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2022-01-02 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1326
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.7%
in alpha space · 47.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.55871.5722+0.86%1.5062-3.37%0.0275✗0.864.6M2022-01-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.100897+0.80%0.1004+0.30%0.0197✓1.381.6M2022-01-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4170.41882+0.44%0.414-0.72%0.0014✓0.7243k2022-01-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7270.729984+0.41%0.7048-3.05%0.0129✗1.245.6M2022-01-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016610.016678+0.41%0.01736+4.52%0.0630✓1.282.2M2022-01-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3835.5199+0.40%34.72-1.87%0.0049✗1.004.1M2022-01-03
ZENHorizenBase65.0665.2809+0.34%63.44-2.49%0.0033✓1.41872k2022-01-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6988.7215+0.27%8.316-4.39%0.0257✗1.22367k2022-01-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6420.643722+0.27%0.64-0.31%0.0165✓1.242.2M2022-01-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.424.463+0.26%24.7+1.23%0.0222✓0.701.4M2022-01-03
TRXTRONTron0.0776430.077839+0.25%0.076988-0.84%0.0056✓0.93556k2022-01-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17493.1829+0.25%3.1177-1.80%0.0009✓1.203.1M2022-01-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.2151.5734+0.25%148.43-1.83%0.0028✓1.3340.5M2022-01-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7111.7374+0.23%11.56-1.28%0.0181✗-0.162.3M2022-01-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.5535.6331+0.23%36.41+2.42%0.0479✓1.471.1M2022-01-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum41.0841.1755+0.23%39.23-4.50%0.0163✗1.796.1M2022-01-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.654.6594+0.20%4.6279-0.48%0.0165✓1.305.0M2022-01-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092330.092516+0.20%0.09008-2.44%0.0006✓1.453.1M2022-01-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.40892.4136+0.19%2.3545-2.26%0.0061✗1.04100k2022-01-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.197.2039+0.19%7.21+0.28%0.0123✓0.64948k2022-01-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20380.204191+0.19%0.19941-2.15%0.0040✓1.556,6152022-01-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084440.0846+0.19%0.0855+1.26%0.0322✓1.2020.9M2022-01-03
DODODODOEthereum0.9230.924705+0.18%0.904-2.06%0.0030✓1.438.1M2022-01-03
MOVRMoonriverBase200.0687200.3636+0.15%191.896-4.08%0.0251✗1.01586k2022-01-03
QTUMQtumQtum9.23639.2498+0.15%9.2052-0.34%0.0194✓1.35273k2022-01-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21210.212398+0.14%0.2052-3.25%0.0129✗1.204.9M2022-01-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34013.3448+0.14%3.2506-2.68%0.0118✗0.946.2M2022-01-03
XVSVenusEthereum16.0416.0611+0.13%15.52-3.24%0.0138✗1.143.7M2022-01-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1955.2014+0.12%5.152-0.83%0.0010✓0.59657k2022-01-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.296.2968+0.11%6.1828-1.70%0.0022✓1.14621k2022-01-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7140.714718+0.10%0.6942-2.77%0.0055✗1.322.9M2022-01-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.499.4988+0.09%9.27-2.32%0.0044✗1.124.1M2022-01-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,411.9047,455.41+0.09%46,018.20-2.94%0.0134✗0.9710k2022-01-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.858.8581+0.09%8.89+0.45%0.0143✓0.60914k2022-01-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1744010.17456+0.09%0.170103-2.46%0.0064✗1.095.1M2022-01-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.7635.7869+0.08%35.08-1.90%0.0015✗1.0323.6M2022-01-03
SCSiacoinnative0.016180.01619+0.06%0.01573-2.78%0.0119✗0.94847k2022-01-03
BANDBandEthereum5.285.2832+0.06%5.56+5.30%0.0719✓1.162.1M2022-01-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,299.0747,323.22+0.05%46,459.56-1.77%0.0005✗1.00744.5M2022-01-03
XVGVergenative0.017670.017678+0.05%0.01731-2.04%0.0003✓1.192.2M2022-01-03
GTGateEthereum6.60576.6084+0.04%6.4392-2.52%0.0120✗0.783.9M2022-01-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.03460.034614+0.04%0.033837-2.21%0.0043✗1.037.8M2022-01-03
NANOnanopayBase3.57643.5778+0.04%3.5792+0.08%0.0192✓1.05798k2022-01-03
