2022-01-01 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2371

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.32%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.1%

in alpha space · 56.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.91%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6281	1.6398	+0.72%	1.5587	-4.26%	0.0429	✗	0.86	4.6M	2022-01-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1001	0.100751	+0.65%	0.1001	+0.00%	0.0061	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-01-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.94	64.2024	+0.41%	65.06	+1.75%	0.0262	✓	1.42	924k	2022-01-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01654	0.016605	+0.40%	0.01661	+0.42%	0.0120	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.875	0.878312	+0.38%	0.923	+5.49%	0.0628	✓	1.44	8.1M	2022-01-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.39	8.4214	+0.37%	8.698	+3.67%	0.0435	✓	1.22	379k	2022-01-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1885	0.189177	+0.36%	0.2121	+12.52%	0.1252	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-01-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.87	34.995	+0.36%	35.38	+1.46%	0.0201	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-01-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5238	1.5291	+0.35%	1.7249	+13.20%	0.1329	✓	1.36	5.5M	2022-01-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7302	0.732551	+0.32%	0.727	-0.44%	0.0038	✓	1.24	6.0M	2022-01-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076625	0.076852	+0.30%	0.077643	+1.33%	0.0187	✓	0.93	589k	2022-01-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2078	3.2171	+0.29%	3.1749	-1.03%	0.0022	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-01-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4264	0.427632	+0.29%	0.7568	+77.49%	0.5837	✓	1.40	650k	2022-01-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	189.4715	189.9934	+0.28%	200.0687	+5.59%	0.0609	✓	1.01	600k	2022-01-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1094	6.1252	+0.26%	6.29	+2.96%	0.0370	✓	1.14	649k	2022-01-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.17	40.273	+0.26%	41.08	+2.27%	0.0363	✓	1.80	6.3M	2022-01-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7558	4.7677	+0.25%	4.65	-2.22%	0.0131	✗	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	150.83	151.2042	+0.25%	151.2	+0.25%	0.0121	✓	1.33	41.9M	2022-01-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.633	0.634468	+0.23%	0.642	+1.42%	0.0232	✓	1.24	2.3M	2022-01-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9613	8.9816	+0.23%	9.2363	+3.07%	0.0404	✓	1.36	278k	2022-01-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.27	35.3496	+0.23%	35.55	+0.79%	0.0191	✓	1.47	1.2M	2022-01-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.24	7.2558	+0.22%	7.19	-0.69%	0.0033	✗	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.33	9.3493	+0.21%	9.49	+1.71%	0.0252	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.7	1.7032	+0.19%	1.83	+7.65%	0.0872	✓	1.69	1.1M	2022-01-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.76	11.7809	+0.18%	11.71	-0.43%	0.0075	✗	-0.16	2.8M	2022-01-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.43	0.430724	+0.17%	0.417	-3.02%	0.0258	✗	0.72	45k	2022-01-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033863	0.033919	+0.16%	0.0346	+2.18%	0.0293	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-01-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.093	0.093141	+0.15%	0.09233	-0.72%	0.0046	✓	1.45	3.5M	2022-01-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.52	24.5568	+0.15%	24.4	-0.49%	0.0000	✓	0.70	1.5M	2022-01-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.126	0.126184	+0.15%	0.1307	+3.73%	0.0449	✓	1.06	137k	2022-01-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.133	2.1361	+0.14%	2.225	+4.31%	0.0510	✓	1.12	2.9M	2022-01-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3965	2.3998	+0.14%	2.4089	+0.52%	0.0133	✓	1.04	111k	2022-01-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20032	0.200592	+0.14%	0.2038	+1.74%	0.0300	✓	1.55	7,281	2022-01-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173118	0.173335	+0.13%	0.174401	+0.74%	0.0161	✓	1.09	5.5M	2022-01-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.211	5.2174	+0.12%	5.195	-0.31%	0.0011	✓	0.59	738k	2022-01-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01554	0.015559	+0.12%	0.01618	+4.12%	0.0478	✓	0.95	859k	2022-01-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.18	5.1857	+0.11%	5.28	+1.93%	0.0287	✓	1.17	2.2M	2022-01-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0839	0.083982	+0.10%	0.088	+4.89%	0.0562	✓	1.04	20k	2022-01-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6647	0.665318	+0.09%	0.6765	+1.78%	0.0276	✓	1.19	11.8M	2022-01-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10295	0.103044	+0.09%	0.11531	+12.01%	0.1184	✓	0.65	55k	2022-01-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.08	16.0946	+0.09%	16.04	-0.25%	0.0070	✓	1.14	3.8M	2022-01-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2128	0.212992	+0.09%	0.2121	-0.33%	0.0068	✓	1.20	5.1M	2022-01-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3501	3.353	+0.09%	3.3401	-0.30%	0.0047	✓	0.93	6.6M	2022-01-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.88	35.9112	+0.09%	35.76	-0.33%	0.0052	