ARK

ARK · native · gru_s2

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0552

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0116

actual -0.0093

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.179632	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.182371	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.170559	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.170012	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.165673	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.169487	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.175513	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.178142	-2.20%	0.18393	+0.98%	0.0091	✓	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.177653	-1.98%	0.18695	+3.14%	0.0240	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.186341	-2.32%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0638	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.185025	-2.01%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0626	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.200532	-3.11%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1536	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.206852	-2.81%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1617	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.208593	-2.78%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1398	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.216117	-3.79%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1755	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.205634	-4.13%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.1078	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.202966	-2.75%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0352	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.212027	-2.84%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0717	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.217908	-2.76%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0206	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.222549	-3.74%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0238	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.206172	-2.59%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0623	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.234218	-3.70%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0068	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.2471	-5.17%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1383	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.240248	-4.36%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1623	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.227569	-4.64%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0666	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.237832	-3.85%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0810	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.246395	-5.44%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0672	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.236958	-6.83%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.1173	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.18453	-4.54%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2710	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.15417	-2.87%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5343	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.153162	-3.06%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5246	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.14848	-3.58%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.5111	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146924	-3.19%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4778	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.148301	-3.35%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5224	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.13861	-2.56%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5649	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.133921	-2.31%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2545	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.144151	-3.74%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0186	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.140652	-3.11%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0323	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.159678	-5.28%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1391	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.132534	-3.79%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0851	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.129882	-2.29%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1205	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.11393	-0.59%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.1787	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.109627	-0.38%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2258	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.117151	-0.42%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2703	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.116102	-0.19%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2562	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.114729	+0.20%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.3951	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.118143	+0.29%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.1929	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.117994	+0.34%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1477	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.118115	+0.44%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0027	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.115474	+1.37%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0065	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.110744	+0.76%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0489	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.110137	+1.05%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0422	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.111857	+1.54%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0171	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.110967	+1.53%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0290	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.113515	+1.77%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0177	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.113864	+1.25%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0120	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.116025	+1.48%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0292	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.114114	+1.38%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0182	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.108626	+1.71%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0160	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.109237	+1.91%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0130	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.109964	+1.47%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0053	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.109815	+1.21%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0020	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.108652	+1.62%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0401	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.097384	+0.37%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.0813	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.091371	-0.62%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.1014	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.085447	-0.67%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0725	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.086412	-1.22%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0567	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.087274	-0.78%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0444	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088875	-0.83%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0373	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.087762	-0.72%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0208	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.089359	-0.76%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0319	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.088633	-0.74%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0370	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.0903	-1.03%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0633	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.091843	-0.74%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0560	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.092793	-0.72%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0268	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.093677	-0.91%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0193	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.093357	-0.94%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0293	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.093601	-1.09%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0276	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092464	-0.60%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0191	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092711	-0.72%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0091	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093919	-0.90%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0210	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.092154	-0.81%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0040	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091833	-0.81%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0007	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.09295	-0.86%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0135	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093652	-0.81%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0165	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092165	-0.77%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0000	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.095804	-0.89%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0283	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.096639	-1.01%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0164	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.103061	-1.14%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0815	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.102334	-1.22%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0812	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.100791	-1.19%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0567	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.102258	-1.16%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0757	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.103932	-1.14%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0860	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.104359	-1.11%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0445	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.101736	-1.10%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0236	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.10154	-1.11%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0187	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.104111	-1.26%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0010	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.102823	-1.22%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0104	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.103031	-1.25%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0115	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.105029	-1.75%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0154	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.106516	-1.14%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0276	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.103922	-1.02%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0474	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.105745	-1.17%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0412	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.106604	-1.11%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0240	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.107008	-1.28%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0247	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.104236	-1.65%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0066	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.10332	-0.90%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0029	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.105833	-0.94%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0027	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.109596	-1.06%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0213	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.109566	-1.04%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0256	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.110404	-1.18%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0324	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.110795	-1.08%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0417	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.108197	-0.92%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0415	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.104886	-0.98%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0342	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.111534	-0.81%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.1091	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.109275	-1.02%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0425	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.110726	-1.88%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0339	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.106298	-0.51%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0178	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103865	-0.26%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0256	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.106175	-0.39%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0116	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.107937	-0.61%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.0979	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.110388	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.112089	-0.69%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0366	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.115642	-0.78%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0341	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.113366	-0.53%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0113	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.114554	-1.04%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0505	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.120169	-0.92%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0732	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.122844	-1.01%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0842	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.123545	-1.11%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0742	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.122724	-1.51%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0506	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.120607	-0.73%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0314	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.11909	-0.47%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0430	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.120645	-0.63%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0316	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.119937	