BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s2

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

174

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

58.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4955

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0580

actual +0.3559

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	0.977616	-11.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	0.971885	-11.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.0158	-12.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	0.966078	-12.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.867731	-11.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.892537	-11.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.9033	-10.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.905299	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	0.934185	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	0.978423	-10.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.0602	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.0078	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.0546	-12.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	0.991262	-11.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	0.965346	-11.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.0451	-11.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.0746	-13.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.0606	-15.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.0668	-15.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	0.97936	-15.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.0413	-17.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.0544	-18.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	0.931165	-18.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.0612	-16.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.1654	-13.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.1569	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2168	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	0.959133	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.779564	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.718337	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.86518	-3.22%	1.0984	+22.88%	0.3019	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.759844	-8.41%	1.0962	+32.13%	0.3351	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.593786	-7.55%	1.1594	+80.51%	0.6582	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.53766	-6.04%	1.1091	+93.81%	0.7042	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.512164	-4.13%	0.97705	+82.90%	0.5518	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.452654	-2.57%	1.0034	+115.97%	0.6965	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.45912	-1.56%	1.0144	+117.48%	0.6886	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.492433	-3.31%	1.0044	+97.20%	0.6653	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.48785	-2.20%	1.0445	+109.39%	0.6733	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.53017	-3.24%	1.0973	+100.26%	0.6676	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.546094	-2.49%	1.1975	+113.83%	0.6844	✗	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.543923	-2.22%	1.1394	+104.81%	0.6355	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.577525	-2.60%	1.2027	+102.83%	0.6667	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.566303	-1.17%	1.126	+96.50%	0.6336	✗	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.518273	+1.29%	1.0901	+113.06%	0.6729	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.501466	+2.51%	1.1856	+142.34%	0.7715	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.450415	+3.34%	1.2399	+184.48%	0.9122	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.450525	+4.00%	1.2509	+188.75%	0.8997	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.474273	+5.01%	1.2619	+179.41%	0.9171	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.447804	+5.25%	1.1594	+172.50%	0.8247	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.422074	+6.96%	1.268	+221.35%	0.9657	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.441022	+7.78%	1.2865	+214.38%	1.0197	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.439234	+8.35%	1.1463	+182.76%	0.9259	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.446987	+8.10%	1.2709	+207.34%	1.0118	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.465277	+7.36%	1.3501	+211.51%	1.0229	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.477452	+7.17%	1.3079	+193.58%	0.9818	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.46102	+6.25%	1.3502	+211.19%	1.0433	✓	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.465045	+5.96%	1.0486	+138.92%	0.7763	✓	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.43983	+7.20%	0.848	+106.68%	0.6235	✓	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.46995	+6.06%	0.76025	+71.58%	0.4252	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.459775	+6.82%	0.89395	+107.70%	0.6026	✓	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.501387	+6.05%	0.82965	+75.48%	0.4864	✓	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.416128	+3.36%	0.64225	+59.53%	0.4075	✓	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.399716	-0.17%	0.57225	+42.92%	0.3133	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.361896	+0.30%	0.5342	+48.06%	0.3699	✓	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.369366	+0.04%	0.4646	+25.84%	0.2112	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.36699	+0.24%	0.4664	+27.40%	0.2185	✓	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.372455	+0.47%	0.5093	+37.39%	0.2873	✓	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.383653	+0.51%	0.4988	+30.68%	0.2366	✓	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.385963	+1.38%	0.5479	+43.92%	0.3238	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.386383	+1.23%	0.56005	+46.73%	0.3377	✓	