8=======>

2022-01-17 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0712
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.6%
in alpha space · 77.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.80950.810718+0.15%0.8648+6.83%0.0608✓1.052.7M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.22891.2297+0.06%1.1612-5.51%0.0641✗1.901.3M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.13150.131557+0.04%0.1293-1.67%0.0219✗1.292.4M2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,814.5041,814.26-0.00%42,495.40+1.63%0.0126✗0.9814k2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,218.0142,209.82-0.02%42,369.74+0.36%0.0002✓1.00636.6M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0708510.070828-0.03%0.068419-3.43%0.0380✓0.94511k2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.62.5988-0.05%2.55-1.92%0.0236✓1.313.1M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,210.983,209.44-0.05%3,160.81-1.56%0.0190✓1.05478.4M2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.066380.066319-0.09%0.06479-2.40%0.0277✓1.2213.3M2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1884.1838-0.10%4.117-1.70%0.0189✓0.781.1M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum24.3324.3042-0.11%23.4-3.82%0.0446✓1.873.9M2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.68797.6794-0.11%7.8307+1.86%0.0146✗1.38263k2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum13.5913.5737-0.12%13.04-4.05%0.0442✓1.142.9M2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.01263.0089-0.12%2.9248-2.91%0.0324✓1.12665k2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028830.000028794-0.12%0.00002811-2.50%0.0289✓1.361.8M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana139.85139.675-0.13%141.35+1.07%0.0082✗1.04152.8M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero214.7214.4295-0.13%204.44-4.78%0.0510✓0.933.1M2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase137.7719137.591-0.13%126.385-8.27%0.0885✓1.00489k2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049790.049722-0.14%0.04814-3.31%0.0361✓1.0521k2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7645-0.14%3.6709-2.63%0.0249✓-0.06361k2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum6.99686.9865-0.15%7.0464+0.71%0.0056✗0.814.1M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.082278-0.15%0.0808-1.94%0.0232✓1.40990k2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709440.170691-0.15%0.165155-3.39%0.0369✓1.095.6M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17550.17524-0.15%0.1749-0.34%0.0051✓0.89403k2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.389.3659-0.15%8.79-6.29%0.0634✓-0.011.4M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107180.107016-0.15%0.10541-1.65%0.0191✓1.1227k2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.54780.546924-0.16%0.5309-3.09%0.0341✓1.2212.2M2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7983.7918-0.16%3.727-1.87%0.0198✓0.71526k2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash138.84138.6123-0.16%131.97-4.95%0.0535✓1.2310.6M2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.350.349413-0.17%0.376+7.43%0.0706✗0.7645k2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.013140.013118-0.17%0.01322+0.61%0.0033✗1.242.0M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.9228.8699-0.17%27.84-3.73%0.0417✓1.491.0M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.5383-0.18%6.43-1.83%0.0191✓0.66564k2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.4619.4251-0.18%19.56+0.51%0.0042✗0.75841k2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.79380.0901-0.18%381.47+0.18%0.0000✓1.006.6M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8291.8256-0.19%1.794-1.91%0.0216✓1.142.0M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.777.7552-0.19%7.79+0.26%0.0022✗0.63720k2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum16.6416.608-0.19%15.98-3.97%0.0432✓1.2912.2M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.027860.027806-0.19%0.027164-2.50%0.0271✓1.035.7M2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.064-0.20%3.02-1.63%0.0179✓0.97891k2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative3130.9388-0.20%32.64+5.29%0.0498✗1.032.9M2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2561330.255608-0.21%0.253995-0.83%0.0100✓1.0324.2M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.00792.0037-0.21%2.0816+3.67%0.0344✗1.0489k2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9527.8916-0.21%27.26-2.47%0.0253✓0.68353k2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.823.7502-0.21%22.98-3.45%0.0370✓1.1470.4M2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2461.2434-0.21%1.273+2.17%0.0187✗1.352.4M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.61910.617789-0.21%0.6093-1.58%0.0188✓1.382.7M2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.690096-0.22%0.6816-1.45%0.0169✓1.263.5M2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3911.3879-0.22%1.348-3.09%0.0341✓1.364.0M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.9928.9252-0.22%28.48-1.76%0.0194✓1.0815.1M2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.60181.5982-0.22%1.5502-3.22%0.0337✓0.89445k2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum159.74159.3814-0.22%146.04-8.58%0.0907✓0.926.4M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000099540.000099316-0.22%0.00009565-3.91%0.0412✓1.016.5M2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15950.159125-0.23%0.1541-3.39%0.0365✓1.234.2M2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3597.3416-0.24%7.355-0.05%0.0008✓0.72178k2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.25690.256284-0.24%0.259+0.82%0.0058✗1.323.9M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0540690.053939-0.24%0.052076-3.69%0.0394✓1.187.9M2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7277760.726024-0.24%0.720057-1.06%0.0122✓1.102.4M2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum181.47181.0319-0.24%178.35-1.72%0.0190✓1.14123k2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.319622-0.24%0.3128-2.37%0.0253✓1.03397k2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7680.766132-0.24%0.739-3.78%0.0413✓1.458.0M2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.6229.5464-0.25%29.38-0.81%0.0106✓1.3934.3M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash135.73135.392-0.25%130.54-3.82%0.0407✓1.172.8M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.351.3466-0.25%1.28-5.19%0.0566✓1.64556k2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0207230.02067-0.25%0.019469-6.05%0.0644✓1.252.7M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.510.508705-0.25%0.499-2.16%0.0239✓1.291.8M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.013580.013545-0.26%0.01274-6.19%0.0700✓2.4424.2M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration259.34258.6658-0.26%253.4-2.29%0.0247✓1.161.4M