MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

72.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1515

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0371

actual -0.0627

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.08135	0.077632	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-21	oos	0.08115	0.077852	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.076864	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.07613	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.074368	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.075893	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.078658	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.076543	-0.79%	0.08135	+5.44%	0.0395	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.081338	-1.47%	0.08115	-1.70%	0.0282	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.078694	-0.95%	0.07935	-0.13%	0.0102	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080277	-0.71%	0.07795	-3.59%	0.0306	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.091917	-3.80%	0.07555	-20.93%	0.1807	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.092858	-3.52%	0.07685	-20.16%	0.1751	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.090721	-2.71%	0.07985	-14.37%	0.1182	✓	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.089264	-1.96%	0.07715	-15.27%	0.1496	✓	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.09212	-3.08%	0.08255	-13.15%	0.0951	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.099742	-5.32%	0.07945	-24.58%	0.2117	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.099466	-5.50%	0.08085	-23.18%	0.1807	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.102075	-6.05%	0.09555	-12.06%	0.0478	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.104475	-5.84%	0.09625	-13.25%	0.0601	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.101319	-5.66%	0.09325	-13.18%	0.0595	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.118808	-6.93%	0.09105	-28.67%	0.2282	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.127362	-7.10%	0.09505	-30.67%	0.2893	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.130165	-7.45%	0.10535	-25.10%	0.2340	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.143005	-9.40%	0.10525	-33.32%	0.3336	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.114504	-7.13%	0.10865	-11.88%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.123503	-8.14%	0.11095	-17.48%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.110508	-6.63%	0.1074	-9.25%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.108169	-6.10%	0.12765	+10.81%	0.1601	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.125782	-7.78%	0.1371	+0.51%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.12813	-9.54%	0.14065	-0.71%	0.1234	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.097772	-4.10%	0.15785	+54.83%	0.5159	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.092457	+0.22%	0.1233	+33.66%	0.2480	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.098613	-0.44%	0.13445	+35.74%	0.2716	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.11067	-2.19%	0.11835	+4.60%	0.0281	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.114929	-1.94%	0.1152	-1.71%	0.0977	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.094636	+2.87%	0.1364	+48.26%	0.2629	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.090004	+3.99%	0.14165	+63.66%	0.3221	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.095291	+3.97%	0.10195	+11.24%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.100885	+3.31%	0.09225	-5.53%	0.1447	✗	1.00