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2022-01-03 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1132
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.3%
in alpha space · 44.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.50621.5222+1.06%1.4484-3.84%0.0377✗0.864.5M2022-01-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10040.101359+0.96%0.0991-1.29%0.0033✓1.371.6M2022-01-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4140.416722+0.66%0.409-1.21%0.0086✗0.7241k2022-01-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.7234.947+0.65%34.11-1.76%0.0103✗1.003.9M2022-01-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70480.709205+0.62%0.6945-1.46%0.0036✓1.245.3M2022-01-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3168.3671+0.61%8.239-0.93%0.0017✓1.22354k2022-01-04
MOVRMoonriverBase191.896193.0436+0.60%185.4543-3.36%0.0259✗1.01574k2022-01-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07310.073531+0.59%0.0695-4.92%0.0368✗1.401.7M2022-01-04
ZENHorizenBase63.4463.7348+0.46%64.42+1.54%0.0305✓1.42837k2022-01-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.090080.090489+0.45%0.08927-0.90%0.0068✓1.453.0M2022-01-04
DODODODOEthereum0.9040.907824+0.42%0.873-3.43%0.0191✗1.438.1M2022-01-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.2339.3947+0.42%38.67-1.43%0.0066✓1.805.7M2022-01-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.893.9056+0.40%3.92+0.77%0.0222✓1.3211.2M2022-01-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.642456+0.38%0.662+3.44%0.0473✓1.242.2M2022-01-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20520.205971+0.38%0.1995-2.78%0.0151✗1.204.8M2022-01-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199410.200157+0.37%0.20404+2.32%0.0408✓1.556,5192022-01-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin148.43148.9594+0.36%146.44-1.34%0.0015✓1.3338.3M2022-01-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.5215.5743+0.35%15.92+2.58%0.0379✓1.143.5M2022-01-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.35452.3617+0.31%2.3398-0.62%0.0052✓1.04100k2022-01-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5611.5953+0.31%11.51-0.43%0.0096✗-0.162.3M2022-01-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11773.1272+0.30%3.0903-0.88%0.0049✓1.203.1M2022-01-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69420.696296+0.30%0.7133+2.75%0.0426✓1.322.9M2022-01-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.724.7679+0.27%24.02-2.75%0.0209✗0.701.3M2022-01-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.18286.1997+0.27%6.0617-1.96%0.0066✗1.14577k2022-01-04
TRXTRONTron0.0769880.077194+0.27%0.075989-1.30%0.0028✗0.93552k2022-01-04
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25063.2585+0.24%3.1744-2.34%0.0130✗0.945.9M2022-01-04
SCSiacoinnative0.015730.015768+0.24%0.01547-1.65%0.0059✗0.95817k2022-01-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.721.7242+0.24%1.64-4.65%0.0265✗1.691.0M2022-01-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.4136.493+0.23%35.83-1.59%0.0021✓1.461.1M2022-01-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08550.085689+0.22%0.08388-1.89%0.0046✗1.2020.9M2022-01-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.3894.5845+0.22%92.88-1.59%0.0047✗0.976.3M2022-01-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017360.017397+0.21%0.01947+12.15%0.1303✓1.262.2M2022-01-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,018.2046,113.51+0.21%46,006.00-0.03%0.0113✓0.9710k2022-01-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.0835.1487+0.20%36.13+2.99%0.0420✓1.0322.7M2022-01-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13520.135464+0.20%0.1324-2.07%0.0079✗1.07310k2022-01-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.24371.2461+0.19%1.1872-4.54%0.0289✗1.401.9M2022-01-04
ADACardanoCardano1.31861.3211+0.19%1.3092-0.71%0.0058✓1.0798.5M2022-01-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.65820.659438+0.19%0.6784+3.07%0.0450✓1.1911.4M2022-01-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338370.033898+0.18%0.033406-1.27%0.0003✓1.037.8M2022-01-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.241.2422+0.18%1.223-1.37%0.0027✗0.922.5M2022-01-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1701030.170392+0.17%0.168474-0.96%0.0039✓1.094.7M2022-01-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.4727+0.16%3.363-3.00%0.0098✗1.601.9M2022-01-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1525.16+0.16%5.107-0.87%0.0021✗0.59598k2022-01-04
