ALTLAYER

? · · gru_s2

token id: #993
symbol: ALTLAYER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-01-25
predictions: 2,946

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0264

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009959	0.009887	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.010039	0.00995	-0.88%	0.009959	-0.80%	0.0038	✓	1.02
2026-10-19	oos	0.009206	0.009144	-0.67%	0.010039	+9.05%	0.0800	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.008851	0.008795	-0.64%	0.009206	+4.01%	0.0477	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.008622	0.008576	-0.52%	0.008851	+2.66%	0.0239	✗	0.99
2026-10-16	oos	0.008284	0.008246	-0.46%	0.008622	+4.07%	0.0460	✗	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.007993	0.007953	-0.50%	0.008284	+3.64%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.008056	0.008018	-0.46%	0.007993	-0.78%	0.0100	✓	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.008315	0.008257	-0.69%	0.008056	-3.12%	0.0063	✓	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.007828	0.007788	-0.51%	0.008315	+6.21%	0.0495	✗	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.008175	0.008112	-0.77%	0.007828	-4.24%	0.0141	✓	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.008126	0.008065	-0.75%	0.008175	+0.60%	0.0051	✓	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.007945	0.007888	-0.72%	0.008126	+2.27%	0.0256	✗	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.007255	0.007225	-0.42%	0.007945	+9.51%	0.0857	✗	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.007425	0.007377	-0.66%	0.007255	-2.29%	0.0010	✓	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.00794	0.007853	-1.10%	0.007425	-6.49%	0.0326	✓	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.008013	0.007924	-1.11%	0.00794	-0.90%	0.0042	✓	0.88
2026-10-04	oos	0.007874	0.007802	-0.91%	0.008013	+1.77%	0.0345	✗	0.88
2026-10-03	oos	0.008026	0.007941	-1.06%	0.007874	-1.90%	0.0271	✓	0.90
2026-10-02	oos	0.007874	0.007802	-0.91%	0.008026	+1.94%	0.0258	✗	0.90
2026-10-01	oos	0.007669	0.007614	-0.72%	0.007874	+2.67%	0.0373	✗	0.91
2026-09-30	oos	0.007738	0.007687	-0.65%	0.007669	-0.89%	0.0168	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.007615	0.007573	-0.55%	0.007738	+1.62%	0.0225	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.00753	0.007496	-0.46%	0.007615	+1.12%	0.0137	✗	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.008026	0.007989	-0.46%	0.00753	-6.17%	0.0483	✓	0.91
2026-09-26	oos	0.008165	0.008131	-0.43%	0.008026	-1.71%	0.0134	✓	0.91
2026-09-25	oos	0.008094	0.008065	-0.36%	0.008165	+0.88%	0.0090	✗	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.007837	0.007815	-0.27%	0.008094	+3.28%	0.0382	✗	0.91
2026-09-23	oos	0.007385	0.007375	-0.13%	0.007837	+6.12%	0.0606	✗	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.007746	0.007732	-0.18%	0.007385	-4.66%	0.0267	✓	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.007585	0.00757	-0.19%	0.007746	+2.12%	0.0272	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.007175	0.007154	-0.29%	0.007585	+5.71%	0.0023	✓	0.94
2026-09-19	oos	0.007233	0.007207	-0.35%	0.007175	-0.80%	0.0037	✓	0.94
2026-09-18	oos	0.007113	0.007089	-0.33%	0.007233	+1.69%	0.0159	✗	0.94
2026-09-17	oos	0.006596	0.006586	-0.16%	0.007113	+7.84%	0.0265	✗	0.88
2026-09-16	oos	0.006387	0.006381	-0.10%	0.006596	+3.27%	0.0308	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.006335	0.006332	-0.05%	0.006387	+0.82%	0.0025	✗	0.84
2026-09-14	oos	0.006713	0.006702	-0.17%	0.006335	-5.64%	0.0290	✓	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.006425	0.00642	-0.08%	0.006713	+4.49%	0.0309	✗	0.78
2026-09-12	oos	0.006514	0.006508	-0.09%	0.006425	-1.36%	0.0082	✓	0.77
2026-09-11	oos	0.006255	0.006256	+0.01%	0.006514	+4.13%	0.0398	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	0.006032	0.006038	+0.10%	0.006255	+3.69%	0.0285	✓	0.78
2026-09-09	oos	0.006386	0.006391	+0.08%	0.006032	-5.54%	0.0408	✗	0.75
