FLR

Flare · Flare · gru_s2

token id: #342
symbol: FLR
variant: –
chain: Flare
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-04-14
predictions: 3,822

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0171

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0012

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.006472	0.006444	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-21	oos	0.00647	0.006447	-0.35%	0.006472	+0.04%	0.0014	✓	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.006418	0.006399	-0.30%	0.00647	+0.79%	0.0029	✓	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.006385	0.006367	-0.29%	0.006418	+0.52%	0.0062	✓	1.07
2026-10-18	oos	0.006418	0.0064	-0.28%	0.006385	-0.51%	0.0000	✓	1.08
2026-10-17	oos	0.006488	0.006469	-0.28%	0.006418	-1.07%	0.0163	✓	1.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.006633	0.006612	-0.31%	0.006488	-2.19%	0.0175	✓	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.006687	0.006665	-0.33%	0.006633	-0.81%	0.0034	✗	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.006693	0.006673	-0.30%	0.006687	-0.09%	0.0052	✓	1.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.006851	0.006825	-0.38%	0.006693	-2.31%	0.0004	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.006849	0.006825	-0.36%	0.006851	+0.03%	0.0139	✓	1.08
2026-10-11	oos	0.006991	0.006962	-0.41%	0.006849	-2.02%	0.0089	✗	1.08
2026-10-10	oos	0.006984	0.006959	-0.36%	0.006991	+0.09%	0.0052	✓	1.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.007045	0.007015	-0.41%	0.006984	-0.86%	0.0092	✓	1.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.006806	0.006787	-0.28%	0.007045	+3.50%	0.0262	✗	1.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.006975	0.006951	-0.35%	0.006806	-2.42%	0.0007	✓	1.06
2026-10-06	oos	0.007272	0.00724	-0.45%	0.006975	-4.08%	0.0091	✓	1.05
2026-10-05	oos	0.007223	0.00719	-0.46%	0.007272	+0.68%	0.0139	✗	1.05
2026-10-04	oos	0.007303	0.007269	-0.47%	0.007223	-1.10%	0.0030	✓	1.05
2026-10-03	oos	0.007178	0.007149	-0.41%	0.007303	+1.74%	0.0004	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.007204	0.007176	-0.39%	0.007178	-0.36%	0.0027	✓	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.007389	0.007357	-0.42%	0.007204	-2.50%	0.0168	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.007366	0.007336	-0.41%	0.007389	+0.30%	0.0092	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.00753	0.007491	-0.53%	0.007366	-2.18%	0.0157	✓	1.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.007162	0.007135	-0.37%	0.00753	+5.15%	0.0516	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.007128	0.007101	-0.37%	0.007162	+0.47%	0.0212	✗	1.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.007357	0.007327	-0.40%	0.007128	-3.11%	0.0281	✓	1.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.007334	0.007303	-0.42%	0.007357	+0.31%	0.0032	✓	1.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.00718	0.007157	-0.32%	0.007334	+2.14%	0.0281	✗	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.00711	0.007089	-0.30%	0.00718	+0.98%	0.0127	✗	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.007207	0.00718	-0.38%	0.00711	-1.35%	0.0131	✗	1.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.006935	0.006918	-0.25%	0.007207	+3.92%	0.0459	✗	1.07
2026-09-20	oos	0.00659	0.006583	-0.11%	0.006935	+5.24%	0.0193	✓	1.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.006636	0.006629	-0.10%	0.00659	-0.69%	0.0049	✓	1.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.00663	0.006624	-0.09%	0.006636	+0.09%	0.0031	✓	1.09
2026-09-17	oos	0.00642	0.00642	+0.01%	0.00663	+3.27%	0.0331	✗	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.00633	0.006336	+0.10%	0.00642	+1.43%	0.0102	✓	1.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.0063	0.006308	+0.12%	0.00633	+0.47%	0.0049	✗	1.12
2026-09-14	oos	0.00662	0.006622	+0.03%	0.0063	-4.83%	0.0122	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.006403	0.006413	+0.15%	0.00662	+3.38%	0.0120	✓	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.006516	0.006529	+0.19%	0.006403	-1.74%	0.0128	✗	1.11
2026-09-11	oos	0.006377	0.006397	+0.31%	0.006516	+2.19%	0.0178	✓	1.11
