ARCSOL

? · · gru_s2

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

46.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1790

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0212

actual +0.0282

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.049425	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.049971	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.04266	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.039801	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038775	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035074	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038304	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037249	+0.71%	0.050705	+37.10%	0.3116	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.032467	+2.92%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.4667	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059349	-0.64%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2989	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.061998	-1.53%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4036	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.060672	-1.26%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4103	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062196	-1.24%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5590	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060606	-0.41%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4466	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063463	-0.92%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5362	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.070189	-2.44%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.7974	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.068315	-2.89%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1303	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.070288	-3.73%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1076	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.068926	-3.10%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1135	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.068601	-2.88%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.0839	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.070082	-2.99%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1387	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.068901	-2.20%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0729	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.071144	-2.07%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0105	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069048	-1.25%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0178	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072242	-0.70%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0104	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070802	+0.16%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0047	✓	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.07205	+0.42%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0198	✗	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.073999	+0.62%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0240	✗	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.078832	+0.39%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.1127	✗	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.078729	+0.66%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0813	✗	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.078581	+0.54%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.1179	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.073534	-0.16%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0055	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.064529	+1.23%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.0952	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.071267	+0.41%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0107	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.070111	-0.21%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0603	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073836	-0.52%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0752	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.078558	-0.99%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0080	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072676	-0.51%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0819	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.069351	-0.04%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0657	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072736	-0.57%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1257	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073528	-0.52%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0275	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.073234	-0.43%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0419	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.072163	+0.26%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0237	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072934	+0.57%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0783	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.075385	+0.84%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0334	✗	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.073441	+2.07%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0632	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.075444	+1.93%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0354	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.075787	+2.03%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0289	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.073672	+2.48%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0079	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.074079	+1.84%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0264	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.066769	+3.01%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.0851	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.070748	+1.96%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0569	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068879	+1.88%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0473	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.071565	+1.41%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0367	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.070829	+1.34%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0509	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.068142	+1.96%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0549	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.07203	+1.24%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0079	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.072852	+0.94%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1185	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.07105	+0.81%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0242	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069989	+0.99%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0347	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.067776	+1.39%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0422	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.068804	+1.03%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0149	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.070473	+1.60%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0434	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068656	-0.64%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0503	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.06791	-2.09%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0843	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.071998	-2.73%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0001	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070706	-1.63%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0089	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.070821	-1.46%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0311	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.075687	-1.73%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0738	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.074554	-1.51%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0608	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.071067	-1.20%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0064	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.065474	-0.68%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0629	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.064009	-0.88%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1477	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.064709	-2.25%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0958	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.061361	-3.25%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1492	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051799	-1.07%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3854	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.053794	-1.62%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3368	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050361	-1.83%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3499	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.051628	-2.59%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2417	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.049975	-1.82%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2588	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050121	-2.28%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2848	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051309	-1.04%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2228	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052873	-1.06%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0007	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.053025	+0.50%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0284	✓	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053878	+0.33%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0456	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051881	+0.72%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0223	✓	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.054293	+0.47%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0657	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.056319	+0.69%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.1019	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.060196	+0.29%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1571	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.062294	+0.10%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1593	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061662	+0.35%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1574	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064052	-0.72%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1866	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066049	-0.83%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2613	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069286	-1.19%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2553	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.069861	-1.17%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2195	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070339	-0.83%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1607	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.072422	-0.98%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1511	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.07414	-0.82%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1839	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.075518	-0.36%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1525	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.08003	-0.47%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1783	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.073705	-0.65%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0328	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.077782	-0.46%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0896	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.078448	-0.43%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0939	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.079161	-0.38%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0806	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.078701	-0.50%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0478	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.08054	-0.75%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0459	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.080436	-0.63%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0081	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.081798	-0.68%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.1069	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.080778	-0.75%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0325	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.077531	-0.70%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0194	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.07845	-0.77%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0208	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.08191	-1.00%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0270	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.082108	-1.41%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0010	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.081784	-2.52%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0100	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.081791	-2.13%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0232	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.085471	-3.02%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0356	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.081802	-2.79%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0368	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.081981	-2.69%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0286	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.081453	-2.71%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0211	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.08105	-1.91%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0224	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.081341	-1.62%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0155	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.082281	-1.68%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0002	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.078959	-1.51%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.0933	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.078728	-1.52%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0471	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.077778	-1.39%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0648	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.080843	-1.38%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0212	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.083228	-1.67%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0224	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072848	-1.28%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1149	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.076187	-1.39%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0810	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.080713	-1.52%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0178	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.087864	-1.73%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0955	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.087274	-1.75%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.1016	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.0821	-1.67%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0050	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.082914	-1.26%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0358	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.081994	