2026-09-08	oos	0.006584	0.006589	+0.07%	0.006386	-3.01%	0.0297	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.006544	0.006556	+0.17%	0.006584	+0.60%	0.0106	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.006554	0.006569	+0.24%	0.006544	-0.14%	0.0074	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.006526	0.006542	+0.25%	0.006554	+0.42%	0.0028	✗	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	0.006451	0.006469	+0.28%	0.006526	+1.16%	0.0074	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.006306	0.00633	+0.39%	0.006451	+2.31%	0.0329	✓	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.006073	0.006093	+0.32%	0.006306	+3.82%	0.0023	✓	0.73
2026-09-01	oos	0.006069	0.006089	+0.32%	0.006073	+0.07%	0.0016	✓	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.006133	0.006155	+0.36%	0.006069	-1.04%	0.0039	✗	0.68
2026-08-30	oos	0.006067	0.006087	+0.33%	0.006133	+1.09%	0.0005	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.006205	0.006223	+0.29%	0.006067	-2.22%	0.0206	✗	0.66
2026-08-28	oos	0.006266	0.006281	+0.24%	0.006205	-0.97%	0.0156	✗	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.006537	0.006553	+0.25%	0.006266	-4.15%	0.0248	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.006475	0.006485	+0.16%	0.006537	+0.96%	0.0023	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.006223	0.006234	+0.18%	0.006475	+4.05%	0.0336	✓	0.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.006415	0.00642	+0.07%	0.006223	-2.99%	0.0276	✗	0.61
2026-08-23	oos	0.006588	0.006585	-0.05%	0.006415	-2.63%	0.0363	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.006517	0.006515	-0.03%	0.006588	+1.09%	0.0057	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.006912	0.006901	-0.16%	0.006517	-5.71%	0.0473	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.006425	0.006417	-0.12%	0.006912	+7.58%	0.0367	✗	0.53
2026-08-19	oos	0.006133	0.006105	-0.45%	0.006425	+4.76%	0.0305	✗	0.39
2026-08-18	oos	0.005853	0.005825	-0.48%	0.006133	+4.78%	0.0281	✗	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.005956	0.005928	-0.47%	0.005853	-1.73%	0.0139	✓	0.38
2026-08-16	oos	0.005986	0.005972	-0.24%	0.005956	-0.50%	0.0128	✓	0.40
2026-08-15	oos	0.005995	0.005982	-0.21%	0.005986	-0.15%	0.0018	✓	0.39
2026-08-14	oos	0.005904	0.005896	-0.13%	0.005995	+1.54%	0.0164	✗	0.40
2026-08-13	oos	0.005935	0.005926	-0.16%	0.005904	-0.52%	0.0008	✓	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.005835	0.005828	-0.13%	0.005935	+1.71%	0.0182	✗	0.45
2026-08-11	oos	0.005856	0.005847	-0.15%	0.005835	-0.36%	0.0012	✓	0.43
2026-08-10	oos	0.006138	0.006122	-0.27%	0.005856	-4.59%	0.0417	✓	0.45
2026-08-09	oos	0.006055	0.006031	-0.40%	0.006138	+1.37%	0.0245	✗	0.47
2026-08-08	oos	0.005933	0.005903	-0.50%	0.006055	+2.06%	0.0259	✗	0.47
2026-08-07	oos	0.005795	0.00576	-0.60%	0.005933	+2.38%	0.0294	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.005796	0.005766	-0.52%	0.005795	-0.02%	0.0004	✓	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.005755	0.005716	-0.67%	0.005796	+0.71%	0.0163	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.005674	0.005644	-0.53%	0.005755	+1.43%	0.0155	✗	0.46
2026-08-03	oos	0.005733	0.00571	-0.40%	0.005674	-1.03%	0.0107	✓	0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.005739	0.005712	-0.47%	0.005733	-0.10%	0.0039	✓	0.48
2026-08-01	oos	0.005764	0.005738	-0.45%	0.005739	-0.43%	0.0056	✓	0.49
2026-07-31	oos	0.005828	0.005802	-0.44%	0.005764	-1.10%	0.0061	✓	0.49
2026-07-30	oos	0.005729	0.005709	-0.35%	0.005828	+1.73%	0.0364	✗	0.53
2026-07-29	oos	0.005684	0.005671	-0.22%	0.005729	+0.79%	0.0034	✗	0.53
2026-07-28	oos	0.005983	0.005968	-0.25%	0.005684	-5.00%	0.0491	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.005768	0.005757	-0.18%	0.005983	+3.73%	0.0372	✗	0.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.006081	0.006071	-0.16%	0.005768	-5.15%	0.0391	✓	0.48
2026-07-25	oos	0.006113	0.0061	-0.22%	0.006081	-0.52%	0.0112	✓	0.50
2026-07-24	oos	0.006088	0.006075	-0.21%	0.006113	+0.41%	0.0045	✗	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.006245	0.006233	-0.20%	0.006088	-2.51%	0.0162	✓	0.49
2026-07-22	oos	0.006349	0.006339	-0.15%	0.006245	-1.64%	0.0074	✓	0.48
2026-07-21	oos	0.006386	0.006377	-0.13%	0.006349	-0.58%	0.0013	✓	0.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.006312	0.0063	-0.19%	0.006386	+1.17%	0.0037	✗	0.50