HIVEHivenative1.63031.6328+0.15%1.5925-2.32%0.0060✗1.365.5M2022-01-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.62794.6349+0.15%4.507-2.61%0.0099✗1.295.0M2022-01-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.30050.30094+0.15%0.3025+0.67%0.0231✓1.294.6M2022-01-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6431.6817+0.13%31.27-1.17%0.0041✗0.65385k2022-01-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.217.2194+0.13%7.16-0.69%0.0006✓0.64861k2022-01-04
XVGVergenative0.017310.017332+0.13%0.01721-0.58%0.0096✓1.192.2M2022-01-04
GTGateEthereum6.43926.4472+0.12%6.4901+0.79%0.0176✓0.783.9M2022-01-04
UMAUMAEthereum9.279.2808+0.12%9.03-2.59%0.0118✗1.123.9M2022-01-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06360.063674+0.12%0.0623-2.04%0.0030✗1.357.5M2022-01-04
XEMNEMnative0.1270.127145+0.11%0.1252-1.42%0.0006✓1.06115k2022-01-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5629+0.11%2.48-3.13%0.0187✗1.024.0M2022-01-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033070.000033102+0.10%0.00003245-1.87%0.0025✗1.251.7M2022-01-04
QTUMQtumQtum9.20529.2135+0.09%8.9939-2.30%0.0053✗1.35273k2022-01-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,459.5646,497.34+0.08%45,814.61-1.39%0.0008✓1.00727.0M2022-01-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.1970.197118+0.06%0.1943-1.37%0.0022✓1.192.4M2022-01-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.898.8949+0.05%8.76-1.46%0.0069✗0.60869k2022-01-04
XYMSymbolnative0.20580.20591+0.05%0.2101+2.09%0.0286✓0.61428k2022-01-04
NANOnanopayBase3.57923.5807+0.04%3.7143+3.77%0.0513✓1.05754k2022-01-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,766.043,767.48+0.04%3,785.00+0.50%0.0188✓1.02654.8M2022-01-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39481.3953+0.04%1.3427-3.74%0.0233✗1.08926k2022-01-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198461+0.03%0.1957-1.36%0.0016✗0.89527k2022-01-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash434.61434.7315+0.03%427.38-1.66%0.0032✗0.999.1M2022-01-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6161.6164+0.03%1.646+1.86%0.0361✓1.283.4M2022-01-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1815.1837+0.02%15.04-0.92%0.0001✓0.681.2M2022-01-04
SOLSolanaSolana170.13170.1598+0.02%167.72-1.42%0.0009✗0.97217.0M2022-01-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0860.086008+0.01%0.0856-0.47%0.0097✓1.0420k2022-01-04
ZECZcashZcash150.55150.559+0.01%147.34-2.13%0.0038✗1.2710.3M2022-01-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1516-0.01%4.112-0.96%0.0003✓0.66483k2022-01-04
QNTQuantEthereum178.99178.9702-0.01%179.48+0.27%0.0159✗0.948.7M2022-01-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.6054.6037-0.03%4.72+2.50%0.0338✗0.6318k2022-01-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7962.7952-0.03%2.693-3.68%0.0232✓1.011.9M2022-01-04
KCSKuCoinnative22.36322.3541-0.04%22.046-1.42%0.0087✗1.6114.1M2022-01-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.85211.8513-0.04%1.7918-3.26%0.0214✓0.81689k2022-01-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.573.5681-0.05%3.71+3.92%0.0537✗1.05626k2022-01-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.8112.8023-0.06%12.29-4.06%0.0325✓0.601.3M2022-01-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7774.7741-0.06%4.673-2.18%0.0110✓0.751.2M2022-01-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.574.5671-0.06%4.74+3.72%0.0511✗1.002.5M2022-01-04
XECeCashnative0.000116480.000116405-0.06%0.00011292-3.06%0.0168✓0.977.4M2022-01-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8441.81-0.07%42.83+2.37%0.0471✗1.642.8M2022-01-04
DASHDashDash139.05138.9273-0.09%134.69-3.14%0.0138✓1.231.9M2022-01-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.134.1257-0.10%4.1-0.73%0.0077✗1.001.0M2022-01-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0220530.022028-0.11%0.022317+1.20%0.0301✗1.222.4M2022-01-04
XMRMoneroMonero231.81231.5446-0.11%222.22-4.14%0.0280✓0.933.2M2022-01-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.68.5901-0.11%8.5-1.16%0.0003✓0.73773k2022-01-04
FTTFTXEthereum40.2240.172-0.12%41.35+2.81%0.0430✗1.0119.4M2022-01-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37210.371598-0.13%0.3673-1.29%0.0062✗1.273.4M2022-01-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.174.1638-0.15%3.89-6.71%0.0540✓1.003.4M2022-01-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2652.2615-0.16%2.228-1.63%0.0006✓1.112.7M2022-01-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.141.1382-0.16%1.15+0.88%0.0243✗1.001.9M2022-01-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.433.4245-0.16%3.39-1.17%0.0035✗0.97995k2022-01-04
