DCR

Decred · native · gru_s2

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

73.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0617

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0082

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	15.0341	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5269	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3016	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.2579	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.3168	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.6905	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.0481	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.0286	-0.77%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0690	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.1932	-1.05%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0919	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.2015	-0.80%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1110	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.5253	-0.96%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1173	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7129	-1.06%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1337	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.2674	-1.24%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1476	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.1618	-1.25%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1307	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.8277	-1.44%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0827	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.0415	-1.71%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0753	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.143	-2.10%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0686	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.9057	-2.45%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0449	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.853	-2.42%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0383	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7787	-2.61%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0015	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.677	-2.72%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0123	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9458	-2.65%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0106	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.6923	-2.34%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0191	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.4651	-1.97%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0380	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.2232	-1.60%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0120	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.0571	-1.18%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0101	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.5785	-0.69%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0338	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.1731	-0.52%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0045	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.2395	-0.19%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0185	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.8154	+0.46%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0120	✗	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	18.0965	+0.70%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0132	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.1798	-0.71%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0424	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.366	-0.78%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0196	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.5648	-0.98%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0248	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.611	-1.43%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0118	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.5701	-0.74%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0748	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7735	+0.15%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1262	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.589	-0.62%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0035	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.2409	-0.55%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0218	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.9999	-0.36%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0521	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.8705	-0.02%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0757	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6118	+0.35%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0783	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.5097	+0.18%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0308	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.3686	+0.06%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1361	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.9671	+1.13%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0533	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.7223	+0.74%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0102	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.0464	+0.97%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0252	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.7356	+1.14%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0315	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.5616	+1.87%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1134	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.1818	+1.68%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1392	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.4935	+0.75%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1685	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.6427	+0.68%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0696	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.1909	+0.88%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1279	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.4007	+1.04%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0814	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2573	+0.91%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0675	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.2247	+2.10%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0059	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.0826	+1.67%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0098	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8853	+1.61%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0480	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.0453	+1.40%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0395	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.352	+0.71%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0193	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.0307	+0.33%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0023	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.1452	+1.07%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0779	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0794	+1.04%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0608	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8803	-0.40%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0318	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5414	-1.46%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0319	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8157	-2.17%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0522	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8999	-0.57%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0446	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9388	-0.82%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0544	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8888	-0.68%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1407	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0295	-0.91%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1548	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1378	-0.88%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1112	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.8044	-1.39%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1081	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6037	-1.41%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0520	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.7347	-1.68%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0286	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.5807	-1.70%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0128	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.5381	-1.68%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0146	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3326	-1.42%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0018	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.7516	-1.74%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0209	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.1249	-1.94%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0020	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.0313	-1.80%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0267	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9573	-2.06%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0229	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.8077	-2.25%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0367	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8001	-2.72%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0383	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.1058	-3.68%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0390	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4493	-1.72%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1144	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4212	-1.38%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1555	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1164	-0.60%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1806	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6808	-0.04%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1520	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5657	-0.13%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1480	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.5836	-0.09%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1465	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9765	-0.14%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1324	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4604	-0.08%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0355	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.6084	+0.08%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0464	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.6495	-0.62%	11.183	-12.15%	0.1004	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.6265	-0.73%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0873	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.6394	-0.60%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0800	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.479	-0.83%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0765	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1588	-1.33%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1123	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3609	-1.04%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0896	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.5936	-1.24%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0989	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.2968	-1.73%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0053	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.089	-0.89%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0375	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2215	-0.28%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1107	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1363	-0.21%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1255	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.986	-0.24%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1854	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.933	-0.35%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1759	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9811	-0.28%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2022	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.1711	-0.40%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1385	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.107	-0.34%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0914	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.249	-0.31%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0096	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4429	-0.35%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0487	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1567	-0.23%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0378	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8649	-0.69%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0240	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.566	-1.52%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0295	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1592	-1.08%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0489	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9881	-1.06%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0433	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3583	-1.13%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0505	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1064	-0.81%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0015	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8707	-0.81%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0039	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.995	-1.51%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0793	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0924	-0.76%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0285	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4047	-0.94%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0443	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3305	-0.90%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0351	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7465	-1.07%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0469	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.5052	-0.96%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3787	-0.87%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0143	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9039	-1.13%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0781	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2415	-1.20%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5079	-1.28%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6376	-1.36%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.088	-1.26%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8912	-1.17%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.0197	-1.25%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.7317	-0.85%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.8311	-1.09%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0843	-1.52%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1595	-1.80%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.0105	-2.27%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.793	-2.55%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.7962	-2.71%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.0216	-3.34%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1285	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.3899	-2.41%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1073	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.294	-2.05%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0973	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.6806	-2.01%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0858	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.