APTM

Apertum · native · gru_s2

token id: #738
symbol: APTM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-29
predictions: 1,569

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0402

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05044	0.050245	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.050485	0.050307	-0.35%	0.05044	-0.09%	0.0023	✓	-0.11
2026-10-19	oos	0.04955	0.049335	-0.43%	0.050485	+1.89%	0.0247	✗	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	0.051575	0.051168	-0.79%	0.04955	-3.93%	0.0323	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.051415	0.050908	-0.99%	0.051575	+0.31%	0.0137	✗	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.05148	0.050897	-1.13%	0.051415	-0.13%	0.0100	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.05166	0.050922	-1.43%	0.05148	-0.35%	0.0103	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.05095	0.050178	-1.51%	0.05166	+1.39%	0.0297	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.04801	0.04714	-1.81%	0.05095	+6.12%	0.0759	✗	-0.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.04597	0.045351	-1.35%	0.04801	+4.44%	0.0593	✗	-0.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.043545	0.042823	-1.66%	0.04597	+5.57%	0.0715	✗	0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.038075	0.038015	-0.16%	0.043545	+14.37%	0.1361	✗	-0.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.04453	0.044076	-1.02%	0.038075	-14.50%	0.1462	✓	-0.02
2026-10-08	oos	0.039705	0.039889	+0.46%	0.04453	+12.15%	0.1107	✓	-0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.048795	0.047833	-1.97%	0.039705	-18.63%	0.1896	✓	-0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.05007	0.048621	-2.89%	0.048795	-2.55%	0.0015	✓	-0.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.05562	0.054008	-2.90%	0.05007	-9.98%	0.0762	✓	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.05554	0.054535	-1.81%	0.05562	+0.14%	0.0177	✓	-0.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.05556	0.054593	-1.74%	0.05554	-0.04%	0.0221	✗	-0.24
2026-10-02	oos	0.059785	0.059001	-1.31%	0.05556	-7.07%	0.0594	✓	-0.24
2026-10-01	oos	0.067895	0.067191	-1.04%	0.059785	-11.94%	0.1179	✓	-0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.069685	0.06903	-0.94%	0.067895	-2.57%	0.0124	✓	-0.28
2026-09-29	oos	0.07139	0.070833	-0.78%	0.069685	-2.39%	0.0166	✓	-0.26
2026-09-28	oos	0.06487	0.064603	-0.41%	0.07139	+10.05%	0.1004	✗	-0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.07234	0.071926	-0.57%	0.06487	-10.33%	0.1083	✓	-0.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.078755	0.078268	-0.62%	0.07234	-8.15%	0.0785	✓	-0.44
2026-09-25	oos	0.08103	0.080559	-0.58%	0.078755	-2.81%	0.0211	✓	-0.39
2026-09-24	oos	0.08097	0.080543	-0.53%	0.08103	+0.07%	0.0047	✓	-0.39
2026-09-23	oos	0.08203	0.081582	-0.55%	0.08097	-1.29%	0.0075	✓	-0.39
2026-09-22	oos	0.08513	0.084678	-0.53%	0.08203	-3.64%	0.0401	✓	-0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.07953	0.079166	-0.46%	0.08513	+7.04%	0.0710	✗	-0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.0812	0.080688	-0.63%	0.07953	-2.06%	0.0060	✓	-0.32
2026-09-19	oos	0.085365	0.084679	-0.80%	0.0812	-4.88%	0.0423	✓	-0.33
2026-09-18	oos	0.08565	0.084934	-0.84%	0.085365	-0.33%	0.0065	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.08507	0.084577	-0.58%	0.08565	+0.68%	0.0348	✗	-0.39
2026-09-16	oos	0.08344	0.083046	-0.47%	0.08507	+1.95%	0.0251	✗	-0.39
2026-09-15	oos	0.08708	0.086635	-0.51%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0352	✓	-0.32
2026-09-14	oos	0.08585	0.085266	-0.68%	0.08708	+1.43%	0.0106	✗	-0.31
2026-09-13	oos	0.079525	0.079428	-0.12%	0.08585	+7.95%	0.0838	✗	-0.34
2026-09-12	oos	0.083605	0.083398	-0.25%	0.079525	-4.88%	0.0496	✓	-0.35
