ARCSOL

? · · gru_s2

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

42.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4005

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0617

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.048539	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.04922	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.041459	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.038237	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.037051	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.033141	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.036512	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.035223	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.030586	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.057794	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.060422	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.059124	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.060752	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.059145	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.062197	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.069052	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.067281	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.069323	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.068091	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.067938	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.069131	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.067982	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.069759	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.067566	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.06983	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.0684	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.069349	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.070929	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.075453	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.07566	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.076029	-2.73%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4064	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.071206	-3.33%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3155	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.062758	-1.55%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3539	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.069089	-2.66%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5142	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.068692	-2.23%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5304	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.072567	-2.23%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.7070	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.077305	-2.56%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6810	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.071387	-2.28%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6538	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.068412	-1.39%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7663	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.071718	-1.96%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1759	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.072718	-1.61%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1304	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.072519	-1.40%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1523	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.07105	-1.28%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1123	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.071755	-1.05%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1584	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.07402	-0.99%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1359	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071639	-0.43%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0131	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073631	-0.52%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0358	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.073963	-0.43%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0029	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072438	+0.76%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0138	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072991	+0.35%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0155	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.066648	+2.82%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.0977	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.071283	+2.73%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0046	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.070091	+3.67%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0440	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.073133	+3.63%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0353	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.072482	+3.71%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0155	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.069739	+4.35%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0189	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.073382	+3.14%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0171	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.074035	+2.58%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0018	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.072458	+2.81%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0877	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.071291	+2.87%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.1041	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.069124	+3.40%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1365	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.070854	+4.04%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0432	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.071092	+2.50%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0982	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068146	-1.38%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0578	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.067277	-3.00%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.0634	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.07125	-3.74%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0584	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.069671	-3.07%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1551	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.069676	-3.05%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.0758	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.074165	-3.71%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0377	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.072951	-3.63%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0187	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.069578	-3.27%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1085	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.0642	-2.61%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.1903	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.062828	-2.71%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.1899	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.063606	-3.92%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1876	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.060717	-4.26%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2675	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051052	-2.50%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4235	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.053157	-2.79%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4099	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049534	-3.44%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4790	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.050888	-3.98%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4231	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.049321	-3.10%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4568	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.049799	-2.91%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3258	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.050938	-1.76%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.3820	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052776	-1.24%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3165	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.05253	-0.44%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3576	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053233	-0.87%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3331	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051327	-0.35%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3354	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053662	-0.70%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3527	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055327	-1.08%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3194	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059157	-1.44%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2417	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.06121	-1.64%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1821	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.060666	-1.28%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1463	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.063564	-1.48%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1209	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.065353	-1.87%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0883	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.068579	-2.20%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0251	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.068934	-2.48%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0062	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.068928	-2.82%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0700	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.070869	-3.10%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0107	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.072244	-3.35%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0075	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.073493	-3.03%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0404	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.078057	-2.93%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0363	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071356	-3.82%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0148	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.075802	-2.99%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1410	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.076633	-2.74%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1702	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.077536	-2.42%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1536	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077108	-2.52%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1847	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.078826	-2.86%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3931	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.078918	-2.51%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3621	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.080261	-2.55%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4444	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.079163	-2.74%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3991	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.075863	-2.84%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3972	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.076615	-3.09%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3964	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.079806	-3.55%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4252	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.079787	-4.19%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3874	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.079996	-4.65%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3904	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.079761	-4.56%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3798	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.083979	-4.71%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4746	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.080041	-4.88%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3812	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.079776	-5.31%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3392	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.078913	-5.74%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2599	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.077652	-6.02%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2076	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.077867	-5.82%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2282	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.078762	-5.89%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.1910	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.075527	-5.79%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1121	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.075256	-5.86%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0664	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.074575	-5.45%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0484	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.077884	-4.99%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0856	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.080023	-5.46%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0923	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.069512	-5.80%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0654	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.072891	-5.65%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0304	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.077484	-5.46%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0339	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.084879	-5.07%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1449	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.084644	-4.71%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0789	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.079332	-4.98%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0058	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.08041	-4.24%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0017	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.079452	-4.40%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0030	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.079742	-5.01%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0132	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.079232	-5.19%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0215	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.078861	-4.73%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0521	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.076733	-5.45%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0650	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.070451	-6.36%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.1023	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.069365	-6.50%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1290	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.06663	-6.02%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2173	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.072175	