AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0523
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0457
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.019315 | -0.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019416 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.020138 | -2.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018941 | -2.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.020086 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021519 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.020082 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.01853 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.019057 | -1.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018709 | -0.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.02014 | -2.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021621 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019636 | -1.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019647 | -1.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021487 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.021118 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021794 | -3.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022096 | -3.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.021969 | -3.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.021821 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021722 | -5.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.022051 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.021154 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020651 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.023195 | -6.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023731 | -6.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.023178 | -6.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022699 | -5.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022183 | -4.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.023676 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.022636 | -2.94% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.1041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020336 | -3.79% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0538 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020496 | -4.09% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020592 | -4.67% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019127 | -6.30% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019159 | -6.88% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0781 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.019704 | -7.52% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019035 | -6.88% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0631 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.018852 | -6.96% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020161 | -6.53% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1253 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.01934 | -5.41% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017831 | -4.33% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.0194 | -3.58% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019898 | -2.95% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020355 | -2.02% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020473 | -0.63% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020579 | -0.06% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 1.00 |