2026-09-11	oos	0.08481	0.084671	-0.16%	0.083605	-1.42%	0.0124	✓	-0.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.090155	0.089751	-0.45%	0.08481	-5.93%	0.0538	✓	-0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.08912	0.088461	-0.74%	0.090155	+1.16%	0.0119	✗	-0.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.0919	0.090897	-1.09%	0.08912	-3.03%	0.0203	✓	-0.28
2026-09-07	oos	0.09638	0.094828	-1.61%	0.0919	-4.65%	0.0337	✓	-0.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.087055	0.085731	-1.52%	0.09638	+10.71%	0.1136	✗	-0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.088895	0.08749	-1.58%	0.087055	-2.07%	0.0036	✓	-0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.089055	0.087637	-1.59%	0.088895	-0.18%	0.0146	✓	-0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.09121	0.08968	-1.68%	0.089055	-2.36%	0.0108	✓	-0.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.09298	0.09127	-1.84%	0.09121	-1.90%	0.0072	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.16979	0.164407	-3.17%	0.09298	-45.24%	0.5702	✓	-0.22
2026-08-31	oos	0.08124	0.081262	+0.03%	0.16979	+109.00%	0.7392	✓	0.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.07423	0.074717	+0.66%	0.08124	+9.44%	0.0828	✓	0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.07457	0.075094	+0.70%	0.07423	-0.46%	0.0107	✗	0.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.07422	0.074712	+0.66%	0.07457	+0.47%	0.0025	✓	0.11
2026-08-27	oos	0.08533	0.085877	+0.64%	0.07422	-13.02%	0.1455	✗	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.10211	0.102676	+0.55%	0.08533	-16.43%	0.1862	✗	0.08
2026-08-25	oos	0.10665	0.107236	+0.55%	0.10211	-4.26%	0.0495	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.11217	0.112724	+0.49%	0.10665	-4.92%	0.0551	✗	0.05
2026-08-23	oos	0.12435	0.124731	+0.31%	0.11217	-9.79%	0.1077	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.12235	0.122768	+0.34%	0.12435	+1.63%	0.0120	✓	0.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.1212	0.121723	+0.43%	0.12235	+0.95%	0.0068	✓	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.12097	0.121333	+0.30%	0.1212	+0.19%	0.0081	✗	0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.12915	0.128618	-0.41%	0.12097	-6.33%	0.0720	✓	0.20
2026-08-18	oos	0.13144	0.130693	-0.57%	0.12915	-1.74%	0.0306	✓	0.27
2026-08-17	oos	0.13321	0.13252	-0.52%	0.13144	-1.33%	0.0091	✓	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.13581	0.135482	-0.24%	0.13321	-1.91%	0.0249	✓	0.31
2026-08-15	oos	0.13355	0.133324	-0.17%	0.13581	+1.69%	0.0194	✗	0.31
2026-08-14	oos	0.1315	0.1314	-0.08%	0.13355	+1.56%	0.0160	✗	0.32
2026-08-13	oos	0.14032	0.139916	-0.29%	0.1315	-6.29%	0.0599	✓	0.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.14456	0.144063	-0.34%	0.14032	-2.93%	0.0264	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.14696	0.146375	-0.40%	0.14456	-1.63%	0.0119	✓	0.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.14592	0.145262	-0.45%	0.14696	+0.71%	0.0135	✗	0.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.13868	0.137978	-0.51%	0.14592	+5.22%	0.0613	✗	0.37
2026-08-08	oos	0.14461	0.143642	-0.67%	0.13868	-4.10%	0.0348	✓	0.37
2026-08-07	oos	0.1437	0.142631	-0.74%	0.14461	+0.63%	0.0137	✗	0.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.14603	0.145014	-0.70%	0.1437	-1.60%	0.0123	✓	0.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.14513	0.143992	-0.78%	0.14603	+0.62%	0.0158	✗	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.14826	0.147103	-0.78%	0.14513	-2.11%	0.0162	✓	0.32
2026-08-03	oos	0.15172	0.150602	-0.74%	0.14826	-2.28%	0.0187	✓	0.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.15604	0.154718	-0.85%	0.15172	-2.77%	0.0194	✓	0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.15091	0.149762	-0.76%	0.15604	+3.40%	0.0378	✗	0.28
2026-07-31	oos	0.13661	0.13583	-0.57%	0.15091	+10.47%	0.1055	✗	0.28
2026-07-30	oos	0.14276	0.14208	-0.48%	0.13661	-4.31%	0.0317	✓	0.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.14754	0.146809	-0.50%	0.14276	-3.24%	0.0319	✓	0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.15216	0.151392	-0.50%	0.14754	-3.04%	0.0260	✓	0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.15277	0.152008	-0.50%	0.15216	-0.40%	0.0002	✓	0.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.15221	0.151611	-0.39%	0.15277	+0.37%	0.0160	✗	0.33