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.381672	+1.54%	0.5563	+47.99%	0.3490	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.362616	+2.46%	0.59295	+67.55%	0.4616	✓	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.407742	+1.38%	0.573	+42.47%	0.3166	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.393087	+1.99%	0.51165	+32.76%	0.2401	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.408391	+0.51%	0.4892	+20.40%	0.1553	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.432815	-1.88%	0.43585	-1.19%	0.0265	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.396001	-1.32%	0.4332	+7.95%	0.0546	✗	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.384293	-1.51%	0.45165	+15.75%	0.1182	✗	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.363967	-1.39%	0.42545	+15.27%	0.1233	✗	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.374089	-1.87%	0.3946	+3.52%	0.0252	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.360725	-1.92%	0.4092	+11.26%	0.1048	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.361195	-1.74%	0.4054	+10.28%	0.0953	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.400532	-0.56%	0.4135	+2.66%	0.0287	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.424251	-1.68%	0.4334	+0.44%	0.0081	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.441011	-2.45%	0.4455	-1.46%	0.0054	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.43563	-2.15%	0.4339	-2.54%	0.0204	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.453671	-3.78%	0.4389	-6.91%	0.0387	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.446615	-3.29%	0.4103	-11.15%	0.0893	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.433847	-2.88%	0.4431	-0.81%	0.0173	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.419512	-3.20%	0.4304	-0.69%	0.0209	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.435843	-6.19%	0.4728	+1.76%	0.0827	✗	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.430252	-7.37%	0.4026	-13.33%	0.0655	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.425514	-5.04%	0.4004	-10.64%	0.0585	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.418274	-3.33%	0.3608	-16.62%	0.1478	✓	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.452058	-6.56%	0.3692	-23.69%	0.2026	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.448313	-5.02%	0.3661	-22.44%	0.2027	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.46874	-6.66%	0.3707	-26.18%	0.2347	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.495895	-9.82%	0.3817	-30.59%	0.2651	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.48391	-10.00%	0.3807	-29.20%	0.2427	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.488961	-7.73%	0.3817	-27.97%	0.2451	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.499035	-10.25%	0.3759	-32.39%	0.2840	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.518423	-11.43%	0.3539	-39.54%	0.3815	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.501453	-11.39%	0.4022	-28.93%	0.2196	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.486284	-10.61%	0.3854	-29.15%	0.2298	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.491384	-10.74%	0.4063	-26.19%	0.1861	✓	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.516095	-11.94%	0.4411	-24.74%	0.1549	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.508371	-11.86%	0.4013	-30.43%	0.2353	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.465445	-10.46%	0.3902	-24.93%	0.1755	✓	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.483061	-11.46%	0.3691	-32.35%	0.2685	✓	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.508739	-12.60%	0.3812	-34.51%	0.2868	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.535043	-13.14%	0.3678	-40.29%	0.3731	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.534403	-12.62%	0.3676	-39.90%	0.3707	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.495555	-11.11%	0.4028	-27.75%	0.1965	✓	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.456213	-11.74%	0.4315	-16.52%	0.0521	✓	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.431652	-9.87%	0.4521	-5.60%	0.0539	✓	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.471547	-13.43%	0.4452	-18.27%	0.0501	✓	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.477712	-14.82%	0.4715	-15.92%	0.0034	✓	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.441619	-13.49%	0.4618	-9.54%	0.0541	✓	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.494335	-17.98%	0.4467	-25.88%	0.0874	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.466579	-20.92%	0.4334	-26.54%	0.0730	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.506338	-23.22%	0.4646	-29.55%	0.0820	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.519377	-24.00%	0.4645	-32.03%	0.1073	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.501875	-23.69%	0.4481	-31.87%	0.1122	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.449352	-22.62%	0.4327	-25.49%	0.0355	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.457625	-22.70%	0.4838	-18.28%	0.0589	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.386007	-18.37%	0.472	-0.19%	0.2015	✓	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.351238	-16.01%	0.5022	+20.09%	0.3603	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.35744	-15.28%	0.5499	+30.34%	0.4330	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.408538	-16.56%	0.5377	+9.82%	0.2762	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.290822	-13.19%	0.5299	+58.18%	0.5967	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.257336	-11.57%	0.556	+91.07%	0.7709	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.239687	-10.96%	0.5853	+117.42%	0.8933	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.219782	-8.84%	0.5659	+134.72%	0.9583	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.225716	-8.84%	0.544	+119.71%	0.8867	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.232381	-10.24%	0.5505	+112.63%	0.8581	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.230647	