HAJIMI

? · · gru_s2

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 519

Track record at +1d

assessed

169

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0696

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0030

actual +0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0216	0.021508	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-21	oos	0.0214	0.021339	-0.29%	0.0216	+0.93%	0.0097	✗	1.05
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020585	-0.10%	0.0214	+3.86%	0.0258	✗	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019836	+0.13%	0.020605	+4.01%	0.0252	✓	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019233	+0.28%	0.01981	+3.28%	0.0315	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.020056	+0.28%	0.01918	-4.10%	0.0522	✗	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021575	+0.16%	0.02	-7.15%	0.0744	✗	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021507	+0.22%	0.02154	+0.37%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021925	+0.30%	0.02146	-1.83%	0.0282	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.025075	-0.08%	0.02186	-12.89%	0.1211	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025867	-0.01%	0.025095	-3.00%	0.0449	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027967	-0.37%	0.02587	-7.84%	0.0588	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.02864	-0.40%	0.02807	-2.38%	0.0277	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.028156	-0.26%	0.028755	+1.86%	0.0175	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.02801	-0.14%	0.02823	+0.64%	0.0004	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.028018	-0.22%	0.02805	-0.11%	0.0176	✗	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027724	-0.27%	0.02808	+1.01%	0.0399	✗	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025656	+0.16%	0.0278	+8.53%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.029015	-0.33%	0.025615	-12.01%	0.1158	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030365	-0.39%	0.02911	-4.51%	0.0628	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030621	-0.37%	0.030485	-0.81%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032844	-0.65%	0.030735	-7.03%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030887	-0.28%	0.03306	+6.73%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033629	-0.59%	0.030975	-8.44%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.034128	-0.65%	0.03383	-1.51%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033908	-0.65%	0.03435	+0.64%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.03434	-0.67%	0.03413	-1.27%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.034049	-0.59%	0.03457	+0.93%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033655	-0.49%	0.03425	+1.27%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035269	-0.59%	0.03382	-4.68%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.039363	-1.22%	0.03548	-10.97%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033772	-0.48%	0.03985	+17.43%	0.1701	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034465	-0.38%	0.033935	-1.91%	0.0803	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033204	-0.15%	0.034595	+4.03%	0.0419	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.034708	-0.27%	0.033255	-4.44%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033525	+0.04%	0.0348	+3.85%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030746	+0.38%	0.03351	+9.40%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033461	+0.24%	0.03063	-8.24%	0.0958	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013247	-0.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012993	-0.05%	0.013255	+1.96%	0.0959	✗	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012482	+0.01%	0.013	+4.17%	0.0974	✓	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012989	-0.08%	0.01248	-4.00%	0.0085	✓	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012639	-0.00%	0.013	+2.85%	0.0009	✗	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013463	-0.13%	0.01264	-6.23%	0.1277	✓	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012376	+0.13%	0.01348	+9.06%	0.0400	✓	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012946	+0.05%	0.01236	-4.48%	0.0450	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.012063	+0.35%	0.01294	+7.65%	0.0438	✗	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012651	+0.33%	0.01202	-4.68%	0.0381	✗	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014855	-0.10%	0.01261	-15.20%	0.0918	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013742	+0.16%	0.01487	+8.38%	0.0913	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014435	+0.17%	0.01372	-4.79%	0.1995	✗	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.01232	+0.66%	0.01441	+17.73%	0.1678	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013349	+0.37%	0.01224	-7.97%	0.0881	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013747	+0.34%	0.0133	-2.92%	0.0186	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013762	+0.23%	0.0137	-0.22%	0.1683	✓	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015431	-0.32%	0.01373	-11.30%	0.2484	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017732	-1.05%	0.01548	-13.62%	0.0343	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016382	-1.01%	0.01792	+8.28%	0.1042	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013644	-0.19%	0.01655	+21.07%	0.1636	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014291	-0.34%	0.01367	-4.67%	0.0338	✓	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.014125	-0.32%	0.01434	+1.20%	0.0742	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014564	-0.45%	0.01417	-3.14%	0.0855	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014622	-0.46%	0.01463	-0.41%	0.1094	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015414	-0.56%	0.01469	-5.23%	0.0689	✓	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016491	-0.77%	0.0155	-6.74%	0.0872	✓	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015817	-0.52%	0.01662	+4.53%	0.0465	✓	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017868	-1.01%	0.0159	-11.91%	0.0536	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017719	-0.96%	0.01805	+0.89%	0.0128	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017818	-0.90%	0.01789	-0.50%	0.0537	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019513	-1.45%	0.01798	-9.19%	0.0675	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.019088	-2.07%	0.0198	+1.59%	0.0427	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014975	-0.57%	0.01949	+29.42%	0.2725	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014666	-0.44%	0.01506	+2.24%	0.0387	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017141	-2.61%	0.01473	-16.31%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011477	+0.24%	0.0176	+53.71%	0.4052	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.01213	+0.08%	0.01145	-5.53%	0.0427	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012331	+0.09%	0.01212	-1.62%	0.0020	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.014027	-0.31%	0.01232	-12.44%	0.1240	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012444	+0.12%	0.01407	+13.19%	0.1038	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.013098	-0.01%	0.01243	-5.11%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012794	+0.11%	0.0131	+2.50%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013724	+0.03%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0535	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014138	-0.02%	0.01372	-2.97%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014678	-0.15%	0.01414	-3.81%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014345	-0.10%	0.0147	+2.37%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.01554	-0.51%	0.01436	-8.07%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013468	-0.02%	0.01562	+15.96%	0.1425	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.013175	-0.04%	0.01347	+2.20%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012472	+0.09%	0.01318	+5.78%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012487	+0.13%	0.01246	-0.08%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013279	+0.14%	0.01247	-5.96%	0.0492	✗	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020863	-0.