2026-07-25	oos	0.14016	0.13971	-0.32%	0.15221	+8.60%	0.0814	✗	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.14238	0.14189	-0.34%	0.14016	-1.56%	0.0131	✓	0.26
2026-07-23	oos	0.14741	0.146924	-0.33%	0.14238	-3.41%	0.0278	✓	0.24
2026-07-22	oos	0.15841	0.157859	-0.35%	0.14741	-6.94%	0.0649	✓	0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.15839	0.157874	-0.33%	0.15841	+0.01%	0.0049	✗	0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.15106	0.150532	-0.35%	0.15839	+4.85%	0.0471	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	0.14672	0.146221	-0.34%	0.15106	+2.96%	0.0313	✗	0.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.1545	0.153832	-0.43%	0.14672	-5.04%	0.0470	✓	0.17
2026-07-17	oos	0.15717	0.156286	-0.56%	0.1545	-1.70%	0.0146	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	0.16458	0.163299	-0.78%	0.15717	-4.50%	0.0388	✓	0.26
2026-07-15	oos	0.14785	0.147149	-0.47%	0.16458	+11.32%	0.1162	✗	0.29
2026-07-14	oos	0.13584	0.135474	-0.27%	0.14785	+8.84%	0.0887	✗	0.30
2026-07-13	oos	0.12405	0.123765	-0.23%	0.13584	+9.50%	0.0855	✗	0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.11991	0.119836	-0.06%	0.12405	+3.45%	0.0395	✗	0.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.1254	0.125239	-0.13%	0.11991	-4.38%	0.0434	✓	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.12225	0.122161	-0.07%	0.1254	+2.58%	0.0274	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.12308	0.122929	-0.12%	0.12225	-0.67%	0.0090	✓	0.23
2026-07-08	oos	0.12313	0.122897	-0.19%	0.12308	-0.04%	0.0025	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	0.12172	0.121537	-0.15%	0.12313	+1.16%	0.0177	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	0.11802	0.117886	-0.11%	0.12172	+3.14%	0.0346	✗	0.24
2026-07-05	oos	0.12421	0.123962	-0.20%	0.11802	-4.98%	0.0520	✓	0.44
2026-07-04	oos	0.12789	0.127534	-0.28%	0.12421	-2.88%	0.0299	✓	0.45
2026-07-03	oos	0.12756	0.127122	-0.34%	0.12789	+0.26%	0.0022	✓	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.13462	0.133559	-0.79%	0.12756	-5.24%	0.0535	✓	0.45
2026-07-01	oos	0.1334	0.13159	-1.36%	0.13462	+0.91%	0.0114	✓	0.45
2026-06-30	oos	0.1241	0.122724	-1.11%	0.1334	+7.49%	0.0733	✗	0.42
2026-06-29	oos	0.10165	0.102159	+0.50%	0.1241	+22.09%	0.2108	✓	0.59
2026-06-28	oos	0.10748	0.107923	+0.41%	0.10165	-5.42%	0.0668	✗	0.60
2026-06-27	oos	0.12679	0.126774	-0.01%	0.10748	-15.23%	0.1610	✓	0.54
2026-06-26	oos	0.12502	0.125065	+0.04%	0.12679	+1.42%	0.0143	✓	0.54
2026-06-25	oos	0.1193	0.11942	+0.10%	0.12502	+4.79%	0.0432	✓	0.53
2026-06-24	oos	0.12379	0.123795	+0.00%	0.1193	-3.63%	0.0249	✗	0.57
2026-06-23	oos	0.12526	0.125238	-0.02%	0.12379	-1.17%	0.0015	✓	0.38
2026-06-22	oos	0.13626	0.136091	-0.12%	0.12526	-8.07%	0.0765	✓	0.31
2026-06-21	oos	0.1432	0.142957	-0.17%	0.13626	-4.85%	0.0517	✓	0.33
2026-06-20	oos	0.14425	0.14402	-0.16%	0.1432	-0.73%	0.0000	✓	0.37
2026-06-19	oos	0.14924	0.148967	-0.18%	0.14425	-3.34%	0.0367	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.152465	0.152155	-0.20%	0.14924	-2.12%	0.0231	✓	0.39
2026-06-17	oos	0.16544	0.164945	-0.30%	0.152465	-7.84%	0.0703	✓	0.34
2026-06-16	oos	0.1638	0.163338	-0.28%	0.16544	+1.00%	0.0191	✗	0.35
2026-06-15	oos	0.17088	0.170278	-0.35%	0.1638	-4.14%	0.0348	✓	0.40
2026-06-14	oos	0.17032	0.169669	-0.38%	0.17088	+0.33%	0.0035	✓	0.42
2026-06-13	oos	0.16995	0.169252	-0.41%	0.17032	+0.22%	0.0025	✓	0.45
2026-06-12	oos	0.16892	0.168201	-0.43%	0.16995	+0.61%	0.0044	✗	0.43
2026-06-11	oos	0.16948	0.168674	-0.48%	0.16892	-0.33%	0.0016	✓	0.43
2026-06-10	oos	0.16501	0.164285	-0.44%	0.16948	+2.71%	0.0157	✗	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	0.16981	0.168875	-0.55%	0.16501	-2.83%	0.0213	✓	0.47