-1.34%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0862	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.082434	-1.81%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0485	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.081906	-1.99%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0106	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.081185	-1.93%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1064	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.078763	-2.95%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1263	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.072685	-3.40%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1384	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.071412	-3.74%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1589	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.069039	-2.62%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1862	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.07523	-1.81%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1042	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.072153	-1.74%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1566	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.076875	-1.88%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1310	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.073208	-1.92%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1190	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.070338	-1.94%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0740	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.062965	-1.56%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1761	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.063362	-1.50%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1412	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.064162	-1.32%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1273	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.063358	-1.03%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1176	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.063891	-0.93%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1797	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.063556	-0.71%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1420	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.063868	-0.36%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.0795	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.064903	-0.53%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0437	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.064293	-0.51%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0081	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.065383	-0.77%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0028	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.066761	-1.37%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0458	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.061392	-0.63%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0367	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.071221	-3.44%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1400	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.05889	-2.27%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0581	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062572	-1.99%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0309	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.064738	-3.58%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0273	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.061178	-4.50%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0458	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.060506	-3.76%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0813	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.065635	-4.29%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.0755	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.066992	-3.69%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0905	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.065519	-2.80%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0799	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.067174	-3.25%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0486	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.067506	-3.62%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0058	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.064615	-2.94%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0078	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.066618	-2.66%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0476	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.069581	-2.96%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0096	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.072624	-3.44%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0386	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.073218	-2.18%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0741	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.073543	-2.16%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0449	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.065935	-1.27%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0653	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.076722	-2.91%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1386	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.06667	-2.76%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0261	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065317	-2.09%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0944	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.063237	-2.08%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1738	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.0645	-3.05%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1476	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.063211	-2.99%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1718	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.064627	-2.99%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0328	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.064566	-2.91%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.2033	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.063697	-2.56%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0844	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.06681	-2.30%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0036	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.068572	-1.43%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0589	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.071431	-1.83%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0626	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.068598	-1.43%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0420	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.069201	-1.39%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0321	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.07133	-1.08%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0656	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.072864	-2.27%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.1064	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.075084	-1.80%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0913	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.069914	-1.53%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0019	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.069317	-2.29%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0510	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058929	-1.72%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1705	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.057468	-1.81%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2023	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.055902	-1.81%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2601	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052645	-1.69%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3498	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.05408	-1.73%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3513	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053666	-1.80%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2851	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.051463	-1.66%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3249	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.053561	-2.24%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1160	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052443	-2.41%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1138	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049567	-2.14%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1414	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.049146	-2.43%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0906	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.050069	-3.16%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0959	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.046174	-2.69%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1695	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.041795	-2.05%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2230	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.043071	-3.41%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2367	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.044205	-5.24%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1926	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.044414	-6.44%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.1265	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.044585	-7.36%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.1203	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.044716	-10.03%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.1426	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.045005	-7.13%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0492	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.04149	-7.03%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0269	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039007	-4.44%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1338	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035625	-2.10%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2702	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.041792	-2.80%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1303	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.044488	-4.43%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0876	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.045614	-6.16%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0889	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.040201	-5.43%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1872	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.041026	-6.65%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0848	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.039026	-7.04%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0439	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.039086	-8.40%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.0753	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.035145	-8.95%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1977	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.031318	-10.06%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.3989	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.032524	-9.93%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.4037	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.034133	-11.27%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.2213	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.033534	-9.81%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.2703	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.035364	-10.45%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.1700	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.032192	-12.66%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.2840	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.042981	-16.27%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.1081	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.035783	-14.52%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.0266	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.026444	-6.06%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.3116	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.029338	-4.69%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.2711	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.029551	-3.33%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.2298	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.056896	-1.72%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3625	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.098864	-4.22%	0.03686	-64.29%	1.0170	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.087661	-3.41%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5641	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.087515	-3.27%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7247	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.072046	-2.00%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9321	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.071748	-1.96%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8337	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.074793	-2.33%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8979	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.075783	-2.56%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2785	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.075254	-2.44%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3389	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.077366	-2.46%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.1880	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.075047	-2.41%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.1947	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.077274	-2.71%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0378	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.07975	-3.23%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0804	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.073001	-2.86%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0431	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.065356	-2.06%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1779	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.069274	-2.71%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1156	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.062341	-2.48%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2485	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.073111	-3.16%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0595	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.060492	-2.05%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2696	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.077272	-3.02%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.0720	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.066703	-2.18%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1143	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.059511	-6.09%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1490	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.064848	-7.85%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.1321	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.044777	-3.83%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4458	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.039882	-4.43%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6935	✗	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.041771	-3.08%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4462	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.04171	-1.65%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7360	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.046932	-2.08%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5252	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.053	-2.86%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2633	