HAJIMI

? · · gru_s2

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1907

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0194

actual +0.0390

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020275	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020443	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019652	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019097	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019907	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021404	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021439	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021917	+0.26%	0.020435	-6.52%	0.0837	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024947	-0.59%	0.020605	-17.89%	0.1895	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025733	-0.53%	0.01981	-23.42%	0.2626	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027741	-1.17%	0.01918	-31.67%	0.3526	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028348	-1.41%	0.02	-30.45%	0.3335	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.02788	-1.24%	0.02154	-23.70%	0.2477	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.02771	-1.21%	0.02146	-23.49%	0.2598	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027711	-1.31%	0.02186	-22.15%	0.2194	✓	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027355	-1.60%	0.025095	-9.73%	0.0570	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025506	-0.42%	0.02587	+1.00%	0.0620	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028421	-2.37%	0.02807	-3.57%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.029874	-2.01%	0.028755	-5.67%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030077	-2.14%	0.02823	-8.15%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032229	-2.51%	0.02805	-15.15%	0.1010	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030404	-1.84%	0.02808	-9.35%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033306	-1.55%	0.0278	-17.82%	0.2032	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.033975	-1.09%	0.025615	-25.43%	0.3095	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.034172	+0.12%	0.02911	-14.71%	0.1842	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.034798	+0.66%	0.030485	-11.82%	0.1362	✗	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.034612	+1.06%	0.030735	-10.26%	0.1237	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.034378	+1.65%	0.03306	-2.25%	0.0446	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.036087	+1.71%	0.030975	-12.70%	0.1430	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.040451	+1.51%	0.03383	-15.11%	0.1486	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.034633	+2.06%	0.03435	+1.22%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034408	-0.54%	0.03413	-1.34%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033064	-0.57%	0.03457	+3.95%	0.0061	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.03435	-1.29%	0.03425	-1.58%	0.0419	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.03311	-1.19%	0.03382	+0.93%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.03065	+0.07%	0.03548	+15.83%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033413	+0.10%	0.03985	+19.38%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013141	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012878	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012369	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012841	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012494	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013273	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012221	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.01274	-1.55%	0.013255	+2.43%	0.0751	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.011895	-1.04%	0.013	+8.15%	0.0716	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012406	-1.62%	0.01248	-1.03%	0.2020	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014381	-3.29%	0.013	-12.58%	0.2632	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013255	-3.39%	0.01264	-7.87%	0.1692	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.01357	-5.83%	0.01348	-6.45%	0.2217	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.01154	-5.72%	0.01236	+0.98%	0.0822	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.01255	-5.64%	0.01294	-2.71%	0.0456	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.012891	-5.90%	0.01202	-12.26%	0.0926	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013117	-4.47%	0.01261	-8.16%	0.2949	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.014804	-4.37%	0.01487	-3.94%	0.6695	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017045	-4.88%	0.01372	-23.44%	0.6026	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.015794	-4.57%	0.01441	-12.93%	0.9615	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013273	-2.90%	0.01224	-10.46%	0.9054	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.013869	-3.28%	0.0133	-7.25%	0.7161	✗	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.013709	-3.26%	0.0137	-3.32%	0.8077	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014122	-3.47%	0.01373	-6.15%	0.6953	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014331	-2.45%	0.01548	+5.38%	0.5453	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015134	-2.36%	0.01792	+15.61%	0.4349	✗	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016164	-2.75%	0.01655	-0.42%	0.2508	✗	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015539	-2.27%	0.01367	-14.03%	0.0408	✗	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017568	-2.67%	0.01434	-20.55%	0.1278	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017424	-2.61%	0.01417	-20.79%	0.0512	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017452	-2.94%	0.01463	-18.63%	0.0989	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019005	-4.01%	0.01469	-25.81%	0.2822	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.018616	-4.49%	0.0155	-20.47%	0.1776	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014605	-3.02%	0.01662	+10.36%	0.1481	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014184	-3.71%	0.0159	+7.94%	0.1610	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.016452	-6.52%	0.01805	+2.56%	0.1372	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011197	-2.21%	0.01789	+56.24%	0.4917	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.011725	-3.26%	0.01798	+48.35%	0.4749	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012177	-1.16%	0.0198	+60.71%	0.5465	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013898	-1.22%	0.01949	+38.52%	0.3982	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.01229	-1.13%	0.01506	+21.16%	0.2354	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.012932	-1.28%	0.01473	+12.44%	0.1444	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012649	-1.03%	0.0176	+37.72%	0.3170	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013647	-0.53%	0.01145	-16.55%	0.1488	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.013955	-1.31%	0.01212	-14.29%	0.1358	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014301	-2.72%	0.01232	-16.19%	0.1723	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.013826	-3.72%	0.01407	-2.02%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.01487	-4.80%	0.01243	-20.42%	0.2040	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013078	-2.91%	0.0131	-2.75%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.01311	-0.53%	0.01278	-3.03%	0.0728	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.01254	+0.64%	0.01372	+10.11%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012593	+0.99%	0.01414	+13.39%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013314	+0.40%	0.0147	+10.86%	0.0674	✓	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020866	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019428	+1.