2026-06-08	oos	0.17186	0.170617	-0.72%	0.16981	-1.19%	0.0053	✓	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.17355	0.171956	-0.92%	0.17186	-0.97%	0.0011	✓	0.42
2026-06-06	oos	0.16966	0.16756	-1.24%	0.17355	+2.29%	0.0227	✗	0.31
2026-06-05	oos	0.16953	0.1667	-1.67%	0.16966	+0.08%	0.0186	✗	0.33
2026-06-04	oos	0.17312	0.170225	-1.67%	0.16953	-2.07%	0.0108	✓	0.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.17071	0.168157	-1.50%	0.17312	+1.41%	0.0303	✗	0.34
2026-06-02	oos	0.17298	0.171457	-0.88%	0.17071	-1.31%	0.0101	✗	0.36
2026-06-01	oos	0.17134	0.170846	-0.29%	0.17298	+0.96%	0.0368	✗	0.36
2026-05-31	oos	0.180875	0.180251	-0.34%	0.17134	-5.27%	0.0408	✓	0.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.18247	0.181781	-0.38%	0.180875	-0.87%	0.0042	✓	0.31
2026-05-29	oos	0.18313	0.182375	-0.41%	0.18247	-0.36%	0.0012	✓	0.32
2026-05-28	oos	0.18267	0.181872	-0.44%	0.18313	+0.25%	0.0075	✗	0.31
2026-05-27	oos	0.18145	0.180698	-0.41%	0.18267	+0.67%	0.0144	✗	0.32
2026-05-26	oos	0.17662	0.176128	-0.28%	0.18145	+2.73%	0.0369	✗	0.35
2026-05-25	oos	0.18038	0.179898	-0.27%	0.17662	-2.08%	0.0110	✓	0.40
2026-05-24	oos	0.18253	0.181986	-0.30%	0.18038	-1.18%	0.0103	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	0.1803	0.179924	-0.21%	0.18253	+1.24%	0.0125	✗	0.44
2026-05-22	oos	0.18214	0.181764	-0.21%	0.1803	-1.01%	0.0151	✓	0.44
2026-05-21	oos	0.18351	0.183289	-0.12%	0.18214	-0.75%	0.0062	✗	0.45
2026-05-20	oos	0.19035	0.189835	-0.27%	0.18351	-3.59%	0.0343	✓	0.45
2026-05-19	oos	0.18468	0.184292	-0.21%	0.19035	+3.07%	0.0282	✗	0.45
2026-05-18	oos	0.19254	0.191597	-0.49%	0.18468	-4.08%	0.0358	✓	0.44
2026-05-17	oos	0.19675	0.195013	-0.88%	0.19254	-2.14%	0.0102	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.20489	0.201067	-1.87%	0.19675	-3.97%	0.0179	✓	0.42
2026-05-15	oos	0.20193	0.196811	-2.53%	0.20489	+1.47%	0.0456	✗	0.44
2026-05-14	oos	0.19072	0.187764	-1.55%	0.20193	+5.88%	0.0852	✗	0.49
2026-05-13	oos	0.17412	0.171721	-1.38%	0.19072	+9.53%	0.0962	✗	0.39
2026-05-12	oos	0.17421	0.173096	-0.64%	0.17412	-0.05%	0.0117	✗	0.39
2026-05-11	oos	0.18395	0.18343	-0.28%	0.17421	-5.29%	0.0460	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.18566	0.18531	-0.19%	0.18395	-0.92%	0.0050	✓	0.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.19691	0.196069	-0.43%	0.18566	-5.71%	0.0629	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.19567	0.194817	-0.44%	0.19691	+0.63%	0.0082	✗	0.43
2026-05-07	oos	0.19909	0.198064	-0.52%	0.19567	-1.72%	0.0132	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.19352	0.192742	-0.40%	0.19909	+2.88%	0.0388	✗	0.36
2026-05-05	oos	0.19238	0.191656	-0.38%	0.19352	+0.59%	0.0069	✗	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.20175	0.200775	-0.48%	0.19238	-4.64%	0.0484	✓	0.43
2026-05-03	oos	0.20465	0.203692	-0.47%	0.20175	-1.42%	0.0156	✓	0.37
2026-05-02	oos	0.20929	0.208419	-0.42%	0.20465	-2.22%	0.0177	✓	0.37
2026-05-01	oos	0.20161	0.200963	-0.32%	0.20929	+3.81%	0.0385	✗	0.37
2026-04-30	oos	0.19292	0.19281	-0.06%	0.20161	+4.50%	0.0360	✗	0.34
2026-04-29	oos	0.19468	0.194812	+0.07%	0.19292	-0.90%	0.0122	✗	0.34
2026-04-28	oos	0.20541	0.205418	+0.00%	0.19468	-5.22%	0.0514	✗	0.30
2026-04-27	oos	0.20654	0.206935	+0.19%	0.20541	-0.55%	0.0032	✗	0.31
2026-04-26	oos	0.20357	0.204715	+0.56%	0.20654	+1.46%	0.0142	✓	0.32
2026-04-25	oos	0.20785	0.20863	+0.38%	0.20357	-2.06%	0.0288	✗	0.32
2026-04-24	oos	0.21439	0.215051	+0.31%	0.20785	-3.05%	0.0349	✗	0.35
2026-04-23	oos	0.22594	0.226597	+0.29%	0.21439	-5.11%	0.0517	✗	0.35
2026-04-22	oos	0.21641	0.217539	+0.52%	0.22594	+4.40%	0.0376	✓	0.35
2026-04-21	oos	0.21717	0.217682	+0.24%	0.21641	-0.35%	0.0142	✗	0.35
2026-04-20	oos	0.24333	0.242703	-0.26%	0.21717	-10.75%	0.1134	✓	0.35
2026-04-19	oos	0.23956	0.238743	-0.34%	0.24333	+1.57%	0.0087	✗	0.38
2026-04-18	oos	0.25684	0.255976	-0.34%	0.23956	-6.73%	0.0569	✓	0.37
2026-04-17	oos	0.27491	0.274099	-0.29%	0.25684	-6.57%	0.0587	✓	0.36