2026-09-10	oos	0.006306	0.00633	+0.38%	0.006377	+1.13%	0.0022	✓	1.10
2026-09-09	oos	0.00642	0.006453	+0.51%	0.006306	-1.78%	0.0020	✓	1.11
2026-09-08	oos	0.006536	0.00657	+0.51%	0.00642	-1.77%	0.0205	✗	1.17
2026-09-07	oos	0.006562	0.006602	+0.60%	0.006536	-0.40%	0.0004	✓	1.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.006713	0.00676	+0.71%	0.006562	-2.24%	0.0112	✗	1.18
2026-09-05	oos	0.006718	0.006765	+0.71%	0.006713	-0.07%	0.0152	✗	1.18
2026-09-04	oos	0.006726	0.006774	+0.71%	0.006718	-0.12%	0.0106	✗	1.19
2026-09-03	oos	0.006957	0.007011	+0.78%	0.006726	-3.32%	0.0181	✗	1.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.006749	0.00678	+0.45%	0.006957	+3.08%	0.0354	✗	1.23
2026-09-01	oos	0.006678	0.006706	+0.43%	0.006749	+1.06%	0.0078	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.007054	0.007061	+0.10%	0.006678	-5.33%	0.0386	✗	1.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.00631	0.006342	+0.51%	0.007054	+11.79%	0.0940	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	0.006313	0.006349	+0.56%	0.00631	-0.06%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-08-28	oos	0.006346	0.006376	+0.47%	0.006313	-0.51%	0.0152	✗	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	0.006703	0.006737	+0.51%	0.006346	-5.33%	0.0274	✗	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.006497	0.006526	+0.45%	0.006703	+3.17%	0.0103	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.006585	0.006608	+0.34%	0.006497	-1.34%	0.0235	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.00693	0.006944	+0.20%	0.006585	-4.98%	0.0470	✗	1.04
2026-08-23	oos	0.007203	0.007197	-0.08%	0.00693	-3.79%	0.0547	✓	1.06
2026-08-22	oos	0.007129	0.007118	-0.16%	0.007203	+1.04%	0.0027	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.007597	0.007558	-0.52%	0.007129	-6.16%	0.0414	✓	1.04
2026-08-20	oos	0.00695	0.006909	-0.59%	0.007597	+9.31%	0.0243	✗	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.006392	0.00636	-0.50%	0.00695	+8.73%	0.0392	✗	0.95
2026-08-18	oos	0.005872	0.005857	-0.26%	0.006392	+8.86%	0.0258	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.00595	0.005934	-0.27%	0.005872	-1.31%	0.0133	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.00591	0.005896	-0.24%	0.00595	+0.68%	0.0145	✓	0.92
2026-08-15	oos	0.00597	0.005955	-0.25%	0.00591	-1.01%	0.0050	✓	0.92
2026-08-14	oos	0.00598	0.005966	-0.24%	0.00597	-0.17%	0.0001	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.00601	0.005995	-0.25%	0.00598	-0.50%	0.0041	✗	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.00602	0.006006	-0.24%	0.00601	-0.17%	0.0005	✓	0.91
2026-08-11	oos	0.00606	0.006042	-0.29%	0.00602	-0.66%	0.0019	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.00606	0.006043	-0.28%	0.00606	+0.00%	0.0086	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.00611	0.00609	-0.33%	0.00606	-0.82%	0.0090	✗	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.0061	0.00608	-0.33%	0.00611	+0.16%	0.0058	✗	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.00601	0.005992	-0.30%	0.0061	+1.50%	0.0176	✗	0.99
2026-08-06	oos	0.00596	0.005945	-0.25%	0.00601	+0.84%	0.0013	✓	0.99
2026-08-05	oos	0.00599	0.005974	-0.26%	0.00596	-0.50%	0.0028	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.00611	0.006093	-0.29%	0.00599	-1.96%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.0063	0.00628	-0.31%	0.00611	-3.02%	0.0368	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00633	0.006311	-0.30%	0.0063	-0.47%	0.0012	✓	1.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.006245	0.006229	-0.25%	0.00633	+1.36%	0.0043	✗	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.00626	0.006244	-0.26%	0.006245	-0.24%	0.0012	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.00629	0.006273	-0.26%	0.00626	-0.48%	0.0285	✗	1.03
