2022-01-14 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0202

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.97%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

43.2%

in alpha space · 44.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.02%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9779	0.984602	+0.69%	0.9833	+0.55%	0.0015	✓	1.01	3.0M	2022-01-15
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067658	0.067945	+0.42%	0.068548	+1.32%	0.0087	✓	0.96	552k	2022-01-15
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,294.10	43,406.58	+0.26%	42,685.80	-1.41%	0.0169	✗	0.98	14k	2022-01-15
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.28	26.3473	+0.26%	26.68	+1.52%	0.0122	✓	1.84	4.1M	2022-01-15
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1511	3.1586	+0.24%	3.1231	-0.89%	0.0115	✗	1.14	699k	2022-01-15
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,090.72	43,189.34	+0.23%	43,098.20	+0.02%	0.0023	✗	1.00	679.0M	2022-01-15
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1929	0.193339	+0.23%	0.1939	+0.52%	0.0028	✓	0.68	464k	2022-01-15
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0557	0.055821	+0.22%	0.0544	-2.33%	0.0260	✗	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-15
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4707	1.4736	+0.20%	1.4232	-3.23%	0.0351	✗	1.91	1.4M	2022-01-15
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.91	7.9248	+0.19%	8.02	+1.39%	0.0118	✓	0.63	680k	2022-01-15
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.72	29.7736	+0.18%	29.69	-0.10%	0.0030	✗	1.09	15.5M	2022-01-15
SOL	Solana	Solana	146.17	146.4188	+0.17%	147.78	+1.10%	0.0091	✓	1.13	177.1M	2022-01-15
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.853	1.8562	+0.17%	1.875	+1.19%	0.0099	✓	1.15	2.2M	2022-01-15
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8442	7.8572	+0.17%	8.3025	+5.84%	0.0549	✓	1.43	263k	2022-01-15
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02049	0.020523	+0.16%	0.020821	+1.62%	0.0142	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-15
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.079	0.079126	+0.16%	0.0756	-4.30%	0.0458	✗	1.00	27.8M	2022-01-15
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.92	2.9239	+0.13%	3.25	+11.30%	0.1055	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-15
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,310.45	3,314.91	+0.13%	3,328.12	+0.53%	0.0038	✓	1.07	556.2M	2022-01-15
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009702	0.000097136	+0.12%	0.00010109	+4.20%	0.0397	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-01-15
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	157.2002	157.3833	+0.12%	154.3287	-1.83%	0.0198	✗	1.12	515k	2022-01-15
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070781	+0.12%	0.07028	-0.59%	0.0073	✗	1.23	16.4M	2022-01-15
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.29	20.3128	+0.11%	20.62	+1.63%	0.0148	✓	1.05	958k	2022-01-15
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	8.0488	+0.11%	8.04	+0.00%	0.0012	✗	0.77	737k	2022-01-15
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3463	4.3507	+0.10%	4.3614	+0.35%	0.0022	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-15
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.92	7.9272	+0.09%	8.39	+5.93%	0.0566	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-15
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.7	73.7629	+0.09%	75.35	+2.24%	0.0211	✓	1.07	6.2M	2022-01-15
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14	14.0118	+0.08%	14.16	+1.14%	0.0103	✓	1.14	3.1M	2022-01-15
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.308	1.3091	+0.08%	1.324	+1.22%	0.0111	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-15
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1392	0.139306	+0.08%	0.1398	+0.43%	0.0033	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-15
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.84	9.8474	+0.08%	9.81	-0.30%	0.0038	✗	-0.02	1.5M	2022-01-15
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.38	2.3818	+0.08%	2.39	+0.42%	0.0033	✓	1.06	2.9M	2022-01-15
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.5	9.5063	+0.07%	9.46	-0.42%	0.0050	✗	0.71	1.0M	2022-01-15
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.87	15.8805	+0.07%	16.49	+3.91%	0.0374	✓	1.30	12.4M	2022-01-15
