BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s2

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

60.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1595

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0182

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0657	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0635	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1183	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0733	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.968008	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.994631	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	1.0057	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	1.0012	-0.32%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0747	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0361	-0.80%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0590	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0821	-1.38%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0674	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1655	-2.67%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0242	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.1184	-1.84%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.1114	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1719	-2.56%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1389	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.106	-1.78%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0931	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0752	-1.37%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0412	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1559	-2.50%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0654	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.1975	-3.42%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0270	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.1938	-4.56%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0448	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.2118	-3.98%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0337	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.1188	-3.49%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1021	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.2003	-5.34%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0169	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2164	-5.44%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.1055	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.0874	-5.14%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0590	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.2129	-4.56%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0118	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.3069	-3.20%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0711	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.277	-2.36%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0163	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.3158	-2.55%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.1324	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	1.0336	-1.43%	1.268	+20.93%	0.1976	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.841818	-0.73%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4365	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.759263	-0.13%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4558	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.877931	-1.79%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4205	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.798952	-3.70%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4668	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.623965	-2.85%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6838	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.55907	-2.30%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8261	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.52434	-1.85%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5456	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.46085	-0.81%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4594	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.463967	-0.52%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3289	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.499646	-1.90%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4676	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.492639	-1.24%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4597	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.538439	-1.73%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1232	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.552406	-1.36%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0229	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.549852	-1.16%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0257	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.587435	-0.93%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1996	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.571698	-0.23%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1543	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.517407	+1.13%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0002	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.499708	+2.15%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0620	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.452	+3.71%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2383	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.450722	+4.04%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2636	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.468439	+3.72%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2600	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.442519	+4.01%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.2748	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.412934	+4.65%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3079	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.424476	+3.73%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.1812	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.420045	+3.61%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1372	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.426122	+3.05%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0122	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.443203	+2.26%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0349	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.453429	+1.78%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0102	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.438713	+1.11%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0196	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.439836	+0.21%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1011	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.409595	-0.17%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0017	✓	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.437182	-1.34%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0750	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.423213	-1.67%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0313	✓	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.459665	-2.78%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0558	✓	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.398895	-0.92%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0869	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.401737	+0.33%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0383	✓	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.357588	-0.89%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1821	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.363681	-1.49%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.0985	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.366378	+0.08%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1657	✓	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.370668	-0.01%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1255	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.381715	+0.00%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.1856	✓	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.380794	+0.02%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0368	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.3823	+0.16%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0312	✓	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.377992	+0.56%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0492	✗	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.358419	+1.28%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0283	✓	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.402628	+0.11%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0912	✗	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.387804	+0.62%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0416	✗	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.405357	-0.23%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0566	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.434428	-1.51%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1300	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.395935	-1.34%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0335	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.386316	-1.00%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0259	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.368135	-0.26%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0406	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.380358	-0.22%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0528	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.369472	+0.45%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0390	✓	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.370541	+0.80%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.0890	✓	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.404181	+0.34%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.0875	✓	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.43006	-0.33%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0700	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.448651	-0.76%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1398	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.442509	-0.60%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1811	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.464966	-1.39%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1978	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.457027	-1.03%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.2167	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.444009	-0.60%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1885	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.432151	-0.29%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0702	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.457934	-1.43%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0597	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.456741	-1.67%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0106	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.447994	-0.02%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0072	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.437561	+1.12%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.0752	✓	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.477407	-1.32%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0335	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.469427	-0.55%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0496	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.492963	-1.84%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1288	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.531303	-3.38%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1315	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.521508	-3.01%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1131	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.516883	-2.46%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1364	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.538559	-3.14%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2162	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.564434	-3.57%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1521	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.546704	-3.39%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1472	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.525826	-3.34%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0450	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.530752	-3.59%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0392	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.56121	-4.25%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0390	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.551593	-4.37%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0438	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.500616	-3.69%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1052	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.52312	-4.12%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1134	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.555225	-4.62%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0220	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.586143	-4.85%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0724	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.583802	-4.55%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0560	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.537892	-3.52%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.0942	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.500049	-3.26%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1465	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.470266	-1.80%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1074	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.524475	-3.71%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0457	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.53601	-4.42%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0872	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.493206	-3.39%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2261	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.566919	-5.94%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0711	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.551339	-6.55%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0097	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.60952	-7.58%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.1723	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.627464	-8.18%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.2755	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.605722	-7.90%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1114	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.538972	-7.19%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0330	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.545054	-7.93%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0712	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.445222	-5.85%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.3049	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.397971	-4.84%	0.59	+41.08%	0.3983	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.401163	-4.92%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.5004	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.456231	-6.82%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4094	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.318764	-4.85%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7240	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.279202	-4.05%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7321	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.25914	-3.74%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8244	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.236005	-2.11%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7090	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.242098	-2.22%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5649	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.250412	-3.28%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5381	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.248076	-3.66%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.6922	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.221958	-2.26%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4418	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.224327	-3.14%	0.291	+25.65%	0.2815	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.223523	-4.52%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1837	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.267725	-6.29%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.1294	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.169319	-4.50%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3872	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.145765	-2.17%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6582	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.159134	-2.37%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5688	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.158111	-2.76%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4745	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.138985	-2.19%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6119	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123642	-1.40%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7186	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.123825	-1.18%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9218	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.119417	-0.49%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4785	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.12016	+0.05%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2686	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.124139	+0.11%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3027	✓	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.131108	-0.30%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2413	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.13185	-0.57%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.0940	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.134144	-0.12%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0293	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.132679	+0.51%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0275	✗	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.135042	-0.26%	0.12	-11.37%	0.1092	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.136864	-0.53%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1335	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.139119	-1.05%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1110	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.140728	-1.86%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0543	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.140732	-2.47%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0255	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.144234	-3.52%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0395	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.146668	-2.87%	0.132	-12.58%	0.0884	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.142519	-3.44%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0142	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.151853	-3.46%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0542	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.148291	-1.79%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0072	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.145508	-3.25%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0100	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.145053	-3.17%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0056	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.139583	-2.46%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0584	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.146288	-0.82%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0520	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.14408	-0.70%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0281	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.148612	-1.39%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0388	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.153088	-2.99%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0509	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.152216	-2.05%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0325	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.144272	-1.25%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0175	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.140838	-1.30%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0213	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.141146	-1.23%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0127	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.146734	-0.79%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0564	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.14984	+0.23%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0193	✗	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.146957	+0.31%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0724	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.144675	+0.33%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0604	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.141759	-0.24%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0218	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.139603	-1.48%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0443	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.138155	-1.60%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0619	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.137216	-2.27%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0754	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.137299	-2.49%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.132871	-2.80%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0340	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.137902	-1.78%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0197	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.138536	+0.46%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0207	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.147165	-1.56%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0785	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.137926	-1.06%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.14206	-1.28%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0406	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.148266	-0.89%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0706	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.141042	-2.26%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.145603	-1.55%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0720	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.145433	-1.33%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.1078	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.145457	-1.59%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.147763	-1.69%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.1097	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.151513	-1.81%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.14588	-1.96%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0529	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.144584	-1.84%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.150951	-1.60%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.1030	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.147381	-1.35%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0862	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.142862	-1.06%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.149869	-0.49%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0399	✓	1.00