APTM

Apertum · native · gru_s2

token id: #738
symbol: APTM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-29
predictions: 1,569

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3258

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0312

actual -0.2239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05044	0.04889	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.050485	0.049174	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-19	oos	0.04955	0.047481	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	0.051575	0.048088	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.051415	0.046519	-9.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.05148	0.046262	-10.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.05166	0.046496	-10.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.05095	0.046725	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.04801	0.043992	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.04597	0.042968	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.043545	0.040583	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.038075	0.036563	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.04453	0.042364	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-08	oos	0.039705	0.038822	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.048795	0.04615	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.05007	0.046405	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.05562	0.050277	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.05554	0.050417	-9.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.05556	0.05067	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-10-02	oos	0.059785	0.054232	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-10-01	oos	0.067895	0.060238	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.069685	0.062049	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-09-29	oos	0.07139	0.063372	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-09-28	oos	0.06487	0.058879	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.07234	0.064094	-11.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.078755	0.069367	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-09-25	oos	0.08103	0.071455	-11.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-24	oos	0.08097	0.071368	-11.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-23	oos	0.08203	0.07219	-12.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-22	oos	0.08513	0.074921	-11.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.07953	0.069894	-12.12%	0.05044	-36.58%	0.3429	✓	-0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.0812	0.071384	-12.09%	0.050485	-37.83%	0.3396	✓	-0.32
2026-09-19	oos	0.085365	0.07422	-13.06%	0.04955	-41.96%	0.4016	✓	-0.33
2026-09-18	oos	0.08565	0.074244	-13.32%	0.051575	-39.78%	0.3598	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.08507	0.076006	-10.65%	0.051415	-39.56%	0.3663	✓	-0.39
2026-09-16	oos	0.08344	0.074767	-10.39%	0.05148	-38.30%	0.3468	✓	-0.39
2026-09-15	oos	0.08708	0.078209	-10.19%	0.05166	-40.68%	0.3885	✓	-0.32
2026-09-14	oos	0.08585	0.075643	-11.89%	0.05095	-40.65%	0.3820	✓	-0.31
2026-09-13	oos	0.079525	0.072205	-9.20%	0.04801	-39.63%	0.3812	✓	-0.34
2026-09-12	oos	0.083605	0.075717	-9.44%	0.04597	-45.02%	0.4794	✓	-0.35
2026-09-11	oos	0.08481	0.077526	-8.59%	0.043545	-48.66%	0.5494	✓	-0.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.090155	0.082583	-8.40%	0.038075	-57.77%	0.7484	✓	-0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.08912	0.081292	-8.78%	0.04453	-50.03%	0.5852	✓	-0.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.0919	0.084133	-8.45%	0.039705	-56.80%	0.7397	✓	-0.28
