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2022-01-01 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0778
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.3%
in alpha space · 48.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.00260.987307-1.53%0.9435-5.89%0.0300✓1.6931.1M2022-01-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.216.1377-1.16%6.05-2.58%0.0019✓1.3729.2M2022-01-02
GITCOINGITCOIN13.6913.5488-1.03%14.898+8.82%0.0943✗-0.07111k2022-01-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,545.6936,173.76-1.02%39,116.51+7.03%0.0838✗0.6115.4M2022-01-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.36710.363367-1.02%0.3957+7.79%0.0943✗0.99293k2022-01-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.494.4478-0.94%4.22-6.01%0.0406✓1.3111.9M2022-01-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.0695.0231-0.91%5.012-1.12%0.0047✓0.751.0M2022-01-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023330.023121-0.90%0.02402+2.96%0.0473✗1.0031.2M2022-01-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos36.3336.0119-0.88%35.54-2.17%0.0047✓0.9343.4M2022-01-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5813.4668-0.83%14.75+8.62%0.0909✗-0.013.9M2022-01-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.29121.2807-0.81%1.265-2.03%0.0005✓1.402.1M2022-01-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.213.1031-0.73%13.99+5.98%0.0709✗0.591.3M2022-01-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.38790.385603-0.59%0.3836-1.11%0.0085✗1.504.0M2022-01-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.26113.6103-0.57%113.21-0.92%0.0066✗1.11123.8M2022-01-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.57871.5701-0.54%1.5552-1.49%0.0009✓0.954.2M2022-01-02
RADRadworksEthereum1110.9417-0.53%11.14+1.27%0.0257✗0.851.2M2022-01-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8757360.871099-0.53%0.888452+1.45%0.0301✗1.132.8M2022-01-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.74331.7345-0.51%1.6739-3.98%0.0253✓1.1330.5M2022-01-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.25821.2519-0.50%1.3001+3.33%0.0539✗1.771.3M2022-01-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.0740.8665-0.50%40.64-1.05%0.0096✗1.662.8M2022-01-02
XMRMoneroMonero250.04248.8259-0.49%239.56-4.19%0.0288✓1.003.2M2022-01-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.364.3391-0.48%4.34-0.46%0.0093✗1.001.1M2022-01-02
XVGVergenative0.017750.017668-0.46%0.01767-0.45%0.0110✗1.192.3M2022-01-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.97930.974854-0.45%1.007+2.83%0.0416✗1.00146k2022-01-02
MINAMina Protocolnative3.733.7132-0.45%3.78+1.34%0.0277✗1.08667k2022-01-02
LUNATerraTerra 291.6691.2487-0.45%89.35-2.52%0.0119✓1.005.3M2022-01-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.7150.711895-0.43%0.714-0.14%0.0151✗1.323.0M2022-01-02
SUSHISushiEthereum9.149.1006-0.43%8.93-2.30%0.0070✓1.3018.1M2022-01-02
AAVEAaveEthereum266.48265.3603-0.42%265.45-0.39%0.0107✗1.1412.0M2022-01-02
KCSKuCoinnative22.38622.2924-0.42%22.624+1.06%0.0297✗1.6415.7M2022-01-02
MANADecentralandEthereum3.35013.3361-0.42%3.3401-0.30%0.0097✗0.936.6M2022-01-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4111.4051-0.42%1.3723-2.74%0.0151✓0.9423.0M2022-01-02
ZENHorizenBase63.9463.6792-0.41%65.06+1.75%0.0353✗1.51924k2022-01-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.02020.020118-0.41%0.0208+2.97%0.0392✗0.6441k2022-01-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1654-0.40%1.17+0.00%0.0131✗1.002.1M2022-01-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.8351.8279-0.38%1.9263+4.98%0.0598✗0.80828k2022-01-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6330.630681-0.37%0.642+1.42%0.0294✗1.272.3M2022-01-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12490.124471-0.34%0.1208-3.28%0.0208✓1.0035.9M2022-01-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.18850.187862-0.34%0.2121+12.52%0.1322✗1.192.4M2022-01-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6812.6721-0.33%2.859+6.64%0.0770✗1.022.0M2022-01-02
IMXImmutableEthereum4.834.8141-0.33%4.96+2.69%0.0390✗1.002.8M2022-01-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6093.5972-0.33%3.564-1.25%0.0054✗1.612.3M2022-01-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034160.000034053-0.31%0.00003405-0.32%0.0113✗1.251.8M2022-01-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6948-0.30%1.83+7.65%0.0925✗1.721.1M2022-01-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73020.728023-0.30%0.727-0.44%0.0102✗1.276.0M2022-01-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79893.7878-0.29%3.7845-0.38%0.0019✓-0.11405k2022-01-02