2026-07-29	oos	0.006305	0.00629	-0.24%	0.00629	-0.24%	0.0131	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.006245	0.006231	-0.22%	0.006305	+0.96%	0.0110	✗	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.006285	0.006272	-0.21%	0.006245	-0.64%	0.0067	✓	1.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00644	0.006424	-0.25%	0.006285	-2.41%	0.0042	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.00642	0.006406	-0.22%	0.00644	+0.31%	0.0113	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0064	0.006388	-0.19%	0.00642	+0.31%	0.0016	✓	1.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.00647	0.006459	-0.17%	0.0064	-1.08%	0.0062	✗	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.00665	0.006637	-0.20%	0.00647	-2.71%	0.0094	✓	1.02
2026-07-21	oos	0.006785	0.006762	-0.35%	0.00665	-1.99%	0.0101	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.006445	0.006435	-0.15%	0.006785	+5.28%	0.0339	✗	0.96
2026-07-19	oos	0.00651	0.0065	-0.15%	0.006445	-1.00%	0.0165	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	0.00656	0.006551	-0.14%	0.00651	-0.76%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-07-17	oos	0.00654	0.006532	-0.13%	0.00656	+0.31%	0.0093	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	0.006635	0.006626	-0.14%	0.00654	-1.43%	0.0150	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	0.00662	0.006612	-0.13%	0.006635	+0.23%	0.0181	✗	0.99
2026-07-14	oos	0.00664	0.006625	-0.23%	0.00662	-0.30%	0.0034	✗	0.99
2026-07-13	oos	0.00639	0.006386	-0.07%	0.00664	+3.91%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.006465	0.006459	-0.09%	0.00639	-1.16%	0.0128	✗	1.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.006645	0.006637	-0.12%	0.006465	-2.71%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00666	0.006652	-0.11%	0.006645	-0.23%	0.0044	✗	0.99
2026-07-09	oos	0.006605	0.006599	-0.09%	0.00666	+0.83%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.00657	0.006566	-0.05%	0.006605	+0.53%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.00674	0.006735	-0.07%	0.00657	-2.52%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00689	0.006884	-0.09%	0.00674	-2.18%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.007025	0.007017	-0.11%	0.00689	-1.92%	0.0246	✓	0.97
2026-07-04	oos	0.00706	0.007051	-0.12%	0.007025	-0.50%	0.0114	✓	0.98
2026-07-03	oos	0.00701	0.007001	-0.13%	0.00706	+0.71%	0.0002	✓	0.95
2026-07-02	oos	0.00669	0.006685	-0.07%	0.00701	+4.78%	0.0318	✗	0.94
2026-07-01	oos	0.00643	0.006432	+0.03%	0.00669	+4.04%	0.0162	✓	0.92
2026-06-30	oos	0.00641	0.006416	+0.09%	0.00643	+0.31%	0.0201	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.006575	0.006576	+0.02%	0.00641	-2.51%	0.0001	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.006595	0.006597	+0.03%	0.006575	-0.30%	0.0139	✗	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.006665	0.006667	+0.03%	0.006595	-1.05%	0.0038	✗	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0068	0.006802	+0.03%	0.006665	-1.99%	0.0193	✗	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.00682	0.006823	+0.05%	0.0068	-0.29%	0.0080	✗	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.00696	0.00696	-0.01%	0.00682	-2.01%	0.0007	✓	0.92
2026-06-23	oos	0.00707	0.007064	-0.09%	0.00696	-1.56%	0.0096	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	0.007345	0.007333	-0.16%	0.00707	-3.74%	0.0182	✓	0.89
2026-06-21	oos	0.007395	0.007383	-0.17%	0.007345	-0.68%	0.0152	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.00742	0.007407	-0.17%	0.007395	-0.34%	0.0119	✗	0.88
2026-06-19	oos	0.00739	0.007381	-0.13%	0.00742	+0.41%	0.0050	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.00737	0.007364	-0.09%	0.00739	+0.27%	0.0048	✓	0.88
2026-06-17	oos	0.00754	0.007532	-0.11%	0.00737	-2.25%	0.0001	✓	0.88
2026-06-16	oos	0.00773	0.007719	-0.14%	0.00754	-2.46%	0.0078	✓	0.87
2026-06-15	oos	0.00798	0.007961	-0.24%	0.00773	-3.13%	0.0207	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.00805	0.008032	-0.22%	0.00798	-0.87%	0.0141	✓	0.88
2026-06-13	oos	0.00789	0.007878	-0.15%	0.00805	+2.03%	0.0046	✗	0.87
2026-06-12	oos	0.00794	0.007919	-0.27%	0.00789	-0.63%	0.0157	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.00752	0.007502	-0.24%	0.00794	+5.59%	0.0571	✗	0.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.006835	0.006843	+0.12%	0.00752	+10.02%	0.0672	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.006995	0.007004	+0.12%	0.006835	-2.29%	0.0213	✗	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0073	0.007302	+0.03%	0.006995	-4.18%	0.0257	✗	0.78
