DCR

Decred · native · gru_s2

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1007

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0293

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.1386	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.083	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.7657	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.6488	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.7459	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.1405	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.5157	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.4938	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.6093	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.6332	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.8972	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.1181	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.6884	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.5813	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.2731	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.493	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.5918	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.3811	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.3184	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.2899	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.1654	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.3909	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.1099	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.8477	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.4444	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.2229	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.7668	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.2133	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.2656	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.9298	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.3961	-3.20%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1275	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.4124	-5.14%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1246	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.5895	-5.22%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1398	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.8187	-5.19%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1631	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.0029	-5.04%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1582	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.057	-4.01%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0771	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.3802	-2.52%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0198	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.1717	-3.12%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0329	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.8843	-2.74%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0294	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.7043	-2.21%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0031	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.7184	-0.97%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0021	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.5115	-0.30%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0238	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.4053	-0.45%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0247	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.1784	-1.04%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0180	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.851	+0.39%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0926	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.5398	-0.36%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0571	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.8422	-0.31%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1034	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.5126	-0.29%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1086	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.5714	+1.94%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1946	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0698	+0.88%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1828	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.462	+0.54%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1469	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7721	+1.56%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1683	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.4007	+2.37%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1665	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.6739	+2.96%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1393	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.478	+2.47%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1770	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.5142	+4.18%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1861	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.2915	+3.18%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1590	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.0944	+3.14%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1967	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.3331	+3.48%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1858	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.5728	+2.26%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1597	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.3059	+2.29%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1253	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.4826	+3.67%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2169	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.1917	+1.98%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2695	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7163	-1.78%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2716	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.3847	-2.80%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2205	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.6795	-3.30%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1218	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.6845	-2.37%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0378	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.7356	-2.50%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1245	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.6866	-2.37%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1250	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.8004	-2.80%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.0998	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.8605	-3.15%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0835	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.4205	-4.35%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0284	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.1784	-4.73%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0875	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.2445	-5.46%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1469	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.0699	-5.69%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0589	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.0074	-5.84%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0973	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.8366	-5.38%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0656	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.2145	-5.88%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0212	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.5632	-6.14%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1252	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.5242	-5.62%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1032	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.5261	-5.32%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0731	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.4067	-5.31%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0811	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.4652	-5.27%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1059	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.882	-5.32%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1015	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.2357	-3.55%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0352	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.2074	-3.23%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0071	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9242	-2.31%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0272	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5857	-0.85%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0114	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4419	-1.20%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0069	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4758	-1.02%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0308	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.938	-0.46%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0033	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4491	-0.17%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.1164	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.5666	-0.25%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1377	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5984	-1.03%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1134	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5519	-1.32%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0692	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5092	-1.63%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0303	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3435	-1.91%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0147	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.9759	-2.70%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0635	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.1064	-2.93%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0639	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.3316	-3.14%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0697	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.1374	-3.00%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0068	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.8294	-3.02%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0962	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.9475	-2.72%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1531	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.8631	-2.66%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1658	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.7366	-2.50%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1514	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.6808	-2.64%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1397	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.739	-2.48%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1392	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.8939	-2.87%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1665	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.8346	-2.79%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2047	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.975	-2.74%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1844	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.1742	-2.69%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1545	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9346	-2.22%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1621	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.7469	-1.77%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1602	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5253	-1.90%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1663	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.0626	-1.94%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0008	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.868	-2.14%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0025	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.1712	-2.76%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0512	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.8399	-3.19%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0028	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.5687	-3.57%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0299	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.6768	-4.12%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0445	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.5623	-5.50%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0929	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.8076	-6.12%	12.47	+8.32%	0.1134	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.7537	-5.94%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1128	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.1503	-6.09%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	10.9276	-5.93%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1331	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.8244	-5.70%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1310	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.3322	-5.88%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1134	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.647	-6.00%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1640	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.9099	-6.00%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1493	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.0633	-5.84%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1429	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.5412	-5.72%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1150	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.3459	-5.70%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0692	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.4671	-5.79%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0221	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.1625	-5.66%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.2608	-5.86%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.5261	-6.07%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.6184	-6.17%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.5221	-6.25%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.3221	-6.44%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0567	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.3064	-6.43%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0754	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.5729	-6.43%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.8103	-6.35%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.4794	-7.27%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1069	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.7799	-7.63%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0914	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.