AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

68.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0573

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.021053	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.021142	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019657	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020518	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019375	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020417	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021782	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020201	-1.67%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0194	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018783	+0.73%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.0930	✓	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019341	-0.18%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0204	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018993	+0.93%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.0837	✓	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020479	-0.89%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0298	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021941	-2.36%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0445	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019914	-0.15%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1216	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019937	+0.02%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0241	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021928	-1.82%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1412	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021396	-1.63%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0669	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.02195	-2.51%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1010	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022178	-3.09%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0339	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022103	-3.20%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0411	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022015	-3.38%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0724	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022182	-3.36%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0642	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.022865	-3.29%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0196	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021998	-2.37%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0377	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021487	-1.65%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024479	-1.78%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0930	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025138	-1.47%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.1003	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024549	-0.97%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.024034	-0.26%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023368	+0.38%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024857	+1.03%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023637	+1.35%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0418	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021168	+0.15%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1234	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021377	+0.03%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1384	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021547	-0.25%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1012	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020134	-1.37%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020261	-1.53%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020915	-1.83%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0310	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020265	-0.87%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0383	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.02007	-0.95%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021302	-1.24%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020381	-0.33%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.01886	+1.19%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.0816	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020408	+1.43%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020886	+1.87%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.021278	+2.42%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.021243	+3.11%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.021219	+3.05%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0491	✓	1.00