2026-06-07	oos	0.00716	0.007167	+0.09%	0.0073	+1.96%	0.0214	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.00675	0.006775	+0.37%	0.00716	+6.07%	0.0265	✓	0.73
2026-06-05	oos	0.00671	0.00674	+0.44%	0.00675	+0.60%	0.0037	✓	0.72
2026-06-04	oos	0.00712	0.007138	+0.25%	0.00671	-5.76%	0.0314	✗	0.68
2026-06-03	oos	0.00717	0.007192	+0.30%	0.00712	-0.70%	0.0075	✗	0.69
2026-06-02	oos	0.00716	0.007175	+0.20%	0.00717	+0.14%	0.0285	✓	0.73
2026-06-01	oos	0.00754	0.007533	-0.09%	0.00716	-5.04%	0.0053	✓	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.00772	0.007704	-0.20%	0.00754	-2.33%	0.0006	✓	0.67
2026-05-30	oos	0.00773	0.007716	-0.18%	0.00772	-0.13%	0.0022	✗	0.63
2026-05-29	oos	0.00775	0.007732	-0.24%	0.00773	-0.26%	0.0037	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.0078	0.007785	-0.19%	0.00775	-0.64%	0.0032	✓	0.63
2026-05-27	oos	0.008	0.007979	-0.26%	0.0078	-2.50%	0.0158	✓	0.64
2026-05-26	oos	0.00816	0.008131	-0.35%	0.008	-1.96%	0.0035	✓	0.64
2026-05-25	oos	0.008285	0.008251	-0.41%	0.00816	-1.51%	0.0014	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.00829	0.008257	-0.40%	0.008285	-0.06%	0.0010	✓	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.00842	0.008387	-0.40%	0.00829	-1.54%	0.0144	✓	0.65
2026-05-22	oos	0.00826	0.008234	-0.32%	0.00842	+1.94%	0.0120	✗	0.65
2026-05-21	oos	0.00843	0.008396	-0.40%	0.00826	-2.02%	0.0016	✓	0.65
2026-05-20	oos	0.008415	0.008381	-0.40%	0.00843	+0.18%	0.0052	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.008265	0.008242	-0.28%	0.008415	+1.81%	0.0148	✗	0.65
2026-05-18	oos	0.00845	0.008426	-0.28%	0.008265	-2.19%	0.0178	✓	0.66
2026-05-17	oos	0.00906	0.009023	-0.41%	0.00845	-6.73%	0.0618	✓	0.64
2026-05-16	oos	0.00921	0.009171	-0.42%	0.00906	-1.63%	0.0065	✓	0.64
2026-05-15	oos	0.00934	0.009277	-0.67%	0.00921	-1.39%	0.0005	✓	0.64
2026-05-14	oos	0.009375	0.009306	-0.74%	0.00934	-0.37%	0.0203	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.00863	0.008599	-0.35%	0.009375	+8.63%	0.0727	✗	0.61
2026-05-12	oos	0.00869	0.008657	-0.38%	0.00863	-0.69%	0.0060	✗	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.00874	0.008709	-0.36%	0.00869	-0.57%	0.0072	✗	0.61
2026-05-10	oos	0.00868	0.008641	-0.45%	0.00874	+0.69%	0.0149	✗	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.00817	0.008146	-0.29%	0.00868	+6.24%	0.0523	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.00802	0.008	-0.25%	0.00817	+1.87%	0.0176	✗	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.00781	0.007795	-0.19%	0.00802	+2.69%	0.0271	✗	0.59
2026-05-06	oos	0.00781	0.00779	-0.25%	0.00781	+0.00%	0.0141	✗	0.65
2026-05-05	oos	0.007625	0.007615	-0.13%	0.00781	+2.43%	0.0213	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.00754	0.00753	-0.14%	0.007625	+1.13%	0.0046	✗	0.61
2026-05-03	oos	0.00753	0.007519	-0.15%	0.00754	+0.13%	0.0070	✓	0.60
2026-05-02	oos	0.00757	0.007559	-0.14%	0.00753	-0.53%	0.0029	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.0075	0.00749	-0.14%	0.00757	+0.93%	0.0074	✗	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	0.00746	0.007449	-0.14%	0.0075	+0.54%	0.0077	✓	0.58
2026-04-29	oos	0.007515	0.007503	-0.16%	0.00746	-0.73%	0.0100	✓	0.58
2026-04-28	oos	0.0076	0.007588	-0.15%	0.007515	-1.12%	0.0054	✓	0.58
2026-04-27	oos	0.00774	0.007728	-0.16%	0.0076	-1.81%	0.0088	✓	0.58
2026-04-26	oos	0.00792	0.007905	-0.19%	0.00774	-2.27%	0.0114	✓	0.58
2026-04-25	oos	0.00791	0.00789	-0.25%	0.00792	+0.13%	0.0039	✓	0.58
2026-04-24	oos	0.00793	0.007911	-0.23%	0.00791	-0.25%	0.0016	✓	0.59
2026-04-23	oos	0.00793	0.007916	-0.18%	0.00793	+0.00%	0.0080	✗	0.59
2026-04-22	oos	0.007995	0.00798	-0.18%	0.00793	-0.81%	0.0069	✓	0.59
2026-04-21	oos	0.008055	0.008034	-0.26%	0.007995	-0.74%	0.0193	✓	0.60
2026-04-20	oos	0.008115	0.00809	-0.31%	0.008055	-0.74%	0.0082	✓	0.60
2026-04-19	oos	0.00793	0.007909	-0.27%	0.008115	+2.33%	0.0091	✗	0.61
2026-04-18	oos	0.00815	0.00813	-0.24%	0.00793	-2.70%	0.0094	✓	0.61
2026-04-17	oos	0.008465	0.008438	-0.32%	0.00815	-3.72%	0.0239	✓	0.61
