2022-01-21 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1802

141 of 141 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

90.1%

in alpha space · 96.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2277	3.2338	+0.19%	2.9642	-8.16%	0.0538	✗	0.86	2,257	2022-01-22
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5186	0.518487	-0.02%	0.4454	-14.11%	0.1043	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-22
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0634	0.063326	-0.12%	0.0594	-6.31%	0.0205	✓	1.12	21k	2022-01-22
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16704	0.166661	-0.23%	0.15638	-6.38%	0.0042	✓	1.53	6,849	2022-01-22
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,607.80	36,522.88	-0.23%	34,807.70	-4.92%	0.0091	✓	1.00	18k	2022-01-22
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6747	0.672808	-0.28%	0.5834	-13.53%	0.0834	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-22
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0939	0.093479	-0.45%	0.0799	-14.91%	0.1047	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-01-22
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0417	0.041504	-0.47%	0.0376	-9.83%	0.0599	✓	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-22
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.350042	-0.56%	0.319	-9.37%	0.0386	✓	1.39	1.8M	2022-01-22
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8678	0.862702	-0.59%	0.7316	-15.69%	0.0886	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-01-22
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.86	24.7096	-0.60%	23.84	-4.10%	0.0308	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-22
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.95	25.7834	-0.64%	24.23	-6.63%	0.0198	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-22
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4321	1.4224	-0.68%	1.5039	+5.01%	0.0888	✗	0.85	1.4M	2022-01-22
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08324	0.082672	-0.68%	0.07873	-5.42%	0.0029	✓	1.18	38k	2022-01-22
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.061475	-0.69%	0.0543	-12.28%	0.0680	✓	1.44	684k	2022-01-22
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05388	0.053507	-0.69%	0.04896	-9.13%	0.0306	✓	1.50	2.1M	2022-01-22
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03977	0.039481	-0.73%	0.03631	-8.70%	0.0404	✓	1.11	25k	2022-01-22
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.243	6.1966	-0.74%	5.6708	-9.17%	0.0534	✓	0.91	4.3M	2022-01-22
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3265	2.3088	-0.76%	2.0461	-12.05%	0.0731	✓	1.23	699k	2022-01-22
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142057	0.140971	-0.76%	0.133158	-6.26%	0.0154	✓	1.07	6.7M	2022-01-22
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.88	17.7429	-0.77%	16.11	-9.90%	0.0261	✓	1.81	4.1M	2022-01-22
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.666	-0.80%	6.06	-9.82%	0.0882	✓	0.18	1.2M	2022-01-22
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	95	94.2059	-0.84%	83.9941	-11.59%	0.0657	✓	1.26	489k	2022-01-22
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.271	0.268645	-0.87%	0.244	-9.96%	0.0609	✓	0.91	60k	2022-01-22
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.51	113.5066	-0.88%	108.41	-5.33%	0.0058	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-22
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4811	0.476832	-0.89%	0.4385	-8.85%	0.0292	✓	1.40	2.6M	2022-01-22
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1211	1.111	-0.90%	1.0713	-4.44%	0.0077	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-22
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5351	0.530181	-0.92%	0.5658	+5.74%	0.1142	✗	1.27	1.7M	2022-01-22
XMR	Monero	Monero	172.82	171.2085	-0.93%	152.34	-11.85%	0.0787	✓	0.98	2.7M	2022-01-22
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061109	0.060538	-0.93%	0.05675	-7.13%	0.0276	✓	0.95	486k	2022-01-22
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.237351	-0.94%	0.2179	-9.06%	0.0426	✓	1.10	440k	2022-01-22
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1848	1.1736	-0.95%	1.0381	-12.38%	0.0843	✓	0.99	402k	2022-01-22
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.71	2.6842	-0.95%	2.46	-9.23%	0.0252	✓	1.60	2.2M	2022-01-22
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.94	38.5685	-0.95%	35.28	-9.40%	0.0288	✓	1.55	620k	2022-01-22
