INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s2

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

66.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2044

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0367

actual -0.0121

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.117593	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.117352	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.116807	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.113832	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.115725	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.113908	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.115131	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.127519	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.115356	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.11313	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.109747	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.107643	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.107005	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.100317	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.103836	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.106039	-9.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.103374	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.108126	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.107337	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.102459	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.099768	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.095555	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.093864	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.092348	-10.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.081704	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.082112	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.086058	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.090435	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.090027	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.081253	-8.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.082783	-8.22%	0.12835	+42.29%	0.4559	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.076782	-7.10%	0.1274	+54.14%	0.5315	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.069148	-6.05%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5942	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.070931	-6.42%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5505	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.071219	-6.41%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5609	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.069854	-8.09%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.5254	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.064377	-5.74%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.6158	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.063456	-5.57%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7387	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.065706	-5.73%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.6255	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.062039	-4.19%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6364	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.066063	-5.69%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5649	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.06634	-5.50%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.5188	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.065925	-5.96%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.5271	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.063562	-3.77%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.5075	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.063604	-3.48%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5576	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.064988	-3.58%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5488	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.065776	-2.63%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4912	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.066074	-2.40%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.5318	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.062749	-1.03%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5673	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062457	+0.98%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5590	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.06057	-1.11%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.5228	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059341	-0.02%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4917	✗	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059676	+1.49%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.5025	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.05521	+1.68%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.5565	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057999	+1.66%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3787	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.054622	+1.91%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.4246	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.0568	+3.93%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4609	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.056195	+2.73%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.5190	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.055319	+3.01%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.5256	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.056515	+3.79%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3865	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.058271	+2.59%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.3329	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.056573	+2.03%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.2621	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.059926	+3.77%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.1703	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054385	-0.85%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.2225	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.05188	-2.76%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.2158	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049042	-4.12%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2463	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049131	-4.32%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1360	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048409	-4.89%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.1098	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.048819	-5.21%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.1018	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.048434	-5.40%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0564	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.048616	-5.78%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1312	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.048201	-5.86%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1368	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.049149	-6.20%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1370	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.049407	-5.98%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0490	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.050274	-6.38%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0477	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.049433	-6.91%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.0784	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.04788	-6.30%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.1054	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.047518	-6.55%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.1068	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.047424	-6.37%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0533	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.046216	-6.44%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0389	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.046592	-6.44%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0575	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.046923	-6.34%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0185	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.047915	-6.78%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0440	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.046272	-6.24%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0744	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.045699	-5.58%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0032	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.045574	-5.25%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0608	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.046709	-5.35%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.1018	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.048001	-5.70%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.1152	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.051142	-5.99%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1510	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.052042	-6.06%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.1807	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.051971	-5.68%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.1235	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.052799	-5.38%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1368	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.052966	-4.74%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.0968	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.052801	-4.26%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0624	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.051395	-4.82%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0260	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.049963	-4.56%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0235	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.050261	-4.63%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0267	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.05009	-4.68%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0342	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.050564	-4.60%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0309	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.05222	-4.18%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0094	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.052904	-3.55%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0012	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.05123	-4.06%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0209	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.053174	-3.67%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0110	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.05429	-3.48%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0349	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.055017	-3.39%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0368	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.053686	-3.27%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0412	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.053168	-2.80%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.0869	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.053735	-2.30%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0719	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.056147	-2.10%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.1135	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.056884	-1.92%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1485	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057062	-2.29%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1422	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.05701	-2.21%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1444	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.055871	-2.15%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.1034	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.055795	-2.80%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1691	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051327	-2.05%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1512	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.05253	-1.90%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.1437	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051458	-1.14%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.1049	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052075	-0.81%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0764	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054667	-0.88%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0801	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051709	-0.08%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0044	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053388	-0.02%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0137	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058712	-0.82%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0812	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.058212	-0.49%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0725	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055685	-0.03%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0495	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056882	-0.12%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0644	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057662	-0.33%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.1119	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059294	-0.60%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1428	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059453	-0.58%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.1162	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.060058	-0.40%	0.053	-12.11%	0.1007	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058643	-0.10%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0516	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.059485	-0.36%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0712	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058811	-0.07%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0670	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.059935	-0.52%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0851	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057976	-0.04%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0331	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054984	+0.89%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0005	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056938	-0.02%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0455	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057661	-0.76%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0416	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.054244	+0.08%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0136	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053443	+0.46%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0277	✓	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055329	-0.13%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0120	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058021	-0.99%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0161	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.063226	-2.73%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0638	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.062019	