2026-09-07	oos	0.09638	0.088575	-8.10%	0.048795	-49.37%	0.5814	✓	-0.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.087055	0.081657	-6.20%	0.05007	-42.48%	0.4752	✓	-0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.088895	0.083906	-5.61%	0.05562	-37.43%	0.3955	✓	-0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.089055	0.084683	-4.91%	0.05554	-37.63%	0.4071	✓	-0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.09121	0.087436	-4.14%	0.05556	-39.09%	0.4453	✓	-0.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.09298	0.087912	-5.45%	0.059785	-35.70%	0.3716	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.16979	0.158136	-6.86%	0.067895	-60.01%	0.8254	✓	-0.22
2026-08-31	oos	0.08124	0.080156	-1.33%	0.069685	-14.22%	0.1494	✓	0.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.07423	0.075904	+2.25%	0.07139	-3.83%	0.0672	✗	0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.07457	0.076061	+2.00%	0.06487	-13.01%	0.1664	✗	0.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.07422	0.075251	+1.39%	0.07234	-2.53%	0.0485	✗	0.11
2026-08-27	oos	0.08533	0.087263	+2.26%	0.078755	-7.71%	0.1032	✗	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.10211	0.105912	+3.72%	0.08103	-20.64%	0.2725	✗	0.08
2026-08-25	oos	0.10665	0.111674	+4.71%	0.08097	-24.08%	0.3270	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.11217	0.118494	+5.64%	0.08203	-26.87%	0.3712	✗	0.05
2026-08-23	oos	0.12435	0.130027	+4.57%	0.08513	-31.54%	0.4337	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.12235	0.128164	+4.75%	0.07953	-35.00%	0.4880	✗	0.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.1212	0.128289	+5.85%	0.0812	-33.00%	0.4610	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.12097	0.124025	+2.53%	0.085365	-29.43%	0.3841	✗	0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.12915	0.124136	-3.88%	0.08565	-33.68%	0.4027	✓	0.20
2026-08-18	oos	0.13144	0.126692	-3.61%	0.08507	-35.28%	0.4432	✓	0.27
2026-08-17	oos	0.13321	0.128346	-3.65%	0.08344	-37.36%	0.4780	✓	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.13581	0.132366	-2.54%	0.08708	-35.88%	0.4758	✓	0.31
2026-08-15	oos	0.13355	0.130606	-2.20%	0.08585	-35.72%	0.4867	✓	0.31
2026-08-14	oos	0.1315	0.129253	-1.71%	0.079525	-39.52%	0.5487	✓	0.32
2026-08-13	oos	0.14032	0.135916	-3.14%	0.083605	-40.42%	0.5451	✓	0.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.14456	0.139142	-3.75%	0.08481	-41.33%	0.5441	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.14696	0.140543	-4.37%	0.090155	-38.65%	0.5043	✓	0.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.14592	0.138844	-4.85%	0.08912	-38.93%	0.5088	✓	0.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.13868	0.131823	-4.94%	0.0919	-33.73%	0.4306	✓	0.37
2026-08-08	oos	0.14461	0.135952	-5.99%	0.09638	-33.35%	0.4171	✓	0.37
2026-08-07	oos	0.1437	0.13446	-6.43%	0.087055	-39.42%	0.5037	✓	0.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.14603	0.136431	-6.57%	0.088895	-39.13%	0.5003	✓	0.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.14513	0.134542	-7.30%	0.089055	-38.64%	0.4819	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.14826	0.136841	-7.70%	0.09121	-38.48%	0.4818	✓	0.32
2026-08-03	oos	0.15172	0.140601	-7.33%	0.09298	-38.72%	0.4789	✓	0.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.15604	0.144759	-7.23%	0.16979	+8.81%	0.0988	✗	0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.15091	0.140626	-6.81%	0.08124	-46.17%	0.6118	✓	0.28
2026-07-31	oos	0.13661	0.129275	-5.37%	0.07423	-45.66%	0.6131	✓	0.28
2026-07-30	oos	0.14276	0.135649	-4.98%	0.07457	-47.77%	0.6469	✓	0.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.14754	0.139891	-5.18%	0.07422	-49.69%	0.6948	✓	0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.15216	0.143979	-5.38%	0.08533	-43.92%	0.5939	✓	0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.15277	0.144503	-5.41%	0.10211	-33.16%	0.4159	✓	0.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.15221	0.145692	-4.28%	0.10665	-29.93%	0.3724	✓	0.33
2026-07-25	oos	0.14016	0.134347	-4.15%	0.11217	-19.97%	0.2356	✓	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.14238	0.136188	-4.35%	0.12435	-12.66%	0.1411	✓	0.26