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.757	7.7619	+0.06%	8.117	+4.64%	0.0446	✓	0.69	192k	2022-01-15
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05342	0.053449	+0.05%	0.05243	-1.85%	0.0194	✗	1.10	19k	2022-01-15
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01434	0.014347	+0.05%	0.01441	+0.49%	0.0040	✓	2.37	26.1M	2022-01-15
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04111	0.04113	+0.05%	0.04139	+0.68%	0.0061	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-15
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.4336	+0.05%	28.79	+1.30%	0.0123	✓	0.71	360k	2022-01-15
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.509	1.5096	+0.04%	1.538	+1.92%	0.0184	✓	1.37	4.4M	2022-01-15
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3805	+0.04%	1.38	+0.00%	0.0007	✗	1.67	569k	2022-01-15
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		113.04	113.0807	+0.04%	112.76	-0.25%	0.0030	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-15
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.802	0.802259	+0.03%	0.81	+1.00%	0.0093	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-15
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08072	0.080742	+0.03%	0.08027	-0.56%	0.0061	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-15
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.015	0.015004	+0.03%	0.01503	+0.20%	0.0015	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-15
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.113	0.113026	+0.02%	0.1141	+0.97%	0.0093	✓	1.12	303k	2022-01-15
HIVE	Hive	native	1.31	1.3103	+0.02%	1.3273	+1.32%	0.0127	✓	1.40	4.0M	2022-01-15
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0813	0.081315	+0.02%	0.0805	-0.98%	0.0103	✗	1.11	19k	2022-01-15
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.68	6.6812	+0.02%	6.7	+0.30%	0.0027	✓	0.66	602k	2022-01-15
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.55	3.5502	+0.00%	3.61	+1.69%	0.0165	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-01-15
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.285	4.285	+0.00%	4.282	-0.07%	0.0009	✗	1.37	4.3M	2022-01-15
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.366	0.365986	-0.00%	0.379	+3.55%	0.0348	✗	0.76	43k	2022-01-15
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7698	-0.01%	2.76	-0.36%	0.0038	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-15
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.673	7.6725	-0.01%	7.871	+2.58%	0.0253	✗	1.30	271k	2022-01-15
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1798	0.179786	-0.01%	0.1806	+0.44%	0.0044	✗	0.91	432k	2022-01-15
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	165.39	165.3769	-0.01%	167.6	+1.34%	0.0132	✗	0.93	6.9M	2022-01-15
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.867	4.8666	-0.01%	4.944	+1.58%	0.0157	✗	0.68	469k	2022-01-15
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.119181	-0.02%	0.1187	-0.42%	0.0042	✓	1.05	57k	2022-01-15
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.98	31.9732	-0.02%	32.86	+2.75%	0.0272	✗	1.06	2.9M	2022-01-15
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028431	0.028425	-0.02%	0.028908	+1.68%	0.0167	✗	1.03	5.7M	2022-01-15
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003084	0.000030831	-0.03%	0.00003082	-0.06%	0.0006	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-15
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2931	1.2927	-0.03%	1.2922	-0.07%	0.0006	✓	1.15	95.6M	2022-01-15
XVG	Verge	native	0.01389	0.013885	-0.03%	0.01388	-0.07%	0.0006	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-15
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0924	2.0916	-0.04%	2.089	-0.16%	0.0015	✓	1.11	95k	2022-01-15
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01386	0.013855	-0.04%	0.01405	+1.37%	0.0138	✗	0.99	656k	2022-01-15
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	142.55	142.4934	-0.04%	144.36	+1.27%	0.0128	✗	1.30	10.9M	2022-01-15
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.96	14.9536	-0.04%	15.07	+0.74%	0.0076	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-01-15
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.12	141.0546	-0.05%	141.33	+0.15%	0.0017	✗	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-15
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0526	1.0521	-0.05%	1.0653	+1.21%	0.0122	✗	1.78	974k	2022-01-15