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4718.4401-0.16%18.21-1.41%0.0050✗1.2614.1M2022-01-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2902880.289817-0.16%0.279308-3.78%0.0228✓1.0124.9M2022-01-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.00251.0009-0.16%1.0351+3.25%0.0476✗1.00146k2022-01-04
LRCLoopringEthereum2.04562.0422-0.17%2.0651+0.95%0.0371✗1.851.5M2022-01-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.253.2442-0.18%3.42+5.23%0.0708✗1.293.0M2022-01-04
KSMKusamaHydration289.65289.1284-0.18%296.29+2.29%0.0397✗1.091.3M2022-01-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4369.4186-0.18%9.36-0.81%0.0028✗0.64302k2022-01-04
BANDBandEthereum5.565.5492-0.19%5.66+1.80%0.0359✗1.152.1M2022-01-04
SUSHISushiEthereum8.518.4932-0.20%8.07-5.17%0.0330✓1.2917.7M2022-01-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6821.6786-0.20%1.678-0.24%0.0185✗1.356.0M2022-01-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.53941.536-0.22%1.4602-5.14%0.0373✓0.953.7M2022-01-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.38421.3811-0.22%1.2788-7.61%0.0642✓0.9121.2M2022-01-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.0930.0207-0.23%28.69-4.65%0.0277✓1.2672.5M2022-01-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79143.7826-0.23%3.7795-0.31%0.0024✓-0.11374k2022-01-04
RADRadworksEthereum11.2911.2626-0.24%11.27-0.18%0.0124✗0.841.2M2022-01-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.3740.373057-0.25%0.3574-4.44%0.0290✓0.99293k2022-01-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.387801-0.26%0.3934+1.18%0.0342✗1.423.4M2022-01-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.4824-0.26%10.56+0.48%0.0178✗0.751.3M2022-01-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.121060.120739-0.26%0.11972-1.11%0.0066✗1.0826k2022-01-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.18121.8257-0.29%120.8-1.13%0.0046✗0.943.2M2022-01-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056590.056426-0.29%0.05513-2.58%0.0086✓1.0515k2022-01-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110920.110584-0.30%0.11-0.83%0.0037✗0.6555k2022-01-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30191.2978-0.31%1.2829-1.46%0.0125✗1.721.3M2022-01-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020230.020165-0.32%0.01973-2.47%0.0138✓0.5736k2022-01-04
AAVEAaveEthereum267.25266.3679-0.33%251.96-5.72%0.0404✓1.0912.6M2022-01-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022160.022084-0.34%0.02111-4.74%0.0311✓1.0029.0M2022-01-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche108.09107.7192-0.34%103.3-4.43%0.0272✓1.05119.6M2022-01-04
LUNATerraTerra 288.9288.576-0.39%84.56-4.90%0.0324✓1.005.3M2022-01-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.052480.052261-0.42%0.04929-6.08%0.0463✓0.888.2M2022-01-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12350.12292-0.47%0.1192-3.48%0.0168✓1.0035.9M2022-01-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.940260.935215-0.54%0.888431-5.51%0.0364✓1.072.8M2022-01-04
XTZTezosTezos4.81564.7889-0.56%5.039+4.64%0.0693✗1.324.9M2022-01-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.7223.5868-0.56%23.43-1.22%0.0108✗1.2569.2M2022-01-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.79491.7844-0.58%1.6714-6.88%0.0505✓1.0730.0M2022-01-04
COMPCompoundEthereum222.2220.8963-0.59%223.02+0.37%0.0251✗1.11210k2022-01-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.7213.6341-0.63%15.7+14.43%0.1416✗0.043.7M2022-01-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.2829.0687-0.72%33.82+15.51%0.1707✗1.3824.2M2022-01-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum38,753.9338,462.43-0.75%36,282.47-6.38%0.0497✓0.6215.7M2022-01-04
GITCOINGITCOIN13.61213.5088-0.76%15.672+15.13%0.1483✗-0.0298k2022-01-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84130.833798-0.89%0.8381-0.38%0.0288✗1.6931.9M2022-01-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.2938.9147-0.96%42.05+7.02%0.0902✗0.9143.4M2022-01-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.536.464-1.01%6.08-6.89%0.0427✓1.3329.3M2022-01-04
CBKCobakEthereum3.3813.3379-1.28%3.15-6.83%0.0462✓0.8441k2022-01-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.197.0656-1.73%6.6-8.21%0.0524✓1.133.3M2022-01-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.640.623749-2.54%0.6206-3.03%0.0144✓1.39650k2022-01-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.