2026-04-16	oos	0.28018	0.278808	-0.49%	0.27491	-1.88%	0.0233	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.27333	0.272241	-0.40%	0.28018	+2.51%	0.0272	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.27129	0.270232	-0.39%	0.27333	+0.75%	0.0082	✗	0.36
2026-04-13	oos	0.26811	0.267136	-0.36%	0.27129	+1.19%	0.0167	✗	0.36
2026-04-12	oos	0.27622	0.274918	-0.47%	0.26811	-2.94%	0.0451	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.29991	0.298002	-0.64%	0.27622	-7.90%	0.0638	✓	0.37
2026-04-10	oos	0.28573	0.28405	-0.59%	0.29991	+4.96%	0.0539	✗	0.37
2026-04-09	oos	0.26827	0.26688	-0.52%	0.28573	+6.51%	0.0624	✗	0.35
2026-04-08	oos	0.27586	0.273604	-0.82%	0.26827	-2.75%	0.0233	✓	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.24535	0.243834	-0.62%	0.27586	+12.44%	0.1277	✗	0.37
2026-04-06	oos	0.21158	0.211331	-0.12%	0.24535	+15.96%	0.1365	✗	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.19818	0.198201	+0.01%	0.21158	+6.76%	0.0660	✓	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.2031	0.203325	+0.11%	0.19818	-2.42%	0.0335	✗	0.31
2026-04-03	oos	0.19894	0.199358	+0.21%	0.2031	+2.09%	0.0170	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.20104	0.20151	+0.23%	0.19894	-1.04%	0.0131	✗	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.21028	0.210548	+0.13%	0.20104	-4.39%	0.0406	✗	0.31
2026-03-31	oos	0.2115	0.211847	+0.16%	0.21028	-0.58%	0.0069	✗	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.21399	0.21448	+0.23%	0.2115	-1.16%	0.0211	✗	0.32
2026-03-29	oos	0.23271	0.232792	+0.04%	0.21399	-8.04%	0.0883	✗	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.23595	0.23597	+0.01%	0.23271	-1.37%	0.0120	✗	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.24364	0.243397	-0.10%	0.23595	-3.16%	0.0309	✓	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.2636	0.261867	-0.66%	0.24364	-7.57%	0.0603	✓	0.33
2026-03-25	oos	0.22177	0.22192	+0.07%	0.2636	+18.86%	0.1869	✓	0.41
2026-03-24	oos	0.237085	0.23723	+0.06%	0.22177	-6.46%	0.0719	✗	0.42
2026-03-23	oos	0.24136	0.241464	+0.04%	0.237085	-1.77%	0.0163	✗	0.42
2026-03-22	oos	0.2329	0.233395	+0.21%	0.24136	+3.63%	0.0167	✓	0.39
2026-03-21	oos	0.23942	0.239766	+0.14%	0.2329	-2.72%	0.0231	✗	0.38
2026-03-20	oos	0.24414	0.244402	+0.11%	0.23942	-1.93%	0.0120	✗	0.38
2026-03-19	oos	0.25525	0.25544	+0.07%	0.24414	-4.35%	0.0485	✗	0.39
2026-03-18	oos	0.25961	0.259778	+0.06%	0.25525	-1.68%	0.0084	✗	0.49
2026-03-17	oos	0.28038	0.280232	-0.05%	0.25961	-7.41%	0.0592	✓	0.47
2026-03-16	oos	0.300425	0.299824	-0.20%	0.28038	-6.67%	0.0615	✓	0.43
2026-03-15	oos	0.28623	0.285776	-0.16%	0.300425	+4.96%	0.0382	✗	0.42
2026-03-14	oos	0.29323	0.292316	-0.31%	0.28623	-2.39%	0.0305	✓	0.43
2026-03-13	oos	0.30095	0.299115	-0.61%	0.29323	-2.57%	0.0216	✓	0.44
2026-03-12	oos	0.238945	0.240985	+0.85%	0.30095	+25.95%	0.2198	✓	0.41
2026-03-11	oos	0.21947	0.222202	+1.24%	0.238945	+8.87%	0.0708	✓	0.39
2026-03-10	oos	0.24161	0.24453	+1.21%	0.21947	-9.16%	0.1095	✗	0.40
2026-03-09	oos	0.2527	0.256253	+1.41%	0.24161	-4.39%	0.0680	✗	0.42
2026-03-08	oos	0.275275	0.278946	+1.33%	0.2527	-8.20%	0.1156	✗	0.46
2026-03-07	oos	0.285105	0.28774	+0.92%	0.275275	-3.45%	0.0354	✗	0.46
2026-03-06	oos	0.29572	0.297401	+0.57%	0.285105	-3.59%	0.0366	✗	0.45
2026-03-05	oos	0.30314	0.304376	+0.41%	0.29572	-2.45%	0.0109	✗	0.45
2026-03-04	oos	0.31296	0.314059	+0.35%	0.30314	-3.14%	0.0244	✗	0.44
2026-03-03	oos	0.32191	0.322164	+0.08%	0.31296	-2.78%	0.0585	✗	0.48
2026-03-02	oos	0.30972	0.31058	+0.28%	0.32191	+3.94%	0.0394	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.30922	0.309211	-0.00%	0.30972	+0.16%	0.0224	✓	0.53
2026-02-28	oos	0.31967	0.319721	+0.02%	0.30922	-3.27%	0.0238	✗	0.53
2026-02-27	oos	0.32496	0.324393	-0.17%	0.31967	-1.63%	0.0236	✓	0.54
2026-02-26	oos	0.33098	0.330825	-0.05%	0.32496	-1.82%	0.0048	✓	0.54
2026-02-25	oos	0.34717	0.346629	-0.16%	0.33098	-4.66%	0.0422	✓	0.53
2026-02-24	oos	0.33162	0.330729	-0.27%	0.34717	+4.69%	0.0173	✗	0.53