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016520.016477-0.26%0.01679+1.63%0.0164✗0.6724k2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08260.082382-0.26%0.0796-3.63%0.0382✓1.0620k2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.013520.013484-0.26%0.0133-1.63%0.0173✓0.99654k2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.138.1085-0.26%7.94-2.34%0.0245✓0.984.1M2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.967.9388-0.27%7.81-1.88%0.0190✓0.74682k2022-01-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06760.06742-0.27%0.0631-6.66%0.0698✓1.0025.5M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0161.0132-0.27%1.008-0.79%0.0086✓0.962.2M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01631.0135-0.27%1.0043-1.18%0.0154✓1.74896k2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.78109.4779-0.28%108.41-1.25%0.0132✓0.941.9M2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00771.0049-0.28%0.9593-4.80%0.0515✓1.411.5M2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85120.793-0.28%20.371-2.30%0.0262✓1.5910.7M2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.05384.0425-0.28%4.1162+1.54%0.0132✗1.353.3M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.4434.3437-0.28%34.09-1.02%0.0134✓1.662.7M2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19064.1789-0.28%4.1197-1.69%0.0188✓1.264.1M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.6886.4362-0.28%86.02-0.76%0.0089✓1.13100.4M2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.19060.19005-0.29%0.1864-2.20%0.0218✓0.68536k2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.984.9656-0.29%5.03+1.00%0.0087✗1.183.2M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10640.106091-0.29%0.105-1.32%0.0144✓1.13269k2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088780.088517-0.30%0.08843-0.39%0.0036✓0.7345k2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01450.014457-0.30%0.01425-1.72%0.0190✓1.292.2M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.040110.03999-0.30%0.03887-3.09%0.0316✓0.898.4M2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.7352.7268-0.30%2.691-1.61%0.0165✓0.9025k2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum7.897.8662-0.30%7.44-5.70%0.0589✓0.891.1M2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.6825.6024-0.30%25.15-2.06%0.0226✓1.3360.5M2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.35.2839-0.30%5.05-4.72%0.0492✓1.082.1M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.252.2431-0.31%2.19-2.67%0.0277✓1.032.7M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3120.311043-0.31%0.3129+0.29%0.0014✓1.282.1M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.446.4199-0.31%6.21-3.57%0.0379✓1.2817.7M2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.25611.2521-0.32%1.2149-3.28%0.0351✓1.383.7M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase53.2753.0986-0.32%52.32-1.78%0.0198✓1.41642k2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.11480.11443-0.32%0.1142-0.52%0.0057✓1.0249k2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum226.66225.9198-0.33%232.45+2.55%0.0244✗1.1516.2M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.778.7412-0.33%8.78+0.11%0.0019✓0.71995k2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.077480.077219-0.34%0.07514-3.02%0.0324✓1.432.4M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.22671.2225-0.34%1.236+0.76%0.0072✗1.052.7M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.021.0165-0.34%0.98-3.92%0.0435✓1.921.5M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.34151.3369-0.34%1.3179-1.76%0.0184✓1.1430.5M2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.16161.1575-0.35%1.1015-5.17%0.0531✓0.9623.2M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.90532.8951-0.35%2.859-1.60%0.0163✓1.034.9M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05330.05311-0.36%0.0499-6.38%0.0673✓1.381.4M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4057.3786-0.36%7-5.47%0.0572✓1.27271k2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum44.3844.219-0.36%44.97+1.33%0.0130✗1.0722.8M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.19150.6333-0.37%141.53-6.39%0.0671✓1.3431.1M2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.7461-0.37%3.72-1.06%0.0122✓1.452.2M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,588.0731,470.69-0.37%32,596.41+3.19%0.0327✗0.6922.2M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.4309-0.37%10.34-1.24%0.0114✓0.75808k2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0314.9734-0.38%14.74-1.93%0.0181✓0.68998k2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum76.5576.2498-0.39%73.86-3.51%0.0357✓1.086.4M2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9844.9644-0.39%4.936-0.96%0.0081✓0.66469k2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.34093.3274-0.40%3.2233-3.52%0.0360✓1.182.3M2022-01-18
LUNATerraTerra 277.0676.7336-0.42%80.49+4.45%0.0411✗1.877.5M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3252.3151-0.42%2.277-2.06%0.0206✓1.112.0M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.784.7591-0.44%4.56-4.60%0.0477✓1.3832.4M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.413.3943-0.46%3.45+1.17%0.0125✗1.06808k2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1538.964-0.48%38.27-2.25%0.0214✓0.9798.5M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2943.2783-0.48%3.378+2.55%0.0238✗1.721.1M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum43.9806-0.48%4.64+16.00%0.1500✗0.92471k2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62140.618371-0.49%0.6027-3.01%0.0307✓1.391.5M2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.1954.174-0.50%4.0803-2.73%0.0252✓0.692,2572022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.206250.205217-0.50%0.19779-4.10%0.0424✓1.566,3502022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60761.5994-0.51%1.473-8.37%0.0854✓0.851.1M2022-01-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.98020.975128-0.52%1.0352+5.61%0.0560✗1.06108k2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.27316.2364-0.58%5.9429-5.26%0.0524✓1.17457k2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.5078-0.63%3.54+0.28%0.0045✓1.288.5M2022-01-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0789720.078455-0.65%0.076024-3.73%0.0351✓1.001.6M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.363.3373-0.67%3.25-3.27%0.0310✓1.252.9M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN12.47712.3725-0.84%11.382-8.78%0.0839✓0.1244k2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.385519-0.84%0.4092+5.25%0.0545✗1.423.9M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.5812.4611-0.95%11.41-9.30%0.0888✓0.192.6M2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.60271.5863-1.02%1.4589-8.97%0.0877✓1.1097.1M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94320.932227-1.16%0.9154-2.95%0.0245✓1.7546.2M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.