4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +7d
assessed
26
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2957
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0434
actual -0.3098
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.00392 | +0.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003582 | +1.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003664 | +1.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003305 | +3.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003849 | +2.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003612 | +4.16% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003652 | +4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003996 | +4.89% | 0.003904 | +2.47% | 0.0799 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.00454 | +3.36% | 0.003528 | -19.68% | 0.2441 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004747 | +3.56% | 0.003593 | -21.60% | 0.2832 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005407 | +1.19% | 0.0032 | -40.12% | 0.4402 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005309 | +2.57% | 0.003746 | -27.63% | 0.2714 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005489 | +3.03% | 0.003468 | -34.91% | 0.4465 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.005142 | +6.94% | 0.003481 | -27.59% | 0.3952 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005788 | +3.25% | 0.00381 | -32.03% | 0.3974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.006898 | -2.65% | 0.004392 | -38.01% | 0.4224 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006731 | -2.31% | 0.004583 | -33.47% | 0.3363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.006923 | -4.40% | 0.005344 | -26.22% | 0.2257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007178 | -2.52% | 0.005176 | -29.71% | 0.3051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007183 | -2.32% | 0.005327 | -27.56% | 0.2755 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.00843 | -6.45% | 0.004808 | -46.64% | 0.5236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.008847 | -5.99% | 0.005606 | -40.43% | 0.4530 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.00815 | -5.17% | 0.007086 | -17.54% | 0.1623 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009124 | -6.62% | 0.006889 | -29.49% | 0.3080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.010231 | -7.98% | 0.007242 | -34.86% | 0.3694 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.009932 | -7.75% | 0.007364 | -31.61% | 0.3031 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.009508 | -7.47% | 0.007354 | -28.43% | 0.2618 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.010425 | -8.82% | 0.009011 | -21.19% | 0.1513 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.012058 | -10.52% | 0.009411 | -30.17% | 0.2381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.013394 | -11.73% | 0.008594 | -43.37% | 0.4137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.00984 | -12.52% | 0.009772 | -13.13% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.008154 | -12.31% | 0.011118 | +19.57% | 0.2702 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.009563 | -16.60% | 0.010767 | -6.10% | 0.0801 | ✓ | 1.00 |