AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

65.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0409

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019446	-0.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.01966	-0.17%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0059	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020622	-0.27%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0617	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019418	-0.14%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0653	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020493	-0.26%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0617	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022009	-0.74%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0670	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020403	-0.68%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0926	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018667	+0.11%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0876	✓	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019357	-0.10%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0151	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.01885	+0.18%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0081	✓	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020593	-0.33%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0646	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022296	-0.78%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0865	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019902	-0.21%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1165	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.0199	-0.17%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0093	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022159	-0.78%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0865	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021575	-0.81%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0645	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022332	-0.81%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0237	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022757	-0.56%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0009	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022663	-0.75%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0135	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022647	-0.61%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0050	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022833	-0.52%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0025	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023512	-0.55%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0420	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022441	-0.41%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0533	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.02178	-0.31%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0314	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024813	-0.45%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1144	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025405	-0.42%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0197	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024706	-0.34%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.02405	-0.20%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0338	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023264	-0.07%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0351	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024601	-0.01%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023334	+0.05%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021123	-0.07%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0343	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021351	-0.09%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021568	-0.15%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.02035	-0.31%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020507	-0.34%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021222	-0.39%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020403	-0.19%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0770	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020231	-0.16%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021512	-0.26%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0538	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020443	-0.02%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0529	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018707	+0.38%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0802	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020182	+0.30%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020576	+0.36%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020864	+0.43%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0093	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020724	+0.59%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020708	+0.56%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0114	✗	1.00