ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s2
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3087
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0117
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.00799 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007232 | -1.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006873 | +0.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005919 | +3.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.007071 | +2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007827 | +2.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008686 | -0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008661 | +0.13% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007973 | +6.09% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0817 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008931 | +2.77% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2652 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011027 | -0.65% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.01074 | +0.75% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4286 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012452 | -1.02% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.01337 | -1.69% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013698 | -2.23% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013111 | -3.24% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013385 | -4.12% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.3841 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013542 | -5.40% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.012972 | -2.69% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1744 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.01475 | -4.78% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013788 | -3.14% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013785 | -1.81% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.01442 | -1.77% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0847 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018979 | -1.10% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021531 | +0.15% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4321 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.02416 | +0.58% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024903 | +0.60% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4797 | ✗ | 1.00 |