8=======>

2022-01-02 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1382
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.7%
in alpha space · 47.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.75680.714764-5.55%0.64-15.43%0.0862✓1.36650k2022-01-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94350.93285-1.13%0.8413-10.83%0.0730✓1.6931.1M2022-01-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum39,116.5138,726.07-1.00%38,753.93-0.93%0.0115✗0.6015.7M2022-01-03
GITCOINGITCOIN14.89814.7584-0.94%13.612-8.63%0.0822✓-0.07111k2022-01-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.39570.39218-0.89%0.374-5.48%0.0298✓0.99293k2022-01-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.056.0013-0.80%6.53+7.93%0.1089✗1.3729.3M2022-01-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.7514.6431-0.72%13.72-6.98%0.0654✓-0.023.9M2022-01-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.5435.3006-0.67%39.29+10.55%0.1237✗0.9343.4M2022-01-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.9913.9219-0.49%12.81-8.43%0.0727✓0.591.3M2022-01-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.024020.023908-0.47%0.02216-7.74%0.0580✓1.0029.5M2022-01-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.115310.114774-0.47%0.11092-3.81%0.0228✓0.6355k2022-01-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.21210.211139-0.45%0.197-7.12%0.0482✓1.182.4M2022-01-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02080.02071-0.43%0.02023-2.74%0.0120✓0.6439k2022-01-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.21112.7551-0.40%108.09-4.52%0.0224✓1.11121.7M2022-01-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67391.668-0.35%1.7949+7.23%0.0935✗1.1330.0M2022-01-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.122510.122085-0.35%0.12106-1.18%0.0113✗1.1026k2022-01-03
LUNATerraTerra 289.3589.0446-0.34%88.92-0.48%0.0165✗1.005.3M2022-01-03
XTZTezosTezos4.67034.6547-0.33%4.8156+3.11%0.0581✗1.344.9M2022-01-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0071.0037-0.33%1.0025-0.45%0.0167✗1.00146k2022-01-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.12510.0928-0.32%9.436-6.80%0.0566✓0.60310k2022-01-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0124.9964-0.31%4.777-4.69%0.0314✓0.751.0M2022-01-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057530.057352-0.31%0.05659-1.63%0.0063✗1.1015k2022-01-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30011.2962-0.30%1.3019+0.14%0.0360✗1.771.3M2022-01-03
AAVEAaveEthereum265.45264.6669-0.30%267.25+0.68%0.0301✗1.1412.6M2022-01-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.3227.2396-0.29%29.28+7.17%0.0978✗1.4324.2M2022-01-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7708-0.29%1.682-5.29%0.0272✓1.356.3M2022-01-03
SUSHISushiEthereum8.938.9043-0.29%8.51-4.70%0.0220✓1.3018.1M2022-01-03
IMXImmutableEthereum4.964.9458-0.29%4.57-7.86%0.0611✓1.002.5M2022-01-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.354.3375-0.29%4.17-4.14%0.0215✓1.003.4M2022-01-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12080.120467-0.28%0.1235+2.24%0.0428✗1.0033.0M2022-01-03
HIVEHivenative1.72491.7202-0.27%1.6303-5.48%0.0291✓1.375.5M2022-01-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.783.7702-0.26%3.57-5.56%0.0353✓1.07643k2022-01-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37231.3688-0.26%1.3842+0.87%0.0281✗0.9422.3M2022-01-03
XMRMoneroMonero239.56238.9634-0.25%231.81-3.24%0.0125✓1.003.2M2022-01-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.484-0.25%10.51+0.00%0.0159✗0.751.3M2022-01-03
KSMKusamaHydration295.23294.5091-0.24%289.65-1.89%0.0033✗1.121.3M2022-01-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.0952.09-0.24%2.0456-2.36%0.0121✗1.871.5M2022-01-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1672-0.24%1.14-2.56%0.0057✓1.002.0M2022-01-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.38360.382737-0.23%0.3888+1.36%0.0425✗1.503.7M2022-01-03
API3Api3Ethereum4.344.3304-0.22%4.13-4.84%0.0295✓1.001.1M2022-01-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.8592.8527-0.22%2.796-2.20%0.0018✓1.022.0M2022-01-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.05123.7771-0.22%122.18-1.51%0.0041✗0.953.7M2022-01-03
