MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0731

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0105

actual -0.0078

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07975	0.079165	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.078746	-0.76%	0.07975	+0.50%	0.0151	✗	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.077308	-0.82%	0.07935	+1.80%	0.0153	✗	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.074987	-0.75%	0.07795	+3.18%	0.0404	✗	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.076244	-0.79%	0.07555	-1.69%	0.0154	✓	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.079156	-0.87%	0.07685	-3.76%	0.0284	✓	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.076624	-0.68%	0.07985	+3.50%	0.0477	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.081847	-0.85%	0.07715	-6.54%	0.0650	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.07899	-0.58%	0.08255	+3.90%	0.0624	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080402	-0.55%	0.07945	-1.73%	0.0283	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.094576	-1.02%	0.08085	-15.38%	0.1390	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.095219	-1.07%	0.09555	-0.73%	0.0035	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.092468	-0.84%	0.09625	+3.22%	0.0368	✗	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.090541	-0.56%	0.09325	+2.42%	0.0221	✗	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.094224	-0.87%	0.09105	-4.21%	0.0208	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.103786	-1.48%	0.09505	-9.78%	0.0733	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.10393	-1.25%	0.10535	+0.10%	0.0149	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.107429	-1.12%	0.10525	-3.13%	0.0157	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.109547	-1.26%	0.10865	-2.07%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.106218	-1.10%	0.11095	+3.31%	0.0408	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.125944	-1.34%	0.1074	-15.86%	0.1552	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.135083	-1.47%	0.12765	-6.89%	0.0719	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.138608	-1.45%	0.1371	-2.52%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.154978	-1.82%	0.14065	-10.90%	0.0992	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.122059	-1.01%	0.15785	+28.02%	0.2691	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.132899	-1.15%	0.1233	-8.29%	0.0755	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.11718	-0.99%	0.13445	+13.60%	0.1336	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.114047	-1.00%	0.11835	+2.73%	0.0405	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.133888	-1.84%	0.1152	-15.54%	0.1504	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.137062	-3.24%	0.1364	-3.71%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.100391	-1.53%	0.14165	+38.94%	0.3489	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.091034	-1.32%	0.10195	+10.51%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.097356	-1.71%	0.09225	-6.87%	0.0530	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.110481	-2.36%	0.09905	-12.46%	0.1136	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.115944	-1.07%	0.11315	-3.46%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.092044	+0.05%	0.1172	+27.39%	0.2389	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.086995	+0.51%	0.092	+6.30%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.0917	+0.05%	0.08655	-5.56%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.097974	+0.33%	0.09165	-6.14%	0.0845	✗	1.00