HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s2
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
97.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3827
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0859
actual -0.4630
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.006718 | -7.01% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.006796 | -5.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006639 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006649 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007106 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007841 | -7.18% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008153 | -8.32% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007937 | -7.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.00831 | -8.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008113 | -8.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008092 | -7.25% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008376 | -8.20% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.009925 | -9.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009095 | -9.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007846 | -7.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009704 | -10.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.010614 | -12.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.0103 | -13.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.011692 | -15.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.012574 | -15.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.011112 | -15.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.012492 | -16.20% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010064 | -14.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.010793 | -15.79% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.009214 | -14.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.009763 | -16.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.01171 | -18.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.011115 | -18.00% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008509 | -14.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.007841 | -12.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008032 | -15.14% | 0.007225 | -23.67% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.010146 | -18.33% | 0.007181 | -42.20% | 0.2398 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009307 | -14.38% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3732 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.009984 | -15.55% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.3948 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.013362 | -17.64% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6307 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010422 | -13.09% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4186 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011189 | -13.88% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4514 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010116 | -11.38% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4297 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008816 | -8.98% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1423 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007569 | -5.43% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1448 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009324 | -7.19% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2757 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.010993 | -8.84% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4817 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009718 | -6.71% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009021 | -6.03% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0507 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011193 | -6.93% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.01192 | -6.82% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014608 | -6.82% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021088 | -7.81% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017133 | -6.75% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022864 | -6.85% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017652 | -7.77% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3875 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019356 | -7.89% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3531 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023269 | -7.89% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7394 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024529 | -9.13% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020613 | -7.01% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7131 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.01352 | -5.34% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2290 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.01621 | -2.71% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021804 | -4.58% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018909 | -4.07% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018404 | -2.71% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7810 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015716 | -2.69% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.01345 | -1.96% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1961 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.01336 | +0.24% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2419 | ✗ | 1.00 |