META2

META2 · · gru_s2

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.5567

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1787

actual -0.0593

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	15.9308	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.576	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.2657	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.16	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.191	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.3233	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.1701	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.2126	-3.01%	16.221	-8.59%	0.0887	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.1524	-3.26%	17.9865	+1.45%	0.0130	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.2649	-3.39%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0299	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.1322	-4.58%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0276	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.4799	-3.47%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0366	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.4396	-3.73%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0452	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.2142	-3.76%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0429	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.1926	-3.79%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0252	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.4459	-3.72%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0429	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.4163	-3.86%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0659	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.3603	-4.53%	17.954	-1.26%	0.1009	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	18.6832	-4.21%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0156	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.4622	-4.46%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0113	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.3231	-5.12%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0085	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.3957	-5.24%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0242	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.2063	-5.86%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0001	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	17.6996	-5.65%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0084	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.116	-7.26%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0223	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	15.9632	-6.62%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1643	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.3974	-7.19%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.2213	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	15.509	-8.09%	19.312	+14.45%	0.2119	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	15.6047	-8.93%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.2100	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.0554	-9.68%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2657	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	14.971	-10.37%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2758	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	14.4464	-11.25%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.3079	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	13.2665	-11.49%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1911	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	11.709	-12.87%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2866	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	16.6935	-13.31%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.0520	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	16.7629	-12.79%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.1404	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	16.6973	-13.22%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.1686	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	16.6605	-13.36%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2092	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	16.4339	-14.65%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2012	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	16.4589	-14.50%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.1948	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	16.4051	-14.80%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.2940	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	15.8008	-14.68%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.1091	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	15.7084	-14.69%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.2064	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.4351	-16.29%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2783	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	15.3298	-17.20%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.3059	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	1.9046	-45.71%	19.2555	+448.82%	2.3530	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	1.7628	-49.97%	19.2505	+446.35%	2.5540	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	15.3099	-16.70%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.3492	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	1.9077	-52.53%	18.5185	+360.83%	2.3992	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	1.7825	-55.61%	18.4135	+358.50%	2.5979	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	1.7043	-57.64%	18.4385	+358.33%	2.3249	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	1.65	-58.96%	18.5135	+360.53%	2.3562	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	2.759	-54.80%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.2111	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	37.3724	-8.36%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5295	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	37.5915	-8.63%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8188	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	37.416	-9.25%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.3504	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	37.1454	-8.73%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2368	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	25.3412	-7.85%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8184	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	36.0129	-11.45%	4.02	-90.12%	2.1781	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	34.4174	-11.47%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7244	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	35.4612	-12.57%	40.783	+0.55%	0.1407	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	44.5461	-15.03%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.0947	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	27.4711	-10.32%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.4122	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	27.4006	-10.94%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.3008	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	27.2931	-11.13%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1238	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	27.1773	-11.04%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.2092	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	26.8278	-12.36%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1681	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	26.9466	-11.80%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1963	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	26.8336	-12.24%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4687	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	26.5397	-13.38%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.0747	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	2.4156	-53.22%	30.768	+495.82%	2.4038	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	27.6387	-9.96%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	27.4905	-10.56%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0876	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	27.5112	-10.99%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0979	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	27.1797	-11.75%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1485	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	26.9582	-12.67%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1554	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	26.726	-13.50%	30.638	-0.84%	0.1666	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.