ARK

ARK · native · gru_s2

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

76.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1334

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0256

actual -0.0240

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.171542	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.173734	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.162483	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.161194	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.157197	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.160214	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.166118	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.168592	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.168474	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.177251	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.175273	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.189617	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.194364	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.195485	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.201901	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.19353	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.190897	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.199364	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.205466	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.209949	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.19421	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.219329	-9.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.230755	-11.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.222806	-11.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.213287	-10.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.22089	-10.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.231053	-11.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.224766	-11.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.17534	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.147622	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.14917	-5.59%	0.18393	+16.41%	0.2324	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.145651	-5.42%	0.18695	+21.40%	0.2794	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.139737	-7.92%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1988	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.141008	-8.10%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.2022	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.132771	-6.67%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.2271	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.127466	-7.02%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2352	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.13715	-8.42%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1928	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.133487	-8.04%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.2170	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.152292	-9.66%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1314	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.127774	-7.24%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.3289	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.125619	-5.50%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3556	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.113797	-0.70%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5230	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.109692	-0.32%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5885	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.115978	-1.42%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5677	✗	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.115258	-0.92%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6316	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.114546	+0.04%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5820	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.118021	+0.19%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.5153	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.117897	+0.25%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5533	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.118267	+0.57%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5673	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.117295	+2.97%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6403	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.11126	+1.23%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5610	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.111196	+2.02%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6978	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.114159	+3.63%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7687	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.113941	+4.25%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7232	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.118078	+5.86%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6473	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.118032	+4.96%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6689	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.120334	+5.25%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7283	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.118534	+5.31%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7088	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.113743	+6.51%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4672	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.115435	+7.69%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2604	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.116232	+7.25%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2146	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.116883	+7.73%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1712	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.11922	+11.51%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2090	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.10538	+8.61%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.2867	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.095252	+3.60%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2751	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.085909	-0.13%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3387	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.087313	-0.19%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.4093	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.086745	-1.38%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3654	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.088292	-1.48%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4729	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.087299	-1.24%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2954	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.088973	-1.19%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2414	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.088455	-0.94%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0958	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.09093	-0.34%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0374	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.09188	-0.70%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0783	✗	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.093009	-0.49%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0627	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.094899	+0.39%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0210	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.09455	+0.32%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0399	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.094025	-0.64%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0401	✗	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092463	-0.60%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0622	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092408	-1.05%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0080	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093225	-1.64%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0049	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.091545	-1.47%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0039	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091087	-1.62%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0007	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092118	-1.75%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0079	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093069	-1.43%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0163	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.091523	-1.46%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0394	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.094884	-1.84%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0065	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.095438	-2.24%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0183	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.101758	-2.39%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.0944	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.100747	-2.75%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.0994	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.099204	-2.74%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0636	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.1008	-2.57%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0601	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.102652	-2.36%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.0924	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.103245	-2.16%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1352	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.100417	-2.38%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1337	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.100081	-2.54%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1514	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.102459	-2.82%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1543	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.101134	-2.84%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1265	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.101586	-2.63%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1160	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.104348	-2.39%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1445	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.105194	-2.37%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1363	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.102325	-2.54%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1509	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.104101	-2.71%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1292	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.105202	-2.41%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1302	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.105779	-2.42%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1329	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.103554	-2.30%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1129	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.101905	-2.26%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1115	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.104438	-2.24%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1104	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.10803	-2.47%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1569	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.107912	-2.53%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1503	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.108636	-2.76%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1412	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.108912	-2.76%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1710	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.106585	-2.39%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1567	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.103742	-2.06%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1366	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.109001	-3.07%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2279	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.106951	-3.13%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1602	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.108668	-3.70%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1580	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.104432	-2.25%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0732	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.102194	-1.87%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0481	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.10446	-1.99%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0648	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.106281	-2.13%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0584	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.108491	-2.45%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0589	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.110035	-2.51%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0844	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.113578	-2.55%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1120	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.111683	-2.01%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1001	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.112915	-2.45%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0945	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.117906	-2.79%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1173	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.120729	-2.72%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1219	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.12183	-2.49%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1101	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.121572	-2.43%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1113	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.118842	-2.18%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0931	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.117582	-1.73%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0972	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.118848	-2.11%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.1005	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.117922	-1.90%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1236	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.113787	-1.19%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0931	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.136762	-4.66%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1788	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.140008	-5.67%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1783	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.147658	-6.43%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.1934	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.146035	-6.80%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.0713	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.142496	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.140133	-5.95%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.0716	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.138921	