2026-07-23	oos	0.14741	0.14168	-3.89%	0.12235	-17.00%	0.1879	✓	0.24
2026-07-22	oos	0.15841	0.15221	-3.91%	0.1212	-23.49%	0.2663	✓	0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.15839	0.151915	-4.09%	0.12097	-23.63%	0.2494	✓	0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.15106	0.14423	-4.52%	0.12915	-14.50%	0.1222	✓	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	0.14672	0.140001	-4.58%	0.13144	-10.41%	0.0631	✓	0.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.1545	0.146443	-5.21%	0.13321	-13.78%	0.0939	✓	0.17
2026-07-17	oos	0.15717	0.148236	-5.68%	0.13581	-13.59%	0.0838	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	0.16458	0.154394	-6.19%	0.13355	-18.85%	0.1420	✓	0.26
2026-07-15	oos	0.14785	0.139483	-5.66%	0.1315	-11.06%	0.0511	✓	0.29
2026-07-14	oos	0.13584	0.128931	-5.09%	0.14032	+3.30%	0.0920	✗	0.30
2026-07-13	oos	0.12405	0.118043	-4.84%	0.14456	+16.53%	0.1994	✗	0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.11991	0.115776	-3.45%	0.14696	+22.56%	0.2392	✗	0.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.1254	0.120649	-3.79%	0.14592	+16.36%	0.1898	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.12225	0.118289	-3.24%	0.13868	+13.44%	0.1565	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.12308	0.119072	-3.26%	0.14461	+17.49%	0.1880	✗	0.23
2026-07-08	oos	0.12313	0.118989	-3.36%	0.1437	+16.71%	0.1775	✗	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	0.12172	0.118088	-2.98%	0.14603	+19.97%	0.2083	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	0.11802	0.114661	-2.85%	0.14513	+22.97%	0.2334	✗	0.24
2026-07-05	oos	0.12421	0.120221	-3.21%	0.14826	+19.36%	0.2064	✗	0.44
2026-07-04	oos	0.12789	0.123615	-3.34%	0.15172	+18.63%	0.2022	✗	0.45
2026-07-03	oos	0.12756	0.123495	-3.19%	0.15604	+22.33%	0.2274	✗	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.13462	0.129421	-3.86%	0.15091	+12.10%	0.1443	✗	0.45
2026-07-01	oos	0.1334	0.12774	-4.24%	0.13661	+2.41%	0.0460	✗	0.45
2026-06-30	oos	0.1241	0.119605	-3.62%	0.14276	+15.04%	0.1350	✗	0.42
2026-06-29	oos	0.10165	0.102944	+1.27%	0.14754	+45.15%	0.3245	✓	0.59
2026-06-28	oos	0.10748	0.107445	-0.03%	0.15216	+41.57%	0.3055	✗	0.60
2026-06-27	oos	0.12679	0.123096	-2.91%	0.15277	+20.49%	0.1834	✗	0.54
2026-06-26	oos	0.12502	0.120885	-3.31%	0.15221	+21.75%	0.1847	✗	0.54
2026-06-25	oos	0.1193	0.115069	-3.55%	0.14016	+17.49%	0.1583	✗	0.53
2026-06-24	oos	0.12379	0.118367	-4.38%	0.14238	+15.02%	0.1565	✗	0.57
2026-06-23	oos	0.12526	0.118899	-5.08%	0.14741	+17.68%	0.2008	✗	0.38
2026-06-22	oos	0.13626	0.128185	-5.93%	0.15841	+16.26%	0.2014	✗	0.31
2026-06-21	oos	0.1432	0.135013	-5.72%	0.15839	+10.61%	0.1429	✗	0.33
2026-06-20	oos	0.14425	0.135925	-5.77%	0.15106	+4.72%	0.1000	✗	0.37
2026-06-19	oos	0.14924	0.140953	-5.55%	0.14672	-1.69%	0.0329	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.152465	0.144214	-5.41%	0.1545	+1.33%	0.0571	✗	0.39
2026-06-17	oos	0.16544	0.155669	-5.91%	0.15717	-5.00%	0.0125	✓	0.34
2026-06-16	oos	0.1638	0.154106	-5.92%	0.16458	+0.48%	0.0758	✗	0.35
2026-06-15	oos	0.17088	0.160496	-6.08%	0.14785	-13.48%	0.0725	✓	0.40
2026-06-14	oos	0.17032	0.159979	-6.07%	0.13584	-20.24%	0.1590	✓	0.42
2026-06-13	oos	0.16995	0.159906	-5.91%	0.12405	-27.01%	0.2385	✓	0.45
2026-06-12	oos	0.16892	0.159264	-5.72%	0.11991	-29.01%	0.2852	✓	0.43
2026-06-11	oos	0.16948	0.159607	-5.83%	0.1254	-26.01%	0.2426	✓	0.43
2026-06-10	oos	0.16501	0.156372	-5.23%	0.12225	-25.91%	0.2656	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	0.16981	0.160279	-5.61%	0.12308	-27.52%	0.2753	✓	0.47
2026-06-08	oos	0.17186	0.161239	-6.18%	0.12313	-28.35%	0.2636	✓	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.17355	0.16241	-6.42%	0.12172	-29.86%	0.2885	✓	0.42
2026-06-06	oos	0.16966	0.158324	-6.68%	0.11802	-30.44%	0.3097	✓	0.31
2026-06-05	oos	0.16953	0.156833	-7.49%	0.12421	-26.73%	0.2466	✓	0.33
