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MSFTX

Microsoft xStock · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id
#605
symbol
MSFTX
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x5621737f42dae558b81269fcb9e9e70c19aa6b35
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2025-11-25
predictions
786
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
188
of 262 predictions shown
direction hit
47.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0842
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0409
actual +0.0248

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos531.055495.8401-6.63%–pending––0.07
2026-10-21oos530.886501.8445-5.47%–pending––0.07
2026-10-20oos529.0269498.3266-5.80%–pending––0.08
2026-10-19oos532.8345494.7514-7.15%–pending––0.09
2026-10-18oos526.7454489.1915-7.13%–pending––0.09
2026-10-17oos527.6699490.1433-7.11%–pending––0.10
2026-10-16oos527.6898491.7243-6.82%–pending––0.10
2026-10-15oos536.9949498.4426-7.18%–pending––0.09
2026-10-14oos531.9497491.7771-7.55%–pending––0.09
2026-10-13oos541.0907500.1596-7.56%–pending––0.08
2026-10-12oos541.1951495.2336-8.49%–pending––0.07
2026-10-11oos536.13496.5518-7.38%–pending––0.06
2026-10-10oos534.8327496.9001-7.09%–pending––0.08
2026-10-09oos534.9768499.4222-6.65%–pending––0.08
2026-10-08oos522.4756487.1616-6.76%–pending––0.07
2026-10-07oos529.6532496.3224-6.29%–pending––0.06
2026-10-06oos529.4942503.3517-4.94%–pending––0.05
2026-10-05oos525.0852498.9151-4.98%–pending––0.07
2026-10-04oos517.8778494.0088-4.61%–pending––0.06
2026-10-03oos518.4096493.704-4.77%–pending––0.06
2026-10-02oos518.3699498.0495-3.92%–pending––0.06
2026-10-01oos514.8357496.2298-3.61%–pending––0.06
2026-09-30oos514.4331491.8043-4.40%–pending––0.06
2026-09-29oos509.4575487.487-4.31%–pending––0.08
2026-09-28oos514.1746487.4648-5.19%–pending––0.09
2026-09-27oos516.9532491.3904-4.94%–pending––0.07
2026-09-26oos517.4155496.4621-4.05%–pending––0.07
2026-09-25oos517.4155501.5614-3.06%–pending––0.07
2026-09-24oos495.992485.413-2.13%–pending––0.07
2026-09-23oos499.9088485.1818-2.95%–pending––0.07
2026-09-22oos500.0928491.8347-1.65%531.055+6.19%0.0786✗0.08
2026-09-21oos500.5451493.1893-1.47%530.886+6.06%0.0766✗0.10
2026-09-20oos501.7629477.0303-4.93%529.0269+5.43%0.1008✗0.12
2026-09-19oos497.3092479.4181-3.60%532.8345+7.14%0.1048✗0.12
2026-09-18oos496.4343483.8482-2.54%526.7454+6.11%0.0833✗0.12
2026-09-17oos491.6874466.9573-5.03%527.6699+7.32%0.1147✗0.12
2026-09-16oos489.714464.8877-5.07%527.6898+7.75%0.1187✗0.12