✓	1.03	23.7M	2022-01-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.1	94.181	+0.09%	96.42	+2.47%	0.0324	✓	0.97	6.5M	2022-01-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.94	8.9466	+0.07%	8.85	-1.01%	0.0054	✗	0.60	998k	2022-01-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,765.72	3,768.21	+0.07%	3,828.87	+1.68%	0.0253	✓	1.02	685.0M	2022-01-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,429.60	47,461.01	+0.07%	47,411.90	-0.04%	0.0078	✓	0.97	10k	2022-01-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.58	3.582	+0.06%	3.5764	-0.10%	0.0080	✓	1.05	819k	2022-01-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.53	2.5313	+0.05%	2.56	+1.19%	0.0206	✓	1.02	4.1M	2022-01-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.36	150.4393	+0.05%	153.06	+1.80%	0.0289	✓	1.27	11.0M	2022-01-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2952	0.295342	+0.05%	0.3119	+5.66%	0.0663	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-01-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08625	0.086284	+0.04%	0.08444	-2.10%	0.0106	✗	1.20	21.1M	2022-01-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011077	0.00011081	+0.04%	0.00011334	+2.32%	0.0316	✓	0.98	7.6M	2022-01-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.914	2.915	+0.04%	3.127	+7.31%	0.0781	✓	0.86	44k	2022-01-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,733.43	47,749.43	+0.03%	47,299.07	-0.91%	0.0003	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	25.61	25.6175	+0.03%	27.32	+6.68%	0.0772	✓	1.40	24.2M	2022-01-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.715	0.715203	+0.03%	0.714	-0.14%	0.0104	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1339	0.133936	+0.03%	0.1368	+2.17%	0.0310	✓	1.08	315k	2022-01-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.681	2.6815	+0.02%	2.859	+6.64%	0.0733	✓	1.01	2.0M	2022-01-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.75	20.7501	+0.00%	21.88	+5.45%	0.0646	✓	1.27	69.7M	2022-01-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01775	0.01775	+0.00%	0.01767	-0.45%	0.0064	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-01-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.221	4.2208	-0.00%	4.172	-1.16%	0.0056	✓	0.67	514k	2022-01-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.1	3.0996	-0.01%	3.2	+3.23%	0.0437	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003416	0.000034155	-0.01%	0.00003405	-0.32%	0.0083	✗	1.25	1.8M	2022-01-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.65	8.6488	-0.01%	8.56	-1.04%	0.0036	✓	0.73	979k	2022-01-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.835	1.8347	-0.02%	1.9263	+4.98%	0.0561	✗	0.80	828k	2022-01-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.47	17.4656	-0.03%	18.41	+5.38%	0.0642	✗	1.26	14.5M	2022-01-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.4	15.396	-0.03%	15.31	-0.58%	0.0006	✗	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2061	0.20604	-0.03%	0.2055	-0.29%	0.0054	✗	0.88	585k	2022-01-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7635	6.7614	-0.03%	6.6057	-2.33%	0.0162	✓	0.78	4.0M	2022-01-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.276	1.2756	-0.03%	1.266	-0.78%	0.0009	✗	0.92	2.6M	2022-01-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0797	0.079673	-0.03%	0.079	-0.88%	0.0042	✗	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11476	0.114712	-0.04%	0.12251	+6.75%	0.0757	✗	1.09	26k	2022-01-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.98	5.9774	-0.04%	6.24	+4.35%	0.0536	✗	1.16	3.8M	2022-01-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.61	28.5965	-0.05%	29.7	+3.81%	0.0495	✗	1.27	74.7M	2022-01-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.46	32.444	-0.05%	32.18	-0.86%	0.0023	✓	0.65	463k	2022-01-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3805	1.3798	-0.05%	1.4243	+3.17%	0.0417	✗	1.08	987k	2022-01-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.386	22.3738	-0.05%	22.624	+1.06%	0.0259	✗	1.61	15.7M	2022-01-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.193	9.1877	-0.06%	10.125	+10.14%	0.1030	✗	0.64	324k	2022-01-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.87	179.7668	-0.06%	187.33	+4.15%	0.0498	✗	0.93	8.9M	2022-01-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3797	1.3789	-0.06%	1.3779	-0.13%	0.0090	✗	1.06	102.6M	2022-01-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	179.21	179.0959	-0.06%	176.32	-1.61%	0.0068	✓	0.96	226.4M	2022-01-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3775	0.377237	-0.07%	0.3822	+1.25%	0.0247	✗	1.27	3.9M	2022-01-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.276802	0.2766	-0.07%	0.292273	+5.59%	0.0644	✗	1.01	26.4M	2022-01-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2912	1.2902	-0.07%	1.265	-2.03%	0.0069	✓	1.40	2.1M	2022-01-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022463	0.022446	-0.08%	0.02233	-0.59%	0.0060	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.2	40.1678	-0.08%	40.16	-0.10%	0.0090	✗	1.01	20.0M	2022-01-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.07	41.0354	-0.08%	40.64	-1.05%	0.0054	✗	1.65	2.8M	2022-01-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064208	0.064151	-0.09%	0.065084	+1.36%	0.0268	✗	1.35	7.6M	2022-01-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.08	2.0781	-0.09%	2.095	+0.72%	0.0250	✗	1.85	1.5M	