2026-06-04	oos	0.17312	0.159309	-7.98%	0.12789	-26.13%	0.2159	✓	0.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.17071	0.157333	-7.84%	0.12756	-25.28%	0.2016	✓	0.34
2026-06-02	oos	0.17298	0.159933	-7.54%	0.13462	-22.18%	0.1432	✓	0.36
2026-06-01	oos	0.17134	0.1593	-7.03%	0.1334	-22.14%	0.1148	✓	0.36
2026-05-31	oos	0.180875	0.168781	-6.69%	0.1241	-31.39%	0.2349	✓	0.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.18247	0.170193	-6.73%	0.10165	-44.29%	0.4524	✓	0.31
2026-05-29	oos	0.18313	0.170166	-7.08%	0.10748	-41.31%	0.3923	✓	0.32
2026-05-28	oos	0.18267	0.168986	-7.49%	0.12679	-30.59%	0.2231	✓	0.31
2026-05-27	oos	0.18145	0.167357	-7.77%	0.12502	-31.10%	0.2227	✓	0.32
2026-05-26	oos	0.17662	0.162334	-8.09%	0.1193	-32.45%	0.2233	✓	0.35
2026-05-25	oos	0.18038	0.165642	-8.17%	0.12379	-31.37%	0.1972	✓	0.40
2026-05-24	oos	0.18253	0.168039	-7.94%	0.12526	-31.38%	0.2112	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	0.1803	0.166487	-7.66%	0.13626	-24.43%	0.1208	✓	0.44
2026-05-22	oos	0.18214	0.169322	-7.04%	0.1432	-21.38%	0.0891	✓	0.44
2026-05-21	oos	0.18351	0.170863	-6.89%	0.14425	-21.39%	0.0839	✓	0.45
2026-05-20	oos	0.19035	0.177983	-6.50%	0.14924	-21.60%	0.0864	✓	0.45
2026-05-19	oos	0.18468	0.172495	-6.60%	0.152465	-17.44%	0.0338	✓	0.45
2026-05-18	oos	0.19254	0.179694	-6.67%	0.16544	-14.07%	0.0050	✓	0.44
2026-05-17	oos	0.19675	0.184294	-6.33%	0.1638	-16.75%	0.0475	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.20489	0.19007	-7.23%	0.17088	-16.60%	0.0376	✓	0.42
2026-05-15	oos	0.20193	0.188468	-6.67%	0.17032	-15.65%	0.0197	✓	0.44
2026-05-14	oos	0.19072	0.18518	-2.90%	0.16995	-10.89%	0.0274	✓	0.49
2026-05-13	oos	0.17412	0.168008	-3.51%	0.16892	-2.99%	0.0917	✗	0.39
2026-05-12	oos	0.17421	0.171481	-1.57%	0.16948	-2.72%	0.0796	✗	0.39
2026-05-11	oos	0.18395	0.180214	-2.03%	0.16501	-10.30%	0.0156	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.18566	0.182009	-1.97%	0.16981	-8.54%	0.0497	✗	0.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.19691	0.187879	-4.59%	0.17186	-12.72%	0.0194	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.19567	0.185399	-5.25%	0.17355	-11.30%	0.0353	✓	0.43
2026-05-07	oos	0.19909	0.186383	-6.38%	0.16966	-14.78%	0.0263	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.19352	0.182834	-5.52%	0.16953	-12.40%	0.0279	✓	0.36
2026-05-05	oos	0.19238	0.18093	-5.95%	0.17312	-10.01%	0.0570	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.20175	0.186974	-7.32%	0.17071	-15.39%	0.0040	✓	0.43
2026-05-03	oos	0.20465	0.188326	-7.98%	0.17298	-15.48%	0.0240	✓	0.37
2026-05-02	oos	0.20929	0.192515	-8.02%	0.17134	-18.13%	0.0803	✓	0.37
2026-05-01	oos	0.20161	0.185272	-8.10%	0.180875	-10.28%	0.0011	✓	0.37
2026-04-30	oos	0.19292	0.179348	-7.03%	0.18247	-5.42%	0.0289	✓	0.34
2026-04-29	oos	0.19468	0.181607	-6.72%	0.18313	-5.93%	0.0193	✓	0.34
2026-04-28	oos	0.20541	0.192527	-6.27%	0.18267	-11.07%	0.0411	✓	0.30
2026-04-27	oos	0.20654	0.195726	-5.24%	0.18145	-12.15%	0.0634	✓	0.31
2026-04-26	oos	0.20357	0.197549	-2.96%	0.17662	-13.24%	0.1003	✓	0.32
2026-04-25	oos	0.20785	0.203187	-2.24%	0.18038	-13.22%	0.1174	✓	0.32
2026-04-24	oos	0.21439	0.211069	-1.55%	0.18253	-14.86%	0.1431	✓	0.35
2026-04-23	oos	0.22594	0.224746	-0.53%	0.1803	-20.20%	0.2130	✓	0.35
2026-04-22	oos	0.21641	0.21844	+0.94%	0.18214	-15.84%	0.1693	✗	0.35
2026-04-21	oos	0.21717	0.213966	-1.48%	0.18351	-15.50%	0.1589	✓	0.35
2026-04-20	oos	0.24333	0.233371	-4.09%	0.19035	-21.77%	0.2111	✓	0.35
2026-04-19	oos	0.23956	0.227131	-5.19%	0.18468	-22.91%	0.2217	✓	0.38
2026-04-18	oos	0.25684	0.24481	-4.68%	0.19254	-25.04%	0.2460	✓	0.37
2026-04-17	oos	0.27491	0.265021	-3.60%	0.19675	-28.43%	0.2993	✓	0.36
2026-04-16	oos	0.28018	0.263956	-5.79%	0.20489	-26.87%	0.2672	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.27333	0.257798	-5.68%	0.20193	-26.12%	0.2641	✓	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.27129	0.255084	-5.97%	0.19072	-29.70%	0.3226	✓	0.36