2026-09-15oos496.9414466.7943-6.07%536.9949+8.06%0.1284✗0.14
2026-09-14oos499.8194473.9051-5.18%531.9497+6.43%0.1092✗0.15
2026-09-13oos492.2739463.4759-5.85%541.0907+9.92%0.1429✗0.15
2026-09-11oos492.4031467.1735-5.12%536.13+8.88%0.1271✗0.13
2026-09-10oos492.2739464.8453-5.57%534.8327+8.65%0.1275✗0.16
2026-09-09oos492.4479469.3541-4.69%534.9768+8.64%0.1224✗0.16
2026-09-08oos494.6449470.3181-4.92%522.4756+5.63%0.0999✗0.13
2026-09-07oos497.2893471.7298-5.14%529.6532+6.51%0.1090✗0.13
2026-09-06oos497.334479.4139-3.60%529.4942+6.47%0.0906✗0.14
2026-09-05oos497.339483.0707-2.87%525.0852+5.58%0.0734✗0.14
2026-09-04oos494.6896485.6013-1.84%517.8778+4.69%0.0528✗0.14
2026-09-03oos509.5122504.404-1.00%518.4096+1.75%0.0224✗0.12
2026-09-02oos497.8908480.992-3.39%518.3699+4.11%0.0631✗0.13
2026-09-01oos501.0123484.6073-3.27%514.8357+2.76%0.0484✗0.13
2026-08-31oos507.9514493.6735-2.81%514.4331+1.28%0.0312✗0.16
2026-08-30oos510.72489.8439-4.09%509.4575-0.25%0.0227✓0.22
2026-08-29oos510.5759498.1871-2.43%514.1746+0.70%0.0179✓0.21
2026-08-28oos509.88502.8074-1.39%516.9532+1.39%0.0104✓0.21
2026-08-27oos503.0404506.4666+0.68%517.4155+2.86%0.0100✓0.23
2026-08-26oos496.0466494.3354-0.34%517.4155+4.31%0.0318✗0.22
2026-08-25oos489.8234490.6094+0.16%495.992+1.26%0.0044✗0.21
2026-08-24oos487.4474490.8347+0.69%499.9088+2.56%0.0045✓0.21
2026-08-23oos478.7388474.3533-0.92%500.0928+4.46%0.0305✗0.22
2026-08-22oos478.7239479.9967+0.27%500.5451+4.56%0.0166✓0.22
2026-08-21oos478.7935495.5388+3.50%501.7629+4.80%0.0048✓0.22
2026-08-20oos481.4528476.9254-0.94%497.3092+3.29%0.0129✗0.27
2026-08-19oos483.9431463.6109-4.20%496.4343+2.58%0.0208✓0.31
2026-08-18oos481.3295451.6995-6.16%491.6874+2.15%0.0238✓0.37
2026-08-17oos476.0188446.9857-6.10%489.714+2.88%0.0309✓0.36
2026-08-14oos494.1408452.1182-8.50%492.2739-0.38%0.0132✓0.36
2026-08-13oos495.7335452.3479-8.75%–pending––0.36
2026-08-12oos488.631448.3777-8.24%492.4031+0.77%0.0252✓0.35
2026-08-11oos495.0118452.2747-8.63%492.2739-0.55%0.0206✓0.34
2026-08-10oos505.2897456.4111-9.67%492.4479-2.54%0.0052✓0.35
2026-08-09oos497.5054451.0103-9.35%494.6449-0.57%0.0243✓0.36
2026-08-08oos500.8899454.3739-9.29%497.2893-0.72%0.0193✓0.36
2026-08-07oos495.0018451.747-8.74%497.334+0.47%0.0198✓0.36
2026-08-06oos498.6103452.3032-9.29%497.339-0.25%0.0156✓0.37
2026-08-05oos485.4855441.5752-9.04%494.6896+1.90%0.0373✓0.36
2026-08-04oos490.0645441.6584-9.88%509.5122+3.97%0.0559✓0.37
2026-08-03oos484.0869434.6563-10.21%497.8908+2.85%0.0634✓0.37
2026-08-02oos457.4987416.1031-9.05%501.0123+9.51%0.1169✗0.35