2026-07-19	oos	0.006308	0.006296	-0.19%	0.006312	+0.06%	0.0015	✓	0.50
2026-07-18	oos	0.006367	0.006354	-0.20%	0.006308	-0.93%	0.0063	✓	0.55
2026-07-17	oos	0.006455	0.006438	-0.26%	0.006367	-1.36%	0.0192	✓	0.57
2026-07-16	oos	0.006606	0.006586	-0.31%	0.006455	-2.29%	0.0212	✓	0.60
2026-07-15	oos	0.006508	0.006492	-0.24%	0.006606	+1.51%	0.0258	✗	0.57
2026-07-14	oos	0.006388	0.006376	-0.18%	0.006508	+1.88%	0.0229	✗	0.59
2026-07-13	oos	0.006296	0.006279	-0.27%	0.006388	+1.46%	0.0092	✓	0.62
2026-07-12	oos	0.006429	0.006416	-0.21%	0.006296	-2.07%	0.0045	✓	0.61
2026-07-11	oos	0.006432	0.00642	-0.19%	0.006429	-0.05%	0.0018	✓	0.64
2026-07-10	oos	0.006578	0.006563	-0.22%	0.006432	-2.22%	0.0166	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.006204	0.006194	-0.17%	0.006578	+6.03%	0.0507	✗	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.006248	0.006234	-0.22%	0.006204	-0.70%	0.0144	✓	0.64
2026-07-07	oos	0.006407	0.006392	-0.23%	0.006248	-2.48%	0.0118	✓	0.64
2026-07-06	oos	0.006427	0.00641	-0.26%	0.006407	-0.31%	0.0064	✗	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	0.006585	0.006562	-0.35%	0.006427	-2.40%	0.0255	✓	0.71
2026-07-04	oos	0.006629	0.0066	-0.44%	0.006585	-0.66%	0.0078	✓	0.72
2026-07-03	oos	0.006348	0.006319	-0.46%	0.006629	+4.43%	0.0419	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.005916	0.005891	-0.42%	0.006348	+7.30%	0.0641	✗	0.63
2026-07-01	oos	0.005829	0.005796	-0.57%	0.005916	+1.49%	0.0046	✓	0.63
2026-06-30	oos	0.005636	0.005602	-0.60%	0.005829	+3.42%	0.0242	✗	0.64
2026-06-29	oos	0.005697	0.005682	-0.26%	0.005636	-1.07%	0.0095	✗	0.64
2026-06-28	oos	0.005635	0.005627	-0.14%	0.005697	+1.10%	0.0049	✗	0.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.005643	0.005638	-0.10%	0.005635	-0.14%	0.0045	✗	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.005744	0.005735	-0.15%	0.005643	-1.76%	0.0155	✓	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.005694	0.005685	-0.16%	0.005744	+0.88%	0.0071	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.005806	0.005794	-0.20%	0.005694	-1.93%	0.0033	✓	0.67
2026-06-23	oos	0.006027	0.006011	-0.26%	0.005806	-3.67%	0.0165	✓	0.68
2026-06-22	oos	0.006304	0.006282	-0.34%	0.006027	-4.39%	0.0278	✓	0.67
2026-06-21	oos	0.006296	0.006275	-0.34%	0.006304	+0.13%	0.0029	✓	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	0.006457	0.006433	-0.37%	0.006296	-2.49%	0.0114	✓	0.66
2026-06-19	oos	0.006908	0.00687	-0.55%	0.006457	-6.53%	0.0702	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.006797	0.006758	-0.57%	0.006908	+1.63%	0.0152	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	0.006667	0.006634	-0.50%	0.006797	+1.95%	0.0424	✗	0.73
2026-06-16	oos	0.006764	0.006729	-0.52%	0.006667	-1.43%	0.0039	✓	0.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.006499	0.006469	-0.46%	0.006764	+4.08%	0.0523	✗	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.006642	0.006604	-0.57%	0.006499	-2.15%	0.0227	✓	0.78
2026-06-13	oos	0.006614	0.00657	-0.67%	0.006642	+0.42%	0.0044	✓	0.78
2026-06-12	oos	0.006249	0.00621	-0.63%	0.006614	+5.84%	0.0521	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.006328	0.006283	-0.72%	0.006249	-1.25%	0.0050	✓	0.79
2026-06-10	oos	0.006105	0.006055	-0.82%	0.006328	+3.65%	0.0179	✗	0.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.006306	0.006241	-1.04%	0.006105	-3.19%	0.0190	✓	0.77
2026-06-08	oos	0.005884	0.005832	-0.88%	0.006306	+7.17%	0.0963	✗	0.82
2026-06-07	oos	0.005673	0.005621	-0.91%	0.005884	+3.72%	0.0489	✗	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.005673	0.005591	-1.44%	0.005673	+0.00%	0.0197	✓	0.87