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019254	+0.23%	0.02087	+8.64%	0.0161	✓	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016649	+0.48%	0.01921	+15.93%	0.1612	✓	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016903	+0.44%	0.01657	-1.54%	0.0175	✓	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017885	+0.36%	0.01683	-5.56%	0.0344	✗	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.01956	+0.20%	0.01782	-8.71%	0.0895	✗	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016208	+0.67%	0.01952	+21.24%	0.1654	✓	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016889	+0.59%	0.0161	-4.11%	0.0223	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014595	+1.29%	0.01679	+16.52%	0.0270	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019764	+0.48%	0.01441	-26.74%	0.1568	✗	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.021133	+0.35%	0.01967	-6.60%	0.0293	✗	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024421	+0.17%	0.02106	-13.62%	0.0951	✗	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025575	+0.25%	0.02438	-4.43%	0.0802	✗	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028423	+0.12%	0.02551	-10.14%	0.0773	✗	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028776	-0.05%	0.02839	-1.39%	0.0879	✗	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039998	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041273	-0.55%	0.04019	-3.16%	0.0031	✓	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.041996	-0.65%	0.0415	-1.82%	0.0057	✓	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.04005	-0.52%	0.04227	+4.99%	0.0553	✗	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042164	-0.72%	0.04026	-5.20%	0.0253	✓	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.040019	-0.77%	0.04247	+5.31%	0.0355	✗	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035994	-0.49%	0.04033	+11.50%	0.0500	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037881	-0.65%	0.03617	-5.14%	0.0512	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035538	-0.48%	0.03813	+6.78%	0.0626	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035455	-0.46%	0.03571	+0.25%	0.0094	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035991	-0.50%	0.03562	-1.52%	0.0024	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036404	-0.48%	0.03617	-1.12%	0.0025	✓	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040616	-0.72%	0.03658	-10.58%	0.0696	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042134	-0.93%	0.04091	-3.81%	0.0274	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041416	-1.20%	0.04253	+1.46%	0.0085	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035991	-0.96%	0.04192	+15.35%	0.1395	✗	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.03145	-0.63%	0.03634	+14.82%	0.1355	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027936	-0.30%	0.03165	+12.96%	0.1082	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028805	-0.40%	0.02802	-3.11%	0.0453	✓	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026947	-0.23%	0.02892	+7.07%	0.0837	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027877	-0.26%	0.02701	-3.36%	0.0511	✓	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028436	-0.29%	0.02795	-2.00%	0.0057	✓	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029966	-0.38%	0.02852	-5.19%	0.0505	✓	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030368	-0.37%	0.03008	-1.31%	0.0174	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032311	-0.49%	0.03048	-6.13%	0.0603	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032204	-0.48%	0.03247	+0.34%	0.0150	✗	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.032133	-0.45%	0.03236	+0.25%	0.0042	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.033031	-0.48%	0.03228	-2.74%	0.0057	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036664	-0.83%	0.03319	-10.22%	0.0983	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035426	-0.85%	0.03697	+3.47%	0.0378	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032865	-0.68%	0.03573	+7.98%	0.0801	✗	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.031341	-0.54%	0.03309	+5.01%	0.0129	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031985	-0.82%	0.03151	-2.29%	0.0031	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027998	-0.44%	0.03225	+14.69%	0.1689	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.028023	-0.45%	0.02812	-0.11%	0.0212	✓	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026701	-0.33%	0.02815	+5.08%	0.0838	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.029018	-0.52%	0.02679	-8.16%	0.0454	✓	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029638	-0.64%	0.02917	-2.21%	0.0156	✓	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.029188	-0.89%	0.02983	+1.29%	0.0592	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024322	-0.40%	0.02945	+20.60%	0.1834	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024369	-0.45%	0.02442	-0.25%	0.0123	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.02398	-0.46%	0.02448	+1.62%	0.0124	✓	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022368	-0.32%	0.02409	+7.35%	0.0701	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.02151	-0.19%	0.02244	+4.13%	0.0238	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022643	-0.25%	0.02155	-5.07%	0.0482	✓	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022945	-0.28%	0.0227	-1.35%	0.0346	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.02487	-0.40%	0.02301	-7.85%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.02599	-0.54%	0.02497	-4.44%	0.0633	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.023198	-0.14%	0.02613	+12.48%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026656	-0.46%	0.02323	-13.26%	0.0913	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.026187	-0.43%	0.02678	+1.83%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028536	-0.95%	0.0263	-8.71%	0.0808	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.02413	-0.41%	0.02881	+18.90%	0.1818	✗	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024827	-0.57%	0.02423	-2.96%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022589	-0.23%	0.02497	+10.29%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021682	-0.13%	0.02264	+4.28%	0.0539	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022576	-0.11%	0.02171	-3.94%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022693	+0.06%	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026604	-0.66%	0.02268	-15.31%	0.1551	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020935	+0.07%	0.02678	+28.01%	0.2633	✓	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019444	+0.02%	0.02092	+7.61%	0.1285	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021378	-0.10%	0.01944	-9.16%	0.0793	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.023132	-0.08%	0.0214	-7.56%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.031278	-0.74%	0.02315	-26.53%	0.2785	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.035916	-2.24%	0.03151	-14.24%	0.1165	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.027129	-1.10%	0.03674	+33.94%	0.2923	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021815	-0.79%	0.02743	+24.74%	0.2817	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.