2026-08-01oos457.4987417.274-8.79%507.9514+11.03%0.1176✗0.35
2026-07-31oos459.7086421.6147-8.29%510.72+11.10%0.1168✗0.35
2026-07-30oos446.0312413.4237-7.31%510.5759+14.47%0.1369✗0.39
2026-07-29oos425.5053398.9014-6.25%509.88+19.83%0.1691✗0.39
2026-07-28oos395.3485373.9356-5.42%503.0404+27.24%0.2157✗0.35
2026-07-27oos381.4024362.1291-5.05%496.0466+30.06%0.2402✗0.35
2026-07-26oos388.475369.6354-4.85%489.8234+26.09%0.2204✗0.33
2026-07-25oos384.0005368.3466-4.08%487.4474+26.94%0.2140✗0.32
2026-07-24oos381.6662370.0493-3.04%478.7388+25.43%0.1957✗0.32
2026-07-23oos385.9266374.4057-2.99%478.7239+24.05%0.1921✗0.32
2026-07-22oos391.5658380.5616-2.81%478.7935+22.28%0.1774✗0.31
2026-07-21oos399.5144386.54-3.25%481.4528+20.51%0.1915✗0.30
2026-07-20oos399.0863383.1505-3.99%483.9431+21.26%0.2152✗0.30
2026-07-19oos385.3692371.3639-3.63%481.3295+24.90%0.2594✗0.29
2026-07-17oos394.4327381.9188-3.17%–pending––0.29
2026-07-16oos400.3705385.4524-3.73%–pending––0.30
2026-07-15oos396.9262382.0137-3.76%494.1408+24.49%0.2658✗0.31
2026-07-14oos386.7578373.3849-3.46%495.7335+28.18%0.2910✗0.31
2026-07-13oos389.8288373.3925-4.22%488.631+25.35%0.2620✗0.38
2026-07-12oos396.4982380.3211-4.08%495.0118+24.85%0.2648✗0.37
2026-07-11oos395.5028383.266-3.09%505.2897+27.76%0.2756✗0.37
2026-07-10oos387.0565380.2056-1.77%497.5054+28.54%0.2647✗0.38
2026-07-09oos384.1996377.6467-1.71%500.8899+30.37%0.2722✗0.38
2026-07-08oos386.8325378.0849-2.26%495.0018+27.96%0.2531✗0.39
2026-07-07oos395.9656385.2323-2.71%498.6103+25.92%0.2524✗0.38
2026-07-06oos386.285376.8762-2.44%485.4855+25.68%0.2496✗0.39
2026-07-05oos416.0984401.3734-3.54%490.0645+17.78%0.1967✗0.41
2026-07-02oos398.6235387.2251-2.86%457.4987+14.77%0.1584✗0.41
2026-07-01oos384.3041373.5311-2.80%459.7086+19.62%0.1900✗0.38
2026-06-30oos377.3061365.7958-3.05%446.0312+18.21%0.1610✗0.37
2026-06-29oos371.3086360.4298-2.93%425.5053+14.60%0.1422✗0.40
2026-06-27oos400.4003384.2086-4.04%381.4024-4.74%0.0328✓0.42
2026-06-26oos372.7968363.0321-2.62%388.475+4.21%0.0325✗0.41
2026-06-25oos360.8665352.069-2.44%384.0005+6.41%0.0570✗0.40
2026-06-24oos365.8735354.5124-3.11%381.6662+4.32%0.0532✗0.42
2026-06-23oos373.6131359.8446-3.69%385.9266+3.30%0.0549✗0.40
2026-06-22oos372.8565359.3831-3.61%391.5658+5.02%0.0722✗0.41
2026-06-21oos382.5023366.8347-4.10%399.5144+4.45%0.0634✗0.43
2026-06-19oos382.5023368.7969-3.58%385.3692+0.75%0.0358✓0.43
2026-06-18oos380.7305369.8001-2.87%–pending––0.43
2026-06-17oos389.1668375.8075-3.43%394.4327+1.35%0.0520✗0.42