2026-06-05	oos	0.005884	0.005788	-1.62%	0.005673	-3.59%	0.0176	✓	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.006227	0.006149	-1.26%	0.005884	-5.51%	0.0071	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	0.006755	0.006653	-1.51%	0.006227	-7.82%	0.0632	✓	0.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.006585	0.006532	-0.81%	0.006755	+2.58%	0.0685	✗	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.006995	0.00696	-0.50%	0.006585	-5.86%	0.0014	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.006888	0.006861	-0.40%	0.006995	+1.55%	0.0454	✗	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.006857	0.006835	-0.32%	0.006888	+0.45%	0.0099	✗	0.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.006807	0.006789	-0.26%	0.006857	+0.73%	0.0054	✗	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.006977	0.006959	-0.26%	0.006807	-2.44%	0.0204	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.007658	0.007629	-0.38%	0.006977	-8.89%	0.0808	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.007008	0.006992	-0.23%	0.007658	+9.28%	0.1082	✗	0.85
2026-05-25	oos	0.007234	0.007214	-0.28%	0.007008	-3.12%	0.0132	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.007556	0.007534	-0.29%	0.007234	-4.26%	0.0436	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.008217	0.008184	-0.40%	0.007556	-8.04%	0.0834	✓	0.84
2026-05-22	oos	0.008229	0.008191	-0.47%	0.008217	-0.15%	0.0103	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.007309	0.007289	-0.27%	0.008229	+12.59%	0.1475	✗	0.96
2026-05-20	oos	0.007392	0.007361	-0.41%	0.007309	-1.12%	0.0080	✓	0.96
2026-05-19	oos	0.006698	0.006695	-0.05%	0.007392	+10.36%	0.0905	✗	0.94
2026-05-18	oos	0.006725	0.00672	-0.08%	0.006698	-0.40%	0.0010	✓	0.96
2026-05-17	oos	0.006618	0.006617	-0.01%	0.006725	+1.62%	0.0218	✗	0.94
2026-05-16	oos	0.00679	0.006769	-0.31%	0.006618	-2.53%	0.0141	✓	0.94
2026-05-15	oos	0.006873	0.006838	-0.50%	0.00679	-1.21%	0.0045	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.007406	0.00738	-0.35%	0.006873	-7.20%	0.0478	✓	0.93
2026-05-13	oos	0.007467	0.007437	-0.41%	0.007406	-0.82%	0.0251	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.008015	0.007984	-0.38%	0.007467	-6.84%	0.0534	✓	0.90
2026-05-11	oos	0.008285	0.008256	-0.35%	0.008015	-3.26%	0.0165	✓	0.85
2026-05-10	oos	0.008314	0.008288	-0.31%	0.008285	-0.35%	0.0045	✗	0.86
2026-05-09	oos	0.008144	0.008118	-0.32%	0.008314	+2.09%	0.0076	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.008256	0.008227	-0.35%	0.008144	-1.36%	0.0151	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.008129	0.008101	-0.34%	0.008256	+1.56%	0.0170	✗	0.83
2026-05-06	oos	0.008023	0.008004	-0.23%	0.008129	+1.32%	0.0304	✗	0.84
2026-05-05	oos	0.007856	0.007843	-0.17%	0.008023	+2.13%	0.0165	✗	0.95
2026-05-04	oos	0.007689	0.007679	-0.13%	0.007856	+2.17%	0.0105	✗	0.94
2026-05-03	oos	0.007594	0.007579	-0.20%	0.007689	+1.25%	0.0009	✓	0.94
2026-05-02	oos	0.007688	0.007677	-0.14%	0.007594	-1.22%	0.0094	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.007531	0.007524	-0.09%	0.007688	+2.08%	0.0161	✗	0.96
2026-04-30	oos	0.007457	0.00744	-0.23%	0.007531	+0.99%	0.0119	✓	0.96
2026-04-29	oos	0.007736	0.007709	-0.35%	0.007457	-3.61%	0.0402	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.007534	0.007515	-0.26%	0.007736	+2.68%	0.0364	✗	0.99
2026-04-27	oos	0.007579	0.007565	-0.18%	0.007534	-0.59%	0.0093	✗	0.99
2026-04-26	oos	0.007956	0.007936	-0.25%	0.007579	-4.74%	0.0296	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.008065	0.008028	-0.46%	0.007956	-1.35%	0.0219	✓	0.99
2026-04-24	oos	0.007884	0.007847	-0.47%	0.008065	+2.30%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.007859	0.007829	-0.38%	0.007884	+0.32%	0.0174	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.007632	0.007607	-0.32%	0.007859	+2.97%	0.0316	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.007424	0.00739	-0.45%	0.007632	+2.80%	0.0083	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.007413	0.007377	-0.48%	0.007424	+0.15%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.006926	0.006896	-0.44%	0.007413	+7.03%	0.0452	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.007115	0.007088	-0.38%	0.006926	-2.66%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.007504	0.007478	-0.35%	0.007115	-5.18%	0.0321	✓	0.99
2026-04-16	oos	0.007688	0.007642	-0.60%	0.007504	-2.39%	0.0438	✓	1.01
2026-04-15	oos	0.006918	0.006898	-0.28%	0.007688	+11.13%	0.1040	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.006786	0.00677	-0.23%	0.006918	+1.95%	0.0127	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.006972	0.00695	-0.31%	0.006786	-2.67%	0.0204	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.006626	0.006608	-0.27%	0.006972	+5.22%	0.0018	✓	1.02
