ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s2
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0986
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0030
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008233 | -1.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007316 | -0.23% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1243 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006879 | +0.31% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0872 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005795 | +1.40% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1649 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006945 | +1.14% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1825 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007725 | +0.81% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1201 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008704 | +0.05% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008668 | +0.20% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0031 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007668 | +2.04% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008781 | +1.05% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1722 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011082 | -0.17% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010696 | +0.34% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.01254 | -0.32% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1668 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.01353 | -0.51% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.01379 | -1.57% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013211 | -2.50% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0855 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013592 | -2.63% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013985 | -2.30% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013132 | -1.49% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0656 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015262 | -1.47% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014144 | -0.64% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0950 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013988 | -0.37% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014643 | -0.25% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0410 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019155 | -0.18% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2682 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021487 | -0.06% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.1011 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.024008 | -0.05% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024726 | -0.12% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0328 | ✓ | 1.00 |