2026-04-13	oos	0.26811	0.252513	-5.82%	0.17412	-35.06%	0.3944	✓	0.36
2026-04-12	oos	0.27622	0.261031	-5.50%	0.17421	-36.93%	0.4551	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.29991	0.28048	-6.48%	0.18395	-38.66%	0.4636	✓	0.37
2026-04-10	oos	0.28573	0.269362	-5.73%	0.18566	-35.02%	0.4159	✓	0.37
2026-04-09	oos	0.26827	0.255903	-4.61%	0.19691	-26.60%	0.3033	✓	0.35
2026-04-08	oos	0.27586	0.262514	-4.84%	0.19567	-29.07%	0.3371	✓	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.24535	0.23592	-3.84%	0.19909	-18.85%	0.2094	✓	0.37
2026-04-06	oos	0.21158	0.204433	-3.38%	0.19352	-8.54%	0.1042	✓	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.19818	0.19386	-2.18%	0.19238	-2.93%	0.0542	✓	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.2031	0.200218	-1.42%	0.20175	-0.66%	0.0458	✓	0.31
2026-04-03	oos	0.19894	0.198174	-0.39%	0.20465	+2.87%	0.0179	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.20104	0.200963	-0.04%	0.20929	+4.10%	0.0103	✓	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.21028	0.209689	-0.28%	0.20161	-4.12%	0.0823	✓	0.31
2026-03-31	oos	0.2115	0.211867	+0.17%	0.19292	-8.78%	0.1293	✗	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.21399	0.215298	+0.61%	0.19468	-9.02%	0.1415	✗	0.32
2026-03-29	oos	0.23271	0.232014	-0.30%	0.20541	-11.73%	0.1723	✓	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.23595	0.234975	-0.41%	0.20654	-12.46%	0.1825	✓	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.24364	0.241544	-0.86%	0.20357	-16.45%	0.2303	✓	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.2636	0.259385	-1.60%	0.20785	-21.15%	0.2616	✓	0.33
2026-03-25	oos	0.22177	0.225721	+1.78%	0.21439	-3.33%	0.0855	✗	0.41
2026-03-24	oos	0.237085	0.239503	+1.02%	0.22594	-4.70%	0.1018	✗	0.42
2026-03-23	oos	0.24136	0.242337	+0.40%	0.21641	-10.34%	0.1543	✗	0.42
2026-03-22	oos	0.2329	0.237315	+1.90%	0.21717	-6.75%	0.1343	✗	0.39
2026-03-21	oos	0.23942	0.242671	+1.36%	0.24333	+1.63%	0.0342	✗	0.38
2026-03-20	oos	0.24414	0.245455	+0.54%	0.23956	-1.88%	0.0418	✗	0.38
2026-03-19	oos	0.25525	0.25679	+0.60%	0.25684	+0.62%	0.0311	✗	0.39
2026-03-18	oos	0.25961	0.262249	+1.02%	0.27491	+5.89%	0.0085	✓	0.49
2026-03-17	oos	0.28038	0.288774	+2.99%	0.28018	-0.07%	0.0379	✗	0.47
2026-03-16	oos	0.300425	0.310187	+3.25%	0.27333	-9.02%	0.1262	✗	0.43
2026-03-15	oos	0.28623	0.302721	+5.76%	0.27129	-5.22%	0.1174	✗	0.42
2026-03-14	oos	0.29323	0.31707	+8.13%	0.26811	-8.57%	0.1866	✗	0.43
2026-03-13	oos	0.30095	0.330316	+9.76%	0.27622	-8.22%	0.1777	✗	0.44
2026-03-12	oos	0.238945	0.264809	+10.82%	0.29991	+25.51%	0.1098	✓	0.41
2026-03-11	oos	0.21947	0.245024	+11.64%	0.28573	+30.19%	0.1384	✓	0.39
2026-03-10	oos	0.24161	0.27609	+14.27%	0.26827	+11.03%	0.0391	✓	0.40
2026-03-09	oos	0.2527	0.29876	+18.23%	0.27586	+9.17%	0.0956	✓	0.42
2026-03-08	oos	0.275275	0.329712	+19.78%	0.24535	-10.87%	0.3350	✗	0.46
2026-03-07	oos	0.285105	0.327899	+15.01%	0.21158	-25.79%	0.4489	✗	0.46
2026-03-06	oos	0.29572	0.327461	+10.73%	0.19818	-32.98%	0.5081	✗	0.45
2026-03-05	oos	0.30314	0.320721	+5.80%	0.2031	-33.00%	0.4335	✗	0.45
2026-03-04	oos	0.31296	0.321167	+2.62%	0.19894	-36.43%	0.4429	✗	0.44
2026-03-03	oos	0.32191	0.344092	+6.89%	0.20104	-37.55%	0.5272	✗	0.48
2026-03-02	oos	0.30972	0.328869	+6.18%	0.21028	-32.11%	0.4420	✗	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.30922	0.32906	+6.42%	0.2115	-31.60%	0.4614	✗	0.53
2026-02-28	oos	0.31967	0.338616	+5.93%	0.21399	-33.06%	0.4571	✗	0.53
2026-02-27	oos	0.32496	0.34142	+5.07%	0.23271	-28.39%	0.3841	✗	0.54
2026-02-26	oos	0.33098	0.34735	+4.95%	0.23595	-28.71%	0.3773	✗	0.54
2026-02-25	oos	0.34717	0.36163	+4.16%	0.24364	-29.82%	0.3819	✗	0.53
2026-02-24	oos	0.33162	0.341144	+2.87%	0.2636	-20.51%	0.2951	✗	0.53
2026-02-23	oos	0.33904	0.347393	+2.46%	0.22177	-34.59%	0.4981	✗	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.36056	0.367255	+1.86%	0.237085	-34.25%	0.4578	✗	0.48