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6069	1.6061	-0.05%	1.6962	+5.56%	0.0544	✗	0.88	502k	2022-01-15
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1223	1.1218	-0.05%	1.1257	+0.30%	0.0033	✗	1.00	23.2M	2022-01-15
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.086455	-0.05%	0.0869	+0.46%	0.0049	✗	1.40	1.2M	2022-01-15
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.7	29.6843	-0.05%	30.61	+3.06%	0.0304	✗	1.54	1.0M	2022-01-15
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10933	0.109268	-0.06%	0.11024	+0.83%	0.0087	✗	1.14	23k	2022-01-15
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2988	1.298	-0.06%	1.3528	+4.16%	0.0411	✗	1.05	3.0M	2022-01-15
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.521	0.520702	-0.06%	0.534	+2.50%	0.0250	✗	1.30	2.0M	2022-01-15
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.39	8.385	-0.06%	8.47	+0.95%	0.0099	✗	0.97	4.3M	2022-01-15
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.59	189.4701	-0.06%	192.18	+1.37%	0.0140	✗	1.16	149k	2022-01-15
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	385.65	385.4017	-0.06%	390.86	+1.35%	0.0139	✗	1.02	7.6M	2022-01-15
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09336	0.093298	-0.07%	0.09328	-0.09%	0.0003	✓	0.73	52k	2022-01-15
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.1879	-0.07%	3.19	+0.00%	0.0005	✓	0.99	918k	2022-01-15
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.41	90.3463	-0.07%	93.08	+2.95%	0.0296	✗	1.18	108.4M	2022-01-15
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.055	1.0542	-0.07%	1.074	+1.80%	0.0184	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-01-15
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2668	0.2666	-0.07%	0.2669	+0.04%	0.0009	✗	1.33	4.0M	2022-01-15
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.265375	0.265144	-0.09%	0.259056	-2.38%	0.0234	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-01-15
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5792	0.578692	-0.09%	0.5948	+2.69%	0.0272	✗	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-15
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	144.84	144.6993	-0.10%	147.73	+2.00%	0.0205	✗	1.37	32.2M	2022-01-15
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.8	53.7459	-0.10%	55.11	+2.43%	0.0248	✗	1.49	667k	2022-01-15
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1754	0.175211	-0.11%	0.1719	-2.00%	0.0193	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-15
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.22	5.2141	-0.11%	5.28	+1.15%	0.0123	✗	1.18	3.3M	2022-01-15
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.08	20.0566	-0.12%	20.344	+1.31%	0.0139	✗	1.61	11.0M	2022-01-15
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3321	0.331692	-0.12%	0.3248	-2.20%	0.0212	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-15
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3204	3.316	-0.13%	3.3546	+1.03%	0.0114	✗	1.19	2.6M	2022-01-15
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.415	2.4117	-0.14%	2.458	+1.78%	0.0188	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-15
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8128	6.8033	-0.14%	7.09	+4.07%	0.0411	✗	0.86	3.5M	2022-01-15
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3822	1.3802	-0.14%	1.3785	-0.27%	0.0014	✓	1.17	30.5M	2022-01-15
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059654	0.059567	-0.15%	0.057912	-2.92%	0.0284	✓	1.20	7.5M	2022-01-15
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.955	2.9505	-0.15%	2.9986	+1.48%	0.0160	✗	1.02	5.2M	2022-01-15
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.857	2.8525	-0.16%	2.843	-0.49%	0.0035	✓	0.90	26k	2022-01-15
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0352	6.0256	-0.16%	6.757	+11.96%	0.1144	✗	1.21	457k	2022-01-15
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01666	0.016633	-0.16%	0.01703	+2.22%	0.0235	✗	0.73	24k	2022-01-15
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	281.84	281.3777	-0.16%	289.7	+2.79%	0.0289	✗	1.18	1.4M	2022-01-15
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.845	3.8385	-0.17%	3.846	+0.03%	0.0018	✗	0.71	526k	2022-01-15
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0305	1.0287	-0.17%	1.0846	+5.25%	0.0526	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-15
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.866	10.8453	-0.19%	11.158	+2.69%	0.0284	✗	0.11	44k	2022-01-15