2026-02-23	oos	0.33904	0.338134	-0.27%	0.33162	-2.19%	0.0151	✓	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.36056	0.359748	-0.23%	0.33904	-5.97%	0.0377	✓	0.48
2026-02-21	oos	0.36987	0.369046	-0.22%	0.36056	-2.52%	0.0209	✓	0.48
2026-02-20	oos	0.3689	0.368312	-0.16%	0.36987	+0.26%	0.0044	✗	0.47
2026-02-19	oos	0.37199	0.371182	-0.22%	0.3689	-0.83%	0.0133	✓	0.47
2026-02-18	oos	0.36234	0.362106	-0.06%	0.37199	+2.66%	0.0230	✗	0.48
2026-02-17	oos	0.36101	0.361231	+0.06%	0.36234	+0.37%	0.0105	✓	0.48
2026-02-16	oos	0.35947	0.360078	+0.17%	0.36101	+0.43%	0.0126	✓	0.49
2026-02-15	oos	0.3796	0.380052	+0.12%	0.35947	-5.30%	0.0561	✗	0.49
2026-02-14	oos	0.39839	0.398728	+0.08%	0.3796	-4.72%	0.0420	✗	0.50
2026-02-13	oos	0.39596	0.396488	+0.13%	0.39839	+0.61%	0.0021	✗	0.49
2026-02-12	oos	0.42051	0.420537	+0.01%	0.39596	-5.84%	0.0801	✗	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.41563	0.415918	+0.07%	0.42051	+1.17%	0.0175	✓	0.53
2026-02-10	oos	0.419	0.419393	+0.09%	0.41563	-0.80%	0.0051	✓	0.54
2026-02-09	oos	0.47437	0.473574	-0.17%	0.419	-11.67%	0.1128	✓	0.51
2026-02-08	oos	0.49868	0.497045	-0.33%	0.47437	-4.87%	0.0453	✓	0.54
2026-02-07	oos	0.51882	0.515576	-0.63%	0.49868	-3.88%	0.0415	✓	0.55
2026-02-06	oos	0.54166	0.536593	-0.94%	0.51882	-4.22%	0.0237	✓	0.54
2026-02-05	oos	0.54685	0.549531	+0.49%	0.54166	-0.95%	0.0943	✗	0.69
2026-02-04	oos	0.60577	0.595044	-1.77%	0.54685	-9.73%	0.0177	✓	0.68
2026-02-03	oos	0.62096	0.612216	-1.41%	0.60577	-2.45%	0.0129	✓	0.65
2026-02-02	oos	0.56247	0.560634	-0.33%	0.62096	+10.40%	0.1316	✗	0.76
2026-02-01	oos	0.56928	0.565368	-0.69%	0.56247	-1.20%	0.0217	✓	0.73
2026-01-31	oos	0.5988	0.595965	-0.47%	0.56928	-4.93%	0.0294	✓	0.73
2026-01-30	oos	0.60888	0.609069	+0.03%	0.5988	-1.66%	0.0350	✓	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	0.59124	0.591835	+0.10%	0.60888	+2.98%	0.0321	✓	0.77
2026-01-28	oos	0.57403	0.575116	+0.19%	0.59124	+3.00%	0.0742	✓	0.87
2026-01-27	oos	0.57841	0.579553	+0.20%	0.57403	-0.76%	0.0100	✗	0.87
2026-01-26	oos	0.56422	0.566152	+0.34%	0.57841	+2.51%	0.0133	✓	0.84
2026-01-25	oos	0.55145	0.554174	+0.49%	0.56422	+2.32%	0.0015	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	0.61442	0.615987	+0.26%	0.55145	-10.25%	0.0879	✗	0.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.63296	0.634099	+0.18%	0.61442	-2.93%	0.0285	✗	0.68
2026-01-22	oos	0.66735	0.667957	+0.09%	0.63296	-5.15%	0.0539	✗	0.68
2026-01-21	oos	0.67395	0.674738	+0.12%	0.66735	-0.98%	0.0118	✗	0.67
2026-01-20	oos	0.69983	0.700412	+0.08%	0.67395	-3.70%	0.0465	✗	0.67
2026-01-19	oos	0.77066	0.765848	-0.62%	0.69983	-9.19%	0.0624	✓	0.59
2026-01-18	oos	0.77974	0.773959	-0.74%	0.77066	-1.16%	0.0029	✓	0.62
2026-01-17	oos	0.78625	0.780435	-0.74%	0.77974	-0.83%	0.0088	✗	0.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.84274	0.835799	-0.82%	0.78625	-6.70%	0.0586	✓	0.60
2026-01-15	oos	0.80277	0.796524	-0.78%	0.84274	+4.98%	0.0569	✗	0.61
2026-01-14	oos	0.80498	0.798754	-0.77%	0.80277	-0.27%	0.0136	✗	0.60
2026-01-13	oos	0.79915	0.793337	-0.73%	0.80498	+0.73%	0.0044	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	0.77905	0.775304	-0.48%	0.79915	+2.58%	0.0019	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.78271	0.779061	-0.47%	0.77905	-0.47%	0.0022	✓	0.64
2026-01-10	oos	0.81372	0.809814	-0.48%	0.78271	-3.81%	0.0376	✓	0.64
2026-01-09	oos	0.77048	0.766908	-0.46%	0.81372	+5.61%	0.0602	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.80087	0.796714	-0.52%	0.77048	-3.79%	0.0302	✓	0.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.81518	0.810809	-0.54%	0.80087	-1.76%	0.0109	✓	0.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.83361	0.829498	-0.49%	0.81518	-2.21%	0.0036	✓	0.52
2026-01-05	oos	0.8552	0.850735	-0.52%	0.83361	-2.52%	0.0196	✓	0.49
2026-01-04	oos	0.82596	0.82117	-0.58%	0.8552	+3.54%	0.0275	✗	0.51
2026-01-03	oos	0.8105	0.805925	-0.56%	0.82596	+1.91%	0.0197	✗	0.49
2026-01-02	oos	0.81724	0.812464	-0.58%	0.8105	-0.82%	0.0059	✓	0.49