-5.41%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0458	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.143106	-5.23%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1231	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.146634	-5.01%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1536	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.150699	-5.27%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1562	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.149927	-5.18%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1569	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.153645	-5.79%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.1759	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.149475	-5.54%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1381	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.155444	-5.08%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1367	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.153536	-4.09%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1378	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.152731	-3.46%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1171	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.158038	-3.13%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1211	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.159284	-1.95%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1161	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.165506	-0.81%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1492	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.169117	-0.80%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1531	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.177814	-0.16%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.1935	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.175254	-0.66%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.1905	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.18074	-1.02%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.1984	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.187883	-0.67%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2090	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.188798	+0.47%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2590	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.179147	+0.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.184902	+2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.185059	+4.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.180194	+2.97%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0132	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.179632	+1.04%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0104	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.175229	+0.97%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0440	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.171306	-1.36%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0839	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.173101	-1.40%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1145	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.179912	-1.09%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1612	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.172481	+0.34%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0879	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.178313	+0.98%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1028	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.176287	+1.50%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.0968	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.174432	+1.16%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0911	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.174076	+1.39%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0414	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.175175	+1.48%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0611	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.173126	-0.36%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0733	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.170796	-0.59%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.0886	✓	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.164419	-1.46%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0819	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.173473	-0.53%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0788	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.17844	-0.23%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.0984	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.173227	-1.56%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0802	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.170316	-1.25%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0601	✓	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.167487	-0.66%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0375	✓	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.168808	-1.14%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0258	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.159822	-2.42%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0123	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.165287	-1.91%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0084	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.167376	-1.92%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0184	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.165595	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.164689	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.167672	-1.98%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0554	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.161729	-2.60%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0806	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.161602	-2.68%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0851	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.160499	-2.90%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1073	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.161827	-2.98%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.0870	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.157069	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.162288	-2.54%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.0900	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.15913	-2.22%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0396	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.157337	-2.41%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0347	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.15351	-2.50%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0044	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.156939	-2.80%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0832	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.157278	-2.91%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0769	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.161996	-2.73%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0690	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.168854	-2.34%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0737	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.167071	-2.56%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.0919	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.167446	-2.33%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0822	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.159865	-2.63%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0520	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.165764	-2.92%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0741	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.171202	-2.74%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0784	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.171537	-2.57%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0749	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.175728	-1.80%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0731	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.186316	-1.50%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0761	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.185994	-1.33%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0747	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.172508	-1.35%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0436	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.167829	-1.61%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0325	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.169782	-1.68%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0329	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.17254	-1.11%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0639	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.168743	-0.80%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0326	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.165437	-0.34%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0047	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.16341	-0.31%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0117	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.161899	-0.67%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0437	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.163114	-0.57%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0090	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.168487	-0.82%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0295	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.17109	-0.39%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0258	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.174055	-0.34%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0512	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.170689	-0.87%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0338	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.170818	-0.64%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0130	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.170112	-0.72%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0880	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174428	-0.52%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0745	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.173152	-0.82%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0969	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.177954	-0.61%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0761	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.179307	-0.79%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0720	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.168658	-1.11%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0995	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.169328	-1.74%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.0975	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.17662	-2.13%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0807	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.180963	-2.61%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1048	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.179499	-2.65%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0867	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.177495	-2.70%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0735	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.176861	-2.68%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0773	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.183524	-3.02%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0840	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.18638	-2.63%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0814	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.184864	-2.68%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0629	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.197595	-3.58%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1300	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.193211	-3.72%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1665	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.180409	-2.58%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1404	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.176306	-2.91%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0848	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.179372	-3.02%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0558	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.177094	-2.75%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0420	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.177047	-2.47%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0594	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.180618	-2.73%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0836	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.179634	-2.91%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0213	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.157356	-1.66%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0346	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.194523	-4.29%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0739	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.199191	-4.34%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0921	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.205902	-5.14%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0967	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.200022	-4.89%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0484	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.207698	-5.40%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0653	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.221076	-5.97%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0294	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.223664	-5.96%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0286	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.24199	-5.46%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0582	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.245142	-5.81%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0655	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.243953	-5.90%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0698	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.235011	-5.75%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0583	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.243313	-5.65%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0672	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.242234	-5.72%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0513	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.244804	-5.52%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0363	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.245358	-6.55%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0534	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.247844	-5.71%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0008	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.259541	-5.23%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0109	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.273826	-5.22%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0627	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.272966	-4.81%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0615	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.275153	-4.37%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0063	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.285936	