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2021-12-31 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0653
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 51.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.924285-1.21%1.0026+7.16%0.0264✗1.7030.1M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.023226-1.00%0.02333-0.55%0.0279✓1.0033.0M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.6359-0.77%13.69+7.51%0.0835✗-0.10111k2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.5165-0.74%4.49-1.32%0.0495✓1.3412.3M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,814.45-0.68%36,545.69+10.62%0.0893✗0.5713.3M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4332.2462-0.57%36.33+12.03%0.0905✗0.8942.6M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.2899-0.57%6.21+16.73%0.1177✗1.3228.7M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4108.816-0.53%114.26+4.44%0.0129✗1.11127.7M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.637-0.50%13.58+6.93%0.0734✗-0.044.2M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.3741-0.49%9.14-2.97%0.0687✓1.3417.1M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2225-0.47%1.2912+5.13%0.0095✗1.402.1M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5595-0.45%1.5787+0.77%0.0191✓0.974.3M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.8053-0.41%11+1.38%0.0098✓0.851.2M2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.2047-0.36%4.36+3.32%0.0039✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1997-0.35%1.2582+4.51%0.0102✓1.781.4M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.326791-0.34%0.3671+11.95%0.0857✗0.94293k2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6534-0.33%1.7433+5.09%0.0166✗1.1231.7M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 285.5685.2962-0.31%91.66+7.13%0.0395✗1.006.3M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2212.1832-0.30%13.2+8.02%0.0619✗0.561.3M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.019025-0.29%0.0202+5.87%0.0396✗0.6342k2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.353689-0.29%0.3879+9.36%0.0445✗1.484.3M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92253.2207-0.28%266.48+4.95%0.0144✗1.1311.5M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8966-0.27%4.83-1.63%0.0461✓1.003.0M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6939.5819-0.27%41.07+3.48%0.0173✓1.672.9M2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.017030.016985-0.26%0.01775+4.23%0.0054✗1.192.4M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7518-0.25%3.7989+1.00%0.0163✗-0.12409k2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.3223-0.25%22.386+4.72%0.0046✓1.6516.6M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1272-0.25%1.17+3.54%0.0049✗1.002.2M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5312-0.25%3.73+5.37%0.0201✗1.07723k2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.800703-0.24%0.875736+9.11%0.0536✗1.112.8M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3627-0.23%1.411+3.31%0.0044✗0.9423.6M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.063395-0.21%0.064208+1.07%0.0330✓1.417.9M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.2608-0.21%3.3501+2.52%0.0037✓0.956.9M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7392-0.21%1.835+5.29%0.0280✗0.79889k2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.7335-0.19%4.5517-4.02%0.0628✓0.7322k2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5694-0.18%2.681+4.16%0.0093✗1.032.1M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2568-0.18%1.276+1.35%0.0155✓0.952.7M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000033361-0.18%0.00003416+2.21%0.0173✓1.262.0M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.685213-0.17%0.715+4.17%0.0004✓1.333.1M2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero228.93228.5522-0.17%250.04+9.22%0.0584✗0.973.0M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.5012-0.15%5.069+12.44%0.0959✗0.711.0M2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0949-0.15%10.37+2.57%0.0026✗0.751.3M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033778-0.14%0.033863+0.11%0.0313✓1.048.5M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.611223-0.13%0.633+3.43%0.0062✓1.272.5M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.119.0988-0.12%9.33+2.41%0.0113✓1.124.1M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0885-0.11%2.08-0.52%0.0664✓1.921.5M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.641399-0.11%0.6647+3.52%0.0064✓1.3011.8M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.907826-0.11%0.9793+7.76%0.0434✗1.00146k2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3945-0.11%2.3965-0.02%0.0362✓1.14128k2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.425553-0.10%0.43+0.94%0.0135✓0.7446k2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5487-0.10%6.7635+3.17%0.0051✗0.844.0M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.707136-0.09%0.7302+3.16%0.0092✓1.276.1M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.100808-0.09%0.10295+2.03%0.0001✓0.6564k2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6186-0.08%1.7+4.94%0.0068✓1.721.1M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.5222-0.08%63.94+5.56%0.0061✗1.511.0M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.085069-0.07%0.08625+1.32%0.0263✓1.2421.7M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.365239-0.07%0.3775+3.28%0.0085✓1.284.2M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15429.8862-0.06%445.07+3.47%0.0020✗1.019.8M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2193.1537-0.06%94.1+0.95%0.0215✓0.977.0M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.097042-0.06%0.1001+3.09%0.0136✓1.381.8M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.7743-0.05%11.76-0.17%0.0044✗-0.173.4M2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.048257-0.05%0.04964+2.82%0.0014✓0.918.6M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.202215-0.04%0.2128+5.19%0.0111✗1.235.4M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4948-0.03%3.609+3.23%0.0198✓1.602.5M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112674-0.03%0.11476+1.82%0.0179✓1.1229k2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.0167-0.03%4.221+5.05%0.0286✗0.65502k2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.175153-0.03%0.1885+7.59%0.0359✗1.162.8M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.07628-0.03%0.0797+4.46%0.