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0879	-0.19%	1.12	+2.75%	0.0287	✗	1.91	1.6M	2022-01-15
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.76	27.7069	-0.19%	27.64	-0.43%	0.0027	✓	1.35	64.3M	2022-01-15
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.03	7.0164	-0.19%	7.04	+0.14%	0.0031	✗	1.29	17.7M	2022-01-15
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.4994	-0.20%	10.66	+1.33%	0.0151	✗	0.75	955k	2022-01-15
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.748205	0.746641	-0.21%	0.757762	+1.28%	0.0146	✗	1.14	2.5M	2022-01-15
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.98	10.9566	-0.21%	11.13	+1.37%	0.0157	✗	0.18	2.8M	2022-01-15
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.25	36.1709	-0.22%	36.22	-0.08%	0.0011	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-15
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.7616	-0.22%	3.7698	-0.00%	0.0022	✓	-0.06	364k	2022-01-15
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.269	4.2595	-0.22%	4.222	-1.10%	0.0090	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-15
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	224.05	223.5216	-0.24%	238.63	+6.51%	0.0652	✗	1.18	17.6M	2022-01-15
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.335	0.334191	-0.24%	0.3416	+1.97%	0.0217	✗	1.51	3.8M	2022-01-15
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.47	81.2643	-0.25%	87.55	+7.46%	0.0743	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-15
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.46	3.4508	-0.27%	3.5	+1.16%	0.0140	✗	1.09	808k	2022-01-15
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4198	1.416	-0.27%	1.5259	+7.47%	0.0746	✗	0.87	922k	2022-01-15
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.372	3.3625	-0.28%	3.34	-0.95%	0.0070	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-15
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7107	0.708673	-0.29%	0.7349	+3.41%	0.0361	✗	1.28	3.7M	2022-01-15
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.62	3.6095	-0.29%	3.55	-1.93%	0.0168	✓	1.25	8.5M	2022-01-15
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.7	5.6827	-0.30%	5.71	+0.18%	0.0046	✗	1.10	2.3M	2022-01-15
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.74	25.66	-0.31%	25.19	-2.14%	0.0187	✓	1.19	74.2M	2022-01-15
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.92	3.9074	-0.32%	5.09	+29.85%	0.2643	✗	0.80	471k	2022-01-15
XMR	Monero	Monero	229.78	229.0402	-0.32%	218.2	-5.04%	0.0487	✓	0.99	3.1M	2022-01-15
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,239.49	32,129.00	-0.34%	33,487.36	+3.87%	0.0413	✗	0.67	26.4M	2022-01-15
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.54	32.4257	-0.35%	32.55	+0.03%	0.0036	✗	1.41	34.3M	2022-01-15
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.083638	0.083344	-0.35%	0.087032	+4.06%	0.0431	✗	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-15
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7145	0.711912	-0.36%	0.677	-5.25%	0.0505	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-15
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.183317	0.182651	-0.36%	0.184596	+0.70%	0.0104	✗	1.10	5.4M	2022-01-15
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3291	0.327778	-0.40%	0.3345	+1.64%	0.0201	✗	1.02	397k	2022-01-15
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.73	44.5487	-0.41%	46	+2.84%	0.0319	✗	1.11	21.6M	2022-01-15
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.35	5.3205	-0.55%	5.28	-1.31%	0.0079	✓	1.40	32.4M	2022-01-15
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0647	1.0586	-0.57%	1.0618	-0.27%	0.0029	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-15
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.44	40.162	-0.69%	39.16	-3.17%	0.0254	✓	0.95	86.7M	2022-01-15
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6272	0.622672	-0.72%	0.6358	+1.37%	0.0206	✗	1.38	736k	2022-01-15
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1356	4.1051	-0.74%	4.1369	+0.03%	0.0076	✗	0.76	2,257	2022-01-15
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9605	0.944183	-1.70%	0.8963	-6.68%	0.0524	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-01-15
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22239	0.218523	-1.74%	0.20848	-6.25%	0.0473	✓	1.59	5,360	2022-01-15

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.