4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0971
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0085
actual -0.0339
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.003902 | -0.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003539 | +0.32% | 0.003904 | +10.66% | 0.1094 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003611 | +0.49% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0750 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.00323 | +0.96% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1147 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003775 | +0.78% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1960 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.00351 | +1.23% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0709 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003532 | +1.45% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003864 | +1.41% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1321 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004432 | +0.90% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004626 | +0.93% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1205 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.00534 | -0.06% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0548 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005203 | +0.52% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005367 | +0.75% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004914 | +2.20% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0704 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.00565 | +0.79% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.006931 | -2.18% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.1855 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006766 | -1.80% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007111 | -1.81% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007265 | -1.34% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007272 | -1.11% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008858 | -1.70% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1820 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009253 | -1.67% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.008472 | -1.41% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.1061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009589 | -1.87% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.010849 | -2.42% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.0927 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010505 | -2.43% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0562 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010023 | -2.46% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0677 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011106 | -2.87% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0743 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013027 | -3.33% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014562 | -4.04% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0562 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.010931 | -2.82% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3327 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.00908 | -2.35% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011259 | -1.81% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1905 | ✓ | 1.00 |