0011✓1.391.7M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0633.0514-0.03%35.27+6.68%0.0153✗1.531.3M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8814-0.02%2.914+1.11%0.0172✓0.8853k2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.28324-0.02%0.2952+4.20%0.0010✓1.315.5M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum179.22179.2018-0.01%179.87+0.36%0.0277✓0.979.4M2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.266462-0.01%0.276802+3.87%0.0050✗1.0227.7M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.413887-0.00%0.4264+3.02%0.0157✓1.40722k2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration276.22276.2134-0.00%289.04+4.64%0.0093✗1.111.4M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.01518+0.00%0.01554+2.37%0.0077✗0.96868k2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash146.46146.4723+0.01%150.36+2.66%0.0180✗1.3611.8M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8739+0.01%9.193+3.61%0.0159✓0.60338k2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.4129+0.01%24.52+0.45%0.0296✗1.051.5M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1469+0.01%3.2078+1.95%0.0200✗1.213.3M2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2798+0.01%1.3805+7.89%0.0407✓1.08987k2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5423+0.02%1.651+7.07%0.0267✓1.283.6M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4899+0.02%1.5238+2.30%0.0228✗1.405.8M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8874+0.02%6.1094+3.79%0.0020✗1.20649k2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6344+0.02%1.748+6.98%0.0236✓1.357.6M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0112+0.02%5.18+3.39%0.0061✗1.212.4M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.12833+0.02%0.1339+4.36%0.0078✓1.07324k2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.9294+0.02%40.17+3.21%0.0276✗1.826.6M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528181.9032+0.03%189.4715+4.19%0.0032✓1.16622k2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.0749+0.03%15.4+2.19%0.0009✗0.691.4M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000108228+0.03%0.00011077+2.38%0.0091✗1.008.0M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4819+0.04%5.98+9.12%0.0498✓1.154.3M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.053331+0.04%0.05488+2.95%0.0073✗1.1115k2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198482+0.04%0.2061+3.88%0.0085✓0.90622k2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2114+0.04%3.35+4.36%0.0099✓1.001.1M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15146.2171+0.05%150.83+3.20%0.0129✗1.3646.1M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58199.683+0.05%210.69+5.57%0.0163✓1.15210k2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.1043+0.05%8.39+3.58%0.0063✗1.26391k2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3428+0.05%4.7494+9.42%0.0467✓1.324.9M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0646+0.07%7.24+2.55%0.0039✓0.641.1M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.4215+0.07%32.46+3.38%0.0108✓0.67503k2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087735+0.07%0.093+6.08%0.0113✓1.453.9M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.3092+0.08%1.3797+5.47%0.0173✓1.08106.2M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9325+0.08%3.1+5.80%0.0132✓1.313.2M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015804+0.09%0.01654+4.75%0.0034✓1.302.3M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana169.88170.0317+0.09%179.21+5.49%0.0184✓1.05236.5M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.082374+0.09%0.0839+1.94%0.0167✗1.0820k2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02121.1341+0.09%123.03+1.66%0.0157✗0.963.7M2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0278+0.10%5.211+3.74%0.0165✓0.59773k2022-01-01
DASHDashDash133.78133.912+0.10%138.03+3.18%0.0110✗1.282.1M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0634.0977+0.11%34.87+2.38%0.0115✗1.054.7M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.6118+0.12%4.7558+3.24%0.0112✗1.305.0M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9817+0.12%17.47+2.89%0.0148✗1.3015.5M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.4498+0.12%25.61+4.87%0.0000✓1.4324.2M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,680.30+0.12%3,765.72+2.45%0.0110✗1.05716.9M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1586+0.12%16.08+6.21%0.0221✓1.144.3M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.7043+0.13%28.61+7.27%0.0273✓1.2875.1M2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.4214+0.14%8.65+2.85%0.0020✓0.761.1M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.844153+0.14%0.875+3.80%0.0122✗1.488.5M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.3461+0.14%4.37+0.69%0.0269✗1.003.4M2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.305+0.14%40.2+5.10%0.0142✓1.0520.7M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.12270.12288+0.15%0.126+2.69%0.0108✗1.11153k2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.8148+0.17%8.94+1.59%0.0056✗0.61999k2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.170511+0.17%0.173118+1.70%0.0208✗1.115.5M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2046,144.84+0.18%47,429.60+2.97%0.0042✗0.989,2042022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0618+0.19%2.133+3.64%0.0028✗1.133.1M2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7549+0.22%8.9613+2.58%0.0231✗1.43280k2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021871+0.23%0.022463+2.94%0.0126✗1.212.4M2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5553+0.23%20.75+6.36%0.0159✓1.3469.7M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3958+0.24%2.53+5.86%0.0204✓1.054.1M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.3257+0.25%35.88+4.79%0.0108✓1.0323.7M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.4104+0.26%3.58+5.25%0.0141✓1.06798k2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,342.24+0.28%47,733.43+3.29%0.0028✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.195228+0.37%0.2245+15.42%0.1226✓0.53410k2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.197654+0.39%0.20032+1.75%0.0381✗1.598,4562022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.6264+0.39%1.6281+0.50%0.0256✗0.824.6M2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075783+0.41%0.076625+1.52%0.0198✗0.95607k2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.