8=======>

2022-01-18 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0817
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 54.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.870049+0.61%0.7592-12.21%0.1192✗1.032.6M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1656+0.38%1.1835+1.92%0.0469✓1.921.3M2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.068666+0.36%0.069192+1.13%0.0234✓0.95494k2022-01-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.063293+0.31%0.0575-8.87%0.0794✗1.0024.6M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385126.7664+0.30%120.5322-4.63%0.0318✗1.13489k2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.050047+0.29%0.0486-2.61%0.0067✗1.371.3M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.4683+0.29%22.14-5.38%0.0274✗1.863.9M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.186869+0.25%0.1786-4.18%0.0340✗0.68577k2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9319+0.24%3.0555+4.47%0.0602✓1.14665k2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019513+0.23%0.01895-2.67%0.0090✗1.232.7M2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7442,453.49+0.20%41,674.27-1.64%0.0020✗1.00636.6M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.8069+0.19%8.35-5.01%0.0536✗-0.021.3M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.8037+0.18%7.67-1.54%0.0068✗0.63680k2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012762+0.17%0.01172-8.01%0.0451✗2.4223.7M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.3502+0.17%1.294-4.01%0.0199✗1.373.8M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.064898+0.17%0.07162+10.54%0.1189✓1.2312.4M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4828.5271+0.17%27.59-3.12%0.0154✗1.0915.1M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,165.71+0.15%3,085.27-2.39%0.0080✗1.07496.9M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana141.35141.5628+0.15%135.33-4.26%0.0262✗1.14152.8M2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.04821+0.15%0.04692-2.53%0.0090✗1.1023k2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11974.1254+0.14%4-2.91%0.0100✗1.264.1M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000028146+0.13%0.00002726-3.02%0.0096✗1.351.8M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum13.0413.0558+0.12%12.52-3.99%0.0230✗1.142.7M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4042,545.79+0.12%41,724.00-1.82%0.0032✗0.9914k2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2815+0.12%1.17-8.59%0.0635✗1.66556k2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.7898+0.11%8.43-3.99%0.0298✗0.72995k2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.8185+0.11%7.57-3.07%0.0196✗0.77652k2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7959+0.11%1.709-4.74%0.0305✗1.162.0M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1922+0.10%2.09-4.57%0.0300✗1.072.7M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.154253+0.10%0.151-2.01%0.0004✓1.264.2M2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000095742+0.10%0.00009227-3.53%0.0201✗1.016.5M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.11420.114304+0.09%0.1126-1.40%0.0025✓1.0643k2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum146.04146.1685+0.09%135.59-7.16%0.0597✗0.936.7M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.165297+0.09%0.161705-2.09%0.0038✗1.106.0M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos77.0058+0.08%7.009+0.13%0.0219✓1.30271k2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.105084+0.08%0.1012-3.62%0.0191✗1.12244k2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.837+0.08%7.4032-5.46%0.0331✗1.44263k2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.3605+0.08%7.272-1.13%0.0006✓0.70170k2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2627.2804+0.07%26.81-1.65%0.0057✗0.71353k2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.5725+0.06%19.03-2.71%0.0106✗1.06841k2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.075187+0.06%0.07218-3.94%0.0172✗1.432.3M2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.739461+0.06%0.701-5.14%0.0288✗1.498.0M2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.014259+0.06%0.01394-2.18%0.0009✗1.312.1M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2738+0.06%1.222-4.01%0.0189✗1.372.4M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8673.9036+0.06%71.82-2.76%0.0107✗1.086.4M2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.9891+0.06%15.12-5.38%0.0342✗1.3112.4M2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.038891+0.05%0.03718-4.35%0.0299✗0.918.4M2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41108.4638+0.05%109.45+0.96%0.0249✓0.961.9M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.129362+0.05%0.1191-7.89%0.0614✗1.282.1M2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.5512+0.05%2.47-3.14%0.0105✗1.323.2M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.21491.2154+0.04%1.1386-6.28%0.0422✗1.403.7M2022-01-19
DASHDashDash130.54130.5804+0.03%126.8-2.87%0.0096✗1.192.8M2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.5507+0.03%1.462-5.69%0.0443✗0.88423k2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.079622+0.03%0.0761-4.40%0.0271✗1.0921k2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.4317+0.03%6.36-1.09%0.0003✗0.66564k2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.4417+0.02%7.01-5.78%0.0452✗0.881.1M2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1525.1556+0.02%24.06-4.33%0.0222✗1.3560.5M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.312945+0.01%0.2982-4.70%0.0270✗1.282.0M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.052081+0.01%0.051115-1.85%0.0012✓1.209.0M2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration253.4253.4202+0.01%243.71-3.82%0.0194✗1.191.4M2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.11624.1164+0.01%3.8849-5.62%0.0351✗1.373.3M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00431.0042-0.00%0.95676-4.73%0.0189✓1.78896k2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.080795-0.01%0.0774-4.21%0.0198✓1.40990k2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash131.97131.9615-0.01%125.87-4.62%0.0259✓1.2910.6M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.023.0196-0.01%2.91-3.64%0.0206✓0.99891k2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53141.5122-0.01%136.2-3.77%0.0159✓1.3531.1M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35178.3227-0.02%172.8-3.11%0.0121✓1.17100k2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.013298-0.02%0.0127-4.51%0.0295✓1.00654k2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.105391-0.02%0.10044-4.71%0.0293