2026-04-11	oos	0.006895	0.006874	-0.30%	0.006626	-3.90%	0.0038	✓	1.02
2026-04-10	oos	0.006739	0.006727	-0.17%	0.006895	+2.31%	0.0234	✗	1.02
2026-04-09	oos	0.006756	0.006744	-0.18%	0.006739	-0.25%	0.0176	✓	1.02
2026-04-08	oos	0.006529	0.006521	-0.12%	0.006756	+3.48%	0.0252	✗	1.01
2026-04-07	oos	0.006675	0.006654	-0.31%	0.006529	-2.19%	0.0073	✓	1.01
2026-04-06	oos	0.006187	0.006184	-0.05%	0.006675	+7.89%	0.0333	✗	0.99
2026-04-05	oos	0.006164	0.006158	-0.10%	0.006187	+0.37%	0.0069	✗	0.99
2026-04-04	oos	0.006393	0.006389	-0.06%	0.006164	-3.58%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.00662	0.006603	-0.25%	0.006393	-3.43%	0.0373	✓	1.01
2026-04-02	oos	0.006065	0.006068	+0.06%	0.00662	+9.15%	0.0860	✓	1.01
2026-04-01	oos	0.006334	0.006331	-0.05%	0.006065	-4.25%	0.0248	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.006283	0.00628	-0.05%	0.006334	+0.81%	0.0102	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.006164	0.006163	-0.02%	0.006283	+1.93%	0.0031	✓	1.02
2026-03-29	oos	0.006084	0.006082	-0.02%	0.006164	+1.31%	0.0014	✗	1.02
2026-03-28	oos	0.006208	0.006204	-0.06%	0.006084	-2.00%	0.0140	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.006345	0.006339	-0.10%	0.006208	-2.16%	0.0203	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.006635	0.006618	-0.25%	0.006345	-4.37%	0.0058	✓	1.02
2026-03-25	oos	0.006988	0.006971	-0.24%	0.006635	-5.05%	0.0128	✓	1.01
2026-03-24	oos	0.006844	0.006832	-0.17%	0.006988	+2.10%	0.0116	✗	1.01
2026-03-23	oos	0.006966	0.006957	-0.13%	0.006844	-1.75%	0.0115	✓	1.01
2026-03-22	oos	0.006818	0.006809	-0.13%	0.006966	+2.17%	0.0219	✓	1.02
2026-03-21	oos	0.007104	0.007095	-0.13%	0.006818	-4.03%	0.0239	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.007474	0.007465	-0.12%	0.007104	-4.95%	0.0266	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.007541	0.00753	-0.14%	0.007474	-0.89%	0.0159	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.007558	0.007552	-0.08%	0.007541	-0.22%	0.0180	✗	1.04
2026-03-17	oos	0.008071	0.008069	-0.02%	0.007558	-6.36%	0.0273	✓	1.03
2026-03-16	oos	0.008065	0.008067	+0.02%	0.008071	+0.07%	0.0137	✓	1.04
2026-03-15	oos	0.007898	0.007893	-0.06%	0.008065	+2.12%	0.0074	✓	1.04
2026-03-14	oos	0.007474	0.007471	-0.05%	0.007898	+5.67%	0.0328	✗	1.03
2026-03-13	oos	0.007445	0.00744	-0.06%	0.007474	+0.39%	0.0003	✓	1.04
2026-03-12	oos	0.007551	0.007542	-0.12%	0.007445	-1.40%	0.0190	✓	1.04
2026-03-11	oos	0.007653	0.007636	-0.22%	0.007551	-1.33%	0.0160	✓	1.05
2026-03-10	oos	0.007546	0.007537	-0.12%	0.007653	+1.42%	0.0116	✗	1.04
2026-03-09	oos	0.00727	0.007268	-0.03%	0.007546	+3.80%	0.0146	✗	1.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.007116	0.00712	+0.06%	0.00727	+2.16%	0.0175	✗	1.05
2026-03-07	oos	0.007076	0.007074	-0.03%	0.007116	+0.57%	0.0264	✗	1.05
2026-03-06	oos	0.007153	0.007147	-0.09%	0.007076	-1.08%	0.0032	✗	1.05
2026-03-05	oos	0.007255	0.007258	+0.05%	0.007153	-1.41%	0.0279	✓	1.06
2026-03-04	oos	0.007432	0.007439	+0.09%	0.007255	-2.38%	0.0016	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.007324	0.007311	-0.18%	0.007432	+1.47%	0.0520	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.007251	0.007244	-0.09%	0.007324	+1.01%	0.0190	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.007123	0.0071	-0.32%	0.007251	+1.80%	0.0308	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.007539	0.007509	-0.39%	0.007123	-5.52%	0.0324	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.007517	0.00748	-0.49%	0.007539	+0.29%	0.0112	✓	1.14
2026-02-26	oos	0.007536	0.007516	-0.26%	0.007517	-0.25%	0.0280	✗	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.007779	0.007756	-0.29%	0.007536	-3.12%	0.0204	✓	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.007418	0.007377	-0.55%	0.007779	+4.87%	0.0152	✓	1.15
2026-02-23	oos	0.007368	0.007337	-0.42%	0.007418	+0.68%	0.0208	✗	1.14
2026-02-22	oos	0.007626	0.007609	-0.22%	0.007368	-3.38%	0.0198	✗	1.15
