INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s2

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0994

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0020

actual -0.0065

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.123601	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.124054	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.120938	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.123219	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.121584	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.122975	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.138092	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.124278	-1.95%	0.12675	+0.00%	0.0120	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.121848	-1.66%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0441	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.118697	-1.70%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0402	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.11641	-1.10%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.0918	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.116199	-1.36%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.0782	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.108807	-0.81%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1515	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.113136	-1.23%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2200	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.11621	-0.68%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1000	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.112454	-0.31%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1164	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.117698	-0.84%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0574	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.115708	-1.65%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0398	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.111096	-1.55%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.0733	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.107969	-1.98%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0316	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.102322	-2.60%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1386	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.100849	-2.75%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1508	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.099831	-3.03%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1072	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.088003	-1.89%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.2800	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.088795	-1.01%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2642	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.093679	-0.55%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.1834	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.099551	-0.30%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.0977	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.099909	+0.01%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0462	✓	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.08916	+0.52%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.1583	✓	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.091198	+1.11%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1437	✓	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.083713	+1.29%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.0999	✓	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073967	+0.50%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1647	✓	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.076081	+0.37%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.1862	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.076385	+0.37%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2398	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.075604	-0.52%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2002	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.068373	+0.11%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.1809	✓	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.06725	+0.07%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.1939	✓	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.069637	-0.09%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.0953	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.064989	+0.37%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.0857	✓	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.069717	-0.48%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0497	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.069869	-0.47%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0540	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069657	-0.63%	0.076	+8.42%	0.0888	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.06635	+0.45%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0489	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.06642	+0.79%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0399	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.068156	+1.12%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0313	✓	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.06865	+1.63%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0239	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.068737	+1.53%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0436	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.06474	+2.11%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1044	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.063482	+2.64%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1458	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.062411	+1.90%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0461	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.060436	+1.83%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0749	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059975	+2.00%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1113	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055656	+2.50%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1633	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.058403	+2.37%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1298	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.055021	+2.65%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1213	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.056402	+3.21%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0813	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.056114	+2.58%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.1073	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.054832	+2.11%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.0923	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.05522	+1.41%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0680	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.057048	+0.44%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0485	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055488	+0.07%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.057703	-0.08%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0676	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054875	+0.05%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.1014	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.053424	+0.14%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.1187	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.050218	-1.82%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1572	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.050366	-1.92%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1581	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050244	-1.29%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.1286	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.050785	-1.39%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1494	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.050677	-1.02%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.1264	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.05117	-0.83%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0975	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.05098	-0.43%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0624	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.052125	-0.53%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0399	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.052339	-0.40%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0295	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.053235	-0.87%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0080	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.052416	-1.29%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0170	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.050419	-1.33%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0489	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.050216	-1.25%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0422	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.049655	-1.96%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0517	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.048562	-1.70%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.0847	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.049117	-1.37%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.0599	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.04929	-1.62%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.0627	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.050487	-1.78%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0132	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.048278	-2.17%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0210	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.048373	-0.06%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.0581	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.048006	-0.19%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0412	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.049332	-0.04%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0022	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050717	-0.36%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0142	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.054129	-0.50%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0463	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.05492	-0.87%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0398	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.054452	-1.18%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0766	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.05502	-1.40%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.1226	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055041	-1.01%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0984	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054868	-0.51%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0619	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053576	-0.78%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0267	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052258	-0.18%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0298	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.05281	+0.21%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0561	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052588	+0.07%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0434	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.053162	+0.31%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0274	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054908	+0.75%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0099	✗	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.055447	+1.09%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0304	✗	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.05371	+0.58%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0461	✗	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.055903	+1.27%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0819	✗	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.057149	+1.60%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0984	✗	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.057957	+1.77%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0938	✗	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.056435	+1.68%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0733	✗	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.055517	+1.49%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0627	✗	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.056036	+1.88%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0507	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.058326	+1.70%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0575	✗	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.058878	+1.51%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0670	✗	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.059148	+1.28%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0612	✗	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.058991	+1.19%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0600	✗	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.057669	+1.00%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0647	✗	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.057172	-0.40%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0812	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052116	-0.54%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0185	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.054051	+0.94%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0021	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.05265	+1.15%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0374	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.053239	+1.41%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0474	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.055624	+0.86%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0107	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.05251	+1.47%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0582	✓	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.054162	+1.43%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0735	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.059577	+0.64%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0736	✗	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.058856	+0.61%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0451	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.056233	+0.96%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0290	✗	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.057391	+0.78%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0332	✗	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.058285	+0.75%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0097	✗	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.060043	+0.66%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.1057	✗	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.060044	+0.41%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0712	✗	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.06037	+0.12%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0200	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058737	+0.06%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0284	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.059636	-0.11%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0338	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058846	-0.01%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0300	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.060082	-0.28%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0370	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057869	-0.23%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0399	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054689	+0.35%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0495	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056752	-0.35%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0092	