ETHEthereumEthereum3,828.873,830.19+0.03%3,766.04-1.64%0.0013✓1.01679.6M2022-01-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0790.079027+0.03%0.0731-7.47%0.0531✗1.391.7M2022-01-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2661.2664+0.03%1.24-2.05%0.0046✗0.922.6M2022-01-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67650.676714+0.03%0.6582-2.71%0.0064✗1.1911.4M2022-01-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum96.4296.4458+0.03%94.38-2.12%0.0043✗0.976.3M2022-01-03
ZECZcashZcash153.06153.0925+0.02%150.55-1.64%0.0060✓1.2710.9M2022-01-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5605+0.02%2.56+0.00%0.0181✓1.024.1M2022-01-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034050.000034056+0.02%0.00003307-2.88%0.0071✗1.241.7M2022-01-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2651.2652+0.01%1.2437-1.68%0.0080✓1.402.0M2022-01-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1724.1724+0.01%4.152-0.48%0.0070✓0.67514k2022-01-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.1832.1821+0.01%31.64-1.68%0.0054✗0.65402k2022-01-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.6440.6421+0.01%41.84+2.95%0.0586✓1.652.8M2022-01-03
XECeCashnative0.000113340.000113343+0.00%0.00011648+2.77%0.0449✓0.987.4M2022-01-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13680.136801+0.00%0.1352-1.17%0.0075✓1.07315k2022-01-03
XEMNEMnative0.13070.130691-0.01%0.127-2.83%0.0097✓1.06121k2022-01-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3115.3085-0.01%15.18-0.85%0.0037✗0.681.3M2022-01-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.224.2189-0.03%3.89-7.82%0.0576✓1.3111.9M2022-01-03
ADACardanoCardano1.37791.3775-0.03%1.3186-4.30%0.0247✓1.06100.2M2022-01-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.568.557-0.04%8.6+0.47%0.0181✗0.73799k2022-01-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.048990.048972-0.04%0.05248+7.12%0.0851✗0.898.2M2022-01-03
SOLSolanaSolana176.32176.2488-0.04%170.13-3.51%0.0180✓0.97220.6M2022-01-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2252.2241-0.04%2.265+1.80%0.0382✗1.122.7M2022-01-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5643.5623-0.05%3.467-2.72%0.0016✗1.602.1M2022-01-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20550.20539-0.05%0.1984-3.45%0.0188✓0.88556k2022-01-03
FTTFTXEthereum40.1640.1381-0.05%40.22+0.15%0.0201✗1.0119.4M2022-01-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0650840.065044-0.06%0.0636-2.28%0.0017✗1.357.5M2022-01-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.62422.6083-0.07%22.363-1.15%0.0180✗1.6114.9M2022-01-03
XYMSymbolnative0.20930.209142-0.08%0.2058-1.67%0.0053✓0.61428k2022-01-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0880.087922-0.09%0.086-2.27%0.0036✓1.0321k2022-01-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.31190.311611-0.09%0.3005-3.66%0.0134✓1.284.8M2022-01-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.022330.022308-0.10%0.022053-1.24%0.0104✗1.222.4M2022-01-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42431.4228-0.10%1.3948-2.07%0.0005✓1.08947k2022-01-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6671.6652-0.11%1.616-3.06%0.0070✓1.283.5M2022-01-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash447.91447.3592-0.12%434.61-2.97%0.0112✓0.999.4M2022-01-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.57654.5709-0.12%4.605+0.62%0.0188✗0.6319k2022-01-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.1273.1231-0.12%3.381+8.12%0.0947✗0.8641k2022-01-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.23.1957-0.14%3.25+1.56%0.0401✗1.303.2M2022-01-03
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4118.3839-0.14%18.47+0.33%0.0272✗1.2614.1M2022-01-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.831.8273-0.15%1.72-6.01%0.0304✓1.681.1M2022-01-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.92631.9234-0.15%1.8521-3.85%0.0234✓0.80741k2022-01-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.43.3949-0.15%3.43+0.88%0.0278✗0.98995k2022-01-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884520.887107-0.15%0.94026+5.83%0.0776✗1.082.8M2022-01-03
QNTQuantEthereum187.33187.0295-0.16%178.99-4.45%0.0273✓0.938.8M2022-01-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38220.381584-0.16%0.3721-2.64%0.0024✓1.273.7M2022-01-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.729.65-0.17%30.09+1.31%0.0374✗1.2772.5M2022-01-03