HIVEHivenative1.52381.5194-0.29%1.7249+13.20%0.1394✗1.385.5M2022-01-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0642080.064025-0.29%0.065084+1.36%0.0291✗1.397.6M2022-01-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2214.2091-0.28%4.172-1.16%0.0028✓0.67514k2022-01-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.1740.0608-0.27%41.08+2.27%0.0415✗1.806.3M2022-01-02
UMAUMAEthereum9.339.3048-0.27%9.49+1.71%0.0299✗1.124.1M2022-01-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.29520.294487-0.24%0.3119+5.66%0.0694✗1.315.0M2022-01-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2761.2729-0.24%1.266-0.78%0.0031✗0.942.6M2022-01-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.39652.3908-0.24%2.4089+0.52%0.0178✗1.12111k2022-01-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10010.099872-0.23%0.1001+0.00%0.0148✗1.371.6M2022-01-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07970.079525-0.22%0.079-0.88%0.0061✗1.391.7M2022-01-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338630.033789-0.22%0.0346+2.18%0.0331✗1.027.8M2022-01-02
SCSiacoinnative0.015540.015506-0.22%0.01618+4.12%0.0513✗0.96859k2022-01-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.3475-0.22%10.51+1.35%0.0225✗0.751.3M2022-01-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21280.212343-0.21%0.2121-0.33%0.0102✗1.245.1M2022-01-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38051.3775-0.21%1.4243+3.17%0.0435✗1.10987k2022-01-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.2735.1958-0.21%35.55+0.79%0.0241✗1.541.2M2022-01-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.55174.5422-0.21%4.5765+0.54%0.0139✗0.7019k2022-01-02
GTGateEthereum6.76356.7496-0.21%6.6057-2.33%0.0139✓0.844.0M2022-01-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37750.376738-0.20%0.3822+1.25%0.0260✗1.273.9M2022-01-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66470.663365-0.20%0.6765+1.78%0.0314✗1.3011.8M2022-01-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102950.102747-0.20%0.11531+12.01%0.1212✗0.6455k2022-01-02
MOVRMoonriverBase189.4715189.1068-0.19%200.0687+5.59%0.0670✗1.16600k2022-01-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.985.9688-0.19%6.24+4.35%0.0552✗1.173.8M2022-01-02
XTZTezosTezos4.74944.7408-0.18%4.6703-1.67%0.0027✓1.345.2M2022-01-02
LRCLoopringEthereum2.082.0764-0.17%2.095+0.72%0.0260✗1.871.5M2022-01-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42640.425719-0.16%0.7568+77.49%0.5881✗1.40650k2022-01-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.1939.1788-0.15%10.125+10.14%0.1037✗0.61324k2022-01-02
KSMKusamaHydration289.04288.5971-0.15%295.23+2.14%0.0329✗1.121.3M2022-01-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7611.742-0.15%11.71-0.43%0.0043✓-0.172.8M2022-01-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6511.6486-0.15%1.667+0.97%0.0229✗1.293.6M2022-01-02
ZECZcashZcash150.36150.1461-0.14%153.06+1.80%0.0316✗1.3511.0M2022-01-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash445.07444.4486-0.14%447.91+0.64%0.0170✗1.019.8M2022-01-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13390.133715-0.14%0.1368+2.17%0.0326✗1.08315k2022-01-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7481.7456-0.14%1.776+1.60%0.0297✗1.366.8M2022-01-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.193.9704-0.14%96.42+2.47%0.0345✗0.966.5M2022-01-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.049640.049574-0.13%0.04899-1.31%0.0035✓0.918.4M2022-01-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2768020.276443-0.13%0.292273+5.59%0.0650✗1.0226.4M2022-01-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.353.3463-0.11%3.4+1.49%0.0251✗1.001.0M2022-01-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.430.429537-0.11%0.417-3.02%0.0229✓0.7345k2022-01-02
BANDBandEthereum5.185.1747-0.10%5.28+1.93%0.0312✗1.212.2M2022-01-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.0969-0.10%3.2+3.23%0.0448✗1.323.2M2022-01-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.20783.2047-0.10%3.1749-1.03%0.0017✗1.203.3M2022-01-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.10946.1038-0.09%6.29+2.96%0.0411✗1.21649k2022-01-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin150.83150.6941-0.09%151.2+0.25%0.0157✗1.3541.9M2022-01-02