2026-02-21	oos	0.36987	0.373441	+0.97%	0.24136	-34.74%	0.4567	✗	0.48
2026-02-20	oos	0.3689	0.370318	+0.38%	0.2329	-36.87%	0.4628	✗	0.47
2026-02-19	oos	0.37199	0.373026	+0.28%	0.23942	-35.64%	0.4570	✗	0.47
2026-02-18	oos	0.36234	0.363425	+0.30%	0.24414	-32.62%	0.4261	✗	0.48
2026-02-17	oos	0.36101	0.35972	-0.36%	0.25525	-29.30%	0.3601	✓	0.48
2026-02-16	oos	0.35947	0.355239	-1.18%	0.25961	-27.78%	0.3302	✓	0.49
2026-02-15	oos	0.3796	0.373864	-1.51%	0.28038	-26.14%	0.3231	✓	0.49
2026-02-14	oos	0.39839	0.390738	-1.92%	0.300425	-24.59%	0.2978	✓	0.50
2026-02-13	oos	0.39596	0.389157	-1.72%	0.28623	-27.71%	0.3348	✓	0.49
2026-02-12	oos	0.42051	0.41396	-1.56%	0.29323	-30.27%	0.3826	✓	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.41563	0.409128	-1.56%	0.30095	-27.59%	0.3372	✓	0.53
2026-02-10	oos	0.419	0.411911	-1.69%	0.238945	-42.97%	0.5579	✓	0.54
2026-02-09	oos	0.47437	0.461294	-2.76%	0.21947	-53.73%	0.7436	✓	0.51
2026-02-08	oos	0.49868	0.481978	-3.35%	0.24161	-51.55%	0.6881	✓	0.54
2026-02-07	oos	0.51882	0.498178	-3.98%	0.2527	-51.29%	0.6722	✓	0.55
2026-02-06	oos	0.54166	0.514472	-5.02%	0.275275	-49.18%	0.5891	✓	0.54
2026-02-05	oos	0.54685	0.548476	+0.30%	0.285105	-47.86%	0.7015	✗	0.69
2026-02-04	oos	0.60577	0.563586	-6.96%	0.29572	-51.18%	0.5979	✓	0.68
2026-02-03	oos	0.62096	0.58263	-6.17%	0.30314	-51.18%	0.6107	✓	0.65
2026-02-02	oos	0.56247	0.540507	-3.90%	0.31296	-44.36%	0.4867	✓	0.76
2026-02-01	oos	0.56928	0.540428	-5.07%	0.32191	-43.45%	0.4321	✓	0.73
2026-01-31	oos	0.5988	0.573532	-4.22%	0.30972	-48.28%	0.5193	✓	0.73
2026-01-30	oos	0.60888	0.601564	-1.20%	0.30922	-49.21%	0.4749	✓	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	0.59124	0.585773	-0.92%	0.31967	-45.93%	0.4259	✓	0.77
2026-01-28	oos	0.57403	0.567868	-1.07%	0.32496	-43.39%	0.2951	✓	0.87
2026-01-27	oos	0.57841	0.571453	-1.20%	0.33098	-42.78%	0.3043	✓	0.87
2026-01-26	oos	0.56422	0.560109	-0.73%	0.34717	-38.47%	0.2604	✓	0.84
2026-01-25	oos	0.55145	0.551471	+0.00%	0.33162	-39.86%	0.2520	✗	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	0.61442	0.605023	-1.53%	0.33904	-44.82%	0.3249	✓	0.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.63296	0.620217	-2.01%	0.36056	-43.04%	0.3522	✓	0.68
2026-01-22	oos	0.66735	0.650835	-2.47%	0.36987	-44.58%	0.3783	✓	0.68
2026-01-21	oos	0.67395	0.658523	-2.29%	0.3689	-45.26%	0.3974	✓	0.67
2026-01-20	oos	0.69983	0.684157	-2.24%	0.37199	-46.85%	0.4229	✓	0.67
2026-01-19	oos	0.77066	0.731596	-5.07%	0.36234	-52.98%	0.5065	✓	0.59
2026-01-18	oos	0.77974	0.739815	-5.12%	0.36101	-53.70%	0.5144	✓	0.62
2026-01-17	oos	0.78625	0.741886	-5.64%	0.35947	-54.28%	0.5239	✓	0.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.84274	0.788192	-6.47%	0.3796	-54.96%	0.5335	✓	0.60
2026-01-15	oos	0.80277	0.749361	-6.65%	0.39839	-50.37%	0.4410	✓	0.61
2026-01-14	oos	0.80498	0.744325	-7.53%	0.39596	-50.81%	0.4244	✓	0.60
2026-01-13	oos	0.79915	0.740842	-7.30%	0.42051	-47.38%	0.3381	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	0.77905	0.740378	-4.96%	0.41563	-46.65%	0.3832	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.78271	0.744122	-4.93%	0.419	-46.47%	0.3976	✓	0.64
2026-01-10	oos	0.81372	0.772252	-5.10%	0.47437	-41.70%	0.3240	✓	0.64
2026-01-09	oos	0.77048	0.733166	-4.84%	0.49868	-35.28%	0.2351	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.80087	0.758131	-5.34%	0.51882	-35.22%	0.2208	✓	0.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.81518	0.769919	-5.55%	0.54166	-33.55%	0.2207	✓	0.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.83361	0.786209	-5.69%	0.54685	-34.40%	0.1541	✓	0.52
2026-01-05	oos	0.8552	0.803916	-6.00%	0.60577	-29.17%	0.1594	✓	0.49
2026-01-04	oos	0.82596	0.773623	-6.34%	0.62096	-24.82%	0.1228	✓	0.51
2026-01-03	oos	0.8105	0.759504	-6.29%	0.56247	-30.60%	0.2311	✓	0.49
2026-01-02	oos	0.81724	0.763279	-6.60%	0.56928	-30.34%	0.2169	✓	0.49
2026-01-01	oos	0.82222	0.766396	-6.79%	0.5988	-27.17%	0.1876	✓	0.49