DASHDashDash141.99141.7481-0.17%139.05-2.07%0.0028✗1.232.0M2022-01-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.1411.1204-0.18%11.29+1.35%0.0303✗0.851.2M2022-01-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.8821.8412-0.18%23.72+8.41%0.1052✗1.2769.2M2022-01-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.55521.5523-0.19%1.5394-1.02%0.0086✗0.954.0M2022-01-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2922730.291687-0.20%0.290288-0.68%0.0133✗1.0125.7M2022-01-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78453.7768-0.20%3.7914+0.18%0.0018✓-0.11393k2022-01-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.2273-0.20%7.19+15.22%0.1644✗1.153.3M2022-01-03
COMPCompoundEthereum211.43210.985-0.21%222.2+5.09%0.0719✗1.12210k2022-01-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.05123.7773-0.22%122.18-1.51%0.0038✗0.943.7M2022-01-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.8592.8527-0.22%2.796-2.20%0.0021✓1.002.0M2022-01-03
API3Api3Ethereum4.344.3304-0.22%4.13-4.84%0.0295✓1.001.1M2022-01-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.38360.382736-0.23%0.3888+1.36%0.0412✗1.423.7M2022-01-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1672-0.24%1.14-2.56%0.0057✓1.002.0M2022-01-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.0952.09-0.24%2.0456-2.36%0.0117✗1.851.5M2022-01-03
KSMKusamaHydration295.23294.5093-0.24%289.65-1.89%0.0028✗1.091.3M2022-01-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.484-0.25%10.51+0.00%0.0159✗0.751.3M2022-01-03
XMRMoneroMonero239.56238.9615-0.25%231.81-3.24%0.0137✓0.933.2M2022-01-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37231.3688-0.26%1.3842+0.87%0.0276✗0.9122.3M2022-01-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.783.7701-0.26%3.57-5.56%0.0358✓1.05643k2022-01-03
HIVEHivenative1.72491.7202-0.27%1.6303-5.48%0.0295✓1.355.5M2022-01-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12080.120467-0.28%0.1235+2.24%0.0428✗1.0033.0M2022-01-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.354.3375-0.29%4.17-4.14%0.0215✓1.003.4M2022-01-03
IMXImmutableEthereum4.964.9458-0.29%4.57-7.86%0.0611✓1.002.5M2022-01-03
SUSHISushiEthereum8.938.9043-0.29%8.51-4.70%0.0222✓1.2918.1M2022-01-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7708-0.29%1.682-5.29%0.0275✓1.346.3M2022-01-03
AAVEAaveEthereum265.45264.6672-0.29%267.25+0.68%0.0293✗1.0912.6M2022-01-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.3227.2392-0.30%29.28+7.17%0.0973✗1.4024.2M2022-01-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30011.2962-0.30%1.3019+0.14%0.0353✗1.721.3M2022-01-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057530.057352-0.31%0.05659-1.63%0.0054✗1.0515k2022-01-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0124.9963-0.31%4.777-4.69%0.0316✓0.741.0M2022-01-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.12510.0929-0.32%9.436-6.80%0.0559✓0.63310k2022-01-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0071.0037-0.33%1.0025-0.45%0.0167✗1.00146k2022-01-03
XTZTezosTezos4.67034.6547-0.33%4.8156+3.11%0.0577✗1.334.9M2022-01-03
LUNATerraTerra 289.3589.0446-0.34%88.92-0.48%0.0165✗1.005.3M2022-01-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.122510.122084-0.35%0.12106-1.18%0.0110✗1.0826k2022-01-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67391.668-0.35%1.7949+7.23%0.0928✗1.0830.0M2022-01-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.21112.7542-0.40%108.09-4.52%0.0235✓1.05121.7M2022-01-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02080.02071-0.43%0.02023-2.74%0.0133✓0.5739k2022-01-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.21210.211139-0.45%0.197-7.12%0.0482✓1.182.4M2022-01-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.115310.114773-0.47%0.11092-3.81%0.0227✓0.6455k2022-01-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.024020.023908-0.47%0.02216-7.74%0.0580✓1.0029.5M2022-01-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.9913.922-0.49%12.81-8.43%0.0728✓0.581.3M2022-01-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.5435.3006-0.67%39.29+10.55%0.1236✗0.9343.4M2022-01-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.7514.6431-0.72%13.72-6.98%0.0647✓0.033.9M2022-01-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.056.0013-0.80%6.53+7.93%0.1084✗1.3429.3M2022-01-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.39570.39218-0.89%0.374-5.48%0.0298✓0.99293k2022-01-03
GITCOINGITCOIN14.89814.7584-0.94%13.612-8.63%0.0814✓-0.03111k2022-01-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum39,116.5138,726.16-1.00%38,753.93-0.93%0.0117✗0.6215.7M2022-01-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94350.932851-1.13%0.8413-10.83%0.0734✓1.6731.1M2022-01-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.75680.714764-5.55%0.64-15.43%0.0862✓1.36650k2022-01-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.