗	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.00000161	-1.50%	0.000001595	-2.45%	0.0063	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001616	-1.16%	0.000001635	+0.00%	0.0183	✗	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001677	-1.08%	0.000001635	-3.54%	0.0460	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001699	-0.91%	0.000001695	-1.17%	0.0112	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001696	-0.53%	0.000001715	+0.59%	0.0130	✗	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.0000017	-0.30%	0.000001705	+0.00%	0.0117	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001773	-0.12%	0.000001705	-3.94%	0.0411	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001774	-0.04%	0.000001775	+0.00%	0.0161	✗	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001786	+0.03%	0.000001775	-0.56%	0.0014	✗	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001758	+0.19%	0.000001785	+1.71%	0.0320	✗	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001826	+0.08%	0.000001755	-3.84%	0.0141	✗	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002217	-0.37%	0.000001825	-17.98%	0.1939	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002192	-0.34%	0.000002225	+1.14%	0.0210	✗	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.00000234	-0.64%	0.0000022	-6.58%	0.0796	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002588	-1.04%	0.000002355	-9.94%	0.1137	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.00000265	-1.50%	0.000002615	-2.79%	0.0094	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.0000027	-2.18%	0.00000269	-2.54%	0.0103	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002765	-2.99%	0.00000276	-3.16%	0.0105	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002848	-4.27%	0.00000285	-4.20%	0.0099	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002689	-4.97%	0.000002975	+5.12%	0.0891	✗	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001845	-0.29%	0.00000283	+52.97%	0.4139	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.00000185	+0.01%	0.00000185	+0.00%	0.0213	✗	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001837	-0.15%	0.00000185	+0.54%	0.0133	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001893	+0.41%	0.00000184	-2.39%	0.0045	✗	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001893	+0.44%	0.000001885	+0.00%	0.0141	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001914	+0.45%	0.000001885	-1.05%	0.0085	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000002016	+0.28%	0.000001905	-5.22%	0.0554	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000001996	+0.32%	0.00000201	+1.01%	0.0026	✓	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002148	+0.12%	0.00000199	-7.23%	0.0590	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002344	-0.06%	0.000002145	-8.53%	0.0684	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002452	-0.14%	0.000002345	-4.48%	0.0293	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002531	-0.16%	0.000002455	-3.16%	0.0390	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.00000257	-0.19%	0.000002535	-1.55%	0.0018	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002576	-0.16%	0.000002575	-0.19%	0.0093	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002826	-0.32%	0.00000258	-8.99%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003278	-0.67%	0.000002835	-14.09%	0.1205	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000003004	-0.53%	0.0000033	+9.27%	0.1120	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003122	-0.58%	0.00000302	-3.82%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000003063	-0.57%	0.00000314	+1.95%	0.0163	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.00000296	-0.50%	0.00000308	+3.53%	0.0201	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.00000297	-0.50%	0.000002975	-0.34%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003157	-0.71%	0.000002985	-6.13%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003091	-0.77%	0.00000318	+2.09%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002804	-0.56%	0.000003115	+10.46%	0.1090	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002839	-0.74%	0.00000282	-1.40%	0.0154	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002931	-0.98%	0.00000286	-3.38%	0.0207	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002905	-1.51%	0.00000296	+0.34%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.00000299	-1.96%	0.00000295	-3.28%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.0000029	-1.35%	0.00000305	+3.74%	0.0947	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003016	-1.45%	0.00000294	-3.92%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.00000332	-1.48%	0.00000306	-9.20%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003415	-1.31%	0.00000337	-2.60%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003442	-1.24%	0.00000346	-0.72%	0.0365	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003358	-1.08%	0.000003485	+2.65%	0.0396	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003463	-1.07%	0.000003395	-3.00%	0.0252	✓	1.00