2026-04-16	oos	0.00828	0.008252	-0.34%	0.008465	+2.23%	0.0101	✗	0.61
2026-04-15	oos	0.00811	0.008085	-0.31%	0.00828	+2.10%	0.0212	✗	0.60
2026-04-14	oos	0.00803	0.008004	-0.32%	0.00811	+1.00%	0.0078	✗	0.61
2026-04-13	oos	0.00806	0.00803	-0.38%	0.00803	-0.37%	0.0022	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.0077	0.007679	-0.28%	0.00806	+4.68%	0.0184	✗	0.59
2026-04-11	oos	0.00792	0.007891	-0.37%	0.0077	-2.78%	0.0054	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.00764	0.007618	-0.28%	0.00792	+3.66%	0.0381	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.00754	0.007519	-0.28%	0.00764	+1.33%	0.0062	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.00746	0.007441	-0.25%	0.00754	+1.07%	0.0074	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.0076	0.007576	-0.31%	0.00746	-1.84%	0.0087	✓	0.58
2026-04-06	oos	0.00745	0.007431	-0.25%	0.0076	+2.01%	0.0035	✓	0.60
2026-04-05	oos	0.00748	0.007461	-0.26%	0.00745	-0.40%	0.0001	✓	0.60
2026-04-04	oos	0.007535	0.00752	-0.20%	0.00748	-0.73%	0.0210	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.00756	0.007548	-0.15%	0.007535	-0.33%	0.0049	✓	0.63
2026-04-02	oos	0.00771	0.007689	-0.27%	0.00756	-1.95%	0.0176	✓	0.63
2026-04-01	oos	0.0076	0.007587	-0.17%	0.00771	+1.45%	0.0276	✗	0.64
2026-03-31	oos	0.007835	0.007819	-0.20%	0.0076	-3.00%	0.0274	✓	0.65
2026-03-30	oos	0.00785	0.007835	-0.19%	0.007835	-0.19%	0.0145	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.00767	0.007665	-0.06%	0.00785	+2.35%	0.0162	✗	0.65
2026-03-28	oos	0.0078	0.007795	-0.06%	0.00767	-1.67%	0.0127	✓	0.65
2026-03-27	oos	0.007665	0.007665	+0.01%	0.0078	+1.76%	0.0177	✓	0.65
2026-03-26	oos	0.00794	0.007927	-0.17%	0.007665	-3.46%	0.0106	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.008035	0.008026	-0.12%	0.00794	-1.18%	0.0127	✗	0.65
2026-03-24	oos	0.00812	0.008111	-0.11%	0.008035	-1.05%	0.0165	✓	0.65
2026-03-23	oos	0.008165	0.008154	-0.13%	0.00812	-0.55%	0.0011	✓	0.65
2026-03-22	oos	0.007995	0.00799	-0.06%	0.008165	+2.13%	0.0071	✓	0.66
2026-03-21	oos	0.00817	0.008163	-0.08%	0.007995	-2.14%	0.0106	✓	0.66
2026-03-20	oos	0.00831	0.008303	-0.08%	0.00817	-1.68%	0.0013	✓	0.66
2026-03-19	oos	0.00834	0.008336	-0.04%	0.00831	-0.36%	0.0086	✓	0.66
2026-03-18	oos	0.00841	0.008408	-0.03%	0.00834	-0.83%	0.0045	✗	0.67
2026-03-17	oos	0.00871	0.008708	-0.02%	0.00841	-3.44%	0.0101	✓	0.67
2026-03-16	oos	0.008915	0.008912	-0.03%	0.00871	-2.30%	0.0144	✓	0.67
2026-03-15	oos	0.00879	0.008785	-0.05%	0.008915	+1.42%	0.0038	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	0.00868	0.008676	-0.04%	0.00879	+1.27%	0.0018	✓	0.67
2026-03-13	oos	0.00879	0.008786	-0.05%	0.00868	-1.25%	0.0148	✓	0.67
2026-03-12	oos	0.00888	0.008875	-0.06%	0.00879	-1.01%	0.0135	✓	0.67
2026-03-11	oos	0.00895	0.008944	-0.07%	0.00888	-0.78%	0.0102	✓	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	0.00901	0.009003	-0.07%	0.00895	-0.67%	0.0083	✓	0.68
2026-03-09	oos	0.008965	0.008959	-0.06%	0.00901	+0.50%	0.0093	✓	0.68
2026-03-08	oos	0.00889	0.008886	-0.04%	0.008965	+0.84%	0.0161	✓	0.68
2026-03-07	oos	0.00895	0.008946	-0.04%	0.00889	-0.67%	0.0069	✗	0.68
2026-03-06	oos	0.00887	0.008868	-0.02%	0.00895	+0.90%	0.0177	✗	0.68
2026-03-05	oos	0.00921	0.009206	-0.04%	0.00887	-3.69%	0.0101	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.00939	0.009387	-0.04%	0.00921	-1.92%	0.0020	✓	0.68
2026-03-03	oos	0.00927	0.009265	-0.05%	0.00939	+1.29%	0.0302	✓	0.71
2026-03-02	oos	0.00926	0.009257	-0.03%	0.00927	+0.11%	0.0065	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.009315	0.009313	-0.02%	0.00926	-0.59%	0.0387	✓	0.72
2026-02-28	oos	0.00942	0.009416	-0.04%	0.009315	-1.11%	0.0028	✗	0.75
2026-02-27	oos	0.00929	0.00929	+0.00%	0.00942	+1.40%	0.0013	✓	0.75
2026-02-26	oos	0.00958	0.009576	-0.04%	0.00929	-3.03%	0.0120	✓	0.75
2026-02-25	oos	0.00971	0.009699	-0.11%	0.00958	-1.34%	0.0068	✓	0.75
2026-02-24	oos	0.00915	0.009153	+0.03%	0.00971	+6.12%	0.0149	✓	0.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.00907	0.009074	+0.04%	0.00915	+0.88%	0.0149	✓	0.76
2026-02-22	oos	0.00926	0.00926	-0.00%	0.00907	-2.05%	0.0139	✗	0.76
2026-02-21	oos	0.00953	0.009528	-0.03%	0.00926	-2.83%	0.0246	✓	0.77