2025-12-31	oos	0.79806	0.746929	-6.41%	0.60888	-23.70%	0.1858	✓	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.84257	0.781228	-7.28%	0.59124	-29.83%	0.2584	✓	0.45
2025-12-29	oos	0.805	0.74992	-6.84%	0.57403	-28.69%	0.2774	✓	0.43
2025-12-28	oos	0.83292	0.772269	-7.28%	0.57841	-30.56%	0.2951	✓	0.43
2025-12-27	oos	0.84932	0.785722	-7.49%	0.56422	-33.57%	0.3333	✓	0.43
2025-12-26	oos	0.83272	0.770387	-7.49%	0.55145	-33.78%	0.3308	✓	0.42
2025-12-25	oos	0.83327	0.771917	-7.36%	0.61442	-26.26%	0.2373	✓	0.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.80289	0.74769	-6.88%	0.63296	-21.16%	0.1754	✓	0.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.79958	0.745501	-6.76%	0.66735	-16.54%	0.1203	✓	0.42
2025-12-22	oos	0.71958	0.681835	-5.25%	0.67395	-6.34%	0.0156	✓	0.43
2025-12-21	oos	0.7579	0.714785	-5.69%	0.69983	-7.66%	0.0195	✓	0.43
2025-12-20	oos	0.8103	0.758632	-6.38%	0.77066	-4.89%	0.0050	✓	0.44
2025-12-19	oos	0.729805	0.687341	-5.82%	0.77974	+6.84%	0.0999	✗	0.43
2025-12-18	oos	0.56897	0.546189	-4.00%	0.78625	+38.19%	0.3376	✗	0.25
2025-12-17	oos	0.56168	0.53849	-4.13%	0.84274	+50.04%	0.4219	✗	0.25
2025-12-16	oos	0.50399	0.486606	-3.45%	0.80277	+59.28%	0.4745	✗	0.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.48578	0.477664	-1.67%	0.80498	+65.71%	0.4884	✗	0.29
2025-12-14	oos	0.48116	0.467707	-2.80%	0.79915	+66.09%	0.5123	✗	0.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.50201	0.47884	-4.62%	0.77905	+55.19%	0.4838	✗	0.29
2025-12-12	oos	0.49457	0.472298	-4.50%	0.78271	+58.26%	0.5033	✗	0.28
2025-12-11	oos	0.48276	0.458951	-4.93%	0.81372	+68.56%	0.5799	✗	0.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.48155	0.455951	-5.32%	0.77048	+60.00%	0.5297	✗	0.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.48623	0.457427	-5.92%	0.80087	+64.71%	0.5655	✗	0.30
2025-12-08	oos	0.49425	0.465777	-5.76%	0.81518	+64.93%	0.5575	✗	0.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.44899	0.429201	-4.41%	0.83361	+85.66%	0.6526	✗	0.31
2025-12-06	oos	0.46421	0.445746	-3.98%	0.8552	+84.23%	0.6350	✗	0.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.47895	0.459853	-3.99%	0.82596	+72.45%	0.5779	✗	0.32
2025-12-04	oos	0.48164	0.458324	-4.84%	0.8105	+68.28%	0.5756	✗	0.33
2025-12-03	oos	0.46809	0.444398	-5.06%	0.81724	+74.59%	0.6225	✗	0.35
2025-12-02	oos	0.4468	0.431372	-3.45%	0.82222	+84.02%	0.6541	✗	0.32
2025-12-01	oos	0.42344	0.422602	-0.20%	0.79806	+88.47%	0.6323	✗	0.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.44	0.428265	-2.67%	0.84257	+91.49%	0.6818	✗	0.23
2025-11-29	oos	0.41408	0.40303	-2.67%	0.805	+94.41%	0.7017	✗	0.24
2025-11-28	oos	0.40946	0.397481	-2.93%	0.83292	+103.42%	0.7477	✗	0.23
2025-11-27	oos	0.40698	0.393438	-3.33%	0.84932	+108.69%	0.7787	✗	0.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.39521	0.383803	-2.89%	0.83272	+110.70%	0.7814	✗	0.19
2025-11-25	oos	0.40539	0.403604	-0.44%	0.83327	+105.55%	0.7253	✗	0.21
2025-11-24	oos	0.40428	0.397901	-1.58%	0.80289	+98.60%	0.7036	✗	0.21
2025-11-23	oos	0.39642	0.395583	-0.21%	0.79958	+101.70%	0.7023	✗	0.20
2025-11-22	oos	0.40187	0.404729	+0.71%	0.71958	+79.06%	0.5666	✓	0.20
2025-11-21	oos	0.4076	0.40746	-0.03%	0.7579	+85.94%	0.6127	✗	0.19
2025-11-20	oos	0.42	0.413319	-1.59%	0.8103	+92.93%	0.6695	✗	0.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.431	0.413782	-3.99%	0.729805	+69.33%	0.5741	✗	0.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.457	0.435986	-4.60%	0.56897	+24.50%	0.2796	✗	0.16
2025-11-17	oos	0.457	0.436269	-4.54%	0.56168	+22.91%	0.2633	✗	0.16
2025-11-16	oos	0.484	0.460569	-4.84%	0.50399	+4.13%	0.0993	✗	0.13
2025-11-15	oos	0.454	0.433569	-4.50%	0.48578	+7.00%	0.1293	✗	0.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.486	0.462445	-4.85%	0.48116	-1.00%	0.0519	✗	0.18
2025-11-13	oos	0.508	0.488455	-3.85%	0.50201	-1.18%	0.0415	✗	0.14
