META2

META2 · · gru_s2

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2066

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0349

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.6646	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6308	-0.65%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0113	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5475	-0.50%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0039	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5785	-0.56%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0057	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7314	-0.53%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0118	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5941	-0.51%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0148	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6416	-0.59%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0113	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.6147	-0.65%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0005	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6772	-1.08%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0255	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.8129	-0.79%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0165	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9222	-1.03%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0313	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.935	-1.00%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0019	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.717	-0.95%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0167	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7218	-0.82%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0036	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.8944	-1.24%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0234	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.7988	-1.75%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0552	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.8198	-2.00%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0199	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.121	-1.96%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0378	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.9561	-1.91%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0001	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.9177	-2.04%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0174	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.0119	-2.07%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0214	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.8915	-2.32%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0060	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.3191	-2.35%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0556	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.9493	-2.74%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0411	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.8052	-1.70%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1117	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.2986	-1.76%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0469	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.5324	-2.02%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0023	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.735	-2.34%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0136	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.238	-2.58%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0537	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.2153	-2.92%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0631	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.7616	-3.18%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0659	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.5679	-2.81%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0095	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.0425	-2.95%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1405	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.7068	-2.85%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3379	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.7415	-2.49%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0664	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.6996	-2.81%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0231	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.6206	-3.17%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0208	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.5012	-3.92%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.1018	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.4102	-4.37%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0124	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.2785	-5.07%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0631	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.3945	-6.07%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.1003	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.0915	-7.18%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0637	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.8606	-8.56%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.1353	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.9352	-8.53%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0895	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.3441	-4.68%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7390	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.2918	-6.58%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.1205	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.0264	-7.36%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.5985	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.8978	-3.00%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5429	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.8965	-2.97%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1174	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.7801	-6.04%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1636	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.6563	-9.05%	4.023	+0.07%	0.1010	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.5662	-8.80%	4.02	-34.14%	0.2605	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.1921	-1.45%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9418	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.4264	-1.74%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0460	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.3584	-2.11%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0066	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	39.7149	-2.42%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0682	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	26.8187	-2.48%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.4015	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.41	-3.10%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3662	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	37.4769	-3.60%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0876	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	38.6557	-4.70%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	48.9381	-6.65%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.1965	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	29.6451	-3.23%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5865	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	29.7306	-3.37%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	29.565	-3.74%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.4361	-3.64%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.0123	-5.22%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.1292	-4.66%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	28.781	-5.87%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0626	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	28.4453	-7.16%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.5445	-12.00%	30.638	+493.30%	1.9154	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.077	-2.01%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7623	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.9253	-2.64%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.9399	-3.13%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0322	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.5268	-4.12%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.2037	-5.40%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	29.3346	-5.05%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0508	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.