2026-02-20	oos	0.009415	0.009414	-0.01%	0.00953	+1.22%	0.0126	✗	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.00928	0.009282	+0.03%	0.009415	+1.45%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.009415	0.009418	+0.03%	0.00928	-1.43%	0.0213	✗	0.79
2026-02-17	oos	0.00975	0.009748	-0.02%	0.009415	-3.44%	0.0226	✓	0.78
2026-02-16	oos	0.00983	0.009827	-0.03%	0.00975	-0.81%	0.0081	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.009795	0.009793	-0.02%	0.00983	+0.36%	0.0030	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.00991	0.009905	-0.05%	0.009795	-1.16%	0.0001	✓	0.78
2026-02-13	oos	0.0095	0.009504	+0.04%	0.00991	+4.32%	0.0310	✓	0.77
2026-02-12	oos	0.00941	0.009423	+0.14%	0.0095	+0.96%	0.0223	✗	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.00944	0.009452	+0.13%	0.00941	-0.32%	0.0052	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.00956	0.009569	+0.09%	0.00944	-1.26%	0.0074	✓	0.80
2026-02-09	oos	0.00961	0.009619	+0.09%	0.00956	-0.52%	0.0089	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.0096	0.009613	+0.13%	0.00961	+0.10%	0.0017	✓	0.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.00956	0.009582	+0.23%	0.0096	+0.42%	0.0102	✗	0.81
2026-02-06	oos	0.00986	0.009868	+0.08%	0.00956	-3.04%	0.0168	✗	0.81
2026-02-05	oos	0.00898	0.009046	+0.74%	0.00986	+9.80%	0.0082	✗	0.81
2026-02-04	oos	0.00973	0.009752	+0.23%	0.00898	-7.71%	0.0649	✓	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01	0.010012	+0.12%	0.00973	-2.70%	0.0064	✓	0.98
2026-02-02	oos	0.00997	0.009974	+0.04%	0.01	+0.30%	0.0439	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.01006	0.010069	+0.09%	0.00997	-0.89%	0.0331	✗	1.02
2026-01-31	oos	0.00969	0.009704	+0.14%	0.01006	+3.82%	0.0618	✓	1.14
2026-01-30	oos	0.01009	0.01008	-0.09%	0.00969	-3.96%	0.0414	✗	1.21
2026-01-29	oos	0.010255	0.010245	-0.10%	0.01009	-1.61%	0.0095	✓	1.20
2026-01-28	oos	0.01063	0.010604	-0.25%	0.010255	-3.53%	0.0332	✗	1.24
2026-01-27	oos	0.01062	0.010592	-0.26%	0.01063	+0.09%	0.0029	✗	1.25
2026-01-26	oos	0.01049	0.010466	-0.23%	0.01062	+1.24%	0.0026	✗	1.23
2026-01-25	oos	0.01016	0.010145	-0.15%	0.01049	+3.25%	0.0098	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01057	0.010539	-0.29%	0.01016	-3.88%	0.0015	✓	1.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.01037	0.010345	-0.24%	0.01057	+1.93%	0.0269	✗	1.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.01047	0.01044	-0.29%	0.01037	-0.96%	0.0069	✓	1.22
2026-01-21	oos	0.01034	0.010315	-0.25%	0.01047	+1.26%	0.0136	✗	1.22
2026-01-20	oos	0.01	0.009989	-0.11%	0.01034	+3.40%	0.0204	✗	1.19
2026-01-19	oos	0.01054	0.010502	-0.36%	0.01	-5.12%	0.0075	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.01049	0.010463	-0.26%	0.01054	+0.48%	0.0211	✗	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.01105	0.011012	-0.34%	0.01049	-5.07%	0.0302	✓	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.01103	0.010996	-0.31%	0.01105	+0.18%	0.0096	✗	1.15
2026-01-15	oos	0.01115	0.011118	-0.29%	0.01103	-1.08%	0.0069	✓	1.17
2026-01-14	oos	0.011485	0.011451	-0.30%	0.01115	-2.92%	0.0100	✓	1.17
2026-01-13	oos	0.01159	0.01154	-0.43%	0.011485	-0.91%	0.0245	✓	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.01132	0.011277	-0.38%	0.01159	+2.39%	0.0287	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.0111	0.011068	-0.29%	0.01132	+1.98%	0.0181	✗	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.01117	0.011143	-0.24%	0.0111	-0.63%	0.0108	✓	1.27
2026-01-09	oos	0.0113	0.011276	-0.22%	0.01117	-1.15%	0.0075	✓	1.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.01137	0.011347	-0.20%	0.0113	-0.62%	0.0028	✗	1.24
2026-01-07	oos	0.01183	0.011805	-0.21%	0.01137	-3.89%	0.0338	✓	1.32
2026-01-06	oos	0.01262	0.012569	-0.41%	0.01183	-6.26%	0.0259	✓	1.31
2026-01-05	oos	0.01254	0.012471	-0.55%	0.01262	+0.64%	0.0140	✗	1.30
2026-01-04	oos	0.01177	0.011734	-0.30%	0.01254	+6.54%	0.0339	✗	1.27
2026-01-03	oos	0.01113	0.011108	-0.19%	0.01177	+5.75%	0.0455	✗	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	0.01091	0.010894	-0.15%	0.01113	+2.02%	0.0126	✗	1.24
2026-01-01	oos	0.0109	0.010884	-0.15%	0.01091	+0.09%	0.0146	✓	1.25