-0.22%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0327	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.115219	+0.06%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0169	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.142851	-0.41%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1366	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.146755	-1.13%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1751	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.155399	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.152823	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.14897	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.145892	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.145167	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.149241	-1.16%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0780	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.151913	-1.59%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0785	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.15532	-2.37%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0802	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.155582	-1.61%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0434	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.160079	-1.85%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0223	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.155681	-1.62%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0213	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.161113	-1.62%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0497	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.158228	-1.16%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0133	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.156841	-0.86%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0060	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.16183	-0.81%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0203	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.161613	-0.51%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0173	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.166161	-0.42%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.169418	-0.62%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0297	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.177492	-0.34%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0442	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.174727	-0.95%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0676	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.181818	-0.43%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.0992	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.188431	-0.38%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.0938	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.188038	+0.07%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.0971	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.178942	-0.03%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0154	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.181182	+0.54%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0023	✓	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.178432	+0.52%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0289	✓	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.175503	+0.29%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0495	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.176717	-0.60%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0117	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.172307	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.172342	-0.76%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0145	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.173941	-0.92%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0448	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.179024	-1.58%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0735	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.171399	-0.29%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0147	✓	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.17624	-0.19%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0104	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.173386	-0.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.171936	-0.29%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0018	✓	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.171655	-0.02%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0405	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.17258	-0.03%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0530	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.172727	-0.59%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0522	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.170697	-0.65%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0152	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.165468	-0.83%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0055	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.17312	-0.73%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0244	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.177606	-0.70%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0347	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.174079	-1.07%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0591	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.17078	-0.98%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0383	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.167157	-0.86%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0066	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.168704	-1.20%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0027	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.16069	-1.89%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0104	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.166566	-1.15%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0056	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.168599	-1.21%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0027	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.167317	-1.31%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0015	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.166402	-1.29%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0224	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.168696	-1.39%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0357	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.163135	-1.76%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0421	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.162645	-2.05%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0212	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.163144	-1.30%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0612	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.16445	-1.40%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0608	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.158359	-1.57%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0117	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.164517	-1.20%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0241	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161019	-1.06%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0008	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.159574	-1.03%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0042	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155987	-0.92%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0114	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159788	-1.04%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0174	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.160328	-1.03%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0292	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.1647	-1.10%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0081	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.170948	-1.13%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0260	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.169491	-1.15%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0025	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.169518	-1.12%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0187	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.162321	-1.13%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0018	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168942	-1.06%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0014	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.174063	-1.11%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0027	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.174196	-1.06%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0260	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.176653	-1.28%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0224	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.185694	-1.83%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0257	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.186557	-1.04%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0211	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.173339	-0.88%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0256	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.169087	-0.87%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0471	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.170954	-1.00%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0364	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.172074	-1.37%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0328	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.169104	-0.59%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0401	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.16522	-0.47%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0732	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162905	-0.62%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0445	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.162517	-0.29%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0400	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.163567	-0.30%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0239	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.169182	-0.41%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0261	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.171107	-0.38%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0253	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.17389	-0.43%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0177	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171526	-0.38%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0608	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171397	-0.30%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0376	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.171154	-0.11%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0525	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.175048	-0.16%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0701	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.174365	-0.12%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0665	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.178564	-0.27%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0983	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.180351	-0.22%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.1129	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.170681	+0.07%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0703	✗	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.171961	-0.21%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0762	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.179533	-0.51%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0132	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.184534	-0.69%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0334	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.183197	-0.64%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0096	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.181508	-0.50%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0231	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.181052	-0.37%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0302	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.188193	-0.55%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0369	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.190468	-0.49%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0243	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.188537	-0.75%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0233	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.203162	-0.86%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0580	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.198907	-0.88%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0616	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.185261	+0.04%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0287	✗	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.180871	-0.39%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0149	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.184686	-0.15%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0466	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.182045	-0.03%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0706	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.181846	+0.17%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0676	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.185845	+0.09%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.0889	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.185162	+0.08%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1084	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.163718	+2.31%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0644	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.203462	+0.10%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0380	✗	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.20814	-0.04%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0363	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.215192	-0.86%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0679	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.20973	-0.27%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0670	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.21834	-0.56%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0438	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.230835	-1.82%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0599	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.234104	-1.57%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1062	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.251168	-1.87%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0345	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.255085	-1.99%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0565	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.254219	-1.94%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0566	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.2452	-1.66%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0503	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.25316	-1.83%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0346	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.252229	-1.83%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0166	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.254597	-1.74%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0185	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.257317	-1.99%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0034	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.257813	-1.91%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0500	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.268827	-1.84%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0022	