✓1.1430k2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.174865-0.02%0.1712-2.12%0.0061✓0.91397k2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.2358-0.02%1.1693-5.40%0.0378✓1.062.6M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.959091-0.02%0.9271-3.36%0.0107✓1.401.5M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.088411-0.02%0.0853-3.54%0.0237✓0.7350k2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.7366-0.02%14.85+0.75%0.0190✗0.68916k2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.013220.013216-0.03%0.01267-4.16%0.0216✓1.242.0M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.027156-0.03%0.026624-1.99%0.0028✓1.035.2M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.9376-0.03%8.26+4.03%0.0558✗0.973.9M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0285.9928-0.03%82.64-3.93%0.0201✓1.19100.4M2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.1011-0.04%1.0492-4.75%0.0320✓0.9823.2M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum6.216.2076-0.04%6.05-2.58%0.0043✓1.3017.7M2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.222-0.04%3.1421-2.52%0.0056✓1.182.3M2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.934-0.04%4.793-2.90%0.0179✓0.67469k2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.498773-0.05%0.469-6.01%0.0399✓1.311.8M2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6897-0.05%2.623-2.53%0.0101✓0.9125k2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.530635-0.05%0.5244-1.22%0.0099✗1.3111.7M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8427.8254-0.05%26.13-6.14%0.0372✓1.551.0M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.7179-0.06%3.56-4.30%0.0194✓1.452.2M2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0074-0.06%0.96-4.76%0.0321✓0.972.2M2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero204.44204.3-0.07%201.62-1.38%0.0031✗0.993.1M2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.608875-0.07%0.5784-5.07%0.0284✓1.382.7M2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.253807-0.07%0.245567-3.32%0.0159✓1.0324.4M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.258774-0.09%0.2463-4.90%0.0273✓1.334.0M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.2471-0.09%3.1-4.62%0.0259✓1.242.8M2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.979111-0.09%0.93-5.10%0.0198✓1.911.5M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.9561-0.10%21.56-6.18%0.0430✓1.2072.8M2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase52.3252.2646-0.11%49.93-4.57%0.0210✓1.49642k2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.2745-0.11%2.219-2.55%0.0060✓1.132.0M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.0792-0.11%2.0509-1.47%0.0048✗1.1189k2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.3164-0.12%1.2659-3.95%0.0196✓1.1830.5M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.9358-0.12%5.4486-8.32%0.0655✓1.22457k2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative20.37120.3466-0.12%19.951-2.06%0.0070✗1.6110.7M2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.4571-0.12%1.3366-8.38%0.0679✓1.1198.5M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47380.9785-0.13%369.1-3.24%0.0149✓1.027.0M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0934.0447-0.13%32.43-4.87%0.0211✓1.662.7M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.8549-0.14%2.7346-4.35%0.0260✓1.034.6M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.035.0229-0.14%4.9-2.58%0.0050✓1.203.2M2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.6654-0.15%3.6546-0.44%0.0040✓-0.06361k2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.055.042-0.16%4.91-2.77%0.0082✓1.112.1M2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.3226-0.17%10.22-1.16%0.0024✗0.75872k2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.7206-0.17%3.627-2.68%0.0138✓0.71526k2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum7.04647.0344-0.17%7.1+0.76%0.0235✗0.864.1M2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6432.5841-0.17%31.27-4.20%0.0234✓1.073.0M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.197446-0.17%0.19913+0.68%0.0345✗1.576,4462022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.5517-0.18%4.19-8.11%0.0596✓1.4032.4M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.680286-0.19%0.6838+0.32%0.0264✗1.283.5M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.109-0.19%3.956-3.91%0.0248✓0.791.1M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.71861-0.20%0.684968-4.87%0.0289✓1.152.4M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.016755-0.21%0.01585-5.60%0.0433✓0.7423k2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum44.9744.8699-0.22%46.67+3.78%0.0578✗1.1223.6M2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4111.384-0.23%10.21-10.52%0.1064✓0.152.8M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.4696-0.23%1.537+4.34%0.0589✗0.851.1M2022-01-19
LUNATerraTerra 280.4980.3035-0.23%81.27+0.97%0.0431✗1.887.6M2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3829.3084-0.24%26.53-9.70%0.0762✓1.4134.3M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38211.3529-0.26%10.274-9.73%0.0985✓0.0844k2022-01-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.075804-0.29%0.07511-1.20%0.0073✗1.001.1M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45231.7732-0.29%210.15-9.59%0.0782✓1.1917.6M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.5293-0.30%3.33-5.93%0.0369✓1.288.5M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.311847-0.30%0.2983-4.64%0.0274✓1.03397k2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.374853-0.31%0.349-7.18%0.0586✓0.7847k2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.438-0.35%3.39-1.74%0.0039✗1.09811k2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4132,474.41-0.37%32,142.29-1.39%0.0010✓0.6822.2M2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08034.0642-0.39%3.9939-2.12%0.0051✓0.752,2572022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.3642-0.41%3.282-2.84%0.0038✓1.731.2M2022-01-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03521.0306-0.44%1.0457+1.01%0.0325✗1.08108k2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2738.0927-0.46%37.07-3.14%0.0112✓0.9798.5M2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.599462-0.54%0.5701-5.41%0.0273✓1.391.5M2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.405578-0.89%0.366-10.56%0.0781✓1.494.1M2022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.905818-1.05%0.8466-7.52%0.0383✓1.7748.9M2022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.5803-1.29%4.35-6.25%0.0358✓0.95471k2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.