COMPCompoundEthereum211.43210.9884-0.21%222.2+5.09%0.0725✗1.16210k2022-01-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78453.7768-0.20%3.7914+0.18%0.0018✓-0.11393k2022-01-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.2274-0.20%7.19+15.22%0.1647✗1.173.3M2022-01-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2922730.291687-0.20%0.290288-0.68%0.0134✗1.0225.7M2022-01-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.55521.5523-0.19%1.5394-1.02%0.0086✗0.954.0M2022-01-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.8821.8413-0.18%23.72+8.41%0.1066✗1.3469.2M2022-01-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.1411.1204-0.18%11.29+1.35%0.0303✗0.841.2M2022-01-03
DASHDashDash141.99141.748-0.17%139.05-2.07%0.0035✗1.272.0M2022-01-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.729.65-0.17%30.09+1.31%0.0379✗1.3072.5M2022-01-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38220.381585-0.16%0.3721-2.64%0.0024✓1.273.7M2022-01-03
QNTQuantEthereum187.33187.0301-0.16%178.99-4.45%0.0269✓0.958.8M2022-01-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.43.3949-0.15%3.43+0.88%0.0283✗1.00995k2022-01-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.92631.9235-0.15%1.8521-3.85%0.0236✓0.80741k2022-01-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884520.887134-0.15%0.94026+5.83%0.0784✗1.132.8M2022-01-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.831.8274-0.14%1.72-6.01%0.0299✓1.711.1M2022-01-03
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4118.3839-0.14%18.47+0.33%0.0277✗1.2914.1M2022-01-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.23.1957-0.14%3.25+1.56%0.0404✗1.313.2M2022-01-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash447.91447.3569-0.12%434.61-2.97%0.0108✓1.019.4M2022-01-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.57654.5709-0.12%4.605+0.62%0.0199✗0.7019k2022-01-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.1273.1232-0.12%3.381+8.12%0.0948✗0.8641k2022-01-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6671.6652-0.11%1.616-3.06%0.0069✓1.293.5M2022-01-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42431.4228-0.10%1.3948-2.07%0.0002✓1.10947k2022-01-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.022330.022308-0.10%0.022053-1.24%0.0101✗1.212.4M2022-01-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.31190.311619-0.09%0.3005-3.66%0.0130✓1.304.8M2022-01-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0880.087922-0.09%0.086-2.27%0.0029✓1.0721k2022-01-03
XYMSymbolnative0.20930.209135-0.08%0.2058-1.67%0.0054✓0.60428k2022-01-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.62422.6083-0.07%22.363-1.15%0.0184✗1.6314.9M2022-01-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0650840.065044-0.06%0.0636-2.28%0.0024✗1.397.5M2022-01-03
FTTFTXEthereum40.1640.1379-0.06%40.22+0.15%0.0210✗1.0619.4M2022-01-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20550.20539-0.05%0.1984-3.45%0.0185✓0.90556k2022-01-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5643.5623-0.05%3.467-2.72%0.0016✗1.602.1M2022-01-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2252.2241-0.04%2.265+1.80%0.0384✗1.132.7M2022-01-03
SOLSolanaSolana176.32176.2488-0.04%170.13-3.51%0.0163✓1.06220.6M2022-01-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.568.5567-0.04%8.6+0.47%0.0188✗0.77799k2022-01-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.048990.048973-0.03%0.05248+7.12%0.0855✗0.918.2M2022-01-03
ADACardanoCardano1.37791.3775-0.03%1.3186-4.30%0.0241✓1.09100.2M2022-01-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.224.2189-0.03%3.89-7.82%0.0576✓1.3111.9M2022-01-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3115.3085-0.01%15.18-0.85%0.0039✗0.691.3M2022-01-03
XEMNEMnative0.13070.130693-0.01%0.127-2.83%0.0090✓1.10121k2022-01-03
XECeCashnative0.000113340.00011334+0.00%0.00011648+2.77%0.0451✓0.997.4M2022-01-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13680.136801+0.00%0.1352-1.17%0.0075✓1.07315k2022-01-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.6440.6421+0.01%41.84+2.95%0.0587✓1.662.8M2022-01-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.1832.1821+0.01%31.64-1.68%0.0049✗0.68402k2022-01-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1724.1724+0.01%4.152-0.48%0.0070✓0.67514k2022-01-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2651.2652+0.01%1.2437-1.68%0.0080✓1.402.0M2022-01-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034050.000034056+0.02%0.00003307-2.88%0.0071✗1.241.7M2022-01-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5604+0.02%2.56+0.00%0.0189✓1.064.1M2022-01-03