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057439	-1.14%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0201	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053679	-0.96%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0742	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052399	-1.50%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0676	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.053868	-2.77%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0775	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.056056	-4.34%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0373	✓	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.06128	-5.72%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.0874	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.06185	-3.21%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0249	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.070797	-1.67%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1440	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.072808	-1.61%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2328	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.068122	-0.84%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1553	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.063143	+0.55%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0407	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063684	+0.77%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0152	✗	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.067588	+0.65%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0293	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.077706	-0.06%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1465	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.081688	-0.02%	0.072	-11.87%	0.1002	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081475	+0.22%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0810	✗	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.083083	+0.10%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1758	✗	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.081114	+0.27%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2455	✗	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.08629	+0.34%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2932	✗	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.085379	+0.45%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.2261	✗	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.083778	+0.88%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0706	✗	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.085147	+1.00%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0428	✗	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.085422	+1.39%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0471	✗	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.08624	+1.16%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0303	✗	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.088585	+0.15%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0790	✗	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.092775	-2.29%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0664	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.096389	-1.34%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1212	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.101989	-2.12%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1974	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.101065	-0.92%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1735	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.10494	-0.25%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.2117	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.109622	-1.06%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2464	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.101746	-0.64%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1381	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.108251	-1.55%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1328	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.099172	-0.68%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0048	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.090778	+0.20%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1410	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.090211	+0.23%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1085	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088798	-0.23%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1412	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.089308	+0.23%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2004	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090762	+0.29%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1051	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.090903	+0.00%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1542	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.090674	-0.25%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0419	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.094474	-0.19%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0877	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.091535	+1.31%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0420	✗	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.09199	+1.42%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0319	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.090518	+1.42%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0262	✗	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.093064	+0.23%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0357	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.085731	+0.74%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.0787	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.08844	-0.07%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0527	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.08887	-1.15%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0633	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.092894	-1.86%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0436	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.08655	-2.09%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0049	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.092517	-1.68%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0562	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.090221	-0.20%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0249	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.085817	-1.25%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0414	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.082719	-0.88%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0319	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.079738	-0.45%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.0969	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.079622	-0.10%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1577	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.076444	-0.07%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1099	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.082173	-0.52%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1065	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.083212	-0.58%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0385	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.080007	-0.24%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0458	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.081683	-0.45%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0202	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.08145	-0.55%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0419	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.084362	-0.81%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.1237	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.079206	-0.62%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0562	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.08131	-0.72%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0555	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.081814	-0.83%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0518	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.079794	-0.69%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0561	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.07825	-0.38%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0099	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075325	-0.10%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0373	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.076697	-0.39%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.0755	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.077649	-0.58%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0144	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.078999	-0.63%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0231	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.07658	-0.42%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0664	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.082563	-1.00%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.08184	-0.20%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0005	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.083813	-1.16%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0762	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.08006	-0.79%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0146	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.075396	-1.70%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0602	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.075593	-1.83%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0844	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.078147	-1.82%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0372	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.080254	-1.53%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0531	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.084834	-0.78%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0347	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.093308	+0.55%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0538	✗	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.091002	+1.23%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0705	✗	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.092553	+0.60%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.1224	✗	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.091156	-0.38%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1379	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.084303	-0.23%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0515	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.08886	-0.83%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0782	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.088585	-1.02%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0493	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.08358	-0.97%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0528	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.080116	-1.46%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0308	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.079475	-2.00%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0513	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.08315	-1.71%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0407	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.085904	-1.37%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0546	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.081428	+0.53%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1006	✓	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.079552	+0.83%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1525	✓	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.083425	-0.33%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0143	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.080408	+0.13%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0174	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.075004	-0.53%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0749	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.079501	-0.19%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0574	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.080483	-0.64%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0422	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.081742	+0.05%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0632	✗	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.081914	+0.20%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.1111	✗	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.081176	-0.88%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0452	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.084893	-0.71%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1292	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.089763	+0.01%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1420	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.09407	-0.19%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1494	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.09979	-0.76%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1718	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.099601	-1.43%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.2071	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.09945	-2.31%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2240	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.10854	-4.29%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2255	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.118876	-6.62%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2623	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.10297	-5.70%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.1193	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.070802	+0.07%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3156	✓	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.069455	+0.30%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.3835	✓	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.071649	+0.77%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3305	✓	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.071213	+0.73%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3677	✓	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.066328	+0.88%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5592	✓	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066625	+0.11%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6683	✓	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.06777	-0.12%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5022	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070525	-0.39%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0061	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.068792	-1.02%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0359	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.063704	+4.18%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0460	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.070924	-1.63%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.1104	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.07678	-1.69%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0315	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.08051	-0.91%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0396	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.081106	-1.21%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0594	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.086342	-1.21%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0251	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.105436	-1.65%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.2093	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.088022	-0.54%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0110	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.096035	-1.50%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0599	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.090862	-1.24%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0396	