-10.43%	0.5861	+127.61%	0.9327	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.208348	-8.26%	0.5768	+153.99%	1.0449	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.211573	-8.65%	0.5198	+124.44%	0.9205	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.210554	-10.06%	0.5456	+133.06%	0.9456	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.252591	-11.59%	0.5821	+103.75%	0.8205	✗	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.161824	-8.73%	0.616	+247.43%	1.3442	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.139325	-6.49%	0.6116	+310.47%	1.5973	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.153752	-5.67%	0.5575	+242.02%	1.4214	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.153389	-5.67%	0.5169	+217.90%	1.3339	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.133607	-5.98%	0.4789	+237.02%	1.3920	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.118507	-5.50%	0.5447	+334.37%	1.6410	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.118845	-5.15%	0.5608	+347.57%	1.6748	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.113905	-5.08%	0.5105	+325.42%	1.6545	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.114418	-4.73%	0.6027	+401.83%	1.8198	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.118597	-4.36%	0.59	+375.81%	1.7428	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.125732	-4.39%	0.6595	+401.52%	1.7805	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.126771	-4.40%	0.6834	+415.38%	1.8060	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.126676	-5.68%	0.6577	+389.72%	1.7815	✗	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.125093	-5.23%	0.5807	+339.92%	1.6774	✗	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.127416	-5.90%	0.592	+337.22%	1.6803	✗	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.12884	-6.37%	0.4729	+243.68%	1.4283	✗	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.131553	-6.43%	0.4182	+197.44%	1.2754	✗	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.135149	-5.75%	0.4219	+194.21%	1.2561	✗	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.138086	-4.31%	0.4896	+239.29%	1.4002	✗	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.145853	-2.44%	0.335	+124.08%	0.9960	✗	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.144369	-4.39%	0.291	+92.72%	0.8637	✗	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.144004	-2.44%	0.2692	+82.38%	0.8103	✗	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.150781	-4.14%	0.2411	+53.27%	0.6791	✗	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.144724	-4.16%	0.2476	+63.97%	0.7570	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.144296	-4.06%	0.2589	+72.14%	0.7730	✗	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.144103	-3.80%	0.2575	+71.90%	0.7610	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.138712	-3.07%	0.2271	+58.70%	0.7024	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.141415	-4.13%	0.2316	+57.02%	0.7123	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.139194	-4.07%	0.2341	+61.34%	0.6989	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.142693	-5.31%	0.2857	+89.58%	0.8659	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.145825	-7.59%	0.1773	+12.36%	0.3304	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.145806	-6.17%	0.149	-4.12%	0.1032	✗	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.137804	-5.68%	0.163	+11.57%	0.2179	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.133118	-6.71%	0.1626	+13.95%	0.2267	✗	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.132287	-7.43%	0.1421	-0.56%	0.0967	✗	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.13832	-6.48%	0.1254	-15.21%	0.0690	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.142052	-4.98%	0.1253	-16.19%	0.0937	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.140414	-4.15%	0.12	-18.09%	0.1254	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.137066	-4.95%	0.1201	-16.71%	0.1278	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.134566	-5.30%	0.124	-12.74%	0.0764	✓	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.1348	-4.87%	0.1315	-7.20%	0.0063	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.133337	-5.03%	0.1326	-5.56%	0.0262	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.131043	-6.66%	0.1343	-4.34%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.130743	-7.14%	0.132	-6.25%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.123769	-9.46%	0.1354	-0.95%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.130661	-6.94%	0.1376	-1.99%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.13155	-4.61%	0.1406	+1.96%	0.0625	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.13722	-8.21%	0.1434	-4.08%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.12757	-8.49%	0.1443	+3.52%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.130737	-9.15%	0.1495	+3.89%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.136807	-8.55%	0.151	+0.94%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.12999	-9.92%	0.1476	+2.29%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.133537	-9.71%	0.1573	+6.36%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.134485	-8.76%	0.151	+2.44%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.13567	-8.21%	0.1504	+1.76%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.139152	-7.42%	0.1498	-0.33%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.142926	-7.37%	0.1431	-7.26%	0.1055	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.138968	-6.61%	0.1475	-0.87%	0.1083	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.138325	-6.09%	0.1451	-1.49%	0.1113	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.145463	-5.17%	0.1507	-1.76%	0.1358	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.14273	-4.46%	0.1578	+5.62%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.138677	-3.96%	0.1554	+7.62%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.146842	-2.50%	0.1461	-2.99%	0.1436	✓	1.00