2026-02-21	oos	0.007988	0.007966	-0.28%	0.007626	-4.53%	0.0378	✓	1.15
2026-02-20	oos	0.008236	0.008208	-0.34%	0.007988	-3.01%	0.0267	✓	1.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.00803	0.008004	-0.32%	0.008236	+2.57%	0.0115	✗	1.14
2026-02-18	oos	0.008196	0.008167	-0.36%	0.00803	-2.03%	0.0265	✓	1.16
2026-02-17	oos	0.008763	0.008721	-0.48%	0.008196	-6.47%	0.0459	✓	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	0.008626	0.008591	-0.41%	0.008763	+1.59%	0.0412	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.008606	0.008571	-0.40%	0.008626	+0.23%	0.0054	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.009088	0.00904	-0.53%	0.008606	-5.30%	0.0341	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.008898	0.008851	-0.52%	0.009088	+2.14%	0.0116	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.008649	0.008616	-0.38%	0.008898	+2.88%	0.0087	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.00848	0.008448	-0.37%	0.008649	+1.99%	0.0365	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.008161	0.008135	-0.32%	0.00848	+3.91%	0.0700	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.008358	0.008318	-0.47%	0.008161	-2.36%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.008366	0.008319	-0.56%	0.008358	-0.10%	0.0075	✗	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.008586	0.00851	-0.88%	0.008366	-2.56%	0.0336	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.008428	0.008328	-1.19%	0.008586	+1.87%	0.0510	✗	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.007656	0.007708	+0.68%	0.008428	+10.08%	0.0469	✗	1.17
2026-02-04	oos	0.009233	0.00905	-1.98%	0.007656	-17.08%	0.0114	✓	1.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.009308	0.009176	-1.42%	0.009233	-0.81%	0.0499	✗	1.22
2026-02-02	oos	0.00974	0.009687	-0.54%	0.009308	-4.44%	0.0082	✗	1.24
2026-02-01	oos	0.00922	0.009148	-0.78%	0.00974	+5.64%	0.0353	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.00963	0.009587	-0.45%	0.00922	-4.26%	0.0099	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.01037	0.010361	-0.09%	0.00963	-7.14%	0.0170	✗	1.34
2026-01-29	oos	0.01036	0.010356	-0.03%	0.01037	+0.10%	0.0078	✗	1.36
2026-01-28	oos	0.01125	0.011213	-0.33%	0.01036	-7.91%	0.0078	✓	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.01143	0.011383	-0.41%	0.01125	-1.57%	0.0124	✓	1.37
2026-01-26	oos	0.01164	0.011585	-0.47%	0.01143	-1.80%	0.0267	✓	1.35
2026-01-25	oos	0.01115	0.011118	-0.29%	0.01164	+4.39%	0.0199	✗	1.35
2026-01-24	oos	0.01185	0.011714	-1.15%	0.01115	-5.91%	0.0110	✓	1.33
2026-01-23	oos	0.01141	0.011249	-1.41%	0.01185	+3.86%	0.0580	✗	1.35
2026-01-22	oos	0.01138	0.011222	-1.39%	0.01141	+0.26%	0.0165	✗	1.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.01178	0.011647	-1.13%	0.01138	-3.40%	0.0247	✓	1.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.01133	0.01126	-0.62%	0.01178	+3.97%	0.0291	✗	1.35
2026-01-19	oos	0.01221	0.012078	-1.08%	0.01133	-7.21%	0.0007	✓	1.35
2026-01-18	oos	0.01248	0.012344	-1.09%	0.01221	-2.16%	0.0046	✓	1.35
2026-01-17	oos	0.01285	0.012691	-1.24%	0.01248	-2.88%	0.0043	✓	1.34
2026-01-16	oos	0.01323	0.013045	-1.40%	0.01285	-2.87%	0.0095	✓	1.34
2026-01-15	oos	0.01237	0.012247	-0.99%	0.01323	+6.95%	0.0783	✗	1.34
2026-01-14	oos	0.01325	0.013142	-0.81%	0.01237	-6.64%	0.0417	✓	1.33
2026-01-13	oos	0.01367	0.013552	-0.86%	0.01325	-3.07%	0.0448	✓	1.36
2026-01-12	oos	0.01253	0.012464	-0.53%	0.01367	+9.10%	0.0323	✗	1.34
2026-01-11	oos	0.01279	0.012728	-0.48%	0.01253	-2.03%	0.0204	✓	1.35
2026-01-10	oos	0.01283	0.012778	-0.40%	0.01279	-0.31%	0.0065	✓	1.35
2026-01-09	oos	0.01297	0.012926	-0.34%	0.01283	-1.08%	0.0052	✓	1.43
2026-01-08	oos	0.01303	0.01299	-0.31%	0.01297	-0.46%	0.0063	✗	1.40
2026-01-07	oos	0.01327	0.013227	-0.32%	0.01303	-1.81%	0.0097	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	0.01365	0.013625	-0.18%	0.01327	-2.78%	0.0246	✗	1.93
2026-01-05	oos	0.01354	0.013523	-0.12%	0.01365	+0.81%	0.0124	✗	1.94
2026-01-04	oos	0.01384	0.013785	-0.40%	0.01354	-2.17%	0.0694	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0129	0.012872	-0.21%	0.01384	+7.29%	0.0528	✗	2.00