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.088662	-1.05%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0456	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.089189	-1.23%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0561	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.087579	-2.15%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1484	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.080048	-1.66%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3668	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.078527	-2.45%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1882	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.078267	-3.14%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2225	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.077412	-2.13%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1615	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.082086	-3.66%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1454	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.088893	-5.23%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.1111	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.08848	-4.35%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0914	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.092329	-3.72%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0459	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.091656	-3.62%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0484	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.090299	-2.48%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0095	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.087162	-3.37%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0013	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.080422	-1.80%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0399	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.08478	-2.21%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0645	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.087109	-2.13%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0033	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.089749	-1.70%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0040	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.090966	-1.12%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0215	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.09214	-0.60%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.1125	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.096439	+0.04%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.1014	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097926	+0.13%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.1218	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.097738	-0.47%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.1061	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.096122	-0.50%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0720	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.093983	-0.34%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0414	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.090022	-0.09%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0291	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.087263	+0.07%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0232	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.089338	+0.15%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0404	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.089224	-0.08%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0555	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.088295	+0.22%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0266	✓	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.093017	-0.30%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0233	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.102016	-1.53%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.1380	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090492	-0.45%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0393	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.084032	+0.40%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0395	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.083778	+0.45%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0410	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.084636	+0.40%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.0862	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.084072	+0.44%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0639	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.087144	+0.05%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.0800	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.084724	+0.15%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2193	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.079454	+3.32%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.0955	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.083968	+2.90%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0349	✗	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.08717	+1.12%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0346	✗	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.086286	+3.83%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0716	✗	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.086329	+1.68%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0415	✗	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088209	-1.00%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0305	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086577	+0.09%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0258	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089613	-1.09%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0064	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093345	-0.38%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0029	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097894	-0.51%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0195	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.094774	+0.93%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0360	✗	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.091732	+1.36%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0277	✗	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.099922	+0.73%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1371	✗	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.101109	+0.71%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1773	✗	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.103122	+0.31%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1396	✗	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.102688	+0.28%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0596	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.104523	+0.50%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0924	✗	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.102572	+0.76%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.2006	✗	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.116401	+0.22%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2525	✗	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.11483	+0.11%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.1076	✗	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.116841	-0.14%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.1130	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.121396	-0.45%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1852	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.11074	+0.04%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1488	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107839	+0.18%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1352	✗	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107859	+0.15%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0072	✗	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106712	-0.08%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0059	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104127	-0.45%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0663	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.108947	-1.72%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0826	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.12403	-3.67%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1392	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.118716	-0.57%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0415	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.118496	-0.21%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0666	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.1184	-0.34%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0172	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.119738	-0.47%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1014	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.122611	-2.11%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1611	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.118736	-1.50%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2096	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.122066	-1.60%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4507	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.125649	-0.67%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2500	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123825	+0.39%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2550	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.133383	+0.67%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.2895	✓	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.132142	+0.26%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2144	✓	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.12954	-1.15%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1679	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.132921	-0.10%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1609	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.119004	+2.11%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.0892	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.124209	+4.20%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.0809	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.120306	+3.80%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0185	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.127016	+3.81%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.0588	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.140394	+1.96%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1022	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.139319	+1.99%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1628	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.137554	+2.16%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1488	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.139949	+2.12%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0251	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.157436	+1.60%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.1000	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.161918	+1.87%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0023	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.16604	+2.12%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0927	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.177344	+1.89%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1422	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.173394	+1.82%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1924	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.175299	+1.77%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.2211	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.169684	+2.00%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1612	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.16314	+2.15%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.1228	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.171406	+2.30%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.2061	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.184704	+2.19%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.2266	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.184995	+2.29%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.2251	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.17947	+2.44%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1795	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.178179	+2.90%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1643	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.183929	+3.71%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1552	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.194064	+5.16%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.1018	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.206047	+5.05%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0725	✗	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.219405	+4.30%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0627	✗	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.205643	+6.25%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.0499	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.186907	+7.29%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.0371	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.205965	+6.00%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0106	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.310816	+0.93%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2892	✗	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.325617	+1.09%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.3232	✗	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.316175	+1.21%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2856	✗	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.339226	+0.07%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2661	✗	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.320454	+0.02%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.3156	✗	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.323794	-0.49%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3487	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.332824	-1.11%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3233	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.335809	-1.84%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.1113	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.318465	-1.68%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0950	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.308189	-0.89%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1634	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.309115	-0.96%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1657	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.316246	-1.19%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2818	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.305812	-0.69%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2781	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.309559	-0.99%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2525	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.297479	-0.49%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1713	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.314857	-3.00%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1166	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.308904	-2.74%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0511	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.315464	-3.16%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0553	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.348372	-3.71%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0012	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.356408	-3.33%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0183	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.360394	-3.08%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0205	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.384718	-2.96%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0343	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.366311	-1.50%	0.3246	-12.72%	0.0371	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.