2026-01-01	oos	0.82222	0.817385	-0.59%	0.81724	-0.61%	0.0069	✓	0.49
2025-12-31	oos	0.79806	0.793866	-0.53%	0.82222	+3.03%	0.0285	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.84257	0.837512	-0.60%	0.79806	-5.28%	0.0437	✓	0.45
2025-12-29	oos	0.805	0.8007	-0.53%	0.84257	+4.67%	0.0446	✗	0.43
2025-12-28	oos	0.83292	0.82815	-0.57%	0.805	-3.35%	0.0246	✓	0.43
2025-12-27	oos	0.84932	0.844236	-0.60%	0.83292	-1.93%	0.0138	✓	0.43
2025-12-26	oos	0.83272	0.827765	-0.60%	0.84932	+1.99%	0.0233	✗	0.42
2025-12-25	oos	0.83327	0.828145	-0.62%	0.83272	-0.07%	0.0049	✓	0.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.80289	0.798248	-0.58%	0.83327	+3.78%	0.0450	✗	0.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.79958	0.794581	-0.63%	0.80289	+0.41%	0.0096	✗	0.42
2025-12-22	oos	0.71958	0.716488	-0.43%	0.79958	+11.12%	0.1153	✗	0.43
2025-12-21	oos	0.7579	0.753245	-0.61%	0.71958	-5.06%	0.0453	✓	0.43
2025-12-20	oos	0.8103	0.80074	-1.18%	0.7579	-6.47%	0.0566	✓	0.44
2025-12-19	oos	0.729805	0.719035	-1.48%	0.8103	+11.03%	0.1184	✗	0.43
2025-12-18	oos	0.56897	0.565208	-0.66%	0.729805	+28.27%	0.2480	✗	0.25
2025-12-17	oos	0.56168	0.556637	-0.90%	0.56897	+1.30%	0.0241	✗	0.25
2025-12-16	oos	0.50399	0.501427	-0.51%	0.56168	+11.45%	0.1193	✗	0.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.48578	0.484569	-0.25%	0.50399	+3.75%	0.0345	✗	0.29
2025-12-14	oos	0.48116	0.480073	-0.23%	0.48578	+0.96%	0.0178	✗	0.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.50201	0.500354	-0.33%	0.48116	-4.15%	0.0325	✓	0.29
2025-12-12	oos	0.49457	0.493264	-0.26%	0.50201	+1.50%	0.0176	✗	0.28
2025-12-11	oos	0.48276	0.481855	-0.19%	0.49457	+2.45%	0.0336	✗	0.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.48155	0.480536	-0.21%	0.48276	+0.25%	0.0029	✗	0.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.48623	0.485022	-0.25%	0.48155	-0.96%	0.0051	✓	0.30
2025-12-08	oos	0.49425	0.492674	-0.32%	0.48623	-1.62%	0.0203	✓	0.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.44899	0.448589	-0.09%	0.49425	+10.08%	0.0961	✗	0.31
2025-12-06	oos	0.46421	0.463415	-0.17%	0.44899	-3.28%	0.0358	✓	0.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.47895	0.477633	-0.27%	0.46421	-3.08%	0.0282	✓	0.32
2025-12-04	oos	0.48164	0.48033	-0.27%	0.47895	-0.56%	0.0073	✗	0.33
2025-12-03	oos	0.46809	0.466977	-0.24%	0.48164	+2.89%	0.0360	✗	0.35
2025-12-02	oos	0.4468	0.445831	-0.22%	0.46809	+4.76%	0.0414	✗	0.32
2025-12-01	oos	0.42344	0.421825	-0.38%	0.4468	+5.52%	0.0437	✗	0.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.44	0.438484	-0.34%	0.42344	-3.76%	0.0243	✓	0.23
2025-11-29	oos	0.41408	0.413167	-0.22%	0.44	+6.26%	0.0641	✗	0.24
2025-11-28	oos	0.40946	0.408592	-0.21%	0.41408	+1.13%	0.0135	✗	0.23
2025-11-27	oos	0.40698	0.406261	-0.18%	0.40946	+0.61%	0.0089	✗	0.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.39521	0.394706	-0.13%	0.40698	+2.98%	0.0288	✗	0.19
2025-11-25	oos	0.40539	0.404636	-0.19%	0.39521	-2.51%	0.0310	✓	0.21
2025-11-24	oos	0.40428	0.403534	-0.18%	0.40539	+0.27%	0.0069	✗	0.21
2025-11-23	oos	0.39642	0.395755	-0.17%	0.40428	+1.98%	0.0179	✗	0.20
2025-11-22	oos	0.40187	0.399669	-0.55%	0.39642	-1.36%	0.0131	✓	0.20
2025-11-21	oos	0.4076	0.404062	-0.87%	0.40187	-1.41%	0.0046	✓	0.19
2025-11-20	oos	0.42	0.415144	-1.16%	0.4076	-2.95%	0.0153	✓	0.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.431	0.429827	-0.27%	0.42	-2.55%	0.0133	✓	0.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.457	0.45569	-0.29%	0.431	-5.69%	0.0532	✓	0.16
2025-11-17	oos	0.457	0.454942	-0.45%	0.457	+0.00%	0.0031	✓	0.16
2025-11-16	oos	0.484	0.48205	-0.40%	0.457	-5.58%	0.0504	✓	0.13
2025-11-15	oos	0.454	0.453216	-0.17%	0.484	+6.61%	0.0679	✗	0.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.486	0.483741	-0.46%	0.454	-6.58%	0.0654	✓	0.18
2025-11-13	oos	0.508	0.506907	-0.22%	0.486	-4.33%	0.0346	✓	0.14