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6365	0.630349	-0.97%	0.5482	-13.87%	0.0696	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-22
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0092	0.009111	-0.97%	0.00793	-13.80%	0.0449	✓	2.41	23.2M	2022-01-22
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.009922	-0.97%	0.00935	-6.69%	0.0075	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-22
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.31	3.2772	-0.99%	2.89	-12.69%	0.0680	✓	1.48	32.4M	2022-01-22
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041641	0.041226	-1.00%	0.036765	-11.71%	0.0646	✓	1.28	9.3M	2022-01-22
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0363	0.035934	-1.01%	0.0326	-10.19%	0.0407	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-01-22
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.795	2.7663	-1.03%	2.567	-8.16%	0.0152	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-22
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07197	0.071226	-1.03%	0.06237	-13.34%	0.1019	✓	0.79	56k	2022-01-22
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	114.44	113.2491	-1.04%	98.78	-13.68%	0.0985	✓	0.98	6.9M	2022-01-22
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.561	0.55516	-1.04%	0.496	-11.59%	0.0526	✓	1.55	8.0M	2022-01-22
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.12	4.0762	-1.06%	3.665	-11.04%	0.0773	✓	0.75	445k	2022-01-22
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2921	0.288989	-1.07%	0.2645	-9.45%	0.0264	✓	1.60	4.6M	2022-01-22
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.52	38.1023	-1.08%	33.44	-13.19%	0.0852	✓	1.16	25.7M	2022-01-22
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.23	20.9995	-1.09%	18.76	-11.63%	0.0532	✓	1.53	944k	2022-01-22
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5619	0.555796	-1.09%	0.5076	-9.66%	0.0402	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-22
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.73	104.5662	-1.10%	97.07	-8.19%	0.0273	✓	1.21	2.8M	2022-01-22
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4291	-1.10%	1.366	-5.47%	0.0012	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-22
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.94	9.8301	-1.11%	7.59	-23.64%	0.2133	✓	1.17	3.0M	2022-01-22
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.44	17.2468	-1.11%	15.86	-9.06%	0.0362	✓	1.22	75.4M	2022-01-22
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,456.94	36,051.18	-1.11%	35,066.43	-3.81%	0.0112	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-22
HIVE	Hive	native	0.906	0.895914	-1.11%	0.7987	-11.84%	0.0582	✓	1.46	3.9M	2022-01-22
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8913	0.88127	-1.13%	0.7106	-20.27%	0.1674	✓	1.23	108k	2022-01-22
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.808	16.6178	-1.13%	15.129	-9.99%	0.0320	✓	1.59	10.7M	2022-01-22
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002226	0.000022007	-1.14%	0.00002053	-7.77%	0.0151	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-22
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	213.87	211.4357	-1.14%	190.08	-11.12%	0.0606	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-01-22
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1225	6.0519	-1.15%	5.5565	-9.24%	0.0299	✓	1.43	263k	2022-01-22
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.5661	1.548	-1.15%	1.4442	-7.78%	0.0305	✓	1.00	4.2M	2022-01-22
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.31	6.2371	-1.16%	5.63	-10.78%	0.0740	✓	0.73	652k	2022-01-22
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.738	1.7179	-1.16%	1.506	-13.35%	0.0836	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-22
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.55846	0.552005	-1.16%	0.518861	-7.09%	0.0152	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-01-22
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202862	0.200493	-1.17%	0.19237	-5.17%	0.0002	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-22
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.764	0.755011	-1.18%	0.711	-6.94%	0.0176	✓	1.09	2.0M	2022-01-22
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.73	0.721348	-1.19%	0.64	-12.33%	0.0466	✓	1.88	1.3M	2022-01-22
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01394	0.013774	-1.19%	0.01275	-8.54%	0.0437	✓	0.86	21k	2022-01-22
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.56	6.481	-1.20%	5.66	-13.72%	0.1042	✓	0.80	616k	2022-01-22
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.49	6.4098	-1.24%	5.61	-13.56%	0.0989	✓	0.88	1.0M	2022-01-22