2026-06-16oos396.7122381.4269-3.85%400.3705+0.92%0.0600✗0.40
2026-06-15oos403.093385.4938-4.37%396.9262-1.53%0.0392✓0.42
2026-06-14oos416.3522396.8012-4.70%386.7578-7.11%0.0207✓0.45
2026-06-13oos421.3493403.8936-4.14%389.8288-7.48%0.0193✓0.47
2026-06-12oos391.7251380.947-2.75%396.4982+1.22%0.0387✗0.42
2026-06-11oos392.8201381.4127-2.90%395.5028+0.68%0.0349✗0.42
2026-06-10oos400.0669386.2616-3.45%387.0565-3.25%0.0174✓0.46
2026-06-09oos405.8056389.6688-3.98%384.1996-5.32%0.0257✓0.48
2026-06-08oos410.4991392.9413-4.28%386.8325-5.77%0.0097✓0.45
2026-06-05oos417.9947395.1633-5.46%416.0984-0.45%0.0339✓0.43
2026-06-04oos428.4369401.5019-6.29%–pending––0.42
2026-06-03oos427.7002398.6349-6.80%–pending––0.41
2026-06-02oos441.8255406.3245-8.04%398.6235-9.78%0.0099✓0.36
2026-06-01oos459.4547419.961-8.60%384.3041-16.36%0.0422✓0.27
2026-05-31oos455.1246416.1769-8.56%377.3061-17.10%0.0320✓0.29
2026-05-29oos440.3224404.6974-8.09%–pending––0.29
2026-05-28oos431.6969397.1291-8.01%400.4003-7.25%0.0673✓0.29
2026-05-27oos418.0295385.5553-7.77%372.7968-10.82%0.0285✓0.29
2026-05-26oos415.1428383.0975-7.72%360.8665-13.07%0.0130✓0.30
2026-05-25oos426.6948394.1771-7.62%365.8735-14.25%0.0020✓0.32
2026-05-24oos426.6899397.228-6.90%373.6131-12.44%0.0046✓0.32
2026-05-23oos426.6749401.0393-6.01%372.8565-12.61%0.0149✓0.32
2026-05-22oos422.6036400.3035-5.28%382.5023-9.49%0.0105✓0.32
2026-05-21oos421.21402.6386-4.41%–pending––0.33
2026-05-20oos417.7398398.7653-4.54%382.5023-8.44%0.0232✓0.33
2026-05-19oos417.0968395.2212-5.24%380.7305-8.72%0.0280✓0.33
2026-05-18oos422.9837399.987-5.44%389.1668-7.99%0.0294✓0.32
2026-05-17oos423.871401.922-5.18%396.7122-6.41%0.0399✓0.32
2026-05-15oos412.0971402.6726-2.29%416.3522+1.03%0.0927✗0.32
2026-05-14oos408.4034405.496-0.71%421.3493+3.17%0.1160✗0.34
2026-05-13oos405.3378397.1575-2.02%391.7251-3.36%0.0563✗0.32
2026-05-12oos411.8528405.9311-1.44%392.8201-4.62%0.0403✗0.31
2026-05-11oos413.8268415.23+0.34%400.0669-3.33%0.0607✓0.34
2026-05-08oos418.2183415.8574-0.56%–pending––0.33
2026-05-07oos420.7157418.2154-0.59%–pending––0.33
2026-05-06oos416.3092420.3229+0.96%417.9947+0.40%0.0529✓0.20
2026-05-05oos409.5798411.6347+0.50%428.4369+4.60%0.0807✓0.17
2026-05-04oos413.0442409.071-0.96%427.7002+3.55%0.0821✗0.17
2026-05-01oos421.7674411.8197-2.36%455.1246+7.91%0.1121✗0.20
2026-04-30oos408.6427395.025-3.33%–pending––0.19
2026-04-29oos425.6157406.3609-4.52%440.3224+3.46%0.0864✗0.19
2026-04-28oos428.437408.2292-4.72%431.6969+0.76%0.0633✗0.20
2026-04-27oos425.4163409.34-3.78%418.0295-1.74%0.0288✓0.19