-2.94%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0225	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.067427	-6.35%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0854	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.06817	-7.88%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1683	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.06384	-7.07%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0784	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.059675	-4.98%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0339	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.060227	-4.70%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0392	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.063361	-5.64%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0405	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.071677	-7.81%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2346	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.074809	-8.44%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2600	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074491	-8.37%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1605	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.075771	-8.71%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.1911	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.074151	-8.34%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2204	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.0783	-8.95%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2541	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.077549	-8.77%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2255	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.076256	-8.18%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.1791	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.078018	-7.45%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.1998	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.078498	-6.83%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.1930	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.080225	-5.89%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2425	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.083853	-5.20%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.2933	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.090155	-5.05%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.3777	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.092067	-5.77%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.3803	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.09737	-6.55%	0.058	-44.34%	0.4779	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.096593	-5.30%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5351	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.099756	-5.17%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5229	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.103189	-6.87%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5357	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.097065	-5.21%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5508	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.102393	-6.87%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6195	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.095457	-4.40%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4343	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.08774	-3.16%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.2641	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.08673	-3.63%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1526	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.085329	-4.12%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.1868	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.0858	-3.70%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1147	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.087293	-3.54%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1264	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.086998	-4.29%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2104	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.086957	-4.34%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.3013	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.0901	-4.81%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3252	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.086958	-3.75%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2266	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.08788	-3.11%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.0931	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.086307	-3.30%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0508	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.089068	-4.07%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.0863	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.083002	-2.46%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0166	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.085787	-3.07%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0302	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.086324	-3.98%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0163	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.089934	-4.98%	0.085	-10.20%	0.0734	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.084224	-4.72%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0459	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.089228	-5.18%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0696	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.086648	-4.15%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0313	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.083098	-4.38%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0056	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.079759	-4.42%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0590	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.076911	-3.98%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1395	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.076684	-3.78%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.1916	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.073167	-4.36%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2460	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.078359	-5.13%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1728	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.079309	-5.25%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.1862	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.076475	-4.64%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.2771	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.078125	-4.78%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.1730	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.078007	-4.75%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2567	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.080196	-5.71%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.0755	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.075982	-4.66%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0400	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.077758	-5.06%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0013	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.078103	-5.33%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0074	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.076137	-5.24%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0168	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.07461	-5.02%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.0715	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.072143	-4.32%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1325	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.073399	-4.68%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.1005	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.074197	-5.00%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1128	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.075265	-5.33%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0450	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.073178	-4.84%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.0631	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.078265	-6.16%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0269	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.077457	-5.54%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.1079	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.079145	-6.67%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0201	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.07584	-6.02%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0667	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.072229	-5.83%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.1144	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.072248	-6.17%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1849	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.0746	-6.28%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1292	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.076674	-5.92%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1340	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.08044	-5.92%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0453	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.087293	-5.93%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0191	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.085304	-5.11%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0214	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.086837	-5.61%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.0977	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.085786	-6.25%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1147	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.08001	-5.31%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0424	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.083859	-6.41%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0486	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.08376	-6.41%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0377	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.079249	-6.10%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0124	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.076384	-6.05%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0359	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.076137	-6.12%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.078927	-6.71%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0523	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.080456	-7.63%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0217	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.07644	-5.63%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.1204	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.075354	-4.49%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1726	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.078406	-6.32%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0480	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.075555	-5.91%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0503	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.071218	-5.55%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0186	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.075008	-5.83%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0300	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.076026	-6.14%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0253	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.076871	-5.91%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0529	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.076928	-5.90%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0266	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.077009	-5.97%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0036	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.080724	-5.59%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0990	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.084521	-5.83%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0460	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.088073	-6.55%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1363	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.092747	-7.76%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.1876	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.092936	-8.03%	0.077	-23.80%	0.2214	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.093565	-8.09%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2329	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.102128	-9.94%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2644	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.110944	-12.85%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2967	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.097352	-10.85%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.1236	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069668	-1.53%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.1765	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068436	-1.18%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2327	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.06985	-1.76%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.1853	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069254	-2.05%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1343	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.065207	-0.83%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.2888	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.065945	-0.91%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3037	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067274	-0.85%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2321	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.069618	-1.67%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.1692	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.068317	-1.70%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2510	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.061016	-0.22%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2439	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.070708	-1.93%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.3008	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.075844	-2.89%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1505	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.078304	-3.63%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1111	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.079147	-3.60%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2120	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.083838	-4.08%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1384	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.098301	-8.30%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0246	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.084524	-4.49%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2173	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.091539	-6.11%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2211	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.087215	-5.20%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2589	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.085181	-4.93%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2603	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.084889	-5.99%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3173	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.083969	-6.18%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.4057	