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.4294	-1.25%	2.33	-5.28%	0.0021	✓	1.02	869k	2022-01-22
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.826	7.728	-1.25%	6.944	-11.27%	0.0946	✓	0.32	38k	2022-01-22
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.63	12.4717	-1.25%	11.16	-11.64%	0.0603	✓	1.31	12.7M	2022-01-22
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.64	5.5691	-1.26%	4.8	-14.89%	0.1225	✓	0.67	494k	2022-01-22
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	64.94	64.111	-1.28%	62.89	-3.16%	0.0518	✗	1.83	7.7M	2022-01-22
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.9088	-1.29%	3.49	-11.87%	0.0679	✓	1.17	2.4M	2022-01-22
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022082	0.021795	-1.30%	0.020108	-8.94%	0.0377	✓	1.10	3.7M	2022-01-22
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	66.07	65.2089	-1.30%	59.8	-9.49%	0.0365	✓	1.29	87.3M	2022-01-22
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.197	2.1683	-1.31%	1.979	-9.92%	0.0498	✓	1.07	24k	2022-01-22
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.6	6.5138	-1.31%	6.11	-7.42%	0.0235	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-22
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016171	0.015959	-1.31%	0.014961	-7.48%	0.0177	✓	1.20	2.7M	2022-01-22
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01044	0.010302	-1.32%	0.0094	-9.96%	0.0502	✓	1.07	641k	2022-01-22
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.984	0.970962	-1.32%	0.87	-11.59%	0.0561	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-01-22
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0303	0.029894	-1.34%	0.02985	-1.49%	0.0371	✗	0.99	8.3M	2022-01-22
XEM	NEM	native	0.097	0.095694	-1.35%	0.0944	-2.68%	0.0281	✗	1.07	41k	2022-01-22
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.67	19.4051	-1.35%	18.26	-7.17%	0.0073	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-22
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81011	0.7992	-1.35%	0.71467	-11.78%	0.0448	✓	1.72	848k	2022-01-22
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.168	3.1252	-1.35%	2.804	-11.49%	0.0789	✓	0.76	526k	2022-01-22
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.97	0.956856	-1.36%	0.9	-7.22%	0.0020	✓	1.63	569k	2022-01-22
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.31	22.9902	-1.37%	21.51	-7.72%	0.0382	✓	0.73	342k	2022-01-22
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6672	1.6443	-1.37%	1.65	-1.03%	0.0474	✗	1.13	95k	2022-01-22
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.35	100.9368	-1.38%	94.59	-7.58%	0.0133	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-22
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4366	0.430553	-1.39%	0.4163	-4.65%	0.0172	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-22
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.55	15.3339	-1.39%	13.19	-15.18%	0.1087	✓	1.08	841k	2022-01-22
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5345	3.4851	-1.40%	3.6015	+1.90%	0.0336	✗	0.02	371k	2022-01-22
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.972	-1.40%	1.77	-11.50%	0.0555	✓	1.35	3.1M	2022-01-22
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0303	1.0158	-1.41%	0.9512	-7.68%	0.0191	✓	1.20	32.1M	2022-01-22
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.195214	-1.41%	0.1764	-10.91%	0.0474	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-01-22
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.118902	-1.41%	0.1135	-5.89%	0.0057	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-22
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.42	13.2301	-1.42%	12.62	-5.96%	0.0204	✓	0.69	813k	2022-01-22
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.061424	0.060554	-1.42%	0.054184	-11.79%	0.0723	✓	1.00	644k	2022-01-22
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.01	2,532.57	-1.42%	2,411.90	-6.12%	0.0054	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-22
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1474	0.145301	-1.42%	0.1394	-5.43%	0.0049	✓	0.94	362k	2022-01-22
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7186	4.6512	-1.43%	4.2394	-10.16%	0.0467	✓	1.18	443k	2022-01-22
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.858	-1.45%	2.34	-19.31%	0.1562	✓	1.12	737k	2022-01-22
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.392	3.3428	-1.45%	3.059	-9.82%	0.0558	✓	0.85	1.1M	2022-01-22
