HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s2

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2627

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0201

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007109	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007127	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006962	+0.39%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006993	+1.19%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007498	+0.29%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008389	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008791	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.00857	-0.54%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2562	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008945	-0.99%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.3204	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008754	-1.07%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2260	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008695	-0.35%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2336	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008969	-1.70%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1105	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010618	-3.38%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1621	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009747	-2.59%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0462	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008461	-0.31%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0004	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.01048	-3.46%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0774	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011561	-4.90%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1681	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011292	-5.07%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0927	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.012919	-6.16%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2344	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.013858	-6.34%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1561	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012342	-5.76%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1280	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.013845	-7.12%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3584	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011222	-5.02%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0219	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012032	-6.12%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0654	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010339	-4.07%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0483	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011053	-5.27%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1384	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013287	-7.12%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0947	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012576	-7.21%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0241	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009642	-3.12%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4165	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008913	-1.01%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3164	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009194	-2.87%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4411	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011657	-6.17%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0513	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010608	-2.41%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0501	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011451	-3.14%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0830	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015095	-6.96%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2484	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011862	-1.08%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.5026	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012733	-1.99%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6814	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011506	+0.79%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6217	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.010104	+4.32%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1951	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008672	+8.35%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0152	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010602	+5.53%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0773	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012434	+3.11%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.0958	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.011026	+5.85%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.0864	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.010282	+7.10%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.2617	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012537	+4.25%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0565	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.013182	+3.05%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2965	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015692	+0.10%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6282	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.02216	-3.12%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7583	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018105	-1.45%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3749	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023791	-3.08%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7660	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018722	-2.18%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6805	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020499	-2.45%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5468	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.02449	-3.06%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6562	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025694	-4.81%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5280	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021217	-4.29%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0550	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014133	-1.05%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2390	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016622	-0.24%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3776	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022225	-2.73%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1276	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019285	-2.16%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1003	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018508	-2.16%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3164	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015818	-2.05%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5353	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013553	-1.21%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4768	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013228	-0.76%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0830	✗	1.00