2026-04-26oos422.1662411.2001-2.60%415.1428-1.66%0.0171✓0.21
2026-04-24oos425.7353416.0643-2.27%426.6899+0.22%0.0265✗0.21
2026-04-23oos418.7816415.7705-0.72%426.6749+1.88%0.0303✗0.21
2026-04-22oos427.6743423.2157-1.04%422.6036-1.19%0.0061✓0.21
2026-04-21oos425.9746417.1155-2.08%421.21-1.12%0.0065✓0.21
2026-04-20oos417.9691408.4192-2.28%417.7398-0.05%0.0184✓0.20
2026-04-17oos426.2487425.0344-0.28%423.871-0.56%0.0035✓0.20
2026-04-16oos420.0627413.6288-1.53%–pending––0.19
2026-04-15oos416.0649409.0872-1.68%412.0971-0.95%0.0032✓0.19
2026-04-14oos394.6206386.2637-2.12%408.4034+3.49%0.0395✗0.18
2026-04-13oos386.8644380.0653-1.76%405.3378+4.78%0.0533✗0.18
2026-04-10oos377.6526368.6287-2.39%–pending––0.15
2026-04-09oos373.1265359.7253-3.59%–pending––0.14
2026-04-08oos373.939360.2822-3.65%418.2183+11.84%0.1324✗0.14
2026-04-07oos382.6075368.5543-3.67%420.7157+9.96%0.1178✗0.14
2026-04-06oos378.6047359.4885-5.05%416.3092+9.96%0.1272✗0.12
2026-04-03oos379.7363360.4198-5.09%–pending––0.12
2026-04-02oos379.7562365.0859-3.86%–pending––0.12
2026-04-01oos382.6374367.5776-3.94%421.7674+10.23%0.1215✗0.12
2026-03-31oos384.0829368.9056-3.95%408.6427+6.39%0.0893✗0.12
2026-03-30oos371.5713358.973-3.39%425.6157+14.54%0.1575✗0.10
2026-03-27oos368.7998357.5933-3.04%422.1662+14.47%0.1485✗0.10
2026-03-26oos378.9487368.8308-2.67%–pending––0.09
2026-03-25oos382.2785375.2785-1.83%425.7353+11.37%0.1184✗0.09
2026-03-24oos375.0008366.6702-2.22%418.7816+11.67%0.1237✗0.09
2026-03-23oos390.1344380.5478-2.46%427.6743+9.62%0.1082✗0.09
2026-03-20oos388.5193377.8022-2.76%–pending––0.09
2026-03-19oos389.6758379.8794-2.51%–pending––0.09
2026-03-18oos387.652381.0869-1.69%426.2487+9.96%0.1048✗0.09
2026-03-17oos398.6084398.2504-0.09%420.0627+5.38%0.0521✗0.08
2026-03-16oos413.5925415.764+0.53%416.0649+0.60%0.0008✓0.07
2026-03-13oos396.3753389.4642-1.74%–pending––0.07
2026-03-12oos416.1547405.6751-2.52%–pending––0.08
2026-03-11oos389.9988381.4828-2.18%377.6526-3.17%0.0128✓0.07
2026-03-10oos420.004407.2762-3.03%373.1265-11.16%0.0896✓0.08
2026-03-09oos422.5885408.2655-3.39%373.939-11.51%0.0909✓0.08
2026-03-06oos407.8403395.3479-3.06%–pending––0.08
2026-03-05oos410.1653403.6207-1.60%–pending––0.08
2026-03-04oos406.124403.9219-0.54%379.7363-6.50%0.0566✓0.06
2026-03-03oos403.0805393.4751-2.38%379.7562-5.79%0.0339✓0.07
2026-03-02oos398.4006389.9734-2.12%382.6374-3.96%0.0181✓0.08
2026-02-27oos399.6529386.8365-3.21%–pending––0.06
2026-02-26oos397.1134386.3402-2.71%–pending––0.07
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