2025-12-31	oos	0.01018	0.01018	+0.00%	0.0109	+7.07%	0.0514	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.01081	0.010803	-0.06%	0.01018	-5.83%	0.0474	✓	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.01117	0.01116	-0.09%	0.01081	-3.22%	0.0494	✓	1.19
2025-12-28	oos	0.01128	0.011269	-0.09%	0.01117	-0.98%	0.0016	✗	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.01133	0.01132	-0.09%	0.01128	-0.44%	0.0045	✓	1.19
2025-12-26	oos	0.01118	0.011174	-0.05%	0.01133	+1.34%	0.0068	✗	1.20
2025-12-25	oos	0.01117	0.011167	-0.03%	0.01118	+0.09%	0.0005	✓	1.20
2025-12-24	oos	0.011345	0.011341	-0.04%	0.01117	-1.54%	0.0091	✓	1.21
2025-12-23	oos	0.0113	0.011299	-0.01%	0.011345	+0.40%	0.0015	✗	1.28
2025-12-22	oos	0.01172	0.011706	-0.12%	0.0113	-3.58%	0.0187	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	0.011425	0.011421	-0.04%	0.01172	+2.58%	0.0271	✗	1.29
2025-12-20	oos	0.01157	0.011566	-0.03%	0.011425	-1.25%	0.0169	✓	1.31
2025-12-19	oos	0.0115	0.011499	-0.00%	0.01157	+0.61%	0.0027	✗	1.31
2025-12-18	oos	0.01103	0.011044	+0.13%	0.0115	+4.26%	0.0008	✓	1.31
2025-12-17	oos	0.01149	0.011497	+0.06%	0.01103	-4.00%	0.0301	✗	1.30
2025-12-16	oos	0.01168	0.011683	+0.03%	0.01149	-1.63%	0.0080	✓	1.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.01169	0.011696	+0.05%	0.01168	-0.09%	0.0230	✗	1.31
2025-12-14	oos	0.01213	0.012129	-0.01%	0.01169	-3.63%	0.0107	✓	1.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.01248	0.012473	-0.05%	0.01213	-2.80%	0.0025	✗	1.30
2025-12-12	oos	0.012345	0.012343	-0.02%	0.01248	+1.09%	0.0114	✗	1.30
2025-12-11	oos	0.0126	0.012595	-0.04%	0.012345	-2.02%	0.0123	✗	1.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.01276	0.012754	-0.05%	0.0126	-1.25%	0.0193	✓	1.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.01299	0.01298	-0.08%	0.01276	-1.77%	0.0078	✓	1.31
2025-12-08	oos	0.01301	0.013001	-0.07%	0.01299	-0.15%	0.0301	✓	1.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.01295	0.012943	-0.06%	0.01301	+0.46%	0.0015	✗	1.32
2025-12-06	oos	0.01306	0.013055	-0.04%	0.01295	-0.84%	0.0249	✓	1.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.01304	0.013038	-0.01%	0.01306	+0.15%	0.0028	✗	1.33
2025-12-04	oos	0.01328	0.013276	-0.03%	0.01304	-1.81%	0.0227	✗	1.34
2025-12-03	oos	0.01397	0.013958	-0.08%	0.01328	-4.94%	0.0302	✓	1.34
2025-12-02	oos	0.01384	0.013831	-0.07%	0.01397	+0.94%	0.0213	✓	1.35
2025-12-01	oos	0.01341	0.013416	+0.05%	0.01384	+3.21%	0.0489	✗	1.41
2025-11-30	oos	0.01466	0.014646	-0.09%	0.01341	-8.53%	0.0253	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	0.01505	0.015031	-0.13%	0.01466	-2.59%	0.0182	✓	1.35
2025-11-28	oos	0.01492	0.014905	-0.10%	0.01505	+0.87%	0.0108	✗	1.35
2025-11-27	oos	0.01495	0.014914	-0.24%	0.01492	-0.20%	0.0065	✗	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	0.01429	0.014277	-0.09%	0.01495	+4.62%	0.0336	✗	1.33
2025-11-25	oos	0.01363	0.01364	+0.08%	0.01429	+4.84%	0.0007	✓	1.34
2025-11-24	oos	0.01364	0.013648	+0.06%	0.01363	-0.07%	0.0131	✓	1.34
2025-11-23	oos	0.01305	0.013073	+0.17%	0.01364	+4.52%	0.0205	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.01232	0.012369	+0.40%	0.01305	+5.93%	0.0214	✓	1.30
2025-11-21	oos	0.0126	0.01265	+0.39%	0.01232	-2.22%	0.0206	✗	1.29
2025-11-20	oos	0.012965	0.013011	+0.35%	0.0126	-2.82%	0.0100	✗	1.29
2025-11-19	oos	0.01339	0.013413	+0.17%	0.012965	-3.17%	0.0407	✓	1.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.01371	0.013726	+0.12%	0.01339	-2.33%	0.0035	✗	1.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.01379	0.013813	+0.16%	0.01371	-0.58%	0.0194	✗	1.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.01414	0.014153	+0.09%	0.01379	-2.48%	0.0046	✓	1.37
2025-11-15	oos	0.01427	0.014281	+0.07%	0.01414	-0.91%	0.0098	✓	1.37
2025-11-14	oos	0.01394	0.013964	+0.17%	0.01427	+2.37%	0.0066	✓	1.37
2025-11-13	oos	0.01455	0.014551	+0.01%	0.01394	-4.19%	0.0319	✓	1.42
2025-11-12	oos	0.01536	0.015345	-0.09%	0.01455	-5.27%	0.0252	✓	1.39
2025-11-11	oos	0.01544	0.015424	-0.10%	0.01536	-0.52%	0.0142	✗	1.37
2025-11-10	oos	0.01621	0.016163	-0.29%	0.01544	-4.75%	0.0072	✓	1.36
2025-11-09	oos	0.01598	0.015948	-0.20%	0.01621	+1.44%	0.0004	✓	1.36