2026-01-02	oos	0.01273	0.012703	-0.22%	0.0129	+1.34%	0.0013	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.01248	0.012446	-0.27%	0.01273	+2.00%	0.0046	✓	1.99
2025-12-31	oos	0.01146	0.01145	-0.09%	0.01248	+8.90%	0.0585	✗	1.97
2025-12-30	oos	0.01159	0.011582	-0.07%	0.01146	-1.12%	0.0096	✗	1.98
2025-12-29	oos	0.0117	0.011682	-0.15%	0.01159	-0.94%	0.0366	✓	1.95
2025-12-28	oos	0.01186	0.011843	-0.14%	0.0117	-1.35%	0.0050	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.01213	0.012106	-0.20%	0.01186	-2.23%	0.0220	✓	1.92
2025-12-26	oos	0.01161	0.011594	-0.14%	0.01213	+4.48%	0.0342	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.01145	0.011438	-0.11%	0.01161	+1.40%	0.0123	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.01147	0.011457	-0.11%	0.01145	-0.17%	0.0089	✗	1.90
2025-12-23	oos	0.01141	0.011399	-0.10%	0.01147	+0.53%	0.0023	✗	1.90
2025-12-22	oos	0.01153	0.011514	-0.14%	0.01141	-1.04%	0.0153	✗	1.91
2025-12-21	oos	0.01145	0.011433	-0.15%	0.01153	+0.70%	0.0102	✗	1.91
2025-12-20	oos	0.01182	0.011796	-0.20%	0.01145	-3.13%	0.0367	✓	1.94
2025-12-19	oos	0.01167	0.011643	-0.23%	0.01182	+1.29%	0.0100	✗	1.94
2025-12-18	oos	0.01078	0.010787	+0.07%	0.01167	+8.26%	0.0203	✓	1.92
2025-12-17	oos	0.01131	0.011298	-0.11%	0.01078	-4.69%	0.0301	✓	1.93
2025-12-16	oos	0.012	0.01195	-0.42%	0.01131	-5.75%	0.0188	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.01187	0.011871	+0.01%	0.012	+1.10%	0.0210	✗	1.93
2025-12-14	oos	0.01225	0.012236	-0.12%	0.01187	-3.10%	0.0085	✗	1.94
2025-12-13	oos	0.01305	0.01302	-0.23%	0.01225	-6.13%	0.0160	✓	1.93
2025-12-12	oos	0.01244	0.012446	+0.05%	0.01305	+4.90%	0.0479	✓	1.93
2025-12-11	oos	0.01283	0.012828	-0.01%	0.01244	-3.04%	0.0173	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01307	0.01306	-0.08%	0.01283	-1.84%	0.0285	✓	1.95
2025-12-09	oos	0.01353	0.013505	-0.19%	0.01307	-3.40%	0.0190	✓	1.94
2025-12-08	oos	0.01316	0.013139	-0.16%	0.01353	+2.81%	0.0137	✓	1.93
2025-12-07	oos	0.01283	0.012805	-0.20%	0.01316	+2.57%	0.0220	✗	1.93
2025-12-06	oos	0.01318	0.013139	-0.31%	0.01283	-2.66%	0.0485	✓	1.95
2025-12-05	oos	0.01275	0.012719	-0.24%	0.01318	+3.37%	0.0373	✗	1.95
2025-12-04	oos	0.01314	0.013099	-0.31%	0.01275	-2.97%	0.0328	✗	1.98
2025-12-03	oos	0.01376	0.01371	-0.37%	0.01314	-4.51%	0.0135	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.01343	0.013382	-0.36%	0.01376	+2.46%	0.0183	✓	1.99
2025-12-01	oos	0.01251	0.012468	-0.33%	0.01343	+7.35%	0.0413	✓	2.04
2025-11-30	oos	0.01321	0.013161	-0.37%	0.01251	-5.30%	0.0465	✗	2.10
2025-11-29	oos	0.01387	0.013805	-0.47%	0.01321	-4.76%	0.0336	✓	2.07
2025-11-28	oos	0.01559	0.015458	-0.85%	0.01387	-11.03%	0.1067	✓	2.08
2025-11-27	oos	0.01384	0.013773	-0.48%	0.01559	+12.64%	0.1334	✗	2.09
2025-11-26	oos	0.01412	0.014037	-0.59%	0.01384	-1.98%	0.0334	✓	2.07
2025-11-25	oos	0.01388	0.01378	-0.72%	0.01412	+1.73%	0.0511	✓	2.14
2025-11-24	oos	0.01384	0.013733	-0.77%	0.01388	+0.29%	0.0336	✗	2.14
2025-11-23	oos	0.01332	0.013202	-0.89%	0.01384	+3.90%	0.0116	✗	2.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.01345	0.01326	-1.41%	0.01332	-0.97%	0.0504	✓	2.22
2025-11-21	oos	0.01408	0.013782	-2.12%	0.01345	-4.47%	0.0143	✓	2.21
2025-11-20	oos	0.01571	0.015219	-3.13%	0.01408	-10.38%	0.0404	✓	2.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.01424	0.014142	-0.69%	0.01571	+10.32%	0.2458	✗	2.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.01455	0.014471	-0.54%	0.01424	-2.13%	0.0240	✗	2.55
2025-11-17	oos	0.01405	0.013978	-0.51%	0.01455	+3.56%	0.0177	✗	2.55
2025-11-16	oos	0.01451	0.014446	-0.44%	0.01405	-3.17%	0.0293	✗	2.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.01521	0.015111	-0.65%	0.01451	-4.60%	0.0039	✓	2.56
2025-11-14	oos	0.01491	0.014815	-0.64%	0.01521	+2.01%	0.0017	✓	2.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.01581	0.01565	-1.01%	0.01491	-5.69%	0.0926	✗	2.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.01634	0.01621	-0.80%	0.01581	-3.24%	0.0292	✗	2.69
2025-11-11	oos	0.01619	0.01611	-0.49%	0.01634	+0.93%	0.0505	✗	2.71
2025-11-10	oos	0.01779	0.017715	-0.42%	0.01619	-8.99%	0.0133	✓	2.70
2025-11-09	oos	0.01728	0.017198	-0.48%	0.01779	+2.95%	0.0009	✓	2.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.01723	0.017165	-0.37%	0.01728	+0.29%	0.0572	✓	2.74