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.077156	-5.21%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.4900	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.076162	-5.39%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5446	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.076157	-5.75%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.6099	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.074878	-5.34%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6377	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.080612	-5.38%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6356	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.087828	-6.37%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6537	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.087114	-5.82%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7737	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.090913	-5.20%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5860	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.089874	-5.50%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1475	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.087959	-5.01%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.1882	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.085413	-5.31%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2705	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.077791	-5.02%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.2725	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.081841	-5.60%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1216	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.084339	-5.24%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.0784	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.086707	-5.03%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.0865	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.087299	-5.11%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1593	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.088073	-4.99%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2655	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.091772	-4.80%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3795	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.092855	-5.06%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2410	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.09281	-5.49%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.2092	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.091138	-5.65%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1706	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.089049	-5.57%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2341	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.085521	-5.08%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2627	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.083028	-4.78%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3335	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.084737	-5.00%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1329	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.084643	-5.22%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.0955	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.084105	-4.53%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0620	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.088813	-4.81%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0010	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.09652	-6.83%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0499	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.086369	-4.99%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0069	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.080704	-3.58%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0331	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.080449	-3.54%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0447	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.081302	-3.56%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0242	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.080953	-3.28%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0158	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.083973	-3.59%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0795	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.081715	-3.41%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0158	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.075563	-1.74%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0083	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079509	-2.56%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0143	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.083546	-3.08%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0375	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081395	-2.05%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0982	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.08331	-1.87%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0773	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.086809	-2.57%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0787	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.084949	-1.79%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0073	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089711	-0.98%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0395	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092661	-1.11%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0187	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097176	-1.24%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0183	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.093565	-0.36%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0230	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.09067	+0.19%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0105	✗	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.098248	-0.96%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.1072	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.099798	-0.60%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0648	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101767	-1.00%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0181	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.101795	-0.59%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0033	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103777	-0.21%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0805	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101927	+0.12%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1878	✗	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.115356	-0.68%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.2075	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.113983	-0.63%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1507	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.116123	-0.75%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.2005	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.120686	-1.04%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1699	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.11052	-0.16%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0128	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107817	+0.15%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1668	✗	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107976	+0.26%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.2380	✗	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.107484	+0.64%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2698	✗	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.105774	+1.12%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.3310	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.111776	+0.84%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3847	✗	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.127081	-1.30%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.4243	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.119211	-0.16%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.2453	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.118688	-0.05%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.2148	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.119185	+0.32%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.2048	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.120571	+0.23%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.1515	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.124659	-0.47%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.1393	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.120498	-0.04%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1666	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.123538	-0.41%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0482	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.125629	-0.69%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0350	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.12307	-0.23%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0022	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.131158	-1.01%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.0710	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.130458	-1.02%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.0728	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.130016	-0.79%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0315	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.13199	-0.80%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0103	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.117749	+1.03%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.1897	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.120531	+1.12%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.2521	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.117864	+1.69%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.1429	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.123914	+1.28%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.2077	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.138564	+0.63%	0.104	-24.47%	0.2951	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.138341	+1.27%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.4380	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.13667	+1.50%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.4322	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.139746	+1.97%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.3491	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.156715	+1.14%	0.117	-24.49%	0.2982	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.161464	+1.58%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.3790	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.164864	+1.39%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3241	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.175197	+0.66%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.3566	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.171311	+0.59%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.2799	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.173677	+0.83%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.2948	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.168737	+1.43%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.3533	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.163409	+2.32%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.3563	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.17056	+1.80%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.4338	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.182839	+1.16%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.1741	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.182981	+1.18%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.0563	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.178114	+1.66%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.0687	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.176233	+1.78%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0021	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.179565	+1.25%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0274	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.185545	+0.54%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.0714	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.19585	-0.15%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0564	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.20758	-1.32%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.0993	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.19266	-0.46%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.1003	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.175592	+0.80%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.1438	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.192998	-0.67%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.1453	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.29271	-4.95%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4020	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.305062	-5.29%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4249	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.295066	-5.55%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4401	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.318844	-5.95%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.4921	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.303348	-5.32%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4390	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.308243	-5.27%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5480	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.319954	-4.93%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.5688	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.320735	-6.25%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6027	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.303734	-6.23%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.5941	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.293063	-5.75%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6127	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.294667	-5.59%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5278	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.299998	-6.27%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6545	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.291158	-5.45%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.7042	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.29755	-4.83%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6698	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.286421	-4.19%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.5933	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.306796	-5.48%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5122	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.301886	-4.95%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5415	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.308951	-5.16%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5146	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.33931	-6.22%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5148	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.346013	-6.15%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5095	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.348299	-6.33%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4642	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.36616	-7.64%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4677	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.