ZECZcashZcash153.06153.0921+0.02%150.55-1.64%0.0074✓1.3510.9M2022-01-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum96.4296.4492+0.03%94.38-2.12%0.0045✗0.966.3M2022-01-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67650.676714+0.03%0.6582-2.71%0.0046✗1.2911.4M2022-01-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2661.2664+0.03%1.24-2.05%0.0042✗0.942.6M2022-01-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0790.079027+0.03%0.0731-7.47%0.0531✗1.391.7M2022-01-03
ETHEthereumEthereum3,828.873,830.19+0.03%3,766.04-1.64%0.0017✓1.04679.6M2022-01-03
GTGateEthereum6.60576.6084+0.04%6.4392-2.52%0.0109✗0.843.9M2022-01-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.03460.034614+0.04%0.033837-2.21%0.0044✗1.027.8M2022-01-03
NANOnanopayBase3.57643.5779+0.04%3.5792+0.08%0.0195✓1.07798k2022-01-03
XVGVergenative0.017670.017678+0.05%0.01731-2.04%0.0003✓1.192.2M2022-01-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,299.0747,323.40+0.05%46,459.56-1.77%0.0005✗1.00744.5M2022-01-03
BANDBandEthereum5.285.2832+0.06%5.56+5.30%0.0727✓1.212.1M2022-01-03
SCSiacoinnative0.016180.01619+0.06%0.01573-2.78%0.0118✗0.95847k2022-01-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.7635.7869+0.08%35.08-1.90%0.0013✗1.0423.6M2022-01-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.499.4983+0.09%9.27-2.32%0.0044✗1.114.1M2022-01-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.858.858+0.09%8.89+0.45%0.0145✓0.61914k2022-01-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1744010.174559+0.09%0.170103-2.46%0.0061✗1.105.1M2022-01-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,411.9047,455.28+0.09%46,018.20-2.94%0.0133✗0.9810k2022-01-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7140.714715+0.10%0.6942-2.77%0.0054✗1.322.9M2022-01-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1955.2013+0.12%5.152-0.83%0.0013✓0.60657k2022-01-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.296.2977+0.12%6.1828-1.70%0.0031✓1.20621k2022-01-03
XVSVenusEthereum16.0416.0605+0.13%15.52-3.24%0.0136✗1.153.7M2022-01-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34013.3448+0.14%3.2506-2.68%0.0118✗0.946.2M2022-01-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21210.212399+0.14%0.2052-3.25%0.0123✗1.244.9M2022-01-03
QTUMQtumQtum9.23639.25+0.15%9.2052-0.34%0.0206✓1.42273k2022-01-03
MOVRMoonriverBase200.0687200.3676+0.15%191.896-4.08%0.0225✗1.16586k2022-01-03
DODODODOEthereum0.9230.924709+0.19%0.904-2.06%0.0037✓1.478.1M2022-01-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20380.204188+0.19%0.19941-2.15%0.0044✓1.576,6152022-01-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.197.2039+0.19%7.21+0.28%0.0123✓0.64948k2022-01-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.40892.4136+0.19%2.3545-2.26%0.0047✗1.12100k2022-01-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084440.084608+0.20%0.0855+1.26%0.0324✓1.2220.9M2022-01-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092330.092516+0.20%0.09008-2.44%0.0006✓1.453.1M2022-01-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.654.6594+0.20%4.6279-0.48%0.0165✓1.305.0M2022-01-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.5535.6324+0.23%36.41+2.42%0.0492✓1.541.1M2022-01-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum41.0841.1755+0.23%39.23-4.50%0.0163✗1.796.1M2022-01-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7111.7374+0.23%11.56-1.28%0.0183✗-0.172.3M2022-01-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin151.2151.5724+0.25%148.43-1.83%0.0032✓1.3540.5M2022-01-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17493.1829+0.25%3.1177-1.80%0.0009✓1.203.1M2022-01-03
TRXTRONTron0.0776430.077839+0.25%0.076988-0.84%0.0059✓0.94556k2022-01-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.424.4635+0.26%24.7+1.23%0.0282✓1.041.4M2022-01-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6988.7211+0.27%8.316-4.39%0.0250✗1.26367k2022-01-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6420.643739+0.27%0.64-0.31%0.0168✓1.272.2M2022-01-03
ZENHorizenBase65.0665.2832+0.34%63.44-2.49%0.0016✓1.51872k2022-01-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3835.5201+0.40%34.72-1.87%0.0042✗1.044.1M2022-01-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016610.016677+0.40%0.01736+4.52%0.0635✓1.302.2M2022-01-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7270.729987+0.41%0.7048-3.05%0.0124✗1.275.6M2022-01-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4170.418815+0.44%0.414-0.72%0.0016✓0.7343k2022-01-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.100894+0.79%0.1004+0.30%0.0196✓1.371.6M2022-01-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.55871.5723+0.87%1.5062-3.37%0.0284✗0.814.6M2022-01-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.