2025-11-12	oos	0.532	0.53159	-0.08%	0.508	-4.51%	0.0428	✓	0.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.52	0.521451	+0.28%	0.532	+2.31%	0.0219	✓	0.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.58	0.581338	+0.23%	0.52	-10.34%	0.1097	✗	0.06
2025-11-09	oos	0.581	0.58169	+0.12%	0.58	-0.17%	0.0036	✗	0.06
2025-11-08	oos	0.58	0.579753	-0.04%	0.581	+0.17%	0.0010	✗	0.05
2025-11-07	oos	0.589	0.591585	+0.44%	0.58	-1.53%	0.0193	✗	0.05
2025-11-06	oos	0.583	0.587689	+0.80%	0.589	+1.03%	0.0016	✓	0.03
2025-11-05	oos	0.568	0.574127	+1.08%	0.583	+2.64%	0.0170	✓	0.07
2025-11-04	oos	0.562	0.568289	+1.12%	0.568	+1.07%	0.0015	✓	0.04
2025-11-03	oos	0.557	0.561497	+0.81%	0.562	+0.90%	0.0057	✓	0.10
2025-11-02	oos	0.581	0.583303	+0.40%	0.557	-4.13%	0.0439	✗	0.06
2025-11-01	oos	0.574	0.576469	+0.43%	0.581	+1.22%	0.0076	✓	0.05
2025-10-31	oos	0.582	0.584438	+0.42%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0183	✗	0.06
2025-10-30	oos	0.574	0.5765	+0.44%	0.582	+1.39%	0.0089	✓	0.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.582	0.584603	+0.45%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0173	✗	0.06
2025-10-28	oos	0.566	0.569033	+0.54%	0.582	+2.83%	0.0249	✓	0.09
2025-10-27	oos	0.63	0.632822	+0.45%	0.566	-10.16%	0.1110	✗	0.06
2025-10-26	oos	0.628	0.631147	+0.50%	0.63	+0.32%	0.0016	✓	0.06
2025-10-25	oos	0.713	0.715143	+0.30%	0.628	-11.92%	0.1339	✗	0.15
2025-10-24	oos	0.721	0.723265	+0.31%	0.713	-1.11%	0.0153	✗	0.18
2025-10-23	oos	0.754	0.756005	+0.27%	0.721	-4.38%	0.0490	✗	0.19
2025-10-22	oos	0.752	0.753866	+0.25%	0.754	+0.27%	0.0029	✗	0.13
2025-10-21	oos	0.752	0.754626	+0.35%	0.752	+0.00%	0.0026	✓	0.12
2025-10-20	oos	0.807	0.809614	+0.32%	0.752	-6.82%	0.0725	✗	0.07
2025-10-19	oos	0.796	0.798805	+0.35%	0.807	+1.38%	0.0079	✓	0.14
2025-10-18	oos	0.818	0.819958	+0.24%	0.796	-2.69%	0.0317	✗	0.15
2025-10-17	oos	0.792	0.794972	+0.38%	0.818	+3.28%	0.0275	✓	0.16
2025-10-16	oos	0.789	0.794505	+0.70%	0.792	+0.38%	0.0006	✓	0.16
2025-10-15	oos	0.827	0.832984	+0.72%	0.789	-4.59%	0.0512	✗	0.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.839	0.84488	+0.70%	0.827	-1.43%	0.0191	✗	0.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.854	0.858937	+0.58%	0.839	-1.76%	0.0211	✗	0.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.867	0.872721	+0.66%	0.854	-1.50%	0.0219	✗	0.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.883	0.891424	+0.95%	0.867	-1.81%	0.0343	✗	0.17
2025-10-10	oos	0.872	0.878563	+0.75%	0.883	+1.26%	0.0089	✓	0.19
2025-10-09	oos	0.872	0.873338	+0.15%	0.872	+0.00%	0.0187	✓	0.27
2025-10-08	oos	0.95	0.949796	-0.02%	0.872	-8.21%	0.0829	✓	0.19
2025-10-07	oos	1.01	1.0093	-0.07%	0.95	-5.94%	0.0666	✓	0.38
2025-10-06	oos	1.09	1.0891	-0.08%	1.01	-7.34%	0.0663	✓	0.34
2025-10-05	oos	1.141	1.1384	-0.23%	1.09	-4.47%	0.0471	✓	0.38
2025-10-04	oos	1.165	1.1603	-0.41%	1.141	-2.06%	0.0200	✓	0.38
2025-10-03	oos	1.175	1.1682	-0.58%	1.165	-0.85%	0.0032	✓	0.37
2025-10-02	oos	1.198	1.1885	-0.79%	1.175	-1.92%	0.0169	✓	0.39
2025-10-01	oos	1.223	1.2115	-0.94%	1.198	-2.04%	0.0199	✓	0.53
2025-09-30	oos	1.204	1.1978	-0.51%	1.223	+1.58%	0.0027	✓	0.59
2025-09-29	oos	1.219	1.2106	-0.69%	1.204	-1.23%	0.0032	✓	0.88
2025-09-28	oos	1.21	1.2042	-0.48%	1.219	+0.74%	0.0041	✓	0.85
2025-09-27	oos	1.22	1.2168	-0.26%	1.21	-0.82%	0.0274	✓	0.96
2025-09-26	oos	1.223	1.2195	-0.28%	1.22	-0.25%	0.0005	✓	0.96
2025-09-25	oos	1.249	1.2458	-0.26%	1.223	-2.08%	0.0243	✓	0.96
2025-09-24	oos	1.271	1.2648	-0.49%	1.249	-1.73%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2025-09-23	oos	1.3	1.2946	-0.42%	1.271	-2.23%	0.0305	✓	1.03
2025-09-22	oos	1.29	1.2845	-0.42%	1.3	+0.78%	0.0184	✗	1.01
2025-09-21	oos	1.31	1.3071	-0.22%	1.29	-1.53%	0.0093	✗	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	1.325	1.3241	-0.07%	1.31	-1.13%	0.0073	✓	0.85
2025-09-19	oos	1.336	1.3355	-0.03%	1.325	-0.82%	0.0084	✓	0.85
2025-09-18	oos	1.363	1.3615	-0.11%	1.336	-1.98%	0.0087	✓	0.83
2025-09-17	oos	1.283	1.2827	-0.03%	1.363	+6.24%	0.0561	✗	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.