2022-01-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04964	0.049592	-0.10%	0.04899	-1.31%	0.0041	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-01-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	138.03	137.8871	-0.10%	141.99	+2.87%	0.0406	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.651	1.6491	-0.12%	1.667	+0.97%	0.0225	✗	1.28	3.6M	2022-01-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11	10.9865	-0.12%	11.14	+1.27%	0.0216	✗	0.85	1.2M	2022-01-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	445.07	444.4816	-0.13%	447.91	+0.64%	0.0167	✗	0.99	9.8M	2022-01-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.35	3.3455	-0.13%	3.4	+1.49%	0.0251	✗	0.98	1.0M	2022-01-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.03	122.8611	-0.14%	124.05	+0.83%	0.0182	✗	0.94	3.7M	2022-01-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.609	3.6036	-0.15%	3.564	-1.25%	0.0037	✗	1.61	2.3M	2022-01-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05488	0.054793	-0.16%	0.05753	+4.83%	0.0583	✗	1.05	15k	2022-01-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.875736	0.87435	-0.16%	0.888452	+1.45%	0.0259	✗	1.08	2.8M	2022-01-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2582	1.2562	-0.16%	1.3001	+3.33%	0.0501	✗	1.73	1.3M	2022-01-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5787	1.5762	-0.16%	1.5552	-1.49%	0.0047	✓	0.95	4.2M	2022-01-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	210.69	210.3212	-0.18%	211.43	+0.35%	0.0155	✗	1.13	210k	2022-01-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.04	288.5134	-0.18%	295.23	+2.14%	0.0330	✗	1.09	1.3M	2022-01-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.748	1.7447	-0.19%	1.776	+1.60%	0.0300	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-01-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9793	0.977463	-0.19%	1.007	+2.83%	0.0389	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1249	0.124665	-0.19%	0.1208	-3.28%	0.0224	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-01-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.3493	-0.20%	10.51	+1.35%	0.0223	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-01-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7989	3.7911	-0.20%	3.7845	-0.38%	0.0028	✓	-0.11	405k	2022-01-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.5517	4.5421	-0.21%	4.5765	+0.54%	0.0133	✗	0.63	19k	2022-01-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.36	4.3508	-0.21%	4.34	-0.46%	0.0067	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.37	4.3602	-0.22%	4.35	-0.46%	0.0068	✗	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.73	3.7213	-0.23%	3.78	+1.34%	0.0252	✗	1.05	667k	2022-01-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3671	0.366214	-0.24%	0.3957	+7.79%	0.0865	✗	0.99	293k	2022-01-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.83	4.8183	-0.24%	4.96	+2.69%	0.0381	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1671	-0.25%	1.17	+0.00%	0.0116	✗	1.00	2.1M	2022-01-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3879	0.3868	-0.28%	0.3836	-1.11%	0.0047	✗	1.42	4.0M	2022-01-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.14	9.1123	-0.30%	8.93	-2.30%	0.0084	✓	1.29	18.1M	2022-01-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	266.48	265.6251	-0.32%	265.45	-0.39%	0.0093	✗	1.09	12.0M	2022-01-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0202	0.020134	-0.32%	0.0208	+2.97%	0.0378	✗	0.57	41k	2022-01-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.7494	4.7332	-0.34%	4.6703	-1.67%	0.0013	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.66	91.3446	-0.34%	89.35	-2.52%	0.0129	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.069	5.0515	-0.35%	5.012	-1.12%	0.0011	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.411	1.4057	-0.37%	1.3723	-2.74%	0.0157	✓	0.91	23.0M	2022-01-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.2	13.148	-0.39%	13.99	+5.98%	0.0674	✗	0.58	1.3M	2022-01-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.49	4.4722	-0.40%	4.22	-6.01%	0.0461	✓	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.26	113.8053	-0.40%	113.21	-0.92%	0.0043	✗	1.05	123.8M	2022-01-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02333	0.023227	-0.44%	0.02402	+2.96%	0.0427	✗	1.00	31.2M	2022-01-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.58	13.5191	-0.45%	14.75	+8.62%	0.0874	✗	0.03	3.9M	2022-01-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	250.04	248.7968	-0.50%	239.56	-4.19%	0.0293	✓	0.93	3.2M	2022-01-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7433	1.734	-0.53%	1.6739	-3.98%	0.0254	✓	1.08	30.5M	2022-01-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.69	13.6151	-0.55%	14.898	+8.82%	0.0898	✗	-0.03	111k	2022-01-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2245	0.22316	-0.60%	0.2093	-6.77%	0.0586	✓	0.60	428k	2022-01-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,545.69	36,209.77	-0.92%	39,116.51	+7.03%	0.0829	✗	0.62	15.4M	2022-01-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.33	35.9691	-0.99%	35.54	-2.17%	0.0036	✓	0.92	43.4M	2022-01-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.21	6.1368	-1.18%	6.05	-2.58%	0.0020	✓	1.34	29.2M	2022-01-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	1.0026	0.990493	-1.21%	0.9435	-5.89%	0.0334	✓	1.67	31.1M	2022-01-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.