XECeCashnative0.000110770.000110671-0.09%0.00011334+2.32%0.0329✗0.997.6M2022-01-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.9142.9115-0.09%3.127+7.31%0.0793✗0.8744k2022-01-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016540.016526-0.08%0.01661+0.42%0.0170✗1.312.2M2022-01-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20610.205925-0.08%0.2055-0.29%0.0062✗0.90585k2022-01-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.086250.086177-0.08%0.08444-2.10%0.0092✓1.2221.1M2022-01-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0930.092936-0.07%0.09233-0.72%0.0068✗1.453.5M2022-01-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.398.3842-0.07%8.698+3.67%0.0483✗1.27379k2022-01-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.374.3672-0.06%4.35-0.46%0.0052✗1.003.4M2022-01-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.415.3914-0.06%15.31-0.58%0.0010✗0.691.4M2022-01-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6128.5957-0.05%29.7+3.81%0.0498✗1.3074.7M2022-01-02
QNTQuantEthereum179.87179.7886-0.05%187.33+4.15%0.0498✗0.968.9M2022-01-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114760.114713-0.04%0.12251+6.75%0.0759✗1.1126k2022-01-02
ADACardanoCardano1.37971.3792-0.04%1.3779-0.13%0.0091✗1.09102.6M2022-01-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.247.2374-0.04%7.19-0.69%0.0007✓0.641.1M2022-01-02
SOLSolanaSolana179.21179.1499-0.03%176.32-1.61%0.0062✓1.06226.4M2022-01-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2115.2094-0.03%5.195-0.31%0.0028✗0.61738k2022-01-02
FTTFTXEthereum40.240.188-0.03%40.16-0.10%0.0090✗1.0620.0M2022-01-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5224.513-0.03%24.4-0.49%0.0049✗1.041.5M2022-01-02
XVSVenusEthereum16.0816.0759-0.03%16.04-0.25%0.0083✗1.153.8M2022-01-02
COMPCompoundEthereum210.69210.6375-0.02%211.43+0.35%0.0144✗1.16210k2022-01-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.4632.4538-0.02%32.18-0.86%0.0023✓0.68463k2022-01-02
DODODODOEthereum0.8750.874893-0.01%0.923+5.49%0.0670✗1.488.1M2022-01-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.75584.7554-0.01%4.65-2.22%0.0105✓1.305.0M2022-01-02
XYMSymbolnative0.22450.224487-0.01%0.2093-6.77%0.0646✓0.59428k2022-01-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8734.8733+0.01%35.38+1.46%0.0240✓1.044.3M2022-01-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.62811.6283+0.01%1.5587-4.26%0.0363✗0.814.6M2022-01-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum25.6125.6132+0.01%27.32+6.68%0.0776✓1.4324.2M2022-01-02
DASHDashDash138.03138.0531+0.02%141.99+2.87%0.0397✓1.272.1M2022-01-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.03123.0537+0.02%124.05+0.83%0.0168✓0.963.7M2022-01-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.658.652+0.02%8.56-1.04%0.0037✗0.77979k2022-01-02
ETHEthereumEthereum3,765.723,766.99+0.03%3,828.87+1.68%0.0258✓1.04685.0M2022-01-02
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.4765+0.04%18.41+5.38%0.0639✓1.2914.5M2022-01-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08390.08395+0.06%0.088+4.89%0.0569✓1.0820k2022-01-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054880.054914+0.06%0.05753+4.83%0.0566✓1.1015k2022-01-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.200320.200464+0.07%0.2038+1.74%0.0309✓1.577,2812022-01-02
XEMNEMnative0.1260.126092+0.07%0.1307+3.73%0.0460✓1.10137k2022-01-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1332.1348+0.09%2.225+4.31%0.0517✓1.132.9M2022-01-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.7520.7679+0.09%21.88+5.45%0.0645✓1.3569.7M2022-01-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.948.9482+0.09%8.85-1.01%0.0055✗0.61998k2022-01-02
QTUMQtumQtum8.96138.9702+0.10%9.2363+3.07%0.0422✓1.42278k2022-01-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731180.173324+0.12%0.174401+0.74%0.0163✓1.105.5M2022-01-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.532.5331+0.12%2.56+1.19%0.0203✓1.064.1M2022-01-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0224630.022493+0.13%0.02233-0.59%0.0038✓1.212.4M2022-01-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.8835.9285+0.14%35.76-0.33%0.0048✓1.0423.7M2022-01-02
NANOnanopayBase3.583.5855+0.15%3.5764-0.10%0.0072✓1.07819k2022-01-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,733.4347,823.23+0.19%47,299.07-0.91%0.0019✗1.00750.8M2022-01-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,429.6047,538.50+0.23%47,411.90-0.04%0.0063✓0.9810k2022-01-02
TRXTRONTron0.0766250.076878+0.33%0.077643+1.33%0.0185✓0.94589k2022-01-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.