2025-11-07	oos	0.01771	0.017675	-0.20%	0.01723	-2.71%	0.0011	✓	2.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.01611	0.016181	+0.44%	0.01771	+9.93%	0.0375	✓	2.71
2025-11-05	oos	0.01679	0.016845	+0.32%	0.01611	-4.05%	0.0241	✓	2.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.01601	0.016079	+0.43%	0.01679	+4.87%	0.0211	✗	2.75
2025-11-03	oos	0.01679	0.016805	+0.09%	0.01601	-4.65%	0.0937	✓	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	0.01997	0.019829	-0.70%	0.01679	-15.92%	0.0627	✓	2.83
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017549	-0.06%	0.01997	+13.72%	0.1169	✗	2.82
2025-10-31	oos	0.01636	0.016366	+0.04%	0.01756	+7.33%	0.0576	✓	2.82
2025-10-30	oos	0.01664	0.016649	+0.05%	0.01636	-1.68%	0.0501	✗	2.85
2025-10-29	oos	0.01889	0.018858	-0.17%	0.01664	-11.91%	0.0817	✓	2.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.0188	0.01877	-0.16%	0.01889	+0.48%	0.0794	✗	2.83
2025-10-27	oos	0.01958	0.019552	-0.14%	0.0188	-3.98%	0.0098	✓	2.83
2025-10-26	oos	0.02034	0.020294	-0.22%	0.01958	-3.74%	0.0244	✓	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.01946	0.019429	-0.16%	0.02034	+4.52%	0.0277	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	0.01934	0.019318	-0.11%	0.01946	+0.62%	0.0093	✓	2.97
2025-10-23	oos	0.0192	0.01919	-0.05%	0.01934	+0.73%	0.0171	✓	2.97
2025-10-22	oos	0.01829	0.018294	+0.02%	0.0192	+4.98%	0.0207	✗	2.97
2025-10-21	oos	0.01894	0.018952	+0.07%	0.01829	-3.43%	0.0142	✗	2.97
2025-10-20	oos	0.01966	0.019672	+0.06%	0.01894	-3.66%	0.0229	✓	3.02
2025-10-19	oos	0.01935	0.019369	+0.10%	0.01966	+1.60%	0.0363	✗	2.97
2025-10-18	oos	0.01916	0.019181	+0.11%	0.01935	+0.99%	0.0319	✗	2.99
2025-10-17	oos	0.01885	0.018892	+0.22%	0.01916	+1.64%	0.0067	✗	2.98
2025-10-16	oos	0.01937	0.019445	+0.39%	0.01885	-2.68%	0.0174	✓	3.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.02053	0.020617	+0.42%	0.01937	-5.65%	0.0088	✓	2.99
2025-10-14	oos	0.02154	0.02162	+0.37%	0.02053	-4.69%	0.0089	✓	3.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.02263	0.022687	+0.25%	0.02154	-4.82%	0.0061	✓	3.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.022	0.0221	+0.45%	0.02263	+2.86%	0.0185	✓	2.94
2025-10-11	oos	0.01948	0.019642	+0.83%	0.022	+12.94%	0.0030	✓	2.90
2025-10-10	oos	0.01861	0.018765	+0.83%	0.01948	+4.67%	0.0960	✓	2.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.02809	0.028057	-0.12%	0.01861	-33.75%	0.2482	✓	2.18
2025-10-08	oos	0.0289	0.028861	-0.13%	0.02809	-2.80%	0.0034	✗	2.30
2025-10-07	oos	0.02774	0.027706	-0.12%	0.0289	+4.18%	0.0053	✗	2.32
2025-10-06	oos	0.0304	0.030313	-0.29%	0.02774	-8.75%	0.0265	✓	2.30
2025-10-05	oos	0.02887	0.028758	-0.39%	0.0304	+5.30%	0.0334	✗	2.29
2025-10-04	oos	0.02937	0.02918	-0.65%	0.02887	-1.70%	0.0306	✓	2.30
2025-10-03	oos	0.03044	0.030133	-1.01%	0.02937	-3.52%	0.0283	✓	2.30
2025-10-02	oos	0.02927	0.028889	-1.30%	0.03044	+4.00%	0.0203	✗	2.29
2025-10-01	oos	0.02791	0.027522	-1.39%	0.02927	+4.87%	0.0240	✗	2.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.02696	0.026782	-0.66%	0.02791	+3.52%	0.0539	✓	2.41
2025-09-29	oos	0.02742	0.027201	-0.80%	0.02696	-1.68%	0.0026	✓	2.40
2025-09-28	oos	0.02841	0.028245	-0.58%	0.02742	-3.48%	0.0773	✓	2.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02835	0.028251	-0.35%	0.02841	+0.21%	0.0528	✓	2.58
2025-09-26	oos	0.0281	0.027994	-0.38%	0.02835	+0.89%	0.0130	✗	2.58
2025-09-25	oos	0.02673	0.026697	-0.12%	0.0281	+5.13%	0.0357	✗	2.57
2025-09-24	oos	0.02903	0.028974	-0.19%	0.02673	-7.92%	0.0207	✗	2.61
2025-09-23	oos	0.02867	0.028652	-0.06%	0.02903	+1.26%	0.0179	✓	2.63
2025-09-22	oos	0.02965	0.029641	-0.03%	0.02867	-3.31%	0.0170	✓	2.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.03334	0.033238	-0.31%	0.02965	-11.07%	0.0598	✓	2.44
2025-09-20	oos	0.03391	0.033809	-0.30%	0.03334	-1.68%	0.0042	✓	2.41
2025-09-19	oos	0.03336	0.033276	-0.25%	0.03391	+1.65%	0.0176	✗	2.47
2025-09-18	oos	0.03557	0.035421	-0.42%	0.03336	-6.21%	0.0293	✓	2.50
2025-09-17	oos	0.03537	0.035222	-0.42%	0.03557	+0.57%	0.0038	✓	2.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.