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	171.09	168.6031	-1.45%	147.18	-13.98%	0.0881	✓	1.23	17.6M	2022-01-22
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.857	0.844455	-1.46%	0.78	-8.98%	0.0372	✓	1.09	22.7M	2022-01-22
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.91734	0.903844	-1.47%	0.80696	-12.03%	0.0668	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-22
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007968	0.000078503	-1.48%	0.00006839	-14.17%	0.0976	✓	1.04	6.5M	2022-01-22
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.32	110.6562	-1.48%	94.78	-15.62%	0.1097	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-22
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0834	0.082162	-1.48%	0.0732	-12.23%	0.0690	✓	1.20	269k	2022-01-22
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01111	0.010944	-1.50%	0.00998	-10.17%	0.0435	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-22
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2554	-1.51%	2.1	-8.30%	0.0161	✓	1.42	2.7M	2022-01-22
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.68	5.5941	-1.51%	5.06	-10.92%	0.0615	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-01-22
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.209	1.1906	-1.52%	1.161	-3.97%	0.0245	✗	1.28	4.0M	2022-01-22
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.04	310.2348	-1.53%	291.88	-7.35%	0.0205	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-01-22
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.4	9.2545	-1.55%	8.68	-7.66%	0.0357	✓	0.73	800k	2022-01-22
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	139.37	137.1845	-1.57%	120.3	-13.68%	0.0841	✓	1.21	88k	2022-01-22
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2523	0.248325	-1.58%	0.2331	-7.61%	0.0144	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-22
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.64	34.0939	-1.58%	29.27	-15.50%	0.1147	✓	0.97	104.1M	2022-01-22
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2219	2.1868	-1.58%	2.0434	-8.04%	0.0236	✓	1.14	4.3M	2022-01-22
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,741.64	25,332.39	-1.59%	22,897.64	-11.05%	0.0688	✓	0.83	20.9M	2022-01-22
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.39	57.4545	-1.60%	50.17	-14.08%	0.0901	✓	1.17	6.3M	2022-01-22
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.957	5.8613	-1.61%	5.8	-2.64%	0.0202	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-22
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05552	0.054617	-1.63%	0.05051	-9.02%	0.0263	✓	1.33	12.0M	2022-01-22
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.3417	3.2862	-1.66%	2.9521	-11.66%	0.0551	✓	1.34	3.1M	2022-01-22
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.45	2.4091	-1.67%	2.08	-15.10%	0.0918	✓	1.42	7.4M	2022-01-22
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.98	21.6113	-1.68%	19.01	-13.51%	0.0827	✓	1.17	14.5M	2022-01-22
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1639	0.161145	-1.68%	0.1498	-8.60%	0.0464	✓	0.68	536k	2022-01-22
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.17	4.099	-1.70%	3.78	-9.35%	0.0341	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-22
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	8.647	8.4991	-1.71%	7.392	-14.51%	0.1007	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-01-22
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.68	94.0194	-1.74%	89.24	-6.73%	0.0156	✓	0.94	1.8M	2022-01-22
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.8312	-1.74%	6.96	-12.67%	0.1038	✓	0.36	3.1M	2022-01-22
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.84	1.8075	-1.77%	1.62	-11.96%	0.0687	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-01-22
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.96	4.8649	-1.92%	4.42	-10.89%	0.0448	✓	1.32	17.0M	2022-01-22
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.11	3.0484	-1.98%	2.7227	-12.45%	0.0743	✓	0.99	2.2M	2022-01-22
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.19	23.6974	-2.04%	20.54	-15.09%	0.0925	✓	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-22
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.555	3.4788	-2.14%	3.0068	-15.42%	0.0994	✓	1.19	3.9M	2022-01-22
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.65	4.5317	-2.54%	4.82	+3.66%	0.0784	✗	0.43	471k	2022-01-22
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.351	8.0803	-3.24%	6.424	-23.08%	0.1903	✓	1.01	301k	2022-01-22

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.