-5.80%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1354	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.068964	-6.08%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2108	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.073964	-5.60%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.1825	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.07038	-5.71%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2430	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.06757	-5.80%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2289	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.059984	-6.22%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3570	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.059764	-7.10%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3906	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.060284	-7.28%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1670	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.059582	-6.93%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1914	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.06018	-6.68%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2148	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.060354	-5.71%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1653	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.059955	-6.47%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1584	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.061223	-6.17%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1143	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.060635	-6.17%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1615	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.0618	-6.21%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1900	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.063482	-6.22%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0370	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.058642	-5.08%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1664	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.067778	-8.11%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0588	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.057869	-3.97%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.2976	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.060627	-5.03%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2764	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.064138	-4.47%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1368	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.060981	-4.81%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.1857	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.059247	-5.76%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1908	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.064754	-5.58%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1447	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.066163	-4.88%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1384	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.064822	-3.84%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1669	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.064244	-7.47%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2588	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.064519	-7.88%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1354	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.062015	-6.84%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1713	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.063832	-6.73%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0678	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.066639	-7.06%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1202	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.068947	-8.33%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0518	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.070144	-6.29%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1045	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.070165	-6.66%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0562	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.062945	-5.74%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1275	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.07281	-7.86%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1339	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.062905	-8.25%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0195	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.06175	-7.44%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0512	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.059591	-7.72%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0714	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.060264	-9.42%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0668	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.059012	-9.43%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0796	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.061053	-8.36%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0494	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.061409	-7.66%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0621	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.061235	-6.33%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0605	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.063867	-6.60%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0344	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.065499	-5.85%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0338	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.068287	-6.15%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0921	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.065705	-5.58%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1273	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.066131	-5.77%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0747	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.068322	-5.25%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0527	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.069271	-7.09%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0247	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.071437	-6.57%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.1021	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.067048	-5.57%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0577	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.066722	-5.95%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0338	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.05704	-4.87%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2084	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.055569	-5.06%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2018	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.054172	-4.84%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2600	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.051106	-4.56%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3266	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.052551	-4.50%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2468	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.05219	-4.50%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.2806	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.050176	-4.12%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.3659	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.052087	-4.93%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.3775	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.050992	-5.11%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.3922	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.048421	-4.40%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4515	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.048129	-4.45%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3429	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.049183	-4.87%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.4896	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.045543	-4.02%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4276	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.04107	-3.75%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.4929	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.041271	-7.44%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4548	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.042618	-8.64%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4539	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.042911	-9.60%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.4257	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.044409	-7.73%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.4128	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.044661	-10.14%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.4045	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.042834	-11.61%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.4256	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.039672	-11.11%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.5499	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.036305	-11.06%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.6526	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.033084	-9.09%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7879	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.038312	-10.89%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5969	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.040135	-13.78%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.5565	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.040809	-16.05%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.5652	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.036084	-15.12%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.7259	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.036662	-16.58%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.7327	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.034904	-16.85%	0.071	+69.13%	0.7073	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.034925	-18.15%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.7068	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.031831	-17.54%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.6316	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.02998	-13.90%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.6712	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.029768	-17.56%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.6492	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.03089	-19.70%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.5508	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.029942	-19.47%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.6071	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.031288	-20.77%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.5541	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.029467	-20.06%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.5723	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.039535	-22.98%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.3252	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.033067	-21.01%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.4930	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.023957	-14.89%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.7486	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.025868	-15.96%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.6664	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.025871	-15.37%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.6922	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.052201	-9.83%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.0964	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.091808	-11.06%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.7996	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.081709	-9.97%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6506	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.082554	-8.75%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5902	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.067805	-7.77%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3785	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.067597	-7.63%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3388	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.070318	-8.18%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3587	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.071263	-8.37%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.4090	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.070946	-8.03%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4793	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.073262	-7.64%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.6001	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.07101	-7.66%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.7014	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.073152	-7.90%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5634	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.075385	-8.52%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.5083	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.068425	-8.95%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3722	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.061414	-7.97%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3929	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.065214	-8.41%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.4048	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.058751	-8.10%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3368	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.068884	-8.76%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4770	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.057063	-7.60%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3867	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.072854	-8.57%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.7176	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.062599	-8.20%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5566	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.055795	-11.95%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3438	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.060218	-14.43%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4557	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.041728	-10.38%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0065	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.037461	-10.23%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0563	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.038827	-9.91%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.3369	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.038619	-8.94%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.2044	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.043806	-8.60%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3235	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.049726	-8.86%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3516	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.046994	-8.89%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3116	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.045596	-8.64%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3560	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.046243	-8.19%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9488	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.052484	-9.15%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6719	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.054652	