2025-11-08	oos	0.01549	0.015481	-0.06%	0.01598	+3.16%	0.0001	✓	1.36
2025-11-07	oos	0.01551	0.015495	-0.09%	0.01549	-0.13%	0.0127	✗	1.35
2025-11-06	oos	0.01487	0.014886	+0.11%	0.01551	+4.30%	0.0150	✓	1.33
2025-11-05	oos	0.01498	0.014977	-0.02%	0.01487	-0.73%	0.0269	✗	1.36
2025-11-04	oos	0.0136	0.013648	+0.36%	0.01498	+10.15%	0.0625	✓	1.31
2025-11-03	oos	0.01353	0.013562	+0.24%	0.0136	+0.52%	0.0724	✓	1.42
2025-11-02	oos	0.01601	0.015981	-0.18%	0.01353	-15.49%	0.1191	✓	1.29
2025-11-01	oos	0.016	0.015979	-0.13%	0.01601	+0.06%	0.0037	✓	1.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01613	0.016113	-0.10%	0.016	-0.81%	0.0130	✓	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.01595	0.015944	-0.04%	0.01613	+1.13%	0.0034	✓	1.31
2025-10-29	oos	0.0168	0.016776	-0.14%	0.01595	-5.06%	0.0300	✓	1.30
2025-10-28	oos	0.01667	0.01664	-0.18%	0.0168	+0.78%	0.0445	✗	1.36
2025-10-27	oos	0.0171	0.017065	-0.21%	0.01667	-2.51%	0.0093	✓	1.35
2025-10-26	oos	0.01758	0.017534	-0.26%	0.0171	-2.73%	0.0196	✓	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.01709	0.017067	-0.13%	0.01758	+2.87%	0.0049	✓	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0174	0.017375	-0.14%	0.01709	-1.78%	0.0241	✓	1.35
2025-10-23	oos	0.01714	0.017131	-0.05%	0.0174	+1.52%	0.0042	✗	1.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.01726	0.017266	+0.03%	0.01714	-0.70%	0.0397	✗	1.39
2025-10-21	oos	0.017705	0.017704	-0.01%	0.01726	-2.51%	0.0154	✓	1.39
2025-10-20	oos	0.017545	0.017545	+0.00%	0.017705	+0.91%	0.0377	✓	1.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.017435	0.017455	+0.12%	0.017545	+0.63%	0.0210	✗	1.52
2025-10-18	oos	0.01827	0.018286	+0.09%	0.017435	-4.57%	0.0688	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	0.01676	0.016817	+0.34%	0.01827	+9.01%	0.0722	✓	1.53
2025-10-16	oos	0.01747	0.017516	+0.26%	0.01676	-4.06%	0.0196	✗	1.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01882	0.018838	+0.10%	0.01747	-7.17%	0.0396	✗	1.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.01934	0.019342	+0.01%	0.01882	-2.69%	0.0037	✓	1.53
2025-10-13	oos	0.02064	0.0206	-0.19%	0.01934	-6.30%	0.0339	✓	1.51
2025-10-12	oos	0.02002	0.020002	-0.09%	0.02064	+3.10%	0.0287	✗	1.50
2025-10-11	oos	0.01938	0.019402	+0.11%	0.02002	+3.30%	0.0273	✗	1.54
2025-10-10	oos	0.01922	0.01924	+0.11%	0.01938	+0.83%	0.0382	✓	1.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.02223	0.022173	-0.26%	0.01922	-13.54%	0.0351	✓	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.02322	0.023152	-0.29%	0.02223	-4.26%	0.0219	✓	1.41
2025-10-07	oos	0.02358	0.023505	-0.32%	0.02322	-1.53%	0.0346	✓	1.41
2025-10-06	oos	0.02422	0.024137	-0.34%	0.02358	-2.64%	0.0143	✗	1.39
2025-10-05	oos	0.024185	0.024105	-0.33%	0.02422	+0.14%	0.0087	✓	1.39
2025-10-04	oos	0.02423	0.024154	-0.31%	0.024185	-0.19%	0.0108	✓	1.40
2025-10-03	oos	0.02501	0.024924	-0.35%	0.02423	-3.12%	0.0298	✓	1.39
2025-10-02	oos	0.02591	0.025799	-0.43%	0.02501	-3.47%	0.0510	✓	1.43
2025-10-01	oos	0.02651	0.026374	-0.51%	0.02591	-2.26%	0.0417	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.0255	0.025398	-0.40%	0.02651	+3.96%	0.0160	✓	1.49
2025-09-29	oos	0.0265	0.02636	-0.53%	0.0255	-3.77%	0.0294	✓	1.46
2025-09-28	oos	0.02637	0.026234	-0.52%	0.0265	+0.49%	0.0185	✓	1.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02541	0.025319	-0.36%	0.02637	+3.78%	0.0069	✗	1.49
2025-09-26	oos	0.0258	0.025663	-0.53%	0.02541	-1.51%	0.0097	✓	1.48
2025-09-25	oos	0.02372	0.023669	-0.22%	0.0258	+8.77%	0.0774	✗	1.46
2025-09-24	oos	0.02725	0.026969	-1.03%	0.02372	-12.95%	0.0785	✓	1.28
2025-09-23	oos	0.02488	0.02476	-0.48%	0.02725	+9.53%	0.0811	✗	1.25
2025-09-22	oos	0.02357	0.023494	-0.32%	0.02488	+5.56%	0.0654	✗	1.27
2025-09-21	oos	0.02502	0.024899	-0.48%	0.02357	-5.80%	0.0276	✓	1.22
2025-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024838	-0.61%	0.02502	+0.12%	0.0124	✗	1.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.02317	0.023086	-0.36%	0.02499	+7.85%	0.0785	✗	1.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.02367	0.023578	-0.39%	0.02317	-2.11%	0.0017	✓	1.29

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.