-3.73%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0373	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.284564	-3.99%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0851	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.265496	-3.59%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1020	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.270861	-4.09%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1236	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.275936	-4.67%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1784	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.276415	-4.60%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1680	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.277748	-4.51%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1319	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.279417	-4.64%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.1024	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.273114	-3.70%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0385	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.269713	-3.73%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0255	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.261166	-3.97%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0116	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.263705	-4.36%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0334	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.252415	-3.83%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0069	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.248144	-3.78%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0065	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.252383	-4.40%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0047	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.252098	-4.84%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0127	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.248997	-4.78%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0275	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.249651	-4.56%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0318	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.240018	-4.00%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0480	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.240727	-3.93%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0435	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.246108	-4.65%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0183	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.245324	-4.89%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0274	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.247406	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.242563	-4.53%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0835	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.24644	-4.60%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0085	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.243222	-4.37%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0460	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.233484	-3.87%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0864	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.243372	-4.08%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0428	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.250996	-4.38%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0368	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.252773	-5.03%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0235	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.26091	-4.95%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0340	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.269175	-4.85%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0106	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.267787	-4.38%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0454	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.274892	-4.02%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0796	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.278108	-4.85%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0607	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.279716	-4.62%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0606	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.272924	-4.20%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0630	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.274794	-4.27%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0107	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.27817	-4.20%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0528	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.283937	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.281041	-3.87%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0128	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.281872	-3.86%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0249	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.278068	-3.12%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0225	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.270306	-2.68%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0650	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.287372	-3.24%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0566	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.298803	-3.74%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0673	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.278672	-2.66%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0208	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.276049	-2.44%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0041	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.268002	-2.25%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0244	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.267131	-2.32%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0617	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.269848	-2.19%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0348	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.265866	-1.99%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0397	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.255042	-1.47%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0399	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.25637	-1.95%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0640	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.26353	-2.07%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0470	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.271366	-2.21%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0113	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.279046	-2.68%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0194	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.281126	-2.78%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0063	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.283136	-2.06%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0263	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.29098	-1.49%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0582	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.2915	-1.37%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0421	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.295712	-1.45%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1107	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.30726	-1.90%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0926	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.314709	-2.36%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0728	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.306303	-1.78%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1793	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.302699	-2.44%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1504	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.281392	-1.44%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2200	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.270704	-1.20%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3231	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.263811	-0.76%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2531	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.275931	-1.15%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2708	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.310621	-2.60%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.2124	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.311769	-2.70%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2577	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.303627	-2.01%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2723	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.301299	-2.34%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2998	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.311754	-2.36%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.2048	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.316346	-0.89%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2199	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.323754	-1.39%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1953	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.332769	-2.12%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2261	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.323923	-2.35%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2109	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.3217	-1.78%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2199	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.322648	-0.92%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1960	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.313656	-0.61%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1911	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.319225	-0.92%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1865	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.327297	-1.47%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1338	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.322987	-1.41%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1228	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.316437	-1.68%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1443	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.315447	-1.79%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.1017	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.329896	-2.26%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0798	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.344596	-2.18%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0872	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.353964	-2.31%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0265	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.371834	-3.04%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0162	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.372882	-3.24%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0167	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.342449	-2.84%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0315	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.343693	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.413253	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.423902	-3.22%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1269	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.422631	-3.94%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2100	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.439303	-2.94%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2883	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.430318	-2.46%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2854	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.434778	-1.94%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.3023	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.440547	-2.39%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2200	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.439051	-3.06%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2208	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.419343	-3.24%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2285	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.407882	-3.85%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2301	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.401046	-3.75%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1866	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.404663	-4.33%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2443	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.396892	-4.48%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2346	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.402339	-4.25%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2177	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.390955	-4.29%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1913	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.415314	-4.55%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2151	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.418479	-5.33%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2319	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.399268	-5.07%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1825	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.42693	-5.41%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2145	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.436649	-5.52%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2222	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.428111	-5.51%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1974	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.442401	-6.19%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2185	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.438167	-6.12%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2078	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.431547	-5.82%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1581	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.432648	-5.85%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1588	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.45877	-7.28%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2125	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.431055	-5.58%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1096	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.429523	-5.25%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0976	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.430075	-5.60%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1477	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.426119	-5.79%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1758	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.421376	-6.18%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0898	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.420929	-6.62%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0799	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.403656	-6.11%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0229	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.400874	-6.00%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0247	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.400486	-6.47%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0331	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.