-9.62%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.5913	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.056234	-10.07%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3639	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.062843	-10.35%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2472	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.07267	-10.78%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.1834	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.057384	-14.29%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.5483	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.047219	-13.79%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.7537	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.043135	-12.11%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8755	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.045983	-10.97%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7786	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.049566	-9.25%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7347	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.052933	-7.40%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7227	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.062145	-7.62%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.5359	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.046253	-5.57%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.5570	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.046127	-5.69%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6169	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.041456	-5.78%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.5972	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.040131	-6.13%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.7921	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.034977	-6.25%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7396	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.030488	-6.22%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3775	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.032901	-6.61%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3690	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.033905	-6.67%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0377	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.033586	-6.73%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0628	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.033294	-6.84%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5761	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.031423	-6.87%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5457	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.032738	-6.89%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4796	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.032943	-6.78%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3197	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.032578	-6.57%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4639	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.034669	-6.38%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4136	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.037917	-5.84%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.2839	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.042816	-5.98%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1449	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.040955	-5.94%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2208	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.043331	-6.15%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.2518	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.038861	-5.84%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4072	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.037781	-5.78%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.4689	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.04224	-5.55%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.4929	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.041892	-5.59%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.6705	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.042472	-5.79%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.3822	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.039816	-5.87%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2241	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.037266	-6.88%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1089	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.033637	-6.56%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.2661	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.045347	-6.33%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.0612	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.037372	-6.62%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.2625	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.03033	-6.16%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.6787	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.028107	-6.59%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5396	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.029455	-6.67%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.4969	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.030022	-7.82%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4190	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.031133	-7.73%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3433	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.034247	-7.69%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1138	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.036167	-7.64%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.1174	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.035936	-8.00%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0768	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.036644	-8.39%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0894	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.036776	-8.72%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0593	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.037051	-8.74%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0094	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.040368	-8.54%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.1180	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.040336	-8.70%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0902	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.038218	-9.31%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.1026	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.046329	-8.67%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.2483	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.037189	-8.54%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.0630	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.041354	-8.61%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0282	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.03487	-8.67%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3311	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.032862	-8.57%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3405	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.033232	-8.73%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3319	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.031406	-8.73%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.2863	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.024936	-8.29%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4631	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.034178	-8.25%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.1780	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.028988	-8.18%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3412	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.026018	-8.32%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.5067	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.028023	-9.01%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.4935	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.029685	-9.08%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.4809	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.027418	-8.85%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4159	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.027909	-8.10%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7026	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.027338	-7.36%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6025	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.028563	-7.83%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.2786	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.029126	-9.21%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.2638	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.027266	-9.08%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4309	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.026751	-8.98%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.4559	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.02584	-8.24%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6200	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.027416	-9.10%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6128	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.026524	-9.66%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7009	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.022991	-8.29%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.8795	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.020794	-7.95%	0.04	+77.07%	0.9817	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.023979	-9.24%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.8982	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.023023	-9.96%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8118	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.021642	-8.57%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.0908	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018033	-6.03%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5277	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016567	-5.66%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7355	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015261	-5.68%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8306	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012298	-5.40%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7587	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012407	-5.22%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9070	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.012892	-5.42%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7823	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013905	-4.30%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7090	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014017	-3.86%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8434	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015094	-3.49%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6386	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.01272	-3.13%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6116	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013169	-2.45%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9521	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011734	-1.97%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.7951	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012851	-1.22%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.5627	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013175	-1.23%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5141	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013274	-0.94%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4472	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013352	-1.09%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3474	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011547	-0.03%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.3927	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011519	+0.52%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.3779	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012163	+0.03%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.4985	✓	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012552	+0.25%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.3908	✓	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013388	-0.31%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.2575	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012856	+4.43%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.2179	✓	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.012873	+7.64%	0.02816	+135.45%	0.9463	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.012391	+8.03%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.1764	✓	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020333	-4.63%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7800	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021231	-5.13%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5677	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019113	-3.27%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.5982	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.020656	-4.15%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.6953	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020292	-3.97%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.7126	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.021438	-4.85%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4455	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022043	-5.68%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1132	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.02201	-5.21%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0034	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020226	-3.96%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0264	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019912	-3.53%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2919	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019182	-3.61%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2730	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019708	-3.63%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3875	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019695	-3.31%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.4229	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020225	-3.83%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4588	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019552	-3.83%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2957	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017079	-4.75%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1879	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016228	-3.69%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.1217	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016685	-2.60%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1668	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018742	-3.89%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1496	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019329	-4.36%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.2077	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019	-4.43%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1266	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.02088	-5.82%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1238	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.021818	-6.20%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.3153	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.