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.050339	-2.41%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.4047	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.048978	-1.87%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0011	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.049602	-1.53%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.1154	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.056265	-2.60%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2183	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.058576	-3.13%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.3037	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.060339	-3.50%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2104	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.067335	-3.94%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2096	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.077545	-4.79%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.4120	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.062372	-6.84%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.1878	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.051226	-6.47%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0461	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.0463	-5.66%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2753	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.049138	-4.86%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2600	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.052426	-4.02%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2316	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.055592	-2.74%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.2985	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.064653	-3.89%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3040	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.047193	-3.65%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3405	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.047031	-3.84%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1327	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.042144	-4.22%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.1194	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.040777	-4.62%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.2024	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.035557	-4.70%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3987	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031197	-4.04%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.5081	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034064	-3.31%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6524	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.03531	-2.81%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3748	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.034773	-3.43%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3527	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.034599	-3.19%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2446	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.032899	-2.49%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2516	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034362	-2.27%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0391	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.034655	-1.94%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1358	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034441	-1.23%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0786	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036499	-1.43%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1326	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.039699	-1.42%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1662	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.044735	-1.77%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2769	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.042788	-1.73%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2870	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.04525	-1.99%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2817	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.040567	-1.70%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1358	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.039434	-1.66%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1397	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.043913	-1.81%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1457	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.043553	-1.84%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0654	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.044195	-1.96%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0391	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.041449	-2.01%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0633	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.039126	-2.23%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1347	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.035242	-2.10%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1323	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.047007	-2.90%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1518	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.03889	-2.82%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1051	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.031661	-2.04%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3295	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029614	-1.58%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4535	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.030945	-1.95%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3506	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031764	-2.47%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3544	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.033011	-2.16%	0.036	+6.70%	0.1897	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.036328	-2.08%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3705	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.03832	-2.15%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1188	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.038237	-2.11%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1287	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.039118	-2.21%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2801	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.039376	-2.27%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2380	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.039708	-2.20%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.2061	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.043129	-2.29%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.2209	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.043116	-2.41%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1751	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.041	-2.71%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1318	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.04909	-3.23%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.2292	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.039608	-2.59%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0378	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.043766	-3.28%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0548	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.037077	-2.89%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0769	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.034904	-2.88%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.1810	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.035228	-3.24%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1485	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.033307	-3.20%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2753	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.02661	-2.13%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5779	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.036175	-2.88%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0254	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.030792	-2.46%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2487	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.027725	-2.31%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2070	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.029869	-3.02%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2088	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031621	-3.15%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2762	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.029218	-2.87%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2559	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.029653	-2.36%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.0912	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028895	-2.08%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5200	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.030257	-2.36%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.2775	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.031023	-3.29%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2408	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.029006	-3.28%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3134	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.028431	-3.26%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.3877	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.027381	-2.77%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4454	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.029042	-3.71%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3143	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.028046	-4.48%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2267	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.024204	-3.45%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4802	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.021805	-3.48%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4294	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025385	-3.92%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2213	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.024301	-4.96%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1521	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.022798	-3.68%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2269	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.01878	-2.14%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6531	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017201	-2.05%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7759	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015852	-2.03%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6511	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012885	-0.89%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7757	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012967	-0.94%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.8967	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.01347	-1.17%	0.02557	+87.60%	0.9916	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014357	-1.19%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7234	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.0144	-1.24%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4040	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015383	-1.64%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1828	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.013024	-0.81%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2637	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013397	-0.76%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0274	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011981	+0.09%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0114	✓	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.013003	-0.06%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0936	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013324	-0.12%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0232	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013393	-0.05%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0989	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013449	-0.37%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0074	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011654	+0.90%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0270	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011621	+1.40%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.0881	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012331	+1.41%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0746	✓	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012761	+1.93%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.1711	✓	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013656	+1.68%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1259	✓	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012955	+5.24%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.2357	✓	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.012768	+6.76%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.1766	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.012192	+6.30%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.1697	✓	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.021118	-0.95%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3320	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.022197	-0.82%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3593	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019768	+0.04%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2876	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021519	-0.15%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2781	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.021073	-0.27%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3641	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022316	-0.95%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3738	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022976	-1.69%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4975	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022764	-1.96%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0881	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020724	-1.59%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0186	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020381	-1.26%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1925	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019639	-1.31%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1520	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020194	-1.25%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2413	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.020138	-1.14%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2200	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020706	-1.54%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.2100	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019989	-1.68%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1573	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017688	-1.35%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0073	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.0168	-0.30%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1398	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.017185	+0.32%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.0960	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019296	-1.05%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1525	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019868	-1.69%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2168	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019541	-1.70%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2628	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021682	-2.20%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1882	✗	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.022723	-2.31%	0.01793	-22.91%	0.1396	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.