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.283201	-1.98%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0338	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.281417	-1.87%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0312	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.28263	-1.77%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0262	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.291739	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.29048	-2.00%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0284	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.270533	-1.76%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0423	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.277037	-1.90%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0393	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.283631	-2.01%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0292	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.284209	-1.91%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0445	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.2839	-2.40%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0350	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.285473	-2.58%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0328	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.2768	-2.40%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0466	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.272758	-2.64%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0451	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.265891	-2.23%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.0879	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.268966	-2.45%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0668	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.257412	-1.92%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.0914	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.253685	-1.64%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.0932	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.258935	-1.92%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0200	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.259599	-2.01%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0133	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.255455	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.257435	-1.59%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0179	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.246883	-1.26%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0753	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.24743	-1.26%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0381	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.254207	-1.51%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0159	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.253947	-1.55%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0258	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.255993	-1.61%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0537	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.250449	-1.42%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0533	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.254442	-1.51%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0347	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.250175	-1.63%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0102	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.240829	-0.84%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0162	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.251212	-0.99%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0080	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.259019	-1.33%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0016	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.260865	-1.99%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0320	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.270225	-1.56%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0680	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.278245	-1.65%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0486	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.275966	-1.46%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0528	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.282215	-1.47%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0560	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.287209	-1.74%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0464	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.288349	-1.67%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0305	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.280969	-1.37%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0019	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.2832	-1.34%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0019	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.286855	-1.20%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0270	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.292847	-1.23%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0571	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.288403	-1.35%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0129	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.289049	-1.41%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0300	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.283951	-1.07%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0137	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.275547	-0.79%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0305	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.293581	-1.15%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0230	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.304636	-1.86%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0260	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.282247	-1.42%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0712	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.280275	-0.94%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0314	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.272386	-0.65%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0326	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.272305	-0.43%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0053	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.274544	-0.48%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0411	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.269356	-0.70%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0447	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.25979	+0.37%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0843	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.261679	+0.08%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0012	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.26954	+0.16%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0227	✗	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.276763	-0.26%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0061	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.285359	-0.48%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0461	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.288083	-0.37%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0187	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.288289	-0.28%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0586	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.29448	-0.30%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0481	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.294911	-0.21%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0347	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.298169	-0.64%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1185	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.311193	-0.64%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0503	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.317895	-1.38%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0575	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.308647	-1.03%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1598	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.306706	-1.15%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.0986	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.28423	-0.45%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.0792	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.272876	-0.41%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1713	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.26718	+0.51%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1643	✓	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.279293	+0.05%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1190	✓	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.315881	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.317448	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.307822	-0.66%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.0980	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.306777	-0.56%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0309	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.316934	-0.73%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0580	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.31772	-0.46%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0115	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.325838	-0.75%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0483	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.336479	-1.03%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0019	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.328566	-0.95%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0021	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.325099	-0.74%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0266	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.324268	-0.42%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0236	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.315189	-0.12%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0228	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.321221	-0.30%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0716	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.330579	-0.48%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0563	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.326585	-0.31%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0410	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.321335	-0.16%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0310	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.320997	-0.06%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0448	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.336517	-0.30%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0598	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.350576	-0.48%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0606	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.359712	-0.73%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0459	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.377835	-1.47%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0667	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.381218	-1.08%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0678	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.349428	-0.86%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0363	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.350349	-0.93%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0052	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.422878	-1.48%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.1024	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.43185	-1.40%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.0918	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.432611	-1.67%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.1057	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.445547	-1.56%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0709	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.434349	-1.54%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0489	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.435705	-1.73%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.1104	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.445592	-1.27%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1504	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.445635	-1.60%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0468	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.426972	-1.48%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0104	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.417734	-1.52%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0072	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.410677	-1.44%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0042	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.416317	-1.58%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0493	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.408854	-1.60%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0444	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.412606	-1.81%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0343	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.402122	-1.55%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0045	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.427781	-1.68%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0369	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.433636	-1.90%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0421	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.410415	-2.42%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0011	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.442173	-2.04%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0150	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.452488	-2.09%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0249	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.443847	-2.04%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0049	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.460191	-2.42%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0387	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.455402	-2.43%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0145	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.445125	-2.85%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0411	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.449905	-2.09%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0406	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.477644	-3.47%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0563	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.445267	-2.47%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0395	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.441763	-2.55%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0297	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.445152	-2.29%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0412	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.442966	-2.07%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0259	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.43977	-2.08%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0164	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.439474	-2.50%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0083	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.420586	-2.17%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1169	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.417088	-2.20%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0303	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.415544	-2.96%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0304	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.