2025-11-12	oos	0.532	0.517234	-2.78%	0.49457	-7.04%	0.0297	✓	0.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.52	0.514498	-1.06%	0.48276	-7.16%	0.0486	✓	0.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.58	0.574622	-0.93%	0.48155	-16.97%	0.1677	✓	0.06
2025-11-09	oos	0.581	0.570951	-1.73%	0.48623	-16.31%	0.1533	✓	0.06
2025-11-08	oos	0.58	0.567314	-2.19%	0.49425	-14.78%	0.1318	✓	0.05
2025-11-07	oos	0.589	0.583275	-0.97%	0.44899	-23.77%	0.2551	✓	0.05
2025-11-06	oos	0.583	0.581402	-0.27%	0.46421	-20.38%	0.2207	✓	0.03
2025-11-05	oos	0.568	0.575828	+1.38%	0.47895	-15.68%	0.1744	✗	0.07
2025-11-04	oos	0.562	0.562873	+0.16%	0.48164	-14.30%	0.1518	✗	0.04
2025-11-03	oos	0.557	0.560731	+0.67%	0.46809	-15.96%	0.1676	✗	0.10
2025-11-02	oos	0.581	0.589198	+1.41%	0.4468	-23.10%	0.2650	✗	0.06
2025-11-01	oos	0.574	0.581111	+1.24%	0.42344	-26.23%	0.3038	✗	0.05
2025-10-31	oos	0.582	0.586264	+0.73%	0.44	-24.40%	0.2756	✗	0.06
2025-10-30	oos	0.574	0.573275	-0.13%	0.41408	-27.86%	0.3160	✓	0.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.582	0.590403	+1.44%	0.40946	-29.65%	0.3544	✗	0.06
2025-10-28	oos	0.566	0.584991	+3.36%	0.40698	-28.10%	0.3432	✗	0.09
2025-10-27	oos	0.63	0.654866	+3.95%	0.39521	-37.27%	0.4915	✗	0.06
2025-10-26	oos	0.628	0.656837	+4.59%	0.40539	-35.45%	0.4666	✗	0.06
2025-10-25	oos	0.713	0.725056	+1.69%	0.40428	-43.30%	0.5478	✗	0.15
2025-10-24	oos	0.721	0.730339	+1.30%	0.39642	-45.02%	0.5665	✗	0.18
2025-10-23	oos	0.754	0.758471	+0.59%	0.40187	-46.70%	0.5857	✗	0.19
2025-10-22	oos	0.752	0.748205	-0.50%	0.4076	-45.80%	0.5766	✓	0.13
2025-10-21	oos	0.752	0.754696	+0.36%	0.42	-44.15%	0.5587	✗	0.12
2025-10-20	oos	0.807	0.813713	+0.83%	0.431	-46.59%	0.6227	✗	0.07
2025-10-19	oos	0.796	0.798431	+0.31%	0.457	-42.59%	0.5367	✗	0.14
2025-10-18	oos	0.818	0.812334	-0.69%	0.457	-44.13%	0.5522	✓	0.15
2025-10-17	oos	0.792	0.788693	-0.42%	0.484	-38.89%	0.4693	✓	0.16
2025-10-16	oos	0.789	0.797304	+1.05%	0.454	-42.46%	0.5431	✗	0.16
2025-10-15	oos	0.827	0.838973	+1.45%	0.486	-41.23%	0.5258	✗	0.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.839	0.85272	+1.64%	0.508	-39.45%	0.5035	✗	0.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.854	0.863001	+1.05%	0.532	-37.70%	0.4683	✗	0.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.867	0.882358	+1.77%	0.52	-40.02%	0.5134	✗	0.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.883	0.918771	+4.05%	0.58	-34.31%	0.4525	✗	0.17
2025-10-10	oos	0.872	0.8935	+2.47%	0.581	-33.37%	0.4156	✗	0.19
2025-10-09	oos	0.872	0.836787	-4.04%	0.58	-33.49%	0.3192	✓	0.27
2025-10-08	oos	0.95	0.899311	-5.34%	0.589	-38.00%	0.3889	✓	0.19
2025-10-07	oos	1.01	0.960584	-4.89%	0.583	-42.28%	0.4308	✓	0.38
2025-10-06	oos	1.09	1.0428	-4.33%	0.568	-47.89%	0.5455	✓	0.34
2025-10-05	oos	1.141	1.0913	-4.35%	0.562	-50.74%	0.5882	✓	0.38
2025-10-04	oos	1.165	1.1126	-4.50%	0.557	-52.19%	0.6388	✓	0.38
2025-10-03	oos	1.175	1.1187	-4.79%	0.581	-50.55%	0.6178	✓	0.37
2025-10-02	oos	1.198	1.1391	-4.92%	0.574	-52.09%	0.6497	✓	0.39
2025-10-01	oos	1.223	1.1614	-5.04%	0.582	-52.41%	0.6484	✓	0.53
2025-09-30	oos	1.204	1.1449	-4.91%	0.574	-52.33%	0.6596	✓	0.59
2025-09-29	oos	1.219	1.1584	-4.97%	0.582	-52.26%	0.6542	✓	0.88
2025-09-28	oos	1.21	1.1523	-4.77%	0.566	-53.22%	0.7163	✓	0.85
2025-09-27	oos	1.22	1.1646	-4.54%	0.63	-48.36%	0.6522	✓	0.96
2025-09-26	oos	1.223	1.1678	-4.51%	0.628	-48.65%	0.6617	✓	0.96
2025-09-25	oos	1.249	1.1938	-4.42%	0.713	-42.91%	0.5383	✓	0.96
2025-09-24	oos	1.271	1.223	-3.78%	0.721	-43.27%	0.5079	✓	1.00
2025-09-23	oos	1.3	1.2492	-3.90%	0.754	-42.00%	0.4873	✓	1.03
2025-09-22	oos	1.29	1.2476	-3.28%	0.752	-41.71%	0.4590	✓	1.01
2025-09-21	oos	1.31	1.2836	-2.01%	0.752	-42.60%	0.4723	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	1.325	1.3083	-1.26%	0.807	-39.09%	0.4444	✓	0.85
2025-09-19	oos	1.336	1.3181	-1.34%	0.796	-40.42%	0.4512	✓	0.85
2025-09-18	oos	1.363	1.3345	-2.09%	0.818	-39.99%	0.4161	✓	0.83
2025-09-17	oos	1.283	1.2636	-1.51%	0.792	-38.27%	0.3909	✓	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.