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016929	+2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.01706	+1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017861	+0.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019265	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016029	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016288	-2.99%	0.02087	+24.30%	0.2822	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.015601	+8.26%	0.01921	+33.31%	0.1319	✓	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019217	-2.30%	0.01657	-15.76%	0.0580	✓	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.020978	-0.39%	0.01683	-20.09%	0.1079	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024291	-0.37%	0.01782	-26.91%	0.1532	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.02531	-0.79%	0.01952	-23.48%	0.1318	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028126	-0.93%	0.0161	-43.29%	0.3836	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028727	-0.22%	0.01679	-41.68%	0.2710	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.038804	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.03982	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.040354	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.038345	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.040379	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.038086	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.034889	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.036884	-3.27%	0.04019	+5.40%	0.0430	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.034861	-2.38%	0.0415	+16.21%	0.1018	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.034823	-2.24%	0.04227	+18.67%	0.1176	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035486	-1.89%	0.04026	+11.31%	0.0569	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036057	-1.43%	0.04247	+16.10%	0.0783	✗	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040621	-0.71%	0.04033	-1.42%	0.0306	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042189	-0.80%	0.03617	-14.95%	0.1154	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041019	-2.15%	0.03813	-9.04%	0.0637	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035586	-2.08%	0.03571	-1.73%	0.0067	✓	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.03116	-1.55%	0.03562	+12.54%	0.1259	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027773	-0.88%	0.03617	+29.09%	0.2332	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028535	-1.33%	0.03658	+26.49%	0.1951	✗	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026909	-0.37%	0.04091	+51.46%	0.3440	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027762	-0.67%	0.04253	+52.16%	0.3274	✗	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028384	-0.48%	0.04192	+46.98%	0.3366	✗	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029891	-0.63%	0.03634	+20.81%	0.1537	✗	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030277	-0.67%	0.03165	+3.84%	0.0040	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032178	-0.90%	0.02802	-13.70%	0.1626	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.03212	-0.74%	0.02892	-10.63%	0.1032	✓	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.032052	-0.71%	0.02701	-16.33%	0.1862	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032984	-0.62%	0.02795	-15.79%	0.1434	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036543	-1.15%	0.02852	-22.86%	0.2361	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.03527	-1.29%	0.03008	-15.81%	0.1512	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032676	-1.25%	0.03048	-7.89%	0.0573	✓	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.030954	-1.77%	0.03247	+3.05%	0.0208	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031551	-2.17%	0.03236	+0.34%	0.0035	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027649	-1.67%	0.03228	+14.79%	0.1619	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.027597	-1.96%	0.03319	+17.90%	0.1480	✗	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026221	-2.12%	0.03697	+38.00%	0.3354	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028359	-2.78%	0.03573	+22.49%	0.2630	✗	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.028926	-3.03%	0.03309	+10.93%	0.1708	✗	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.028535	-3.11%	0.03151	+6.99%	0.2196	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.023878	-2.22%	0.03225	+32.06%	0.3954	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.023977	-2.06%	0.02812	+14.87%	0.2370	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023654	-1.81%	0.02815	+16.85%	0.2452	✗	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022135	-1.36%	0.02679	+19.39%	0.2276	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021307	-1.13%	0.02917	+35.36%	0.2980	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022421	-1.23%	0.02983	+31.41%	0.2702	✗	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022728	-1.23%	0.02945	+27.99%	0.2518	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024614	-1.43%	0.02442	-2.20%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025726	-1.55%	0.02448	-6.31%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.022968	-1.13%	0.02409	+3.70%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026308	-1.76%	0.02244	-16.21%	0.1594	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.025807	-1.87%	0.02155	-18.06%	0.1630	✓	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028048	-2.65%	0.0227	-21.21%	0.1943	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.02371	-2.14%	0.02301	-5.04%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024331	-2.56%	0.02497	+0.00%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022052	-2.60%	0.02613	+15.42%	0.1251	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021165	-2.51%	0.02323	+7.00%	0.1158	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.021868	-3.24%	0.02678	+18.50%	0.1624	✗	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.021773	-4.00%	0.0263	+15.96%	0.1189	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.02509	-6.31%	0.02881	+7.58%	0.0719	✗	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.01998	-4.50%	0.02423	+15.82%	0.1391	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019009	-2.22%	0.02497	+28.45%	0.2837	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.020938	-2.16%	0.02264	+5.79%	0.1402	✗	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.022512	-2.76%	0.02171	-6.22%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.029976	-4.87%	0.0226	-28.28%	0.2009	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.033829	-7.92%	0.02268	-38.27%	0.2792	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.025713	-6.26%	0.02678	-2.37%	0.1458	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021492	-2.26%	0.02092	-4.87%	0.1138	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.