ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s2
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
55.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0998
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0032
actual -0.0341
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008934 | -1.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008884 | -1.10% | 0.009037 | +0.60% | 0.0204 | ✗ | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007362 | +0.40% | 0.008983 | +22.51% | 0.2205 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006918 | +0.87% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0817 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005804 | +1.54% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1635 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006953 | +1.26% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1837 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.00775 | +1.13% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1233 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008777 | +0.88% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1281 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.00874 | +1.04% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007638 | +1.64% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1431 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008808 | +1.36% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1753 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011171 | +0.64% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010762 | +0.95% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012631 | +0.40% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1740 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013618 | +0.13% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0896 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.014001 | -0.07% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013572 | +0.16% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013973 | +0.09% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0283 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.01432 | +0.04% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013385 | +0.41% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015456 | -0.22% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1508 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014246 | +0.08% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.014045 | +0.03% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0019 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014662 | -0.12% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0424 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019145 | -0.24% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2677 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021412 | -0.41% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023807 | -0.89% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024417 | -1.36% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 1.00 |